FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayHORIZON

0:3

HomeCAA

Towson def. Robert Morris 3–0

(25-17, 25-22, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ROBMOR	17	22	17	0
TOWSON	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TOWSON above 50 · ROBMOR below

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Towson — set 2, ROBMOR 21-23 TOWSON. Kill by Destini Pickett (set by Kaitlyn Moran). TOWSON win probability 96% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ROBMOR 8.0%92.0% TOWSON

Robert Morris wins

3-0

1.0%

3-1

2.4%

3-2

4.6%

Towson wins

3-0

48.2%

3-1

31.2%

3-2

12.6%

ROBMOR break %: 35.9% vs this opp
TOWSON break %: 46.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Destini PickettKill+1.6%
Kill by Destini Pickett (set by Kaitlyn Moran)
Set 2 · ROBMOR 21-23 TOWSON · TOWSON 96% → 98%
02
Lauren DeckerKill+1.6%
Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · ROBMOR 20-20 TOWSON · ROBMOR 4% → 5%
03
Evi PriniotakiAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Evi Priniotaki
Set 1 · ROBMOR 10-9 TOWSON · ROBMOR 9% → 10%
04
Anna RiceAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Anna Rice
Set 1 · ROBMOR 12-12 TOWSON · ROBMOR 8% → 9%
05
ROBMOR serverService error+1.3%
Robert Morris service error
Set 2 · ROBMOR 21-22 TOWSON · TOWSON 95% → 96%
06
Anna RiceKill+1.3%
Kill by Anna Rice (set by Kaitlyn Moran)
Set 1 · ROBMOR 13-15 TOWSON · TOWSON 92% → 93%
07
Lauren DeckerAttack error+1.3%
Lauren Decker stuffed by Tshilanda Diouf & Anna Rice
Set 1 · ROBMOR 10-11 TOWSON · TOWSON 91% → 92%
08
Lauren DeckerKill+1.3%
Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · ROBMOR 14-12 TOWSON · ROBMOR 6% → 7%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Robert Morrisaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Lauren DeckerOH	3	11	5	27	.222	0	0	0	11	1	1	0.5	11.5
5Addyson ButtsMB	3	8	0	15	.533	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	9
15Keira HornungMB	3	3	3	15	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
1Kenlee BarnardS	3	3	1	6	.333	28	1	2	10	0	0	0	4
3Tia SchultzOH	3	3	0	18	.167	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Natalie StepanovichOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
9Layla ToddOH	3	6	9	26	-.115	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	6
10Anahi AlvaradoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	0
8Maddie SiphakongvisethL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
12Cat SmithL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	18	108	.148	33	3	6	40	5	4	2	56

Towsonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Taylor PaganOH	3	16	2	28	.500	0	0	1	3	2	1	0	1	17
10Anna RiceOH	3	11	3	27	.296	1	0	2	5	0	1	4	3	14
9Tshilanda DioufOPP	3	6	2	10	.400	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	8
6Malinah Purcell-TelefoniOPP	3	4	0	10	.400	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
22Kaitlyn MoranS	3	0	0	2	.000	25	2	0	10	0	0	0	0	2
14Evi PriniotakiOH	1	1	2	4	-.250	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
4Ava DryeOPP	3	1	1	9	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
12Kayla ZanonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
2Megan PlattL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
11Peyton MeyerS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
18Destini PickettOH	2	4	0	8	.500	0	2	0	7	0	0	0	0	6
8Addison LeberOH	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Natalia PebenitoL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Nola DuncanOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	11	102	.324	42	5	6	43	3	2	14	9	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 ROBMOR · TOWSON 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 ROBMORTOWSON 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 ROBMORTOWSON 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 ROBMORTOWSON 4

Bars above the line = Towson leads, below = Robert Morris leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Robert Morris

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	22%2/9
2	47%8/17	11%1/9
3	64%7/11	20%2/10
4	78%7/9	42%5/12
5	60%6/10	13%1/8
6	36%5/14	40%4/10
All	56%41/73	26%15/58

Towson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	65%11/17
2	89%8/9	27%3/11
3	62%8/13	56%10/18
4	88%7/8	30%3/10
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	60%6/10	14%1/7
All	74%43/58	44%32/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	ROBMOR-TOWSON	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Anna Rice		+1.0
2	1-1	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.7
3	2-1	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
4	2-2	ROBMOR	TOWSON×4	Kill	Evi Priniotaki	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.7
5	2-3	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.9
6	2-4	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kayla Zanon	+0.8
7	2-5	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.7
8	3-5	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.5
9	4-5	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Anna Rice		+0.9
10	4-6	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.6
11	5-6	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.6
12	5-7	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Attack err	Layla Todd	blk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Ava Drye	+0.6
13	6-7	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.7
14	6-8	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.6
15	6-9	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Lauren Decker	blk Tshilanda Diouf, Ava Drye	+0.8
16	7-9	TOWSON	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
17	8-9	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Evi Priniotaki	+1.0
18	9-9	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Attack err	Tshilanda Diouf		+1.2
19	10-9	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Attack err	Evi Priniotaki		+1.5
20	10-10	ROBMOR	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.9
21	10-11	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Lauren Decker	blk Tshilanda Diouf, Anna Rice	+1.3
22	10-12	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Keira Hornung		+1.1
23	11-12	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
24	12-12	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Anna Rice		+1.4
25	12-13	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.9
26	13-13	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+1.1
27	13-14	ROBMOR	TOWSON×5	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+1.0
28	13-15	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.3
29	13-16	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Attack err	Layla Todd		+1.0
30	13-17	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.8
31	13-18	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.5
32	14-18	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Attack err	Evi Priniotaki	blk Keira Hornung, Tia Schultz	+0.3
33	14-19	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.3
34	15-19	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.3
35	15-20	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Addison Leber	set Megan Platt	+0.3
36	16-20	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
37	16-21	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.3
38	17-21	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
39	17-22	ROBMOR	TOWSON×4	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.3
40	17-23	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Tshilanda Diouf	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
41	17-24	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Kenlee Barnard	blk Taylor Pagan	+0.1
42	17-25	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Anahi Alvarado	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Attack err	Taylor Pagan		+0.5
2	2-0	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Taylor Pagan	+0.8
3	2-1	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Tshilanda Diouf	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.5
4	3-1	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.6
5	3-2	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.5
6	4-2	TOWSON	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.6
7	5-2	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.9
8	6-2	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Attack err	Addison Leber		+1.0
9	7-2	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Taylor Pagan	+1.0
10	7-3	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.6
11	8-3	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.8
12	8-4	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+0.6
13	9-4	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
14	9-5	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.6
15	10-5	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.8
16	10-6	ROBMOR	TOWSON×3	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.6
17	10-7	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Team	+0.9
18	10-8	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Layla Todd	blk Anna Rice, Tshilanda Diouf	+1.0
19	11-8	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Kenlee Barnard	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.8
20	11-9	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.7
21	12-9	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.9
22	12-10	ROBMOR	TOWSON×3	Kill	Tshilanda Diouf	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.7
23	12-11	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Lauren Decker	blk Anna Rice, Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	+1.0
24	12-12	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Bad set	Lauren Decker		+1.0
25	13-12	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.8
26	14-12	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.3
27	14-13	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.8
28	15-13	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Attack err	Taylor Pagan		+1.0
29	15-14	ROBMOR	TOWSON×3	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Peyton Meyer	+0.8
30	15-15	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Bad set	Kenlee Barnard		+1.2
31	15-16	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Layla Todd		+1.1
32	16-16	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker		+0.8
33	16-17	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.8
34	17-17	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.9
35	17-18	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Tshilanda Diouf	set Peyton Meyer	+0.9
36	18-18	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
37	18-19	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.9
38	18-20	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.2
39	19-20	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
40	20-20	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.6
41	20-21	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Tshilanda Diouf	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.2
42	21-21	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Bad set	Kayla Zanon		+1.3
43	21-22	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+1.3
44	21-23	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.6
45	22-23	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.8
46	22-24	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Peyton Meyer	+1.2
47	22-25	TOWSON	TOWSON	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Lauren Decker	+0.8
Set 3
1	0-1	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
2	0-2	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
3	1-2	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
4	1-3	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
5	1-4	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
6	2-4	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Kenlee Barnard	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.2
7	2-5	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.1
8	3-5	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
9	4-5	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Bad set	Peyton Meyer		+0.3
10	4-6	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Ava Drye	set Megan Platt	+0.2
11	4-7	TOWSON	TOWSON	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Layla Todd	+0.2
12	5-7	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
13	6-7	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.3
14	6-8	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Attack err	Layla Todd	blk Ava Drye, Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	+0.2
15	7-8	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
16	7-9	ROBMOR	TOWSON×4	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.2
17	7-10	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Anna Rice	+0.3
18	7-11	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Tshilanda Diouf	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
19	7-12	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.2
20	8-12	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
21	8-13	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
22	9-13	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
23	9-14	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.1
24	10-14	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
25	10-15	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-Telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
26	10-16	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
27	11-16	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
28	11-17	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.1
29	12-17	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Attack err	Ava Drye	blk Lauren Decker, Keira Hornung	+0.1
30	12-18	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
31	13-18	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
32	14-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Tshilanda Diouf		+0.1
33	14-19	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Peyton Meyer	+0.1
34	14-20	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kayla Zanon	+0.1
35	15-20	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
36	15-21	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.1
37	15-22	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Layla Todd	blk Anna Rice, Tshilanda Diouf	+0.0
38	16-22	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Kenlee Barnard	set Anahi Alvarado	+0.0
39	16-23	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
40	17-23	TOWSON	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
41	17-24	ROBMOR	TOWSON	Attack err	Keira Hornung		+0.0
42	17-25	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Keira Hornung		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Robert Morris first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.