Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 18, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Queens (NC) def. Bellarmine 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Bellarmine 60.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Queens (NC) beat visiting Bellarmine 3-1 (21-25, 29-27, 25-22, 25-18) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Queens (NC)'s Callie DeSchryver led with 19 kills, and Tilley Collins added 24 digs.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set1234Sets
BELLAR252722181
QUENNC212925253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Queens (NC) came back from a 13% low point.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Queens (NC)'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Bellarmine was RallyIQ's 60% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Bellarmine 26–26 Queens (NC)

    Queens (NC) won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 29–27 and level the match at 1–1.

    Queens (NC) 26% → 42%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Bellarmine 21–22 Queens (NC)

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Queens (NC), enough to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–1.

    Queens (NC) 52% → 70%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Bellarmine 6–5 Queens (NC)

    6 straight Queens (NC) points turned a 5–6 deficit into an 11–6 lead.

    Queens (NC) 66% → 89%

Queens (NC) above 50Bellarmine belowMax swing 9.3%

BellarmineQueens (NC)

Sideout %
Bellarmine 59.6·Queens (NC) 64.5
Break %
Bellarmine 35.5·Queens (NC) 40.4
Hitting
Bellarmine .177·Queens (NC) .247
Longest run
Bellarmine 7·Queens (NC) 6

Callie DeSchryver
19 kills on .264, 21 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Queens (NC) above 50 · Bellarmine below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.3% QUENNCrally 192 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.3% to Queens (NC) — set 2, BELLAR 27-29 QUENNC. Kill by Layni Tobias (set by Marlee Cook). QUENNC win probability 33% → 42%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BELLAR 51.9%48.1% QUENNC

Bellarmine wins

3-0
13.3%
3-1
19.6%
3-2
19.1%

Queens (NC) wins

3-0
11.7%
3-1
17.9%
3-2
18.4%
BELLAR break %
44.1% vs this opp
QUENNC break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Layni TobiasKill+9.3%

    Kill by Layni Tobias (set by Marlee Cook)

    Set 2 · BELLAR 27-29 QUENNC · QUENNC 33% → 42%

  2. 02
    Emma NorrisKill+8.8%

    Kill by Emma Norris (set by Payton Parsons)

    Set 2 · BELLAR 23-24 QUENNC · QUENNC 24% → 33%

  3. 03

    Kill by Elizabeth Layson (set by Marlee Cook)

    Set 2 · BELLAR 25-26 QUENNC · QUENNC 24% → 33%

  4. 04

    Maddie Hagan stuffed by Emma Norris & Callie DeSchryver

    Set 3 · BELLAR 21-23 QUENNC · QUENNC 52% → 60%

  5. 05
    Kyla CoffeyKill+8.7%

    Kill by Kyla Coffey (set by Marlee Cook)

    Set 3 · BELLAR 21-22 QUENNC · QUENNC 43% → 52%

  6. 06
    Ava LongAce+8.5%

    Ace by Ava Long on Callie DeSchryver

    Set 2 · BELLAR 25-24 QUENNC · BELLAR 74% → 83%

  7. 07
    Erika SmithAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Erika Smith

    Set 3 · BELLAR 21-21 QUENNC · QUENNC 36% → 43%

  8. 08
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+7.1%

    Point Bellarmine (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · BELLAR 24-24 QUENNC · BELLAR 67% → 74%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415643.209001101132.517.5
417743.2330000000017
49420.2500002002110
44317.05901310031.56.5
4417.429442340010.56.5
32221.00010020010.52.5
4000–041300004
4102.500020600003
41011.0005011530001
4000–0132110001
2024-.500000100000
Team totals5325158.177501012655110692
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419553.2640023712221
417434.38200040052.519.5
44110.300100201226
4103.3334511110132.54.5
4000–0101120001
2036-.500000000000
412335.2570004010113
4000–4222400002
4000–112900001
35413.077000001227
2000–001000000
Team totals5820154.2475158681051412100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Bellarmine vs Queens (NC)

Season series · Queens (NC) leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 BELLAR · QUENNC 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 7 BELLARQUENNC 3

Set 2

27-29

Longest run 4 BELLARQUENNC 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 BELLARQUENNC 5

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 2 BELLARQUENNC 6

Bars above the line = Queens (NC) leads, below = Bellarmine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bellarmine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
42%5/12
2
47%8/17
44%7/16
3
64%7/11
38%5/13
4
67%6/9
14%1/7
5
46%6/13
0%0/6
6
75%6/8
45%5/11
All
59%42/71
35%23/65

Queens (NC)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
38%5/13
2
64%9/14
44%7/16
3
75%6/8
42%5/12
4
100%6/6
40%4/10
5
60%6/10
0%0/6
6
60%6/10
57%8/14
All
65%42/65
41%29/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

192 rallies

#BELLAR-QUENNCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedErika Smithblk Layni Tobias+2.4
20-2QUENNCQUENNC×3AceQueens (NC)aced Payton Parsons+2.4
30-3QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errMady Yaden+2.4
41-3QUENNCBELLAR×7KillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.8
52-3BELLARBELLAR×7AceAbbie Lyttleaced Destiny Wiggins+2.4
63-3BELLARBELLAR×7Bad setMarlee Cook+2.4
74-3BELLARBELLAR×7KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.4
85-3BELLARBELLAR×7Attack errNaomi Cole+2.4
96-3BELLARBELLAR×7KillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+2.2
107-3BELLARBELLAR×7Attack errNaomi Cole+2.0
117-4BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+1.5
128-4QUENNCBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.7
138-5BELLARQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+1.5
149-5QUENNCBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.7
159-6BELLARQUENNCBlockedMary Hermanblk Callie DeSchryver+1.5
169-7QUENNCQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Maddie Carnes+2.2
1710-7QUENNCBELLARServe errQueens (NC)+2.0
1810-8BELLARQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+1.8
1911-8QUENNCBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.0
2012-8BELLARBELLARAceMary Hermanaced Callie DeSchryver+2.3
2112-9BELLARQUENNCBlockedMady Yadenblk Layni Tobias, Marlee Cook+1.6
2213-9QUENNCBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.8
2313-10BELLARQUENNCServe errMaddie Carnes+1.6
2414-10QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.9
2514-11BELLARQUENNCServe errAbbie Lyttle+1.6
2614-12QUENNCQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Erika Smith+2.5
2715-12QUENNCBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Payton Parsons+2.3
2816-12BELLARBELLARAceAbby Juliusaced Callie DeSchryver+2.5
2916-13BELLARQUENNCServe errAbby Julius+1.7
3017-13QUENNCBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+2.0
3117-14BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+1.6
3218-14QUENNCBELLARAttack errAva Long+2.1
3318-15BELLARQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+1.6
3419-15QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Payton Parsons+2.1
3519-16BELLARQUENNCServe errMary Herman+1.6
3619-17QUENNCQUENNCAttack errErika Smith+2.8
3720-17QUENNCBELLAR×3Attack errCallie DeSchryver+2.8
3821-17BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errNaomi Cole+2.7
3922-17BELLARBELLAR×3AceMaddie Carnesaced Callie DeSchryver+1.8
4022-18BELLARQUENNCServe errMaddie Carnes+0.8
4123-18QUENNCBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.2
4223-19BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+0.5
4323-20QUENNCQUENNCAceQueens (NC)aced Abbie Lyttle+1.3
4424-20QUENNCBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.9
4524-21BELLARQUENNCAttack errMary Herman+0.6
4625-21QUENNCBELLARAttack errCallie DeSchryver+1.4
Set 2
10-1BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+1.7
21-1QUENNCBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+1.7
31-2BELLARQUENNCAttack errMya White+1.7
42-2QUENNCBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.7
53-2BELLARBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.1
63-3BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+1.7
74-3QUENNCBELLAR×3BlockedEmma Norrisblk Mary Herman, Natalie Bland+1.8
85-3BELLARBELLAR×3AceAva Long+2.1
96-3BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errElizabeth Layson+2.0
106-4BELLARQUENNCBlockedNatalie Blandblk Marlee Cook+1.5
117-4QUENNCBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.6
127-5BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+1.6
138-5QUENNCBELLARKillAva Longset Maddie Carnes+1.7
148-6BELLARQUENNCKillKyla Coffeyset Marlee Cook+1.6
159-6QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.7
1610-6BELLARBELLARAceMaddie Carnesaced Callie DeSchryver+2.0
1710-7BELLARQUENNC×4Serve errMaddie Carnes+1.4
1810-8QUENNCQUENNC×4KillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+2.1
1910-9QUENNCQUENNC×4Attack errMady Yaden+2.4
2010-10QUENNCQUENNC×4BlockedMya Whiteblk Kyla Coffey, Emma Norris+2.6
2111-10QUENNCBELLARServe errQueens (NC)+2.1
2211-11BELLARQUENNCServe errAbbie Lyttle+2.2
2312-11QUENNCBELLAR×4KillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+2.2
2413-11BELLARBELLAR×4BlockedCallie DeSchryverblk Mya White, Mary Herman+2.7
2514-11BELLARBELLAR×4AceAbby Juliusaced Destiny Wiggins+2.5
2615-11BELLARBELLAR×4KillNatalie Bland+2.2
2715-12BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+1.5
2816-12QUENNCBELLARServe errQueens (NC)+1.8
2916-13BELLARQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+1.5
3017-13QUENNCBELLARKillMaddie Carnesset Payton Parsons+1.8
3117-14BELLARQUENNC×3Serve errNatalie Bland+1.5
3217-15QUENNC
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.4
3317-16QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedMady Yadenblk Kyla Coffey+3.0
3418-16QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.7
3518-17BELLARQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+2.5
3618-18QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errMady Yaden+3.8
3718-19QUENNCQUENNC×3KillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+4.2
3819-19QUENNCBELLARKillMaddie Carnesset Payton Parsons+3.3
3919-20BELLARQUENNCKillLayni Tobiasset Marlee Cook+3.7
4019-21QUENNCQUENNCAceQueens (NC)aced Payton Parsons+4.6
4120-21QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+3.1
4221-21BELLARBELLARBlockedKyla Coffeyblk Erika Smith, Natalie Bland+4.9
4321-22BELLARQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+4.7
4422-22QUENNCBELLARServe errQueens (NC)+4.5
4523-22BELLARBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+6.6
4623-23BELLARQUENNCBlockedNatalie Blandblk Marlee Cook, Emma Norris+5.2
4723-24QUENNCQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Payton Parsons+8.8
4824-24BELLAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+7.1
4925-24BELLARBELLARAceAva Longaced Callie DeSchryver+8.5
5025-25BELLARQUENNCAttack errNatalie Bland+6.8
5125-26QUENNCQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+8.8
5226-26QUENNCBELLARServe errQueens (NC)+7.1
5326-27BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+7.1
5427-27QUENNCBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+7.1
5527-28BELLARQUENNCServe errMary Herman+7.1
5627-29QUENNCQUENNCKillLayni Tobiasset Marlee Cook+9.3
Set 3
11-0QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.5
21-1BELLARQUENNCServe errAbbie Lyttle+2.5
31-2QUENNCQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+3.3
42-2QUENNCBELLARBlockedKyla Coffeyblk Natalie Bland+2.6
53-2BELLARBELLARAceAbby Juliusaced Callie DeSchryver+3.2
63-3BELLARQUENNC×3KillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+2.6
73-4QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errNatalie Bland+3.4
83-5QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errMaddie Hagan+3.5
94-5QUENNCBELLARServe errQueens (NC)+2.7
105-5BELLARBELLARKillMaddie Carnesset Payton Parsons+3.4
115-6BELLARQUENNC×3KillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+2.9
125-7QUENNCQUENNC×3KillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+3.7
135-8QUENNCQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+3.6
146-8QUENNCBELLARAttack errEmma Norris+2.6
156-9BELLARQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+3.0
167-9QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.7
178-9BELLARBELLARBlockedElizabeth Laysonblk Maddie Carnes, Erika Smith+3.7
188-10BELLARQUENNCServe errMary Herman+3.2
199-10QUENNCBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+3.0
209-11BELLARQUENNCKillKyla Coffeyset Marlee Cook+3.3
219-12QUENNCQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Layni Tobias+4.0
2210-12QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.9
2310-13BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Tilley Collins+3.3
2411-13QUENNCBELLAR×3KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.9
2512-13BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errEmma Norris+4.1
2613-13BELLARBELLAR×3AceAbby Juliusaced Callie DeSchryver+4.4
2713-14BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+3.8
2813-15QUENNCQUENNCAceQueens (NC)aced Payton Parsons+4.8
2914-15QUENNCBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+3.5
3014-16BELLARQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+4.0
3115-16QUENNCBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+3.7
3215-17BELLARQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+4.2
3316-17QUENNCBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+3.8
3417-17BELLARBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+5.4
3518-17BELLARBELLAR×3KillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+5.6
3618-18BELLARQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Megan Kelly+4.6
3719-18QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+4.8
3820-18BELLARBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+5.9
3920-19BELLARQUENNCKillLayni Tobiasset Marlee Cook+4.2
4021-19QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+5.1
4121-20BELLARQUENNC×5KillCallie DeSchryverset Tilley Collins+4.4
4221-21QUENNCQUENNC×5Attack errErika Smith+7.3
4321-22QUENNCQUENNC×5KillKyla Coffeyset Marlee Cook+8.7
4421-23QUENNCQUENNC×5BlockedMaddie Haganblk Emma Norris, Callie DeSchryver+8.7
4521-24QUENNCQUENNC×5BlockedErika Smithblk Callie DeSchryver, Emma Norris+6.6
4622-24QUENNCBELLARServe errQueens (NC)+2.2
4722-25BELLARQUENNCServe errPayton Parsons+5.1
Set 4
11-0BELLARBELLARAttack errLayni Tobias+3.4
21-1BELLARQUENNCKillKyla Coffeyset Marlee Cook+2.8
32-1QUENNCBELLARAttack errKyla Coffey+2.8
42-2BELLARQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+2.8
52-3QUENNCQUENNCAttack errNatalie Bland+3.7
63-3QUENNCBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+2.9
74-3BELLARBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+3.6
84-4BELLARQUENNCBlockedNatalie Blandblk Emma Norris, Marlee Cook+2.9
95-4QUENNCBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+3.0
105-5BELLARQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+3.0
116-5QUENNCBELLARKillPayton Parsonsset Callie DeSchryver+3.0
126-6BELLARQUENNC×6KillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+3.1
136-7QUENNCQUENNC×6KillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+4.1
146-8QUENNCQUENNC×6AceQueens (NC)aced Natalie Bland+4.1
156-9QUENNCQUENNC×6KillKyla Coffeyset Tilley Collins+4.1
166-10QUENNCQUENNC×6BlockedMady Yadenblk Kyla Coffey, Layni Tobias+3.9
176-11QUENNCQUENNC×6Attack errMaddie Carnes+3.5
187-11QUENNCBELLARServe errQueens (NC)+2.3
198-11BELLARBELLARAttack errElizabeth Layson+3.4
208-12BELLARQUENNCKillMarlee Cookset Tilley Collins+3.2
218-13QUENNCQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+3.6
229-13QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.3
239-14BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Erika Smith+2.9
2410-14QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.3
2510-15BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+2.9
2610-16QUENNCQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Emma Norris+3.0
2711-16QUENNCBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.7
2811-17BELLARQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+2.4
2911-18QUENNCQUENNCKillEmma Norris+2.1
3012-18QUENNCBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.1
3112-19BELLARQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+1.6
3213-19QUENNCBELLARAttack errCallie DeSchryver+0.9
3313-20BELLARQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+1.5
3413-21QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedMary Hermanblk Elizabeth Layson+1.0
3513-22QUENNCQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+0.5
3614-22QUENNCBELLARKillMaddie Carnesset Mya White+0.1
3714-23BELLARQUENNCKillLayni Tobiasset Tilley Collins+0.3
3815-23QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.1
3916-23BELLARBELLARAttack errCallie DeSchryver+0.2
4016-24BELLARQUENNCAttack errMady Yaden+0.3
4117-24QUENNCBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes·
4218-24BELLARBELLARAttack errKyla Coffey+0.1
4318-25BELLARQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Bellarmine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).