FinalTue, Sep 8, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

HomeSOUTHLAND

UTRGV def. Texas Southern 3–0

(25-18, 28-26, 25-18)

Set	1*	2	3	Sets
TX SOU	18	26	18	0
UTRGV	25	28	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UTRGV above 50 · TX SOU below

Biggest swing: 1.8% to Texas Southern — set 2, TX SOU 24-23 UTRGV. Kill by Lacey Kusnier (set by Ava Ray). UTRGV win probability 98% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TX SOU 2.7%97.3% UTRGV

Texas Southern wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.7%

3-2

1.7%

UTRGV wins

3-0

63.5%

3-1

26.8%

3-2

7.0%

TX SOU break %: 36.8% vs this opp
UTRGV break %: 51.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lacey KusnierKill+1.8%
Kill by Lacey Kusnier (set by Ava Ray)
Set 2 · TX SOU 24-23 UTRGV · TX SOU 2% → 4%
02
Lauren BattleKill+1.8%
Kill by Lauren Battle (set by Lauanna Pino)
Set 2 · TX SOU 26-25 UTRGV · TX SOU 2% → 4%
03
TX SOU serverService error+1.5%
Texas Southern service error
Set 2 · TX SOU 24-24 UTRGV · UTRGV 96% → 97%
04
Ema PetkovicKill+1.5%
Kill by Ema Petkovic (set by Lana Rnjak)
Set 2 · TX SOU 26-26 UTRGV · UTRGV 96% → 97%
05
Morgynne McQueenAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Morgynne McQueen
Set 2 · TX SOU 24-25 UTRGV · UTRGV 97% → 99%
06
UTRGV serverAce+1.4%
UTRGV ace on Lauren Battle
Set 2 · TX SOU 26-27 UTRGV · UTRGV 97% → 99%
07
Ava RayKill+1.1%
Kill by Ava Ray (set by Ava Houston)
Set 2 · TX SOU 23-23 UTRGV · TX SOU 1% → 2%
08
Lacey KusnierKill+1.1%
Kill by Lacey Kusnier (set by Lauanna Pino)
Set 2 · TX SOU 25-25 UTRGV · TX SOU 1% → 2%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Texas Southernaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Lacey KusnierOH	3	9	4	27	.185	0	0	0	3	2	0	2	1	10
7Morgynne McQueenMB	3	4	3	16	.063	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	7
14Lauren BattleOH	3	5	2	19	.158	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	6
6Ava HoustonMB	3	4	3	15	.067	1	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
11Ava RayS	3	1	0	2	.500	13	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
20Aaliyah BrownMB	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
3Gracie LeeOH	3	2	1	11	.091	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
17Lauanna PinoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	2	7	2	0	0	0	0
16Kadence DavisonS	3	0	0	0	–	7	0	2	7	0	0	0	0	0
1Keagan St. JuniousL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
21Aliyah Spencer	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
12Keldri YoungOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	15	97	.124	25	1	6	31	10	3	8	7	62

UTRGVhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Ema PetkovicOH	3	17	2	34	.441	0	2	4	13	0	0	1	0.5	19.5
1Martina FrancoOH	3	10	5	19	.263	1	3	0	5	0	0	0	0	13
22Julianna BryantMB	3	9	4	20	.250	1	1	4	0	0	1	3	2.5	12.5
10Lana RnjakS	3	1	2	4	-.250	37	1	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Aaliyah SneadMB	3	2	4	8	-.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
21Carmina TijerinaDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
5Celianiz CabranesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
8Dunja StankovicDS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
25Soukeyna DioufOH	2	1	5	16	-.250	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Jasmyn WalkerMB	1	7	0	8	.875	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	8
6Agata MakowskaS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	22	109	.229	44	10	10	45	1	2	6	5	78

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 TX SOU · UTRGV 6

Set 1*

18-25

Longest run 3 TX SOUUTRGV 4

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 5 TX SOUUTRGV 6

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 TX SOUUTRGV 3

Bars above the line = UTRGV leads, below = Texas Southern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Texas Southern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%5/13	29%2/7
2	44%4/9	50%5/10
3	67%4/6	33%2/6
4	67%4/6	0%0/4
5	57%4/7	64%7/11
6	36%4/11	43%3/7
All	48%25/52	42%19/45

UTRGV

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	71%10/14
2	63%5/8	55%6/11
3	67%4/6	33%2/6
4	67%4/6	43%3/7
5	36%4/11	43%3/7
6	80%4/5	43%3/7
All	58%26/45	52%27/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

140 rallies

Rally log

#	TX SOU-UTRGV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.3
2	1-1	UTRGV	TX SOU	Attack err	Ema Petkovic	blk Lacey Kusnier, Morgynne McQueen	+0.3
3	1-2	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
4	2-2	UTRGV	TX SOU×3	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Ava Ray	+0.3
5	3-2	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
6	4-2	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+0.6
7	4-3	TX SOU	UTRGV×4	Serve err	TX SOU server		+0.4
8	4-4	UTRGV	UTRGV×4	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Lacey Kusnier	+0.4
9	4-5	UTRGV	UTRGV×4	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.4
10	4-6	UTRGV	UTRGV×4	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
11	5-6	UTRGV	TX SOU	Attack err	Lauren Battle		+0.3
12	5-7	TX SOU	UTRGV×3	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
13	5-8	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Attack err	Lauren Battle	blk Julianna Bryant, Soukeyna Diouf	+0.3
14	5-9	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Team	+0.2
15	6-9	UTRGV	TX SOU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.2
16	6-10	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.2
17	6-11	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Keldri Young		+0.2
18	7-11	UTRGV	TX SOU	Attack err	Julianna Bryant		+0.1
19	7-12	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
20	7-13	UTRGV	UTRGV	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Team	+0.1
21	8-13	UTRGV	TX SOU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.1
22	9-13	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Aaliyah Snead		+0.2
23	9-14	TX SOU	UTRGV×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
24	9-15	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Attack err	Ava Houston		+0.1
25	9-16	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.1
26	10-16	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Ava Ray	+0.1
27	10-17	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
28	10-18	UTRGV	UTRGV	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Team	+0.0
29	11-18	UTRGV	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Lauanna Pino	+0.0
30	12-18	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Aaliyah Snead		+0.1
31	13-18	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf		+0.1
32	13-19	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
33	14-19	UTRGV	TX SOU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.1
34	14-20	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
35	15-20	UTRGV	TX SOU	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf		+0.1
36	15-21	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
37	15-22	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
38	16-22	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
39	17-22	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Lana Rnjak	blk Morgynne McQueen	+0.1
40	17-23	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
41	18-23	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
42	18-24	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
43	18-25	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Dunja Stankovic	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	TX SOU	UTRGV	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.2
2	0-2	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant		+0.2
3	1-2	UTRGV	TX SOU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.2
4	1-3	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
5	2-3	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Ava Ray	+0.2
6	3-3	TX SOU	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Lauanna Pino	+0.2
7	3-4	TX SOU	UTRGV	Attack err	Ava Houston		+0.2
8	3-5	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.2
9	4-5	UTRGV	TX SOU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.2
10	4-6	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Aaliyah Snead	set Lana Rnjak	+0.2
11	5-6	UTRGV	TX SOU×5	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.2
12	6-6	TX SOU	TX SOU×5	Attack err	Aaliyah Snead	blk Lacey Kusnier, Aaliyah Brown	+0.3
13	7-6	TX SOU	TX SOU×5	Attack err	Martina Franco		+0.3
14	8-6	TX SOU	TX SOU×5	Ace	TX SOU server	aced Team	+0.4
15	9-6	TX SOU	TX SOU×5	Attack err	Lana Rnjak		+0.5
16	9-7	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
17	9-8	UTRGV	UTRGV	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Lauren Battle	+0.4
18	10-8	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Kadence Davison	+0.4
19	11-8	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf		+0.5
20	11-9	TX SOU	UTRGV×6	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
21	11-10	UTRGV	UTRGV×6	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Lauanna Pino	+0.4
22	11-11	UTRGV	UTRGV×6	Attack err	Morgynne McQueen	blk Julianna Bryant	+0.4
23	11-12	UTRGV	UTRGV×6	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.4
24	11-13	UTRGV	UTRGV×6	Attack err	Gracie Lee		+0.3
25	11-14	UTRGV	UTRGV×6	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.2
26	12-14	UTRGV	TX SOU	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf	blk Gracie Lee, Morgynne McQueen	+0.2
27	12-15	TX SOU	UTRGV	Serve err	TX SOU server		+0.2
28	12-16	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.2
29	13-16	UTRGV	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Julianna Bryant	blk Morgynne McQueen	+0.1
30	14-16	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Ava Ray	+0.3
31	15-16	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf		+0.4
32	15-17	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Julianna Bryant	+0.3
33	16-17	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Ava Ray	+0.3
34	17-17	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Martina Franco	blk Aaliyah Brown, Ava Houston	+0.5
35	17-18	TX SOU	UTRGV	Attack err	Lauren Battle	blk Julianna Bryant, Ema Petkovic	+0.4
36	17-19	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Aaliyah Brown		+0.5
37	18-19	UTRGV	TX SOU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.4
38	18-20	TX SOU	UTRGV	Serve err	TX SOU server		+0.4
39	18-21	UTRGV	UTRGV	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Lauanna Pino	+0.4
40	19-21	UTRGV	TX SOU	Attack err	Aaliyah Snead		+0.2
41	20-21	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Martina Franco		+0.5
42	20-22	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Lana Rnjak	set Martina Franco	+0.5
43	21-22	UTRGV	TX SOU	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf		+0.4
44	21-23	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
45	22-23	UTRGV	TX SOU×3	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Kadence Davison	+0.4
46	23-23	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Ava Ray	set Ava Houston	+1.1
47	24-23	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Ava Ray	+1.8
48	24-24	TX SOU	UTRGV	Serve err	TX SOU server		+1.5
49	24-25	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Morgynne McQueen		+1.4
50	25-25	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Lauanna Pino	+1.1
51	26-25	TX SOU	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Lauanna Pino	+1.8
52	26-26	TX SOU	UTRGV×3	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+1.5
53	26-27	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Lauren Battle	+1.4
54	26-28	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+1.0
Set 3
1	0-1	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Jasmyn Walker	set Dunja Stankovic	+0.1
2	0-2	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Lacey Kusnier	+0.1
3	0-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Attack err	Morgynne McQueen	blk Jasmyn Walker	+0.1
4	1-3	UTRGV	TX SOU×3	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+0.1
5	2-3	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Ava Ray	+0.1
6	3-3	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Morgynne McQueen		+0.1
7	3-4	TX SOU	UTRGV×3	Kill	Jasmyn Walker	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
8	3-5	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Martina Franco		+0.1
9	3-6	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Martina Franco	set Dunja Stankovic	+0.1
10	4-6	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+0.1
11	4-7	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
12	5-7	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Aliyah Spencer	set Ava Ray	+0.1
13	5-8	TX SOU	UTRGV	Serve err	TX SOU server		+0.1
14	5-9	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
15	6-9	UTRGV	TX SOU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.0
16	7-9	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Ema Petkovic		+0.1
17	7-10	TX SOU	UTRGV×3	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
18	7-11	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Jasmyn Walker	set Dunja Stankovic	+0.1
19	7-12	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Keagan St. Junious	+0.0
20	8-12	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
21	8-13	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
22	9-13	UTRGV	TX SOU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.0
23	9-14	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Aaliyah Snead	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
24	10-14	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Ava Ray	+0.0
25	10-15	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Jasmyn Walker	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
26	10-16	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Dunja Stankovic	+0.0
27	11-16	UTRGV	TX SOU	Attack err	Martina Franco		+0.0
28	11-17	TX SOU	UTRGV	Serve err	TX SOU server		+0.0
29	12-17	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Aliyah Spencer	set Ava Ray	+0.0
30	12-18	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
31	13-18	UTRGV	TX SOU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.0
32	14-18	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Martina Franco	blk Gracie Lee	+0.0
33	14-19	TX SOU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
34	15-19	UTRGV	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
35	16-19	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Julianna Bryant		+0.1
36	17-19	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Julianna Bryant		+0.1
37	17-20	TX SOU	UTRGV×3	Kill	Jasmyn Walker	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
38	17-21	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
39	17-22	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Jasmyn Walker	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
40	18-22	UTRGV	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
41	18-23	TX SOU	UTRGV×3	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
42	18-24	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Jasmyn Walker	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
43	18-25	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Attack err	Ava Houston		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Texas Southern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.