FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwaySUMMIT-LEAGUE

3:0

HomeNEC

North Dakota def. Chicago St. 3–0

(25-12, 25-20, 25-15)

Set	1*	2	3	Sets
NO DAK	25	25	25	3
CHI ST	12	20	15	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CHI ST above 50 · NO DAK below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to Chicago St. — set 2, NO DAK 8-8 CHI ST. Bad set by Reagan McIntosh. CHI ST win probability 0% → 0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NO DAK 99.5%0.5% CHI ST

North Dakota wins

3-0

80.3%

3-1

17.0%

3-2

2.3%

Chicago St. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.3%

NO DAK break %: 56.3% vs this opp
CHI ST break %: 36.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Reagan McIntoshBad set+0.1%
Bad set by Reagan McIntosh
Set 2 · NO DAK 8-8 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
02
CHI ST serverAce+0.1%
Chicago St. ace on Team
Set 1 · NO DAK 10-8 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
03
Ellee McIntoshBad set+0.1%
Bad set by Ellee McIntosh
Set 2 · NO DAK 0-2 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
04
Elena StefanovAttack error+0.1%
Elena Stefanov stuffed by Graci Littlejohn & Nina Mitchell
Set 2 · NO DAK 3-4 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
05
NO DAK serverService error+0.1%
North Dakota service error
Set 2 · NO DAK 4-5 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
06
CHI ST serverService error+0.1%
Chicago St. service error
Set 1 · NO DAK 11-8 CHI ST · NO DAK 100% → 100%
07
Ellee McIntoshKill+0.1%
Kill by Ellee McIntosh (set by Reagan McIntosh)
Set 2 · NO DAK 9-8 CHI ST · NO DAK 100% → 100%
08
An de HamerKill+0.1%
Kill by An de Hamer (set by Reagan McIntosh)
Set 1 · NO DAK 1-0 CHI ST · NO DAK 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

North Dakotaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Olivia EdlundOH	3	5	0	6	.833	2	0	2	0	0	2	3	3.5	8.5
9Reagan McIntoshS	3	0	0	3	.000	32	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
15Ellee McIntoshOH	2	5	0	7	.714	0	0	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
18Lilliana MontesMB	2	4	0	6	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
5Andrea ZaricOH	2	1	1	5	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
4An de HamerOPP	1	4	0	6	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
21Bilge BallaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	2
3Haley PattonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	4	1	0	0	0	2
1Skylar DarrL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	5	1	0	0	0	2
14Elena StefanovOPP	2	3	1	4	.500	0	3	2	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
8Lauren PeruginiOH	2	6	1	9	.556	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
11Marianna RiveraMB	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Sally MarongOH	1	4	1	7	.429	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5
6Autumn JordanOH	1	4	2	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
7Tessa JacobsonMB	1	3	2	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
22Ela VlaisavljevicS	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
17Mackenzie DufnerS	1	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Kenya PrescottL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	8	69	.478	39	12	11	25	6	2	8	6	75

Chicago St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Camryn McCollumOH	3	5	4	18	.056	0	3	2	2	4	0	0	8
11Nayella GeorgeOH	3	7	3	15	.267	0	0	0	5	2	0	0	7
9Nina MitchellOH	3	2	4	12	-.167	0	3	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
3Graci LittlejohnMB	3	3	3	10	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
8Kristine BakhadS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
4Jenesis PerrinMB	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Reece MazzierL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0
12Skye RileyOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
6Tenese ButtryDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Rayon ThigpenMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
10Eliza CovrigL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Hailee CollinsS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		17	14	59	.051	14	6	6	15	12	4	2	47

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 NO DAK · CHI ST 4

Set 1*

25-12

Longest run 6 NO DAKCHI ST 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 NO DAKCHI ST 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 4 NO DAKCHI ST 3

Bars above the line = Chicago St. leads, below = North Dakota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

North Dakota

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	33%2/6
2	80%4/5	56%5/9
3	67%4/6	43%3/7
4	67%4/6	64%7/11
5	80%4/5	33%2/6
6	50%3/6	70%7/10
All	67%24/36	53%26/49

Chicago St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	33%2/6
2	40%4/10	29%2/7
3	67%4/6	43%3/7
4	36%4/11	0%0/4
5	43%3/7	33%2/6
6	43%3/7	50%3/6
All	47%23/49	33%12/36

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

122 rallies

Rally log

#	NO DAK-CHI ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CHI ST	NO DAK×4	Kill	An de Hamer	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.1
2	2-0	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Bad set	Kristine Bakhad		+0.1
3	3-0	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Attack err	Nayella George		+0.0
4	4-0	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Attack err	Graci Littlejohn	blk An de Hamer, Olivia Edlund	+0.0
5	4-1	NO DAK	CHI ST	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.0
6	4-2	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
7	5-2	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
8	6-2	NO DAK	NO DAK	Kill	Lilliana Montes	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
9	6-3	NO DAK	CHI ST	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.0
10	7-3	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Andrea Zaric	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
11	7-4	NO DAK	CHI ST	Bad set	Andrea Zaric		+0.0
12	8-4	CHI ST	NO DAK×3	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Andrea Zaric	+0.0
13	9-4	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Kill	Lilliana Montes	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
14	10-4	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Nayella George	+0.0
15	10-5	NO DAK	CHI ST×4	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.0
16	10-6	CHI ST	CHI ST×4	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
17	10-7	CHI ST	CHI ST×4	Ace	CHI ST server	aced Team	+0.0
18	10-8	CHI ST	CHI ST×4	Ace	CHI ST server	aced Team	+0.1
19	11-8	CHI ST	NO DAK×3	Serve err	CHI ST server		+0.1
20	12-8	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Kill	Ellee McIntosh	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
21	13-8	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Attack err	Nayella George		+0.0
22	13-9	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
23	14-9	CHI ST	NO DAK×6	Bad set	Nayella George		+0.0
24	15-9	NO DAK	NO DAK×6	Kill	An de Hamer	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
25	16-9	NO DAK	NO DAK×6	Attack err	Camryn McCollum		+0.0
26	17-9	NO DAK	NO DAK×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
27	18-9	NO DAK	NO DAK×6	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Nayella George	+0.0
28	19-9	NO DAK	NO DAK×6	Kill	An de Hamer	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
29	19-10	NO DAK	CHI ST	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.0
30	20-10	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	An de Hamer	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
31	20-11	NO DAK	CHI ST	Attack err	Andrea Zaric		+0.0
32	21-11	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Marianna Rivera	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
33	22-11	NO DAK	NO DAK	Attack err	Camryn McCollum	blk Lilliana Montes, An de Hamer	+0.0
34	22-12	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Olivia Edlund	+0.0
35	23-12	CHI ST	NO DAK×3	Kill	Lilliana Montes	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
36	24-12	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Camryn McCollum	+0.0
37	25-12	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Camryn McCollum	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
2	0-2	CHI ST	CHI ST	Bad set	Ellee McIntosh		+0.1
3	1-2	CHI ST	NO DAK×3	Kill	Elena Stefanov	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
4	2-2	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Attack err	Nina Mitchell	blk Olivia Edlund, Elena Stefanov	+0.0
5	3-2	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
6	3-3	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
7	3-4	CHI ST	CHI ST	Attack err	Elena Stefanov	blk Graci Littlejohn, Nina Mitchell	+0.1
8	4-4	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Elena Stefanov	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
9	4-5	NO DAK	CHI ST	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.1
10	5-5	CHI ST	NO DAK×3	Kill	Lilliana Montes	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
11	6-5	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Attack err	Graci Littlejohn		+0.1
12	7-5	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Reece Mazzier	+0.0
13	7-6	NO DAK	CHI ST	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.0
14	8-6	CHI ST	NO DAK	Serve err	CHI ST server		+0.0
15	8-7	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
16	8-8	CHI ST	CHI ST	Bad set	Reagan McIntosh		+0.1
17	9-8	CHI ST	NO DAK×4	Kill	Ellee McIntosh	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.1
18	10-8	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Team	+0.1
19	11-8	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Kill	Ellee McIntosh	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
20	12-8	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Attack err	Nina Mitchell		+0.0
21	12-9	NO DAK	CHI ST	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.0
22	13-9	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Ellee McIntosh	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
23	14-9	NO DAK	NO DAK	Attack err	Camryn McCollum	blk Olivia Edlund	+0.0
24	14-10	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
25	15-10	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Ellee McIntosh	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
26	16-10	NO DAK	NO DAK	Kill	Lauren Perugini	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
27	16-11	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell		+0.0
28	17-11	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
29	17-12	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell		+0.0
30	18-12	CHI ST	NO DAK×4	Kill	Lauren Perugini	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
31	19-12	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Kill	Lauren Perugini	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
32	20-12	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Camryn McCollum	+0.0
33	21-12	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Team	+0.0
34	21-13	NO DAK	CHI ST×3	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.0
35	21-14	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Ace	CHI ST server	aced Haley Patton	+0.0
36	21-15	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Bad set	Ela Vlaisavljevic		+0.0
37	22-15	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Lauren Perugini	set Haley Patton	+0.0
38	22-16	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
39	23-16	CHI ST	NO DAK	Serve err	CHI ST server		+0.0
40	23-17	NO DAK	CHI ST	Bad set	Ellee McIntosh		+0.0
41	23-18	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
42	24-18	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Ela Vlaisavljevic	set Haley Patton	+0.0
43	24-19	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
44	24-20	CHI ST	CHI ST	Ace	CHI ST server	aced Team	+0.0
45	25-20	CHI ST	NO DAK	Serve err	CHI ST server		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Sally Marong	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
2	1-1	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
3	2-1	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Autumn Jordan	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
4	2-2	NO DAK	CHI ST	Attack err	Tessa Jacobson		+0.0
5	3-2	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Autumn Jordan	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
6	4-2	NO DAK	NO DAK	Attack err	Camryn McCollum		+0.0
7	4-3	NO DAK	CHI ST	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.0
8	5-3	CHI ST	NO DAK	Serve err	CHI ST server		+0.0
9	6-3	NO DAK	NO DAK	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Team	+0.0
10	6-4	NO DAK	CHI ST	Attack err	Sally Marong		+0.0
11	7-4	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Tessa Jacobson	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
12	8-4	NO DAK	NO DAK	Kill	Sally Marong	set Olivia Edlund	+0.0
13	8-5	NO DAK	CHI ST×3	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
14	8-6	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Ace	CHI ST server	aced Skylar Darr	+0.0
15	8-7	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Ace	CHI ST server	aced Bilge Balla	+0.0
16	9-7	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Sally Marong	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
17	10-7	NO DAK	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
18	10-8	NO DAK	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
19	10-9	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
20	11-9	CHI ST	NO DAK×3	Attack err	Graci Littlejohn		+0.0
21	12-9	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Camryn McCollum	+0.0
22	13-9	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Kill	Autumn Jordan	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
23	13-10	NO DAK	CHI ST	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.0
24	14-10	CHI ST	NO DAK×4	Kill	Lauren Perugini	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
25	15-10	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Kill	Autumn Jordan	set Olivia Edlund	+0.0
26	16-10	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Kill	Tessa Jacobson	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
27	17-10	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Kill	Tessa Jacobson	set Olivia Edlund	+0.0
28	17-11	NO DAK	CHI ST×3	Attack err	Lauren Perugini	blk Graci Littlejohn, Rayon Thigpen	+0.0
29	17-12	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Attack err	Autumn Jordan		+0.0
30	17-13	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Attack err	Autumn Jordan		+0.0
31	18-13	CHI ST	NO DAK	Kill	Lauren Perugini	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.0
32	19-13	NO DAK	NO DAK	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Team	+0.0
33	19-14	NO DAK	CHI ST	Serve err	NO DAK server		+0.0
34	20-14	CHI ST	NO DAK	Serve err	CHI ST server		+0.0
35	21-14	NO DAK	NO DAK	Kill	Sally Marong	set Mackenzie Dufner	+0.0
36	21-15	NO DAK	CHI ST	Attack err	Tessa Jacobson		+0.0
37	22-15	CHI ST	NO DAK×4	Kill	Elena Stefanov	set Mackenzie Dufner	+0.0
38	23-15	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Ace	NO DAK server	aced Team	+0.0
39	24-15	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Attack err	Nina Mitchell	blk Olivia Edlund	+0.0
40	25-15	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Attack err	Nayella George		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, North Dakota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.