FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayBIG-SKY

3:0

HomeNEC

Eastern Wash. def. Chicago St. 3–0

(25-9, 25-17, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
E WASH	25	25	25	3
CHI ST	9	17	16	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CHI ST above 50 · E WASH below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to Chicago St. — set 2, E WASH 9-11 CHI ST. Aspyn Reed stuffed by Nayella George & Graci Littlejohn & Kristine Bakhad. CHI ST win probability 0% → 0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E WASH 99.7%0.3% CHI ST

Eastern Wash. wins

3-0

82.9%

3-1

15.1%

3-2

1.7%

Chicago St. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.2%

E WASH break %: 56.6% vs this opp
CHI ST break %: 35.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Aspyn ReedAttack error+0.1%
Aspyn Reed stuffed by Nayella George & Graci Littlejohn & Kristine Bakhad
Set 2 · E WASH 9-11 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
02
Aspyn ReedAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Aspyn Reed
Set 2 · E WASH 12-13 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
03
Graci LittlejohnKill+0.1%
Kill by Graci Littlejohn (set by Kristine Bakhad)
Set 2 · E WASH 13-14 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
04
CHI ST serverAce+0.1%
Chicago St. ace on Kalista Lukovich
Set 2 · E WASH 1-5 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
05
E WASH serverService error+0.1%
Eastern Wash. service error
Set 2 · E WASH 15-15 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
06
CHI ST serverAce+0.1%
Chicago St. ace on Aspyn Reed
Set 2 · E WASH 6-8 CHI ST · CHI ST 0% → 0%
07
Kalista LukovichKill+0.1%
Kill by Kalista Lukovich (set by Elle Bruegman)
Set 2 · E WASH 15-14 CHI ST · E WASH 100% → 100%
08
Sidney GrayKill+0.1%
Kill by Sidney Gray (set by Jailyn Davenport)
Set 2 · E WASH 14-14 CHI ST · E WASH 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Eastern Wash.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Kalista LukovichOH	3	17	2	30	.500	1	3	1	6	2	0	0	20
18Aspyn ReedOH	3	4	2	18	.111	0	6	2	2	1	1	0.5	10.5
11Judith BolomboyMB	3	7	1	8	.750	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	8
6Jailyn DavenportS	3	4	1	6	.500	26	0	1	9	0	1	0.5	4.5
4Reese BetschartOH	3	0	1	3	-.333	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	1
8Sidney GrayMB	2	3	3	6	.000	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	4
12Bria CarlisleMB	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Elle BruegmanDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	4	0	0	9	0	0	0	1
2Jade LivingstonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Ziah SnevaMB	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2
5Cassandra MoellerOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
17Erin McInnesOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
3Carlyn Rapozo-KamokuOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Stephanie GroswirtS	1	0	0	1	.000	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	11	87	.345	34	10	6	35	4	8	4	75

Chicago St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Graci LittlejohnMB	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	8
2Camryn McCollumOH	3	5	5	21	.000	1	0	0	4	3	1	0	1	6
9Nina MitchellOH	3	3	6	14	-.214	0	2	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
11Nayella GeorgeOH	3	2	5	18	-.167	1	1	0	8	4	0	1	0.5	3.5
8Kristine BakhadS	3	1	0	5	.200	17	0	0	5	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
1Rayon ThigpenMB	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Reece MazzierL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	0	1
12Skye RileyOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1
6Tenese ButtryDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
4Jenesis PerrinMB	2	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
10Eliza CovrigL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		20	21	83	-.012	19	4	1	33	10	2	7	5.5	42

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 12 E WASH · CHI ST 5

Set 1

25-9

Longest run 12 E WASHCHI ST 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 7 E WASHCHI ST 5

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 E WASHCHI ST 2

Bars above the line = Chicago St. leads, below = Eastern Wash. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Eastern Wash.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%5/6	86%24/28
2	50%5/10	38%3/8
3	71%5/7	44%4/9
4	63%5/8	62%8/13
5	83%5/6	50%5/10
6	67%4/6	33%2/6
All	67%29/43	62%46/74

Chicago St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	19%5/27	29%2/7
2	45%5/11	44%4/9
3	38%5/13	17%1/6
4	71%5/7	38%3/8
5	44%4/9	29%2/7
6	57%4/7	33%2/6
All	38%28/74	33%14/43

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

117 rallies

Rally log

#	E WASH-CHI ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	E WASH	E WASH×5	Ace	E WASH server	aced Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
2	2-0	E WASH	E WASH×5	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
3	3-0	E WASH	E WASH×5	Attack err	Rayon Thigpen		+0.0
4	4-0	E WASH	E WASH×5	Ace	E WASH server	aced Nayella George	+0.0
5	5-0	E WASH	E WASH×5	Kill	Jailyn Davenport		+0.0
6	5-1	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Camryn McCollum	+0.0
7	6-1	CHI ST	E WASH×4	Kill	Judith Bolomboy	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
8	7-1	E WASH	E WASH×4	Attack err	Nina Mitchell		+0.0
9	8-1	E WASH	E WASH×4	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
10	9-1	E WASH	E WASH×4	Attack err	Camryn McCollum		+0.0
11	9-2	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Rayon Thigpen	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
12	9-3	CHI ST	CHI ST	Attack err	Reese Betschart	blk Camryn McCollum	+0.0
13	10-3	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Jailyn Davenport	set Reese Betschart	+0.0
14	10-4	E WASH	CHI ST×3	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
15	10-5	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Ace	CHI ST server	aced Team	+0.0
16	10-6	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Ace	CHI ST server	aced Kalista Lukovich	+0.0
17	11-6	CHI ST	E WASH	Attack err	Graci Littlejohn		+0.0
18	11-7	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
19	12-7	CHI ST	E WASH	Attack err	Graci Littlejohn		+0.0
20	12-8	E WASH	CHI ST	Attack err	Judith Bolomboy		+0.0
21	13-8	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
22	13-9	E WASH	CHI ST	Bad set	Jailyn Davenport		+0.0
23	14-9	CHI ST	E WASH×12	Kill	Elle Bruegman		+0.0
24	15-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Attack err	Nayella George		+0.0
25	16-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Elle Bruegman	+0.0
26	17-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Kill	Judith Bolomboy	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
27	18-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Attack err	Nina Mitchell	blk Jailyn Davenport, Judith Bolomboy	+0.0
28	19-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
29	20-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Ace	E WASH server	aced Nayella George	+0.0
30	21-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Ace	E WASH server	aced Skye Riley	+0.0
31	22-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Attack err	Nina Mitchell		+0.0
32	23-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Kill	Kalista Lukovich		+0.0
33	24-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Attack err	Nina Mitchell		+0.0
34	25-9	E WASH	E WASH×12	Ace	E WASH server	aced Camryn McCollum	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Judith Bolomboy	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
2	1-1	E WASH	CHI ST×5	Attack err	Kalista Lukovich	blk Jenesis Perrin, Graci Littlejohn	+0.0
3	1-2	CHI ST	CHI ST×5	Attack err	Sidney Gray	blk Graci Littlejohn	+0.0
4	1-3	CHI ST	CHI ST×5	Attack err	Sidney Gray		+0.1
5	1-4	CHI ST	CHI ST×5	Attack err	Kalista Lukovich		+0.1
6	1-5	CHI ST	CHI ST×5	Ace	CHI ST server	aced Kalista Lukovich	+0.1
7	2-5	CHI ST	E WASH×3	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.1
8	3-5	E WASH	E WASH×3	Bad set	Nayella George		+0.1
9	4-5	E WASH	E WASH×3	Kill	Bria Carlisle	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.1
10	4-6	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.1
11	5-6	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Elle Bruegman	+0.0
12	6-6	E WASH	E WASH	Attack err	Camryn McCollum	blk Sidney Gray, Bria Carlisle	+0.0
13	6-7	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
14	6-8	CHI ST	CHI ST	Ace	CHI ST server	aced Aspyn Reed	+0.1
15	7-8	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.1
16	7-9	E WASH	CHI ST	Attack err	Jailyn Davenport		+0.1
17	8-9	CHI ST	E WASH	Attack err	Nayella George		+0.1
18	9-9	E WASH	E WASH	Ace	E WASH server	aced Nayella George	+0.1
19	9-10	E WASH	CHI ST	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.1
20	9-11	CHI ST	CHI ST	Attack err	Aspyn Reed	blk Nayella George, Graci Littlejohn, Kristine Bakhad	+0.1
21	10-11	CHI ST	E WASH×3	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.1
22	11-11	E WASH	E WASH×3	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.1
23	12-11	E WASH	E WASH×3	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.1
24	12-12	E WASH	CHI ST	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.1
25	12-13	CHI ST	CHI ST	Attack err	Aspyn Reed		+0.1
26	13-13	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Elle Bruegman	+0.1
27	13-14	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.1
28	14-14	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Sidney Gray	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.1
29	15-14	E WASH	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Elle Bruegman	+0.1
30	15-15	E WASH	CHI ST	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.1
31	16-15	CHI ST	E WASH×7	Attack err	Camryn McCollum		+0.1
32	17-15	E WASH	E WASH×7	Kill	Sidney Gray	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.1
33	18-15	E WASH	E WASH×7	Attack err	Nina Mitchell	blk Aspyn Reed, Sidney Gray	+0.0
34	19-15	E WASH	E WASH×7	Ace	E WASH server	aced Nayella George	+0.0
35	20-15	E WASH	E WASH×7	Ace	E WASH server	aced Camryn McCollum	+0.0
36	21-15	E WASH	E WASH×7	Attack err	Camryn McCollum		+0.0
37	22-15	E WASH	E WASH×7	Ace	E WASH server	aced Camryn McCollum	+0.0
38	22-16	E WASH	CHI ST	Attack err	Sidney Gray	blk Jenesis Perrin, Nina Mitchell	+0.0
39	23-16	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Bria Carlisle	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
40	24-16	E WASH	E WASH	Attack err	Camryn McCollum		+0.0
41	24-17	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Reece Mazzier		+0.0
42	25-17	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Sidney Gray	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	E WASH	E WASH	Kill	Judith Bolomboy	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
2	1-1	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
3	2-1	CHI ST	E WASH	Attack err	Graci Littlejohn		+0.0
4	2-2	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
5	3-2	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Ziah Sneva	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
6	4-2	E WASH	E WASH	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
7	4-3	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Jenesis Perrin	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
8	5-3	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Ziah Sneva	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
9	6-3	E WASH	E WASH	Attack err	Camryn McCollum		+0.0
10	6-4	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
11	6-5	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
12	7-5	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
13	8-5	E WASH	E WASH	Attack err	Nina Mitchell		+0.0
14	8-6	E WASH	CHI ST	Attack err	Bria Carlisle		+0.0
15	8-7	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
16	9-7	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Judith Bolomboy	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
17	9-8	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Kristine Bakhad	set Nayella George	+0.0
18	10-8	CHI ST	E WASH×6	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
19	11-8	E WASH	E WASH×6	Kill	Jailyn Davenport	set Reece Mazzier	+0.0
20	12-8	E WASH	E WASH×6	Ace	E WASH server	aced Team	+0.0
21	13-8	E WASH	E WASH×6	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
22	14-8	E WASH	E WASH×6	Kill	Judith Bolomboy	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
23	15-8	E WASH	E WASH×6	Kill	Judith Bolomboy		+0.0
24	15-9	E WASH	CHI ST	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.0
25	16-9	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
26	16-10	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
27	17-10	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Jailyn Davenport	set Kalista Lukovich	+0.0
28	17-11	E WASH	CHI ST	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.0
29	18-11	CHI ST	E WASH	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Stephanie Groswirt	+0.0
30	18-12	E WASH	CHI ST	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.0
31	18-13	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
32	19-13	CHI ST	E WASH×4	Attack err	Nayella George		+0.0
33	20-13	E WASH	E WASH×4	Attack err	Nayella George		+0.0
34	21-13	E WASH	E WASH×4	Attack err	Nayella George	blk Judith Bolomboy, Erin McInnes	+0.0
35	22-13	E WASH	E WASH×4	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Stephanie Groswirt	+0.0
36	22-14	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
37	23-14	CHI ST	E WASH	Serve err	CHI ST server		+0.0
38	24-14	E WASH	E WASH	Kill	Cassandra Moeller		+0.0
39	24-15	E WASH	CHI ST	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
40	24-16	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Kristine Bakhad	+0.0
41	25-16	CHI ST	E WASH	Attack err	Jenesis Perrin		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Wash. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.