FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayMAC

3:0

HomeIVY-LEAGUE

Kent St. def. Columbia 3–0

(25-23, 25-14, 25-16)

Set	1*	2	3	Sets
KENT	25	25	25	3
COLUMB	23	14	16	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

COLUMB above 50 · KENT below

Biggest swing: 9.4% to Kent St. — set 1, KENT 25-23 COLUMB. Attack error by Elena Maynulet. COLUMB win probability 37% → 27%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

KENT 55.2%44.8% COLUMB

Kent St. wins

3-0

14.8%

3-1

20.9%

3-2

19.5%

Columbia wins

3-0

10.4%

3-1

16.6%

3-2

17.8%

KENT break %: 45.8% vs this opp
COLUMB break %: 44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Elena MaynuletAttack error+9.4%
Attack error by Elena Maynulet
Set 1 · KENT 25-23 COLUMB · KENT 63% → 73%
02
COLUMB serverService error+8.0%
Columbia service error
Set 1 · KENT 24-23 COLUMB · KENT 55% → 63%
03
Elena MaynuletKill+7.3%
Kill by Elena Maynulet (set by Clara Yu)
Set 1 · KENT 23-23 COLUMB · COLUMB 38% → 45%
04
Avery JonesAttack error+6.3%
Avery Jones stuffed by Mercedez Brown
Set 1 · KENT 22-21 COLUMB · KENT 54% → 60%
05
Mercedez BrownKill+6.1%
Kill by Mercedez Brown (set by Christina Vigil)
Set 1 · KENT 23-21 COLUMB · KENT 60% → 66%
06
Macie MorelandAttack error+5.1%
Attack error by Macie Moreland
Set 1 · KENT 19-20 COLUMB · COLUMB 45% → 50%
07
KENT serverService error+4.7%
Kent St. service error
Set 1 · KENT 20-21 COLUMB · COLUMB 46% → 51%
08
TeamAttack error+4.5%
Attack error by Team
Set 1 · KENT 21-21 COLUMB · KENT 49% → 54%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Kent St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Mercedez BrownOH	3	11	2	33	.273	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	1.5	13.5
8Nadia MillerMB	3	8	3	17	.294	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	9
16Adalynn GinleyMB	3	5	0	11	.455	1	1	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
14Christina VigilS	3	2	1	10	.100	24	0	2	7	0	1	0	1	3
4Hailey BrennerDS	3	0	0	3	.000	1	0	0	10	2	0	0	0	0
11Vanessa ImohOH	2	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
10Macie MorelandOH	3	9	3	15	.400	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
5Lesley FurutaL/DS	3	0	0	6	.000	4	2	2	15	3	0	0	0	2
12Catie PattersonDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
20Ashley VerheyOH	2	8	1	13	.538	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	8
13Jordyn AndersonS	2	0	0	3	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	10	115	.287	35	4	7	54	5	2	6	5	75

Columbiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Elena MaynuletOH	3	8	1	27	.259	0	1	0	11	2	0	0	0	9
33Alexia CorneaOH	3	4	5	22	-.045	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
7Danica NordlichtMB	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
1Dahlia RobertsOPP	3	3	1	14	.143	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	4
16Clara YuS	3	2	0	3	.667	8	2	1	7	0	0	0	0	4
13Charlotte GravleeOPP	2	0	1	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Josie ZynczakOH	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3
11Delaney SeamanS	3	0	0	2	.000	2	1	2	10	0	0	0	0	1
15Claire MoS	3	0	0	0	–	11	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
8Madison HsiehL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
14Avery JonesOPP	2	1	3	9	-.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
25Kylee EzeOPP	1	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
5Allie AbernathyMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
19Ava WangL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	14	104	.115	21	5	6	48	4	1	6	4	53

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 KENT · COLUMB 3

Set 1*

25-23

Longest run 5 KENTCOLUMB 3

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 7 KENTCOLUMB 2

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 4 KENTCOLUMB 3

Bars above the line = Columbia leads, below = Kent St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Kent St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	56%5/9
2	67%4/6	69%9/13
3	57%4/7	56%5/9
4	100%4/4	50%4/8
5	100%4/4	20%1/5
6	100%3/3	40%2/5
All	77%24/31	53%26/49

Columbia

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%4/5	0%0/4
2	27%4/15	43%3/7
3	57%4/7	50%4/8
4	50%4/8	0%0/4
5	80%4/5	0%0/4
6	33%3/9	0%0/4
All	47%23/49	23%7/31

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	KENT-COLUMB	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Hailey Brenner	+2.4
2	0-2	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Bad set	Adalynn Ginley		+2.4
3	0-3	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Lesley Furuta	+2.3
4	1-3	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Lesley Furuta	+1.8
5	1-4	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+2.0
6	2-4	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+1.9
7	2-5	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Delaney Seaman	+2.0
8	3-5	COLUMB	KENT×3	Serve err	COLUMB server		+1.9
9	4-5	KENT	KENT×3	Bad set	Clara Yu		+2.4
10	5-5	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Alexia Cornea		+2.6
11	5-6	KENT	COLUMB×3	Kill	Dahlia Roberts	set Claire Mo	+2.2
12	5-7	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Lesley Furuta	+2.7
13	5-8	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Nadia Miller	blk Alexia Cornea	+2.6
14	6-8	COLUMB	KENT×5	Serve err	COLUMB server		+2.0
15	7-8	KENT	KENT×5	Ace	KENT server	aced Team	+2.6
16	8-8	KENT	KENT×5	Ace	KENT server	aced Team	+2.8
17	9-8	KENT	KENT×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.8
18	10-8	KENT	KENT×5	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Catie Patterson	+2.8
19	10-9	KENT	COLUMB	Serve err	KENT server		+2.2
20	10-10	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Claire Mo	+2.9
21	11-10	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+2.5
22	12-10	KENT	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown		+3.0
23	12-11	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Claire Mo	+2.4
24	12-12	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Dahlia Roberts	set Clara Yu	+3.1
25	13-12	COLUMB	KENT	Attack err	Charlotte Gravlee	blk Vanessa Imoh, Adalynn Ginley	+2.7
26	13-13	KENT	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Christina Vigil		+2.7
27	13-14	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Bad set	Nadia Miller		+3.5
28	13-15	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+3.5
29	14-15	COLUMB	KENT	Attack err	Dahlia Roberts	blk Nadia Miller, Mercedez Brown	+2.7
30	15-15	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Alexia Cornea		+3.6
31	15-16	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+3.2
32	16-16	COLUMB	KENT	Serve err	COLUMB server		+3.1
33	16-17	KENT	COLUMB	Serve err	KENT server		+3.4
34	17-17	COLUMB	KENT×3	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+3.3
35	18-17	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+4.2
36	19-17	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Avery Jones	blk Christina Vigil	+4.1
37	19-18	KENT	COLUMB×3	Kill	Avery Jones	set Lesley Furuta	+3.1
38	19-19	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Serve err	COLUMB server		+4.5
39	19-20	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+5.1
40	20-20	COLUMB	KENT	Serve err	COLUMB server		+4.1
41	20-21	KENT	COLUMB	Serve err	KENT server		+4.7
42	21-21	COLUMB	KENT×3	Attack err	Team		+4.5
43	22-21	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Avery Jones	blk Mercedez Brown	+6.3
44	23-21	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+6.1
45	23-22	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Claire Mo	+3.8
46	23-23	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+7.3
47	24-23	COLUMB	KENT	Serve err	COLUMB server		+8.0
48	25-23	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Elena Maynulet		+9.4
Set 2
1	0-1	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+1.9
2	0-2	COLUMB	COLUMB	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Hailey Brenner	+2.3
3	1-2	COLUMB	KENT×3	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+1.8
4	2-2	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Hailey Brenner	+2.3
5	3-2	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Dahlia Roberts		+2.3
6	3-3	KENT	COLUMB	Attack err	Vanessa Imoh		+1.9
7	4-3	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Delaney Seaman	+1.9
8	4-4	KENT	COLUMB	Attack err	Mercedez Brown	blk Dahlia Roberts, Danica Nordlicht	+2.0
9	5-4	COLUMB	KENT	Serve err	COLUMB server		+2.0
10	5-5	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Claire Mo	+2.0
11	6-5	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Lesley Furuta	+2.0
12	6-6	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Danica Nordlicht	set Claire Mo	+2.1
13	7-6	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Christina Vigil		+2.1
14	8-6	KENT	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+2.5
15	8-7	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Claire Mo	+2.0
16	9-7	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+2.1
17	9-8	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Clara Yu		+2.1
18	9-9	COLUMB	COLUMB	Bad set	Jordyn Anderson		+2.7
19	10-9	COLUMB	KENT×7	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+2.3
20	11-9	KENT	KENT×7	Attack err	Alexia Cornea		+2.7
21	12-9	KENT	KENT×7	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Clara Yu	+2.6
22	13-9	KENT	KENT×7	Bad set	Dahlia Roberts		+2.3
23	14-9	KENT	KENT×7	Ace	KENT server	aced Elena Maynulet	+2.0
24	15-9	KENT	KENT×7	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.6
25	16-9	KENT	KENT×7	Attack err	Alexia Cornea		+1.2
26	16-10	KENT	COLUMB	Serve err	KENT server		+0.7
27	16-11	COLUMB	COLUMB	Attack err	Ashley Verhey		+1.2
28	17-11	COLUMB	KENT×3	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+1.3
29	18-11	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+1.1
30	19-11	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Nadia Miller	+0.7
31	19-12	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Dahlia Roberts	set Clara Yu	+0.3
32	20-12	COLUMB	KENT×4	Attack err	Nadia Miller		+0.5
33	21-12	KENT	KENT×4	Ace	KENT server	aced Elena Maynulet	+0.3
34	22-12	KENT	KENT×4	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
35	23-12	KENT	KENT×4	Attack err	Avery Jones	blk Macie Moreland, Nadia Miller	+0.0
36	23-13	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Danica Nordlicht	set Claire Mo	+0.0
37	24-13	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+0.0
38	24-14	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Josie Zynczak	set Claire Mo	+0.0
39	25-14	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Lesley Furuta	+1.2
2	2-0	KENT	KENT	Bad set	Clara Yu		+1.4
3	2-1	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Clara Yu		+1.1
4	2-2	COLUMB	COLUMB	Attack err	Mercedez Brown	blk Danica Nordlicht, Dahlia Roberts	+1.4
5	3-2	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+1.2
6	3-3	KENT	COLUMB	Attack err	Nadia Miller	blk Alexia Cornea, Danica Nordlicht	+1.2
7	3-4	COLUMB	COLUMB	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Lesley Furuta	+1.5
8	4-4	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+1.3
9	5-4	KENT	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+1.5
10	5-5	KENT	COLUMB	Attack err	Nadia Miller		+1.3
11	6-5	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Christina Vigil	set Catie Patterson	+1.3
12	6-6	KENT	COLUMB	Serve err	KENT server		+1.3
13	7-6	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+1.3
14	8-6	KENT	KENT	Bad set	Elena Maynulet		+1.6
15	8-7	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Josie Zynczak	set Claire Mo	+1.3
16	9-7	COLUMB	KENT×3	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+1.4
17	10-7	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Josie Zynczak		+1.6
18	11-7	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+1.4
19	11-8	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Claire Mo	+1.1
20	12-8	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+1.2
21	12-9	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Danica Nordlicht		+1.1
22	13-9	COLUMB	KENT×4	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Christina Vigil	+1.2
23	14-9	KENT	KENT×4	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+1.3
24	15-9	KENT	KENT×4	Attack err	Danica Nordlicht		+1.0
25	16-9	KENT	KENT×4	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	+0.8
26	16-10	KENT	COLUMB×3	Serve err	KENT server		+0.5
27	16-11	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Clara Yu	+0.8
28	16-12	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+1.0
29	17-12	COLUMB	KENT	Attack err	Jordyn Anderson		+1.1
30	17-13	KENT	COLUMB	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+0.8
31	18-13	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Lesley Furuta	+1.1
32	19-13	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Alexia Cornea		+0.9
33	19-14	KENT	COLUMB	Serve err	KENT server		+0.5
34	20-14	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Jordyn Anderson	+0.7
35	20-15	KENT	COLUMB	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+0.5
36	21-15	COLUMB	KENT×4	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Jordyn Anderson	+0.7
37	22-15	KENT	KENT×4	Kill	Mercedez Brown		+0.5
38	23-15	KENT	KENT×4	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Adalynn Ginley	+0.2
39	24-15	KENT	KENT×4	Bad set	Josie Zynczak		+0.1
40	24-16	KENT	COLUMB	Kill	Josie Zynczak	set Delaney Seaman	+0.0
41	25-16	COLUMB	KENT	Kill	Ashley Verhey	set Jordyn Anderson	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Kent St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.