Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 15, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Northern Ariz. def. Eastern Wash. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Ariz. 78.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Ariz. won at Eastern Wash. 3-2 (26-24, 23-25, 13-25, 25-19, 15-8) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Hanah Stoddard led Northern Ariz. with 17 kills; Eastern Wash.'s Kalista Lukovich had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set12345Sets
NAU26231325153
E WASH2425251982

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Outhit .174 to .165, Northern Ariz. won anyway.

The match turned once; each line shows Northern Ariz.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Northern Ariz. 78% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Northern Ariz. 23–24 Eastern Wash.

    Down 23–24, Northern Ariz. scored 3 straight to lead 26–24.

    Northern Ariz. 68% → 88%

Eastern Wash. above 50Northern Ariz. belowMax swing 10.3%

Northern Ariz.Eastern Wash.

Sideout %
Northern Ariz. 64.7·Eastern Wash. 64.4
Break %
Northern Ariz. 35.6·Eastern Wash. 35.3
Hitting
Northern Ariz. .165·Eastern Wash. .174
Longest run
Northern Ariz. 6·Eastern Wash. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Eastern Wash. above 50 · Northern Ariz. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+10.3% E WASHrally 203 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.3% to Eastern Wash. — set 5, NAU 7-7 E WASH. Kill by Kalista Lukovich (set by Jailyn Davenport). E WASH win probability 28% → 39%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NAU 79.7%20.3% E WASH

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0
31.2%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.3%

Eastern Wash. wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.2%
NAU break %
47.5% vs this opp
E WASH break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kalista Lukovich (set by Jailyn Davenport)

    Set 5 · NAU 7-7 E WASH · E WASH 28% → 39%

  2. 02

    Kill by Hanah Stoddard (set by Ella Hosfeld)

    Set 5 · NAU 9-7 E WASH · NAU 70% → 80%

  3. 03
    Hanah StoddardAttack error+9.5%

    Attack error by Hanah Stoddard

    Set 5 · NAU 3-4 E WASH · E WASH 37% → 46%

  4. 04
    Kalista LukovichAttack error+9.0%

    Attack error by Kalista Lukovich

    Set 5 · NAU 5-4 E WASH · NAU 61% → 70%

  5. 05
    Ella HosfeldAce+8.8%

    Ace by Ella Hosfeld on Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku

    Set 5 · NAU 7-5 E WASH · NAU 70% → 78%

  6. 06

    Kill by Hanah Stoddard (set by Ella Hosfeld)

    Set 5 · NAU 11-8 E WASH · NAU 81% → 89%

  7. 07

    Bria Carlisle stuffed by Gigi Greenlee & Quincey Coyle

    Set 5 · NAU 8-7 E WASH · NAU 61% → 70%

  8. 08
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+8.3%

    Point Northern Ariz. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 5 · NAU 10-8 E WASH · NAU 72% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516444.27321122102118
5171376.05300211100017
511224.37500010031.512.5
55214.214000400216
53213.07721030010.54.5
5000–26231200002
5203.6672012900003
4000–3131100001
4011-1.0002001500000
3317.286000101014
2123-.333000000001
1113.000000000001
Team totals5928188.16555611893185102
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521659.25410213112223
514840.1501002210115
56419.10500010515.511.5
57016.43810240153.510.5
55428.03600020010.55.5
5328.1254400160031.54.5
52211.000104700002
5000–4212700002
5003.0000121420001
4000–000200000
Team totals5826184.1745231188681214101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northern Ariz. vs Eastern Wash.

Season series · Northern Ariz. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NAU · E WASH 5

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 3 NAUE WASH 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 NAUE WASH 4

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 NAUE WASH 5

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 NAUE WASH 3

Set 5

15-8

Longest run 6 NAUE WASH 2

Bars above the line = Eastern Wash. leads, below = Northern Ariz. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ariz.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
40%6/15
2
63%10/16
47%9/19
3
67%10/15
23%3/13
4
67%10/15
17%2/12
5
53%10/19
23%3/13
6
67%8/12
33%5/15
All
63%59/93
32%28/87

Eastern Wash.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
41%7/17
2
67%10/15
38%6/16
3
91%10/11
23%3/13
4
83%10/12
33%5/15
5
59%10/17
50%10/20
6
90%9/10
25%3/12
All
68%59/87
37%34/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#NAU-E WASHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.5
21-1E WASHNAUServe errEastern Wash.+1.4
32-1NAUNAUAttack errSidney Gray+1.7
42-2NAUE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.4
53-2E WASHNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Avery Gottschalk+1.4
63-3NAUE WASH×3Serve errNorthern Ariz.+1.5
73-4E WASHE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.0
83-5E WASHE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
94-5E WASHNAUKillTaryn Davis+1.6
104-6NAUE WASHAttack errQuincey Coyle+1.8
114-7E WASHE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Taryn Davis+2.3
125-7E WASHNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.6
135-8NAUE WASHBlockedLaney Wilsonblk Kalista Lukovich, Judith Bolomboy+1.9
146-8E WASHNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+1.6
156-9NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.9
167-9E WASHNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.7
177-10NAUE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+2.0
188-10E WASHNAUAttack errBria Carlisle+1.7
199-10NAUNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Kate Federico+2.3
209-11NAUE WASHAttack errHanah Stoddard+2.1
2110-11E WASHNAUServe errEastern Wash.+1.9
2210-12NAUE WASHAttack errLaney Wilson+2.2
2311-12E WASHNAUServe errEastern Wash.+1.9
2411-13NAUE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Kalista Lukovich+2.2
2512-13E WASHNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Kate Federico+2.0
2613-13NAUNAU×3AceAvery Gottschalk+2.6
2714-13NAUNAU×3Attack errJailyn Davenport+2.6
2814-14NAUE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+2.1
2915-14E WASHNAUServe errEastern Wash.+2.1
3015-15NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
3116-15E WASHNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.2
3217-15NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.6
3317-16NAUE WASHBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Sidney Gray+2.0
3418-16E WASHNAUServe errEastern Wash.+2.2
3518-17NAUE WASHServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.1
3619-17E WASHNAUKillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+2.3
3719-18NAUE WASHAttack errQuincey Coyle+2.2
3820-18E WASHNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+2.5
3921-18NAUNAUBlockedKalista Lukovichblk Avery Gottschalk, Quincey Coyle+2.6
4021-19NAUE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+1.6
4121-20E WASHE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+3.0
4222-20E WASHNAUServe errEastern Wash.+3.0
4322-21NAUE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.6
4422-22E WASHE WASH×3BlockedGigi Greenleeblk Sidney Gray, Kalista Lukovich+4.9
4522-23E WASHE WASH×3KillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+6.5
4623-23E WASHNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+4.8
4723-24NAUE WASHKillReese Betschartset Jailyn Davenport+6.6
4824-24E WASHNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Kate Federico+6.6
4925-24NAUNAU×3BlockedKalista Lukovichblk Masina Perez, Gigi Greenlee+7.4
5026-24NAUNAU×3Attack errReese Betschart+6.5
Set 2
11-0E WASHNAU×3BlockedAspyn Reedblk Masina Perez+1.0
22-0NAUNAU×3Attack errAspyn Reed+1.2
33-0NAUNAU×3AceKate Federicoaced Kalista Lukovich+1.1
43-1NAUE WASH×3Serve errKate Federico+0.9
53-2E WASHE WASH×3KillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
63-3E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.aced Hanah Stoddard+1.4
74-3E WASHNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.1
84-4NAUE WASHServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.2
95-4E WASHNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.1
105-5NAUE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
116-5E WASHNAUServe errEastern Wash.+1.1
126-6NAUE WASH×4KillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
136-7E WASHE WASH×4Attack errHanah Stoddard+1.7
146-8E WASHE WASH×4KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
156-9E WASHE WASH×4KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.9
167-9E WASHNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.3
177-10NAUE WASHServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.5
188-10E WASHNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.3
198-11NAUE WASHBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Sidney Gray+1.6
209-11E WASHNAUAttack errAspyn Reed+1.4
219-12NAUE WASHServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.6
2210-12E WASHNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+1.4
2310-13NAUE WASHAttack errAvery Gottschalk+1.7
2411-13E WASHNAUServe errEastern Wash.+1.4
2511-14NAUE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
2611-15E WASHE WASHBlockedQuincey Coyleblk Judith Bolomboy+2.1
2712-15E WASHNAUAttack errKalista Lukovich+1.3
2813-15NAUNAUAttack errReese Betschart+1.9
2913-16NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.9
3014-16E WASHNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Taryn Davis+1.5
3114-17NAUE WASHKillJailyn Davenport+2.0
3215-17E WASHNAUKillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
3315-18NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.1
3416-18E WASHNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
3517-18NAUNAUAttack errAspyn Reed+2.4
3617-19NAUE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.4
3717-20E WASHE WASHAttack errAvery Gottschalk+2.9
3818-20E WASHNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.7
3918-21NAUE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.4
4018-22E WASHE WASHAttack errHanah Stoddard+2.4
4119-22E WASHNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.1
4219-23NAUE WASHServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.9
4320-23E WASHNAUKillTaryn Davisset Taryn Davis+0.9
4420-24NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
4521-24E WASHNAU×3Serve errEastern Wash.+0.5
4622-24NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.5
4723-24NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+3.1
4823-25NAUE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+5.9
Set 3
11-0NAUNAUAceQuincey Coyleaced Aspyn Reed+2.5
22-0NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.3
32-1NAUE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.9
43-1E WASHNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.9
53-2NAUE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+1.9
64-2E WASHNAUAttack errAspyn Reed+1.9
74-3NAUE WASH×3KillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+2.0
84-4E WASHE WASH×3BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Jailyn Davenport, Judith Bolomboy+2.8
94-5E WASHE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+3.1
105-5E WASHNAUServe errEastern Wash.+2.3
115-6NAUE WASHKillJailyn Davenportset Taryn Davis+2.6
126-6E WASHNAUKillLauren Edlundset Taryn Davis+2.4
136-7NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.6
147-7E WASHNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+2.5
157-8NAUE WASHServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.7
168-8E WASHNAUKillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+2.5
178-9NAUE WASH×3BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Sidney Gray+2.8
188-10E WASHE WASH×3BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Judith Bolomboy, Bria Carlisle+3.8
198-11E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.aced Quincey Coyle+3.9
209-11E WASHNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.7
219-12NAUE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+3.2
229-13E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.+3.9
239-14E WASHE WASH×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+3.6
2410-14E WASHNAUAttack errAspyn Reed+2.2
2510-15NAUE WASHBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Jailyn Davenport, Judith Bolomboy+2.9
2611-15E WASHNAUKillKate Campset Taryn Davis+2.2
2711-16NAUE WASH×3KillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+2.9
2811-17E WASHE WASH×3BlockedKate Campblk Kalista Lukovich+3.1
2911-18E WASHE WASH×3Attack errLauren Edlund+2.3
3012-18E WASHNAUAttack errKalista Lukovich+1.1
3112-19NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.7
3212-20E WASHE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.4
3313-20E WASHNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Lilly Holmes+0.5
3413-21NAUE WASH×5KillReese Betschartset Jailyn Davenport+1.0
3513-22E WASHE WASH×5KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+0.6
3613-23E WASHE WASH×5KillBria Carlisleset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
3713-24E WASHE WASH×5Attack errLilly Holmes+0.1
3813-25E WASHE WASH×5Attack errMasina Perez·
Set 4
11-0E WASHNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.7
21-1NAUE WASHKillJailyn Davenport+2.9
32-1E WASHNAU×4KillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+2.8
43-1NAUNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Quincey Coyle+3.4
54-1NAUNAU×4KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+3.0
65-1NAUNAU×4AceTaryn Davisaced Aspyn Reed+2.7
75-2NAUE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+2.0
86-2E WASHNAUKillLauren Edlundset Taryn Davis+2.1
96-3NAUE WASHServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.1
107-3E WASHNAUAttack errJailyn Davenport+2.2
117-4NAUE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Judith Bolomboy+2.1
127-5E WASHE WASH×3KillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+3.2
137-6E WASHE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Reese Betschart+3.7
148-6E WASHNAU×4KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+3.0
159-6NAUNAU×4AceElla Hosfeldaced Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+3.5
1610-6NAUNAU×4KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+3.0
1711-6NAUNAU×4KillQuincey Coyleset Jailyn Davenport+2.5
1811-7NAUE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+1.7
1912-7E WASHNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Lilly Holmes+1.9
2012-8NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.7
2112-9E WASHE WASHBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Sidney Gray+2.8
2213-9E WASHNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.5
2314-9NAUNAU×3Attack errSidney Gray+2.6
2415-9NAUNAU×3KillAvery Gottschalk+1.9
2515-10NAUE WASHBlockedMasina Perezblk Aspyn Reed+1.2
2615-11E WASHE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.1
2716-11E WASHNAUAttack errBria Carlisle+2.0
2816-12NAUE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Aspyn Reed+1.7
2917-12E WASHNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+2.0
3018-12NAUNAUBlockedAspyn Reedblk Lauren Edlund+1.8
3118-13NAUE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.0
3219-13E WASHNAUAttack errKalista Lukovich+1.4
3319-14NAUE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+0.9
3419-15E WASHE WASHBad setTaryn Davis+1.9
3520-15E WASHNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+2.0
3620-16NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.4
3721-16E WASHNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.9
3822-16NAUNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.4
3922-17NAUE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.5
4022-18E WASHE WASH×3BlockedGigi Greenleeblk Sidney Gray+1.2
4122-19E WASHE WASH×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+2.3
4223-19E WASHNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.8
4324-19NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
4425-19NAUNAU×3Attack errSidney Gray+1.2
Set 5
11-0E WASHNAUAttack errBria Carlisle+5.8
21-1NAUE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+6.2
32-1E WASHNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Quincey Coyle+6.1
42-2NAUE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+6.5
53-2E WASHNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+6.3
63-3NAUE WASHBlockedQuincey Coyleblk Judith Bolomboy, Jailyn Davenport+6.7
73-4E WASHE WASHAttack errHanah Stoddard+9.5
84-4E WASHNAUServe errEastern Wash.+7.1
95-4NAUNAUAttack errKalista Lukovich+9.0
105-5NAUE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+7.4
116-5E WASHNAUKillLauren Edlundset Taryn Davis+7.4
127-5NAUNAUAceElla Hosfeldaced Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+8.8
137-6NAUE WASHServe errElla Hosfeld+6.7
147-7E WASHE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+10.3
158-7E WASHNAUBlockedBria Carlisleblk Gigi Greenlee, Quincey Coyle+8.4
169-7NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+9.9
17–1810-8NAU · E WASH
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
1911-8NAUNAU×6KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+8.7
2012-8NAUNAU×6KillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+6.0
2113-8NAUNAU×6KillHanah Stoddardset Avery Gottschalk+3.3
2214-8NAUNAU×6Attack errAspyn Reed+1.3
2315-8NAUNAU×6KillAvery Gottschalk+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ariz. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).