FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayCAA

3:0

HomeMEAC

Hampton def. UMES 3–0

(25-17, 25-18, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
HAMPTN	25	25	25	3
UMES	17	18	22	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UMES above 50 · HAMPTN below

Biggest swing: 5.3% to Hampton — set 3, HAMPTN 24-22 UMES. Hampton ace on Arianna Warner Torres. UMES win probability 8% → 3%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

HAMPTN 46.8%53.2% UMES

Hampton wins

3-0

11.2%

3-1

17.4%

3-2

18.2%

UMES wins

3-0

13.9%

3-1

20.1%

3-2

19.2%

HAMPTN break %: 43.4% vs this opp
UMES break %: 44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
HAMPTN serverAce+5.3%
Hampton ace on Arianna Warner Torres
Set 3 · HAMPTN 24-22 UMES · HAMPTN 92% → 97%
02
Katerina PappaKill+4.3%
Kill by Katerina Pappa (set by Dila Derendeli)
Set 3 · HAMPTN 23-22 UMES · HAMPTN 87% → 92%
03
Malaysia ShawKill+4.0%
Kill by Malaysia Shaw (set by Kate - Linh Eden)
Set 3 · HAMPTN 21-21 UMES · UMES 9% → 13%
04
HAMPTN serverAce+3.6%
Hampton ace on Alivia Proctor
Set 3 · HAMPTN 21-19 UMES · HAMPTN 90% → 94%
05
Nikola JaroszewiczKill+3.6%
Kill by Nikola Jaroszewicz (set by Ana Luiza Matos)
Set 3 · HAMPTN 22-21 UMES · HAMPTN 87% → 91%
06
Jayda HutchinsKill+3.5%
Kill by Jayda Hutchins (set by Karielys Melendez)
Set 3 · HAMPTN 22-22 UMES · UMES 9% → 13%
07
Karielys MelendezAttack error+3.1%
Attack error by Karielys Melendez
Set 3 · HAMPTN 25-22 UMES · HAMPTN 97% → 100%
08
UMES serverAce+3.1%
UMES ace on Racquel Frazier
Set 3 · HAMPTN 18-18 UMES · UMES 10% → 13%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Hamptonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Nikola JaroszewiczOH	3	11	2	25	.360	1	3	2	6	0	1	1	1.5	15.5
11Racquel FrazierOH	3	9	2	25	.280	0	4	0	7	3	0	2	1	14
14Katerina PappaOH	3	12	4	23	.348	0	0	1	7	0	0	2	1	13
17Lillian CampbellMB	3	1	1	3	.000	1	1	2	3	0	1	2	2	4
5Janiah RobinsonMB	3	1	1	8	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
7Ana Luiza MatosS	3	1	0	2	.500	29	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
9Jaya RimmOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	0	1
18Dila DerendeliOH	1	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		35	10	86	.291	32	11	6	35	6	2	10	7	75

UMEShome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Jayda HutchinsS	3	7	4	21	.143	14	2	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
11Karielys MelendezOH	3	8	10	30	-.067	3	1	1	4	4	0	0	0	9
23Malaysia ShawMB	3	7	2	14	.357	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
30Dynasty AndrewsMB	3	3	2	7	.143	1	0	0	3	0	2	1	2.5	5.5
3Kate - Linh EdenOH	3	0	0	1	.000	12	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
10Lila BryantL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
9Rayah HowellMB	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
12Shayla HenryOH	3	2	3	14	-.071	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
1Arianna Warner TorresS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	0
5Alivia ProctorDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	0
15Jaelyn StewartDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
6Jaslyn DawkinsOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	23	101	.089	30	6	3	37	11	3	4	5	57

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 10 HAMPTN · UMES 5

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 7 HAMPTNUMES 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 10 HAMPTNUMES 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 HAMPTNUMES 3

Bars above the line = UMES leads, below = Hampton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Hampton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	40%4/10
2	58%7/12	53%8/15
3	83%5/6	62%8/13
4	42%5/12	72%13/18
5	56%5/9	29%2/7
6	50%4/8	64%7/11
All	57%33/58	57%42/74

UMES

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	38%3/8
2	46%6/13	30%3/10
3	26%5/19	40%4/10
4	56%5/9	50%5/10
5	63%5/8	44%4/9
6	40%4/10	55%6/11
All	43%32/74	43%25/58

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

132 rallies

Rally log

#	HAMPTN-UMES	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+1.9
2	0-2	UMES	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Kate - Linh Eden	+2.4
3	1-2	UMES	HAMPTN×3	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+1.8
4	2-2	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Attack err	Karielys Melendez	blk Nikola Jaroszewicz, Janiah Robinson	+2.5
5	3-2	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Team	+2.5
6	3-3	HAMPTN	UMES×3	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Kate - Linh Eden	+2.0
7	3-4	UMES	UMES×3	Ace	UMES server	aced Racquel Frazier	+2.6
8	3-5	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Ana Luiza Matos	+2.6
9	4-5	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.9
10	5-5	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Rayah Howell		+2.6
11	5-6	HAMPTN	UMES	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+2.1
12	6-6	UMES	HAMPTN	Attack err	Shayla Henry	blk Racquel Frazier, Lillian Campbell	+2.1
13	7-6	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Bad set	Jayda Hutchins		+2.8
14	7-7	HAMPTN	UMES	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+2.2
15	8-7	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+2.2
16	9-7	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Shayla Henry		+2.9
17	9-8	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Jayda Hutchins	+2.1
18	10-8	UMES	HAMPTN×7	Serve err	UMES server		+2.3
19	11-8	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×7	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+2.9
20	12-8	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×7	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+2.6
21	13-8	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×7	Bad set	Kate - Linh Eden		+2.3
22	14-8	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×7	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Alivia Proctor	+1.9
23	15-8	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×7	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.4
24	16-8	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×7	Kill	Racquel Frazier		+1.0
25	16-9	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.5
26	17-9	UMES	HAMPTN	Attack err	Karielys Melendez	blk Janiah Robinson, Racquel Frazier	+0.8
27	18-9	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Dynasty Andrews		+0.6
28	18-10	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.3
29	19-10	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.4
30	19-11	HAMPTN	UMES×3	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.2
31	19-12	UMES	UMES×3	Attack err	Katerina Pappa	blk Rayah Howell	+0.4
32	19-13	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.7
33	20-13	UMES	HAMPTN	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+0.8
34	20-14	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.5
35	21-14	UMES	HAMPTN×3	Serve err	UMES server		+0.7
36	22-14	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Kill	Ana Luiza Matos	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.5
37	23-14	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Attack err	Malaysia Shaw		+0.2
38	23-15	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.0
39	23-16	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Lillian Campbell	blk Dynasty Andrews	+0.1
40	24-16	UMES	HAMPTN	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+0.2
41	24-17	HAMPTN	UMES	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.0
42	25-17	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	UMES	HAMPTN×5	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+2.0
2	2-0	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×5	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Karielys Melendez	+2.5
3	3-0	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×5	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Team	+2.5
4	4-0	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×5	Attack err	Rayah Howell	blk Katerina Pappa, Janiah Robinson	+2.3
5	5-0	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×5	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Team	+2.2
6	5-1	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Jayda Hutchins	+1.5
7	5-2	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Katerina Pappa	blk Rayah Howell, Dynasty Andrews	+2.2
8	6-2	UMES	HAMPTN	Bad set	Jayda Hutchins		+1.9
9	6-3	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Jayda Hutchins	+1.7
10	7-3	UMES	HAMPTN×10	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+1.9
11	8-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×10	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+2.2
12	9-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×10	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.9
13	10-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×10	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.6
14	11-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×10	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Karielys Melendez	+1.3
15	12-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×10	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.0
16	13-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×10	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Karielys Melendez	+0.7
17	14-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×10	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.5
18	15-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×10	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Karielys Melendez	+0.3
19	16-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×10	Attack err	Shayla Henry	blk Katerina Pappa, Lillian Campbell	+0.2
20	16-4	HAMPTN	UMES×5	Attack err	Racquel Frazier	blk Dynasty Andrews	+0.1
21	16-5	UMES	UMES×5	Bad set	Racquel Frazier		+0.1
22	16-6	UMES	UMES×5	Ace	UMES server	aced Team	+0.2
23	16-7	UMES	UMES×5	Attack err	Katerina Pappa		+0.3
24	16-8	UMES	UMES×5	Attack err	Nikola Jaroszewicz		+0.5
25	17-8	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.5
26	17-9	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Dynasty Andrews	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.3
27	17-10	UMES	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Karielys Melendez	+0.6
28	18-10	UMES	HAMPTN	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+0.7
29	19-10	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+0.6
30	19-11	HAMPTN	UMES×4	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+0.2
31	19-12	UMES	UMES×4	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.5
32	19-13	UMES	UMES×4	Attack err	Janiah Robinson		+0.7
33	19-14	UMES	UMES×4	Ace	UMES server	aced Jaya Rimm	+1.1
34	20-14	UMES	HAMPTN	Serve err	UMES server		+1.3
35	20-15	HAMPTN	UMES×3	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.8
36	20-16	UMES	UMES×3	Ace	UMES server	aced Team	+1.5
37	20-17	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Jayda Hutchins	+2.3
38	21-17	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+2.5
39	21-18	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Jayda Hutchins	+1.6
40	22-18	UMES	HAMPTN×4	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+2.5
41	23-18	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×4	Attack err	Dynasty Andrews	blk Lillian Campbell	+1.9
42	24-18	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×4	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Jaelyn Stewart	+0.8
43	25-18	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×4	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Lillian Campbell	+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+1.3
2	1-1	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Nikola Jaroszewicz	+1.3
3	2-1	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.7
4	2-2	HAMPTN	UMES	Attack err	Katerina Pappa	blk Malaysia Shaw, Jayda Hutchins	+1.3
5	3-2	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Janiah Robinson	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.4
6	4-2	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Malaysia Shaw		+1.8
7	4-3	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+1.3
8	5-3	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.4
9	6-3	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Kill	Lillian Campbell		+1.8
10	6-4	HAMPTN	UMES×3	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+1.3
11	6-5	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Dynasty Andrews	set Jayda Hutchins	+1.8
12	6-6	UMES	UMES×3	Attack err	Nikola Jaroszewicz		+1.9
13	7-6	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.5
14	8-6	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+2.0
15	8-7	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Jayda Hutchins	+1.5
16	8-8	UMES	UMES	Serve err	UMES server		+2.0
17	9-8	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.6
18	9-9	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+1.6
19	9-10	UMES	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Dynasty Andrews	+2.1
20	10-10	UMES	HAMPTN×3	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.7
21	11-10	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins	blk Nikola Jaroszewicz	+2.2
22	12-10	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+2.2
23	12-11	HAMPTN	UMES	Attack err	Racquel Frazier		+1.6
24	13-11	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.8
25	14-11	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+2.2
26	14-12	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Kate - Linh Eden	+1.5
27	15-12	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.8
28	16-12	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+2.0
29	16-13	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Jayda Hutchins	+1.3
30	16-14	UMES	UMES	Bad set	Ana Luiza Matos		+2.0
31	17-14	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+1.9
32	17-15	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Karielys Melendez	+1.6
33	18-15	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Ana Luiza Matos	+2.0
34	18-16	HAMPTN	UMES×3	Kill	Dynasty Andrews	set Jayda Hutchins	+1.6
35	18-17	UMES	UMES×3	Ace	UMES server	aced Racquel Frazier	+2.6
36	18-18	UMES	UMES×3	Ace	UMES server	aced Racquel Frazier	+3.1
37	19-18	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+2.6
38	19-19	HAMPTN	UMES	Serve err	HAMPTN server		+2.6
39	20-19	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Racquel Frazier	set Ana Luiza Matos	+2.8
40	21-19	HAMPTN	HAMPTN	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Alivia Proctor	+3.6
41	21-20	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Kate - Linh Eden	+2.4
42	21-21	UMES	UMES	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Kate - Linh Eden	+4.0
43	22-21	UMES	HAMPTN	Kill	Nikola Jaroszewicz	set Ana Luiza Matos	+3.6
44	22-22	HAMPTN	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Karielys Melendez	+3.5
45	23-22	UMES	HAMPTN×3	Kill	Katerina Pappa	set Dila Derendeli	+4.3
46	24-22	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Ace	HAMPTN server	aced Arianna Warner Torres	+5.3
47	25-22	HAMPTN	HAMPTN×3	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+3.1

Score shown after each rally, Hampton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.