FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026

South Carolina St. def. UMES 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UMES 65.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Carolina St. beat visiting UMES 3-0 (25-17, 25-20, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. South Carolina St.'s Jessika Martinez led with 10 kills, and Ki'ra Wright added 9 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set123Sets
UMES1720160
SC ST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

South Carolina St. swept UMES, and no set was closer than 5 points.

The biggest single-rally swing was 3.0 points, and UMES's high was 67% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. UMES went in at 65% by RallyIQ.

UMESSouth Carolina St.
  • Break %+18.4 pts
    37.055.4

    On serve: 41/74 against 20/54 (UMES sideout 44.6%).

  • Hitting+.286
    -.012.274

    Kills and errors: 41–15 vs 20–21.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    Down 0–1 in the first set, South Carolina St. scored 5 straight to lead 5–1. The set finished 25–17.

South Carolina St. above 50UMES belowMax swing 3.0%

UMESSouth Carolina St.

Aces
UMES 6·South Carolina St. 6
Serve err
UMES 5·South Carolina St. 5
Blocks
UMES 4·South Carolina St. 74 BS · 0 BA vs 7 BS · 0 BA
Digs
UMES 28·South Carolina St. 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Carolina St. above 50 · UMES below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.0% SC STrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.0% to South Carolina St. — set 2, UMES 10-15 SC ST. South Carolina St. ace. SC ST win probability 70% → 73%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UMES 57.5%42.5% SC ST

UMES wins

3-0
15.9%
3-1
21.9%
3-2
19.7%

South Carolina St. wins

3-0
9.6%
3-1
15.6%
3-2
17.3%
UMES break %
44.8% vs this opp
SC ST break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    South Carolina St.Ace+3.0%

    South Carolina St. ace

    Set 2 · UMES 10-15 SC ST · SC ST 70% → 73%

  2. 02
    Malaysia ShawAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Malaysia Shaw

    Set 2 · UMES 2-6 SC ST · SC ST 64% → 67%

  3. 03
    Kenna HarrisKill+2.9%

    Kill by Kenna Harris (set by Arianna James)

    Set 2 · UMES 0-3 SC ST · SC ST 61% → 64%

  4. 04
    Kenna HarrisKill+2.8%

    Kill by Kenna Harris (set by Malaysia Shaw)

    Set 2 · UMES 0-2 SC ST · SC ST 58% → 61%

  5. 05
    Jaslyn DawkinsAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Jaslyn Dawkins

    Set 1 · UMES 7-10 SC ST · SC ST 41% → 43%

  6. 06
    Carra Pierre-LouisAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Carra Pierre-Louis

    Set 2 · UMES 10-13 SC ST · UMES 30% → 32%

  7. 07
    Jayda HutchinsAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Jayda Hutchins

    Set 2 · UMES 0-4 SC ST · SC ST 64% → 66%

  8. 08
    Hedia LewisKill+2.8%

    Kill by Hedia Lewis (set by Macey McCoy)

    Set 1 · UMES 6-8 SC ST · SC ST 38% → 40%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UMESaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37515.133000102029
34516-.063002320004
3114.000010002024
3001.0001020100002
31111.000000200001
3001.000000110000
33723-.174001000003
3001.0001301400003
2317.286100000003
2001.000601300000
2000–200200000
1114.000001000001
1000–000100000
Team totals202184-.012206528640453
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310123.3910002010111
38418.222000000008
34110.300100603037
34041.000000002026
3203.6671601200002
3000–010610001
37318.222100401018
36517.059000200006
3000–022340002
3012-.500211900001
3000–1701600000
1000–020200002
Team totals411595.274376542670775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UMES vs South Carolina St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UMES · SC ST 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 UMESSC ST 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 UMESSC ST 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 UMESSC ST 3

Bars above the line = South Carolina St. leads, below = UMES leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UMES

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
38%3/8
2
43%6/14
22%2/9
3
55%6/11
40%4/10
4
43%6/14
40%4/10
5
44%4/9
40%4/10
6
44%4/9
43%3/7
All
45%33/74
37%20/54

South Carolina St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
57%8/14
2
55%6/11
63%10/16
3
67%6/9
33%3/9
4
86%6/7
63%10/16
5
56%5/9
58%7/12
6
44%4/9
43%3/7
All
63%34/54
55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#UMES-SC STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SC STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+1.7
21-1UMESSC ST×5KillArianna Jamesset Jade Robinson+1.8
31-2SC STSC ST×5AceSouth Carolina St.aced Jayda Hutchins+2.4
41-3SC STSC ST×5KillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+2.4
51-4SC STSC ST×5AceSouth Carolina St.+2.4
61-5SC STSC ST×5KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James+2.4
72-5SC STUMESAttack errKenna Harris+1.7
82-6UMESSC STAttack errRayah Howell+1.9
93-6SC STUMES×4Bad setCarra Pierre-Louis+1.7
104-6UMESUMES×4Attack errKenna Harris+2.3
115-6UMESUMES×4Bad setCarra Pierre-Louis+2.5
126-6UMESUMES×4KillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+2.5
136-7UMESSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Ki'ra Wright+2.1
146-8SC STSC STKillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy+2.8
157-8SC STUMESServe errSouth Carolina St.+2.0
167-9UMESSC ST×3KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy+2.2
177-10SC STSC ST×3Attack errJaslyn Dawkins+2.8
187-11SC STSC ST×3KillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Macey McCoy+2.7
198-11SC STUMESBad setKi'ra Wright+1.8
208-12UMESSC ST×3KillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Macey McCoy+2.2
218-13SC STSC ST×3KillHedia Lewisset Ki'ra Wright+2.5
228-14SC STSC ST×3AceSouth Carolina St.aced Lila Bryant+2.1
239-14SC STUMES×3KillJayda Hutchinsset Jaslyn Dawkins+1.2
2410-14UMESUMES×3BlockedJade Robinsonblk Malaysia Shaw+2.0
2511-14UMESUMES×3AceUMESaced Jordan Dalland+2.4
2611-15UMESSC ST×3KillJade Robinsonset Macey McCoy+2.3
2711-16SC STSC ST×3KillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+2.5
2811-17SC STSC ST×3KillJessika Martinez+2.0
2912-17SC STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+1.1
3013-17UMESUMESAttack errKenna Harris+1.9
3113-18UMESSC STKillJade Robinsonset Arianna James+2.0
3213-19SC STSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+1.9
3314-19SC STUMESServe errSouth Carolina St.+0.9
3415-19UMESUMESBad setArianna James+1.7
3515-20UMESSC STAttack errRayah Howell+2.0
3616-20SC STUMESAttack errCarra Pierre-Louis+1.2
3716-21UMESSC ST×3Attack errRayah Howell+1.9
3816-22SC STSC ST×3Attack errRayah Howell+1.5
3916-23SC STSC ST×3BlockedRayah Howellblk Carra Pierre-Louis+0.7
4017-23SC STUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.2
4117-24UMESSC STServe errUMES+0.4
4217-25SC STSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy+0.1
Set 2
10-1UMESSC ST×4KillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+2.2
20-2SC STSC ST×4KillKenna Harrisset Malaysia Shaw+2.8
30-3SC STSC ST×4KillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+2.9
40-4SC STSC ST×4Attack errJayda Hutchins+2.8
51-4SC STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+1.9
62-4UMESUMESAttack errKenna Harris+2.7
72-5UMESSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+2.4
82-6SC STSC STAttack errMalaysia Shaw+2.9
93-6SC STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+2.0
103-7UMESSC ST×4Attack errJayda Hutchins+2.3
113-8SC STSC ST×4Attack errGabrielle McCoy+2.8
123-9SC STSC ST×4KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy+2.5
133-10SC STSC ST×4AceSouth Carolina St.+2.1
144-10SC STUMESAttack errKi'ra Wright+1.3
155-10UMESUMESKillRayah Howellset Karielys Melendez+2.0
165-11UMESSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy+2.0
175-12SC STSC STKillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy+2.1
186-12SC STUMESServe errSouth Carolina St.+1.2
196-13UMESSC STKillJade Robinsonset Macey McCoy+1.6
207-13SC STUMES×4KillJaslyn Dawkinsset Jocelyn Torres+1.2
218-13UMESUMES×4AceUMESaced Jayden Mathis+1.9
229-13UMESUMES×4Bad setArianna James+2.4
2310-13UMESUMES×4Attack errCarra Pierre-Louis+2.8
2410-14UMESSC ST×3KillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+2.7
2510-15SC STSC ST×3AceSouth Carolina St.+3.0
2610-16SC STSC ST×3Bad setJocelyn Torres+2.4
2711-16SC STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Jocelyn Torres+1.4
2812-16UMESUMESAceUMES+2.3
2912-17UMESSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+2.4
3012-18SC STSC STAttack errMalaysia Shaw+2.4
3113-18SC STUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+1.2
3213-19UMESSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James+1.8
3313-20SC STSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy+1.5
3414-20SC STUMESBad setHedia Lewis+0.6
3514-21UMESSC STKillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy+1.0
3614-22SC STSC STAceSouth Carolina St.aced Jayda Hutchins+0.7
3715-22SC STUMESBlockedHedia Lewisblk Kyra Bradford+0.2
3815-23UMESSC STServe errUMES+0.4
3915-24SC STSC STAttack errRayah Howell+0.1
4016-24SC STUMES×5KillJaslyn Dawkinsset Jocelyn Torres·
4117-24UMESUMES×5Attack errHedia Lewis·
4218-24UMESUMES×5Attack errHedia Lewis+0.1
4319-24UMESUMES×5KillJaslyn Dawkinsset Jocelyn Torres+0.2
4420-24UMESUMES×5Attack errHedia Lewis+0.5
4520-25UMESSC STKillJade Robinsonset Macey McCoy+0.9
Set 3
10-1SC STSC ST×3BlockedMalaysia Shawblk Jessika Martinez+2.1
20-2SC STSC ST×3BlockedJayda Hutchinsblk Jade Robinson+2.2
30-3SC STSC ST×3KillKenna Harrisset Arianna James+2.2
41-3SC STUMESServe errSouth Carolina St.+1.6
51-4UMESSC STServe errUMES+1.8
62-4SC STUMES×4Serve errSouth Carolina St.+1.6
73-4UMESUMES×4AceUMESaced Jayden Mathis+2.2
84-4UMESUMES×4AceUMESaced Jayden Mathis+2.2
95-4UMESUMES×4AceUMESaced Jayden Mathis+2.2
105-5UMESSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James+1.8
116-5SC STUMESKillGabrielle McCoyset Arianna Warner Torres+1.8
126-6UMESSC ST×3KillArianna Jamesset Carra Pierre-Louis+1.8
136-7SC STSC ST×3KillDe'Oni McPhearson+2.5
146-8SC STSC ST×3KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James+2.6
157-8SC STUMESBlockedHedia Lewisblk Kyra Bradford+1.9
167-9UMESSC STBlockedJayda Hutchinsblk De'Oni McPhearson+2.1
178-9SC STUMESKillKyra Bradfordset Jocelyn Torres+1.9
188-10UMESSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy+2.1
198-11SC STSC STKillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy+2.7
209-11SC STUMESBad setKi'ra Wright+1.9
219-12UMESSC STBlockedJayda Hutchinsblk Jade Robinson+2.2
2210-12SC STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+1.9
2310-13UMESSC STServe errUMES+2.3
2410-14SC STSC STAttack errMalaysia Shaw+2.7
2511-14SC STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+1.7
2611-15UMESSC STAttack errShayla Henry+2.1
2711-16SC STSC STBlockedKyra Bradfordblk De'Oni McPhearson+2.3
2812-16SC STUMESKillShayla Henryset Arianna Warner Torres+1.4
2912-17UMESSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Arianna James+1.9
3012-18SC STSC STBad setJayda Hutchins+1.8
3113-18SC STUMESAttack errCarra Pierre-Louis+0.9
3213-19UMESSC ST×3Serve errUMES+1.4
3313-20SC STSC ST×3Attack errRayah Howell+1.2
3413-21SC STSC ST×3KillJessika Martinez+0.7
3514-21SC STUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Jocelyn Torres+0.2
3614-22UMESSC STKillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy+0.4
3715-22SC STUMESBlockedJessika Martinezblk Malaysia Shaw+0.2
3815-23UMESSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy+0.3
3915-24SC STSC STBlockedMalaysia Shawblk Jade Robinson+0.1
4016-24SC STUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres·
4116-25UMESSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James·

Score shown after each rally, UMES first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).