FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026 · Neutral site

Southern Ill. def. Texas Southern 3–0

Southern Ill. beat Texas Southern 3-0 (25-21, 25-14, 25-21) on Sun, Aug 30, 2026 at a neutral site. Southern Ill.'s Natalie Vance and Ella Swansiger led with 9 kills each.

Data through · final Aug 30

Set123Sets
SIU2525253
TX SOU2114210

Win probability

Texas Southern above 50 · Southern Ill. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.9% SIUrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.9% to Southern Ill. — set 1, SIU 20-19 TX SOU. Southern Ill. ace on Lauren Battle. TX SOU win probability 16% → 13%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIU 86.5%13.5% TX SOU

Southern Ill. wins

3-0
39.1%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.9%

Texas Southern wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.3%
SIU break %
49.0% vs this opp
TX SOU break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Southern Ill.Ace+2.9%

    Southern Ill. ace on Lauren Battle

    Set 1 · SIU 20-19 TX SOU · SIU 84% → 87%

  2. 02
    Chloe AndersonBlock+2.6%

    Morgynne McQueen stuffed by Chloe Anderson

    Set 1 · SIU 21-19 TX SOU · SIU 87% → 89%

  3. 03

    Kill by Aliyah Spencer (set by Ava Ray)

    Set 1 · SIU 18-19 TX SOU · TX SOU 16% → 18%

  4. 04
    Ava HoustonAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Ava Houston

    Set 1 · SIU 17-17 TX SOU · SIU 82% → 84%

  5. 05
    Selana MoralesAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Selana Morales

    Set 1 · SIU 16-17 TX SOU · SIU 79% → 82%

  6. 06
    Southern Ill.Service error+2.3%

    Southern Ill. service error

    Set 1 · SIU 17-18 TX SOU · TX SOU 16% → 18%

  7. 07
    Ava HoustonAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Ava Houston

    Set 1 · SIU 19-19 TX SOU · SIU 82% → 84%

  8. 08

    Kill by McKenzie Moeller (set by Ella McFarland)

    Set 1 · SIU 22-20 TX SOU · SIU 87% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39522.18200010031.510.5
35212.25001220153.59.5
36319.158110700218
33212.08300000010.53.5
3013-.333120520002
3102.5001412600002
39116.500000000009
3000–231710003
3001.000110600001
3000–1311300001
23317.00000010010.53.5
1001.000000200000
Team totals3617105.18132106403112775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36622.000310140007
36422.09100041010.56.5
3419.333011200216
32021.00011001110002
22211.00000030111.53.5
2035-.600001001011
35316.125000100005
3102.500910500002
31011.000000200001
3000–3021130000
1213.333000100002
1149-.333000100001
Team totals3024102.0592634421024456

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SIU · TX SOU 3

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 SIUTX SOU 3

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 6 SIUTX SOU 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 SIUTX SOU 3

Bars above the line = Texas Southern leads, below = Southern Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
42%5/12
2
88%7/8
36%4/11
3
78%7/9
65%13/20
4
54%7/13
50%7/14
5
71%5/7
38%3/8
6
63%5/8
44%4/9
All
68%39/57
49%36/74

Texas Southern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
40%4/10
2
44%7/16
27%3/11
3
50%7/14
30%3/10
4
43%6/14
22%2/9
5
56%5/9
40%4/10
6
83%5/6
29%2/7
All
51%38/74
32%18/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#SIU-TX SOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SIUTX SOU×3Serve errSouthern Ill.+1.1
20-2TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errNatalie Vance+1.5
30-3TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLauren Battleset Lauanna Pino Watanabe+1.6
41-3TX SOUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Aliyah Spencer+1.2
51-4SIUTX SOUAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.4
62-4TX SOUSIUServe errTexas Southern+1.2
73-4SIUSIUAttack errMorgynne McQueen+1.5
83-5SIUTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Lauanna Pino Watanabe+1.4
94-5TX SOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.2
105-5SIUSIUAttack errKeldri Young+1.5
115-6SIUTX SOU×3KillLauren Battleset Kaiulani Sherrow+1.3
125-7TX SOUTX SOU×3KillKeldri Youngset Chloe Anderson+1.8
135-8TX SOUTX SOU×3AceTexas Southernaced Carlota Mora+1.9
146-8TX SOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.3
156-9SIUTX SOUBlockedChloe Andersonblk Morgynne McQueen+1.6
167-9TX SOUSIUServe errTexas Southern+1.4
177-10SIUTX SOUAttack errElla Swansiger+1.7
188-10TX SOUSIUAttack errSelana Morales+1.4
198-11SIUTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Ava Ray+1.7
208-12TX SOUTX SOUAttack errNatalie Vance+2.1
219-12TX SOUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+1.4
229-13SIUTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Ava Ray+1.8
2310-13TX SOUSIUServe errTexas Southern+1.4
2410-14SIUTX SOUAttack errNatalie Vance+1.9
2511-14TX SOUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+1.4
2611-15SIUTX SOUServe errSouthern Ill.+1.9
2712-15TX SOUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+1.5
2812-16SIUTX SOUAttack errCarlota Mora+2.0
2913-16TX SOUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+1.5
3013-17SIUTX SOUServe errSouthern Ill.+2.0
3114-17TX SOUSIU×4KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+1.5
3215-17SIUSIU×4Attack errSelana Morales+2.2
3316-17SIUSIU×4Attack errSelana Morales+2.4
3417-17SIUSIU×4Attack errAva Houston+2.5
3517-18SIUTX SOUServe errSouthern Ill.+2.3
3618-18TX SOUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ava Houston+2.1
3718-19SIUTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Ava Ray+2.5
3819-19TX SOUSIU×3Attack errAva Houston+2.3
3920-19SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Lauren Battle+2.9
4021-19SIUSIU×3BlockedMorgynne McQueenblk Chloe Anderson+2.6
4121-20SIUTX SOUServe errSouthern Ill.+1.9
4222-20TX SOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+2.3
4323-20SIUSIUAttack errLauren Battle+2.1
4423-21SIUTX SOUKillKaiulani Sherrowset Lauren Battle+1.1
4524-21TX SOUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+1.7
4625-21SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+0.8
Set 2
11-0TX SOUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+0.7
21-1SIUTX SOUKillSelana Moralesset Lauanna Pino Watanabe+0.7
32-1TX SOUSIU×6BlockedLauren Battleblk Beatriz Piaia, Natalie Vance+0.7
43-1SIUSIU×6Attack errGracie Lee+0.8
54-1SIUSIU×6Attack errLauren Battle+0.7
65-1SIUSIU×6AceSouthern Ill.aced Lauren Battle+0.6
76-1SIUSIU×6KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+0.5
87-1SIUSIU×6BlockedAliyah Spencerblk McKenzie Moeller, Chloe Anderson+0.4
97-2SIUTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Ava Ray+0.3
107-3TX SOUTX SOUAceTexas Southernaced Carlota Mora+0.5
118-3TX SOUSIUServe errTexas Southern+0.4
128-4SIUTX SOU×3KillLacey Kusnierset Ava Ray+0.4
138-5TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLauren Battleset Kaiulani Sherrow+0.6
148-6TX SOUTX SOU×3AceTexas Southernaced Jillian Shaneyfelt+0.8
159-6TX SOUSIUAttack errMorgynne McQueen+0.6
169-7SIUTX SOUKillKeldri Youngset Kaiulani Sherrow+0.6
1710-7TX SOUSIU×4BlockedKeldri Youngblk Alexandria Arrington, Chloe Anderson+0.7
1811-7SIUSIU×4AceSouthern Ill.+0.7
1912-7SIUSIU×4Attack errKeldri Young+0.6
2013-7SIUSIU×4KillAlexandria Arringtonset Lillian Dempkey+0.4
2113-8SIUTX SOUServe errSouthern Ill.+0.3
2214-8TX SOUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+0.3
2314-9SIUTX SOUKillSelana Moralesset Kaiulani Sherrow+0.3
2414-10TX SOUTX SOUBlockedNatalie Vanceblk Selana Morales, Aliyah Spencer+0.5
2515-10TX SOUSIU×3Bad setAva Ray+0.5
2616-10SIUSIU×3Attack errGracie Lee+0.4
2717-10SIUSIU×3KillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+0.3
2817-11SIUTX SOUKillSelana Moralesset Ava Ray+0.2
2918-11TX SOUSIU×3Attack errGracie Lee+0.2
3019-11SIUSIU×3BlockedLauren Battleblk Natalie Vance, Chloe Anderson+0.2
3120-11SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Lauanna Pino Watanabe+0.1
3220-12SIUTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Ava Ray·
3320-13TX SOUTX SOUAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+0.1
3421-13TX SOUSIUKillElla McFarlandset Carlota Mora+0.1
3522-13SIUSIUBlockedGracie Leeblk McKenzie Moeller, Chloe Anderson·
3622-14SIUTX SOUKillAva Rayset Lauren Battle·
3723-14TX SOUSIU×3Attack errLauren Battle·
3824-14SIUSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey·
3925-14SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Lauren Battle·
Set 3
10-1SIUTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Ava Ray+0.4
21-1TX SOUSIU×3KillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+0.4
32-1SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Lauanna Pino Watanabe+0.4
43-1SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Ava Ray+0.4
53-2SIUTX SOUAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+0.3
64-2TX SOUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+0.3
74-3SIUTX SOUAttack errNatalie Vance+0.3
85-3TX SOUSIU×4KillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.3
96-3SIUSIU×4KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+0.4
107-3SIUSIU×4AceSouthern Ill.aced Lauanna Pino Watanabe+0.3
118-3SIUSIU×4KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+0.2
128-4SIUTX SOUKillAaliyah Brownset Kaiulani Sherrow+0.2
139-4TX SOUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+0.2
149-5SIUTX SOUKillKeldri Youngset Kaiulani Sherrow+0.2
1510-5TX SOUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+0.2
1611-5SIUSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Lillian Dempkey+0.2
1711-6SIUTX SOUAttack errChloe Anderson+0.1
1811-7TX SOUTX SOUKillSelana Moralesset Ava Ray+0.2
1912-7TX SOUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+0.2
2012-8SIUTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Lauanna Pino Watanabe+0.2
2113-8TX SOUSIUAttack errSelana Morales+0.2
2213-9SIUTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Ava Ray+0.2
2313-10TX SOUTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Ava Ray+0.3
2414-10TX SOUSIU×4KillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+0.3
2515-10SIUSIU×4BlockedLauren Battleblk Chloe Anderson, Natalie Vance+0.3
2616-10SIUSIU×4KillNatalie Vanceset Isabella Del Real+0.2
2717-10SIUSIU×4AceSouthern Ill.aced Lauren Battle+0.1
2817-11SIUTX SOUKillAva Rayset Lauren Battle+0.1
2918-11TX SOUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+0.1
3019-11SIUSIUAttack errAaliyah Brown+0.1
3119-12SIUTX SOU×3KillAaliyah Brownset Kaiulani Sherrow·
3219-13TX SOUTX SOU×3KillSelana Morales+0.1
3319-14TX SOUTX SOU×3KillKeldri Youngset Kaiulani Sherrow+0.1
3420-14TX SOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.1
3520-15SIUTX SOU×3Attack errAlexandria Arrington+0.1
3620-16TX SOUTX SOU×3KillKeldri Youngset Kaiulani Sherrow+0.2
3720-17TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errAlexandria Arrington+0.3
3821-17TX SOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.3
3921-18SIUTX SOU×3KillSelana Moralesset Kaiulani Sherrow+0.2
4021-19TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errBeatriz Piaia+0.5
4121-20TX SOUTX SOU×3BlockedAlexandria Arringtonblk Ava Houston, Aliyah Spencer+0.8
4222-20TX SOUSIU×3KillAlexandria Arringtonset McKenzie Moeller+0.8
4323-20SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Selana Morales+0.7
4424-20SIUSIU×3KillNatalie Vanceset Isabella Del Real+0.4
4524-21SIUTX SOUBlockedBeatriz Piaiablk Ava Houston+0.1
4625-21TX SOUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Southern Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).