FinalTue, Sep 8, 2026

UTRGV def. Texas Southern 3–0

UTRGV beat visiting Texas Southern 3-0 (25-18, 28-26, 25-18) on Tue, Sep 8, 2026. UTRGV's Ema Petkovic led with 17 kills.

Data through · final Sep 8

Set123Sets
TX SOU1826180
UTRGV2528253

Win probability

UTRGV above 50 · Texas Southern below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.0% TX SOUrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Texas Southern — set 2, TX SOU 24-23 UTRGV. Kill by Lacey Kusnier (set by Ava Ray). UTRGV win probability 97% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TX SOU 3.2%96.8% UTRGV

Texas Southern wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.9%
3-2
2.0%

UTRGV wins

3-0
61.4%
3-1
27.6%
3-2
7.7%
TX SOU break %
36.5% vs this opp
UTRGV break %
50.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lacey KusnierKill+2.0%

    Kill by Lacey Kusnier (set by Ava Ray)

    Set 2 · TX SOU 24-23 UTRGV · TX SOU 3% → 5%

  2. 02
    Lauren BattleKill+2.0%

    Kill by Lauren Battle (set by Lauanna Pino)

    Set 2 · TX SOU 26-25 UTRGV · TX SOU 3% → 5%

  3. 03
    Texas SouthernService error+1.6%

    Texas Southern service error

    Set 2 · TX SOU 24-24 UTRGV · UTRGV 95% → 97%

  4. 04
    Ema PetkovicKill+1.6%

    Kill by Ema Petkovic (set by Lana Rnjak)

    Set 2 · TX SOU 26-26 UTRGV · UTRGV 95% → 97%

  5. 05
    Morgynne McQueenAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Morgynne McQueen

    Set 2 · TX SOU 24-25 UTRGV · UTRGV 97% → 98%

  6. 06
    UTRGVAce+1.6%

    UTRGV ace on Lauren Battle

    Set 2 · TX SOU 26-27 UTRGV · UTRGV 97% → 98%

  7. 07
    Ava RayKill+1.2%

    Kill by Ava Ray (set by Ava Houston)

    Set 2 · TX SOU 23-23 UTRGV · TX SOU 2% → 3%

  8. 08
    Lacey KusnierKill+1.2%

    Kill by Lacey Kusnier (set by Lauanna Pino)

    Set 2 · TX SOU 25-25 UTRGV · TX SOU 2% → 3%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39427.1850003202110
34316.063000102237
35219.158010020006
34315.06710060010.54.5
3102.5001302400001
2013-.333000000211
32111.09100000111.53.5
3001.000402720000
3000–702700000
2000–000310000
12021.000000000002
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals271597.1242516311038762
UTRGVhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317234.441024130010.519.5
310519.2631305000013
39420.25011400132.512.5
3124-.250371150010.52.5
3248-.250000100002
3000–010500001
3000–021200002
3000–5001000000
21516-.25000030010.51.5
1708.875000101018
1000–000000000
Team totals4722109.22944101045126578

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TX SOU · UTRGV 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 TX SOUUTRGV 4

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 5 TX SOUUTRGV 6

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 TX SOUUTRGV 3

Bars above the line = UTRGV leads, below = Texas Southern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas Southern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%5/13
29%2/7
2
44%4/9
50%5/10
3
67%4/6
33%2/6
4
67%4/6
0%0/4
5
57%4/7
64%7/11
6
36%4/11
43%3/7
All
48%25/52
42%19/45

UTRGV

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%5/9
71%10/14
2
63%5/8
55%6/11
3
67%4/6
33%2/6
4
67%4/6
43%3/7
5
36%4/11
43%3/7
6
80%4/5
43%3/7
All
58%26/45
52%27/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#TX SOU-UTRGVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UTRGVUTRGVAttack errLacey Kusnier+0.4
21-1UTRGVTX SOUBlockedEma Petkovicblk Lacey Kusnier, Morgynne McQueen+0.3
31-2TX SOUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.3
42-2UTRGVTX SOU×3KillMorgynne McQueenset Ava Ray+0.3
53-2TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLacey Kusnierset Lana Rnjak+0.5
64-2TX SOUTX SOU×3KillAva Houstonset Ava Ray+0.6
74-3TX SOUUTRGV×4Serve errTexas Southern+0.4
84-4UTRGVUTRGV×4AceUTRGVaced Lacey Kusnier+0.5
94-5UTRGVUTRGV×4KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.4
104-6UTRGVUTRGV×4KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.4
115-6UTRGVTX SOUAttack errLauren Battle+0.3
125-7TX SOUUTRGV×3KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.3
135-8UTRGVUTRGV×3BlockedLauren Battleblk Julianna Bryant, Soukeyna Diouf+0.3
145-9UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGV+0.3
156-9UTRGVTX SOUServe errUTRGV+0.2
166-10TX SOUUTRGVKillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+0.2
176-11UTRGVUTRGVAttack errKeldri Young+0.2
187-11UTRGVTX SOUAttack errJulianna Bryant+0.1
197-12TX SOUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.2
207-13UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGV+0.1
218-13UTRGVTX SOUServe errUTRGV+0.1
229-13TX SOUTX SOUAttack errAaliyah Snead+0.2
239-14UTRGV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
249-15UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errAva Houston+0.1
259-16UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errLacey Kusnier+0.1
2610-16UTRGVTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Ava Ray+0.1
2710-17TX SOUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.1
2810-18UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGV+0.1
2911-18UTRGVTX SOU×3KillLauren Battleset Lauanna Pino·
3012-18TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errAaliyah Snead+0.1
3113-18TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errSoukeyna Diouf+0.1
3213-19TX SOUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.1
3314-19UTRGVTX SOUServe errUTRGV+0.1
3414-20TX SOUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.1
3515-20UTRGVTX SOUAttack errSoukeyna Diouf+0.1
3615-21TX SOUUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.1
3715-22UTRGVUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.1
3816-22UTRGVTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison·
3917-22TX SOUTX SOUBlockedLana Rnjakblk Morgynne McQueen+0.1
4017-23TX SOUUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.1
4118-23UTRGVTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Kadence Davison·
4218-24TX SOUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak·
4318-25UTRGVUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Dunja Stankovic·
Set 2
10-1TX SOUUTRGVAttack errLacey Kusnier+0.2
20-2UTRGVUTRGVKillJulianna Bryant+0.2
31-2UTRGVTX SOUServe errUTRGV+0.2
41-3TX SOUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.2
52-3UTRGVTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Ava Ray+0.2
63-3TX SOUTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Lauanna Pino+0.3
73-4TX SOUUTRGVAttack errAva Houston+0.2
83-5UTRGVUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.2
94-5UTRGVTX SOUServe errUTRGV+0.2
104-6TX SOUUTRGVKillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak+0.2
115-6UTRGVTX SOU×5Serve errUTRGV+0.2
126-6TX SOUTX SOU×5BlockedAaliyah Sneadblk Lacey Kusnier, Aaliyah Brown+0.3
137-6TX SOUTX SOU×5Attack errMartina Franco+0.4
148-6TX SOUTX SOU×5AceLauren Battle+0.5
159-6TX SOUTX SOU×5Attack errLana Rnjak+0.5
169-7TX SOUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.3
179-8UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Lauren Battle+0.4
1810-8UTRGVTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Kadence Davison+0.4
1911-8TX SOUTX SOUAttack errSoukeyna Diouf+0.6
2011-9TX SOUUTRGV×6KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.4
2111-10UTRGVUTRGV×6AceUTRGVaced Lauanna Pino+0.5
2211-11UTRGVUTRGV×6BlockedMorgynne McQueenblk Julianna Bryant+0.5
2311-12UTRGVUTRGV×6KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.4
2411-13UTRGVUTRGV×6Attack errGracie Lee+0.3
2511-14UTRGVUTRGV×6Attack errLacey Kusnier+0.3
2612-14UTRGVTX SOUBlockedSoukeyna Dioufblk Gracie Lee, Morgynne McQueen+0.2
2712-15TX SOUUTRGVServe errTexas Southern+0.2
2812-16UTRGVUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.2
2913-16UTRGVTX SOU×3BlockedJulianna Bryantblk Morgynne McQueen+0.2
3014-16TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLauren Battleset Ava Ray+0.3
3115-16TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errSoukeyna Diouf+0.4
3215-17TX SOUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Julianna Bryant+0.3
3316-17UTRGVTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Ava Ray+0.4
3417-17TX SOUTX SOUBlockedMartina Francoblk Aaliyah Brown, Ava Houston+0.6
3517-18TX SOUUTRGVBlockedLauren Battleblk Julianna Bryant, Ema Petkovic+0.5
3617-19UTRGVUTRGVAttack errAaliyah Brown+0.5
3718-19UTRGVTX SOUServe errUTRGV+0.4
3818-20TX SOUUTRGVServe errTexas Southern+0.4
3918-21UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Lauanna Pino+0.4
4019-21UTRGVTX SOUAttack errAaliyah Snead+0.3
4120-21TX SOUTX SOUAttack errMartina Franco+0.6
4220-22TX SOUUTRGVKillLana Rnjakset Martina Franco+0.5
4321-22UTRGVTX SOUAttack errSoukeyna Diouf+0.5
4421-23TX SOUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.6
4522-23UTRGVTX SOU×3KillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+0.5
4623-23TX SOUTX SOU×3KillAva Rayset Ava Houston+1.2
4724-23TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLacey Kusnierset Ava Ray+2.0
4824-24TX SOUUTRGVServe errTexas Southern+1.6
4924-25UTRGVUTRGVAttack errMorgynne McQueen+1.6
5025-25UTRGVTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Lauanna Pino+1.2
5126-25TX SOUTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Lauanna Pino+2.0
5226-26TX SOUUTRGV×3KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.6
5326-27UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGVaced Lauren Battle+1.6
5426-28UTRGVUTRGV×3KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.1
Set 3
10-1UTRGVUTRGV×3KillJasmyn Walkerset Dunja Stankovic+0.1
20-2UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGVaced Lacey Kusnier+0.1
30-3UTRGVUTRGV×3BlockedMorgynne McQueenblk Jasmyn Walker+0.1
41-3UTRGVTX SOU×3KillAva Houstonset Ava Ray+0.1
52-3TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLauren Battleset Ava Ray+0.1
63-3TX SOUTX SOU×3KillMorgynne McQueen+0.1
73-4TX SOUUTRGV×3KillJasmyn Walkerset Lana Rnjak+0.1
83-5UTRGVUTRGV×3KillMartina Franco+0.1
93-6UTRGVUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Dunja Stankovic+0.1
104-6UTRGVTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Ava Ray+0.1
114-7TX SOUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.1
125-7UTRGVTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Ava Ray+0.1
135-8TX SOUUTRGVServe errTexas Southern+0.1
145-9UTRGVUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.1
156-9UTRGVTX SOUServe errUTRGV+0.1
167-9TX SOUTX SOUAttack errEma Petkovic+0.1
177-10TX SOUUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.1
187-11UTRGVUTRGV×3KillJasmyn Walkerset Dunja Stankovic+0.1
197-12UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGVaced Keagan St. Junious+0.1
208-12UTRGVTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison·
218-13TX SOUUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak·
229-13UTRGVTX SOUServe errUTRGV·
239-14TX SOUUTRGVKillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak·
2410-14UTRGVTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Ava Ray·
2510-15TX SOUUTRGVKillJasmyn Walkerset Lana Rnjak·
2610-16UTRGVUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Dunja Stankovic·
2711-16UTRGVTX SOUAttack errMartina Franco·
2811-17TX SOUUTRGVServe errTexas Southern·
2912-17UTRGVTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Ava Ray·
3012-18TX SOUUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak·
3113-18UTRGVTX SOUServe errUTRGV·
3214-18TX SOUTX SOUBlockedMartina Francoblk Gracie Lee·
3314-19TX SOUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak·
3415-19UTRGVTX SOU×3KillLacey Kusnierset Kadence Davison·
3516-19TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errJulianna Bryant+0.1
3617-19TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errJulianna Bryant+0.1
3717-20TX SOUUTRGV×3KillJasmyn Walkerset Lana Rnjak+0.1
3817-21UTRGVUTRGV×3KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.1
3917-22UTRGVUTRGV×3KillJasmyn Walkerset Lana Rnjak+0.1
4018-22UTRGVTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison·
4118-23TX SOUUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak·
4218-24UTRGVUTRGV×3KillJasmyn Walkerset Lana Rnjak·
4318-25UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errAva Houston·

Score shown after each rally, Texas Southern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).