FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayACC

3:0

HomeAMERICA-EAST

Syracuse def. UAlbany 3–0

(25-20, 25-15, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
SYR	25	25	25	3
ALBANY	20	15	20	0

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ALBANY above 50 · SYR below

Biggest swing: 2.9% to UAlbany — set 1, SYR 8-10 ALBANY. UAlbany ace on Kiernan Stamey. ALBANY win probability 32% → 35%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SYR 71.4%28.6% ALBANY

Syracuse wins

3-0

24.2%

3-1

27.4%

3-2

19.8%

UAlbany wins

3-0

5.3%

3-1

10.0%

3-2

13.3%

SYR break %: 43.8% vs this opp
ALBANY break %: 39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
ALBANY serverAce+2.9%
UAlbany ace on Kiernan Stamey
Set 1 · SYR 8-10 ALBANY · ALBANY 32% → 35%
02
Kiernan StameyKill+2.9%
Kill by Kiernan Stamey (set by Charis Burge)
Set 1 · SYR 11-11 ALBANY · SYR 67% → 70%
03
Campbell RobinsonAttack error+2.9%
Attack error by Campbell Robinson
Set 1 · SYR 12-11 ALBANY · SYR 70% → 73%
04
Bo NijenhuisKill+2.8%
Kill by Bo Nijenhuis
Set 1 · SYR 14-12 ALBANY · SYR 73% → 75%
05
Abby NicholsonAttack error+2.8%
Attack error by Abby Nicholson
Set 1 · SYR 8-9 ALBANY · ALBANY 29% → 32%
06
Keila GabrielKill+2.6%
Kill by Keila Gabriel (set by Yuka Urano)
Set 1 · SYR 16-13 ALBANY · SYR 76% → 78%
07
Bella RodriguezAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Bella Rodriguez
Set 1 · SYR 8-8 ALBANY · ALBANY 27% → 29%
08
Abby NicholsonKill+2.5%
Kill by Abby Nicholson (set by Kasia Barletta)
Set 2 · SYR 12-12 ALBANY · SYR 80% → 83%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Syracuseaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Kiernan StameyOH	3	13	5	31	.258	1	1	0	5	2	0	4	2	16
23Abby NicholsonMB	3	11	1	17	.588	0	0	1	1	0	1	6	4	15
12Keila GabrielOPP	3	8	0	16	.500	1	1	0	6	0	0	2	1	10
1Charis BurgeS	3	2	0	7	.286	25	0	0	7	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
10Bo NijenhuisMB	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
6Marie LaurioOH	3	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	0
21Bella RodriguezOH	3	6	3	17	.176	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	0	6
18Yuka UranoL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	2	2	3	8	0	0	0	0	2
22Mira LedermuellerS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
19Emma WilliamsOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	11	102	.304	30	5	6	46	5	1	18	10	75

UAlbanyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Campbell RobinsonMB	3	7	2	13	.385	0	1	3	1	0	1	0	1	9
13Pinar ErolOH	3	7	4	21	.143	0	1	2	10	1	0	0	0	8
15Sabrina KinkaidOH	3	6	3	15	.200	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
1Mina BenucciMB	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
10Lily LottOH	3	4	6	30	-.067	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
7Madison HessS	2	0	0	6	.000	13	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
9Kasia BarlettaL/DS	3	0	0	7	.000	1	2	1	8	1	0	0	0	2
21Madison KyleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	2	1	0	0	0	1
5Kiki ProvatasL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
4Addy BianchiniS	2	1	0	7	.143	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
16McKenna CollinsOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
18Sophie BurkeyOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	18	116	.103	23	5	8	37	5	2	2	3	55

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 SYR · ALBANY 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 3 SYRALBANY 4

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 6 SYRALBANY 3

Set 3*

25-20

Longest run 7 SYRALBANY 4

Bars above the line = UAlbany leads, below = Syracuse leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Syracuse

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%5/5	20%1/5
2	67%4/6	50%4/8
3	67%4/6	56%5/9
4	80%4/5	64%7/11
5	67%4/6	43%3/7
6	38%3/8	67%6/9
All	67%24/36	53%26/49

UAlbany

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%4/8	20%1/5
2	67%4/6	20%1/5
3	33%4/12	20%1/5
4	40%4/10	43%3/7
5	80%4/5	33%2/6
6	38%3/8	50%4/8
All	47%23/49	33%12/36

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

130 rallies

Rally log

#	SYR-ALBANY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Keila Gabriel	+1.5
2	1-1	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Sabrina Kinkaid	set Madison Hess	+1.5
3	1-2	ALBANY	ALBANY	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Marie Laurio	+2.3
4	2-2	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.6
5	2-3	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+1.7
6	3-3	ALBANY	SYR×3	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.6
7	4-3	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Lily Lott	blk Bo Nijenhuis, Keila Gabriel	+2.2
8	5-3	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Sabrina Kinkaid		+2.1
9	5-4	SYR	ALBANY	Attack err	Marie Laurio		+1.5
10	6-4	ALBANY	SYR	Attack err	Lily Lott		+1.5
11	7-4	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Lily Lott		+2.0
12	7-5	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Madison Hess	+1.3
13	7-6	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Kiki Provatas	+2.2
14	8-6	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+1.6
15	8-7	SYR	ALBANY×4	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+1.6
16	8-8	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Attack err	Bella Rodriguez		+2.5
17	8-9	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+2.8
18	8-10	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Kiernan Stamey	+2.9
19	9-10	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Charis Burge		+1.9
20	9-11	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Madison Hess	+2.2
21	10-11	ALBANY	SYR×3	Attack err	Sabrina Kinkaid	blk Kiernan Stamey, Abby Nicholson	+2.0
22	11-11	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+2.9
23	12-11	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Campbell Robinson		+2.9
24	12-12	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Sabrina Kinkaid	set Madison Hess	+2.1
25	13-12	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+2.1
26	14-12	SYR	SYR	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis		+2.8
27	14-13	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Pinar Erol	+1.9
28	15-13	ALBANY	SYR×3	Serve err	ALBANY server		+2.1
29	16-13	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Yuka Urano	+2.6
30	17-13	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Pinar Erol		+2.1
31	17-14	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Madison Hess	+1.2
32	17-15	ALBANY	ALBANY	Bad set	Charis Burge		+2.3
33	18-15	ALBANY	SYR×3	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Yuka Urano	+2.0
34	19-15	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Lily Lott		+2.2
35	20-15	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	SYR server	aced Kasia Barletta	+1.5
36	20-16	SYR	ALBANY	Serve err	SYR server		+0.7
37	20-17	ALBANY	ALBANY	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Team	+1.5
38	21-17	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+1.5
39	22-17	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Pinar Erol	blk Abby Nicholson, Charis Burge	+1.3
40	22-18	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Madison Hess	+0.5
41	22-19	ALBANY	ALBANY	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Bella Rodriguez	+1.2
42	23-19	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Charis Burge	+1.4
43	23-20	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Madison Hess	+0.7
44	24-20	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+1.3
45	25-20	SYR	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.5
Set 2
1	1-0	SYR	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Kiernan Stamey	+1.7
2	1-1	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Madison Hess	+1.3
3	2-1	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Kiernan Stamey	+1.2
4	2-2	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Madison Hess	+1.3
5	2-3	ALBANY	ALBANY	Ace	ALBANY server	aced Kiernan Stamey	+1.9
6	3-3	ALBANY	SYR	Serve err	ALBANY server		+1.3
7	4-3	SYR	SYR	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Charis Burge	+1.8
8	4-4	SYR	ALBANY×3	Kill	Sabrina Kinkaid	set Kiki Provatas	+1.3
9	4-5	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Attack err	Bella Rodriguez		+2.0
10	4-6	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Kill	Lily Lott	set Kasia Barletta	+2.1
11	5-6	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Abby Nicholson	+1.4
12	5-7	SYR	ALBANY	Serve err	SYR server		+1.6
13	6-7	ALBANY	SYR	Serve err	ALBANY server		+1.4
14	6-8	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Pinar Erol	+1.6
15	7-8	ALBANY	SYR	Serve err	ALBANY server		+1.5
16	7-9	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Madison Hess	+1.7
17	7-10	ALBANY	ALBANY	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+2.3
18	8-10	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+1.4
19	8-11	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Sabrina Kinkaid	set Charis Burge	+1.7
20	9-11	ALBANY	SYR	Bad set	Lily Lott		+1.5
21	10-11	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Lily Lott		+2.3
22	10-12	SYR	ALBANY	Serve err	SYR server		+1.8
23	11-12	ALBANY	SYR×4	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+1.7
24	12-12	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Kasia Barletta	+2.5
25	13-12	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Charis Burge	+2.4
26	14-12	SYR	SYR×4	Ace	SYR server	aced Team	+2.3
27	14-13	SYR	ALBANY	Attack err	Bella Rodriguez		+1.6
28	15-13	ALBANY	SYR×4	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Charis Burge	+1.7
29	16-13	SYR	SYR×4	Attack err	Mina Benucci	blk Kiernan Stamey, Abby Nicholson	+2.1
30	17-13	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.7
31	18-13	SYR	SYR×4	Attack err	Pinar Erol	blk Abby Nicholson, Charis Burge	+1.2
32	18-14	SYR	ALBANY	Serve err	SYR server		+0.6
33	19-14	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.9
34	19-15	SYR	ALBANY	Serve err	SYR server		+0.6
35	20-15	ALBANY	SYR×6	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.8
36	21-15	SYR	SYR×6	Attack err	Campbell Robinson	blk Kiernan Stamey, Bo Nijenhuis	+0.7
37	22-15	SYR	SYR×6	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis	set Mira Ledermueller	+0.3
38	23-15	SYR	SYR×6	Kill	Kiernan Stamey		+0.1
39	24-15	SYR	SYR×6	Ace	SYR server	aced Madison Kyle	+0.0
40	25-15	SYR	SYR×6	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Mira Ledermueller	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.7
2	1-1	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Lily Lott	set Addy Bianchini	+0.7
3	2-1	ALBANY	SYR	Attack err	Sophie Burkey	blk Abby Nicholson, Kiernan Stamey	+0.7
4	2-2	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Addy Bianchini	+0.7
5	2-3	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Addy Bianchini	+1.1
6	3-3	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.7
7	4-3	SYR	SYR	Kill	Charis Burge	set Addy Bianchini	+1.0
8	4-4	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Campbell Robinson	set Addy Bianchini	+0.8
9	5-4	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.7
10	5-5	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Addy Bianchini	+0.8
11	6-5	ALBANY	SYR	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.8
12	7-5	SYR	SYR	Bad set	Sabrina Kinkaid		+1.0
13	7-6	SYR	ALBANY	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+0.7
14	7-7	ALBANY	ALBANY	Attack err	Bo Nijenhuis	blk Mina Benucci	+1.1
15	8-7	ALBANY	SYR	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.8
16	8-8	SYR	ALBANY	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+0.9
17	9-8	ALBANY	SYR×7	Attack err	Lily Lott	blk Keila Gabriel	+0.8
18	10-8	SYR	SYR×7	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Keila Gabriel	+1.1
19	11-8	SYR	SYR×7	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Yuka Urano	+1.0
20	12-8	SYR	SYR×7	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Yuka Urano	+0.9
21	13-8	SYR	SYR×7	Ace	SYR server	aced McKenna Collins	+0.7
22	14-8	SYR	SYR×7	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+0.5
23	15-8	SYR	SYR×7	Attack err	McKenna Collins	blk Abby Nicholson	+0.4
24	15-9	SYR	ALBANY×4	Serve err	SYR server		+0.2
25	15-10	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Addy Bianchini	+0.4
26	15-11	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Kill	Addy Bianchini		+0.6
27	15-12	ALBANY	ALBANY×4	Bad set	Charis Burge		+0.8
28	16-12	ALBANY	SYR×3	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+0.7
29	17-12	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Addy Bianchini	+0.7
30	18-12	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.5
31	18-13	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Pinar Erol	+0.2
32	18-14	ALBANY	ALBANY	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+0.5
33	19-14	ALBANY	SYR×3	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.5
34	20-14	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Pinar Erol	blk Abby Nicholson, Charis Burge	+0.4
35	21-14	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	SYR server	aced Pinar Erol	+0.2
36	21-15	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Addy Bianchini	+0.1
37	22-15	ALBANY	SYR	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Charis Burge	+0.1
38	23-15	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Sabrina Kinkaid		+0.1
39	23-16	SYR	ALBANY×3	Kill	Pinar Erol	set Addy Bianchini	+0.0
40	23-17	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Bad set	Kiernan Stamey		+0.0
41	23-18	ALBANY	ALBANY×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
42	24-18	ALBANY	SYR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
43	24-19	SYR	ALBANY	Kill	Sabrina Kinkaid	set Addy Bianchini	+0.0
44	24-20	ALBANY	ALBANY	Kill	Mina Benucci	set Pinar Erol	+0.1
45	25-20	ALBANY	SYR	Serve err	ALBANY server		+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Syracuse first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.