Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

North Ala. def. Central Ark. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: North Ala. 93.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Ala. beat visiting Central Ark. 3-1 (25-18, 21-25, 27-25, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. North Ala.'s Reese Ricketts led with 23 kills, and Ava Martindale added 26 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
C ARK182525201
N ALA252127253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

North Ala. built it on runs.

No single rally moved win probability more than 7.7 points. Central Ark. peaked at 21% in Set 3. These are the numbers behind it. North Ala. went in as RallyIQ's 93% pick.

Central Ark.North Ala.
  • Longest run+-1
    76

    Down 5–7 in the first set, North Ala. scored 6 straight to lead 11–7. Final score of the set: 25–18.

North Ala. above 50Central Ark. belowMax swing 7.7%

Central Ark.North Ala.

Hitting
Central Ark. .239·North Ala. .297
Aces
Central Ark. 3·North Ala. 4
Serve err
Central Ark. 9·North Ala. 13
Blocks
Central Ark. 8·North Ala. 41 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Central Ark. 65·North Ala. 60

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

North Ala. above 50 · Central Ark. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.7% C ARKrally 186 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.7% to Central Ark. — set 3, C ARK 24-24 N ALA. Point Central Ark. (not logged in NCAA feed). N ALA win probability 91% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C ARK 16.4%83.6% N ALA

Central Ark. wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
8.6%

North Ala. wins

3-0
35.4%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
17.1%
C ARK break %
38.5% vs this opp
N ALA break %
46.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+7.7%

    Point Central Ark. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 3 · C ARK 24-24 N ALA · C ARK 9% → 17%

  2. 02

    Kill by Reese Ricketts (set by Kinslee McGowan)

    Set 3 · C ARK 25-27 N ALA · N ALA 89% → 95%

  3. 03

    Kill by Reese Ricketts (set by Kinslee McGowan)

    Set 3 · C ARK 24-25 N ALA · N ALA 83% → 89%

  4. 04
    Reese RickettsAttack error+5.5%

    Attack error by Reese Ricketts

    Set 3 · C ARK 25-25 N ALA · C ARK 11% → 17%

  5. 05

    Kill by Reese Ricketts (set by Kinslee McGowan)

    Set 3 · C ARK 25-26 N ALA · N ALA 83% → 89%

  6. 06
    Central Ark.Service error+3.4%

    Central Ark. service error

    Set 3 · C ARK 22-24 N ALA · N ALA 89% → 93%

  7. 07

    Kill by Greyson Button (set by Sophie Skinner)

    Set 3 · C ARK 21-22 N ALA · C ARK 8% → 11%

  8. 08

    Kill by Phoebe Reyes Fortunato (set by Kinslee McGowan)

    Set 3 · C ARK 21-23 N ALA · N ALA 89% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415854.13010015012217
416533.33300000010.516.5
411324.3330002002112
3304.750270190010.53.5
31111.000000300212
2203.667000000213
4001.0000201300002
4000–001000000
4000–3041320000
3329.11101120031.55.5
3000–101500000
22021.00000010010.52.5
2001.0001701200000
Team totals5319142.2394939654114888
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
423547.38300280010.523.5
48012.66711000010.59.5
44410.000000201226
43211.091551090010.54.5
4001.000113510001
4000–306400000
415248.27100040010.515.5
411429.2410002000011
4000–3112620001
2000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals6417158.2976341360316498

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Central Ark. vs North Ala.

Season series · North Ala. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 C ARK · N ALA 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 C ARKN ALA 6

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 7 C ARKN ALA 6

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 4 C ARKN ALA 4

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 2 C ARKN ALA 4

Bars above the line = North Ala. leads, below = Central Ark. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Central Ark.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
53%9/17
2
78%7/9
11%1/9
3
70%7/10
30%3/10
4
60%6/10
30%3/10
5
40%6/15
25%2/8
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
59%41/70
34%22/64

North Ala.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
13%1/8
2
78%7/9
50%8/16
3
70%7/10
13%1/8
4
88%7/8
42%5/12
5
75%6/8
57%8/14
6
60%6/10
50%6/12
All
66%42/64
41%29/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#C ARK-N ALASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindale+0.7
21-1C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.6
32-1N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.7
43-1C ARKC ARKBlockedPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoblk Karlyn Frazier, Kennady Martindale+1.1
53-2C ARKN ALAServe errCentral Ark.+0.7
64-2N ALAC ARK×3Serve errNorth Ala.+0.8
75-2C ARKC ARK×3BlockedJenna Kolostablk Karlyn Frazier, Nicole Sargent+1.3
86-2C ARKC ARK×3AceCentral Ark.aced Ava Martindale+1.4
96-3C ARKN ALA×3KillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.8
106-4N ALAN ALA×3AceNorth Ala.aced Cameron McDaniel+1.2
116-5N ALAN ALA×3KillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+1.1
127-5N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.9
137-6C ARKN ALA×6KillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.8
147-7N ALAN ALA×6Attack errElla Chaney+1.1
157-8N ALAN ALA×6Attack errElla Chaney+1.0
167-9N ALAN ALA×6KillAnna Hoffmayerset Kinslee McGowan+0.9
177-10N ALAN ALA×6Attack errGreyson Button+0.7
187-11N ALAN ALA×6KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.6
198-11N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.4
208-12C ARKN ALAKillKinslee McGowanset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.4
218-13N ALAN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.4
229-13N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.3
239-14C ARKN ALAAttack errKennady Martindale+0.3
2410-14N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.3
2511-14C ARKC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.5
2611-15C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.4
2712-15N ALAC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.4
2813-15C ARKC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.8
2913-16C ARKN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.6
3014-16N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.6
3114-17C ARKN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.6
3215-17N ALAC ARKKillNicole Sargentset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.6
3315-18C ARKN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.7
3415-19N ALAN ALAAttack errElla Chaney+0.7
3516-19N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.+0.4
3616-20C ARKN ALA×3KillAnna Hoffmayerset Kinslee McGowan+0.5
3716-21N ALAN ALA×3KillKinslee McGowanset Anna Hoffmayer+0.4
3816-22N ALAN ALA×3KillAnna Hoffmayerset Kinslee McGowan+0.2
3917-22N ALAC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.1
4017-23C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.1
4118-23N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.·
4218-24C ARKN ALAServe errCentral Ark.+0.1
4318-25N ALAN ALAAceNorth Ala.·
Set 2
11-0C ARKC ARKAttack errReese Ricketts+0.6
21-1C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.4
32-1N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.+0.5
42-2C ARKN ALAServe errCentral Ark.+0.4
53-2N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.+0.5
64-2C ARKC ARKAttack errKinslee McGowan+0.8
74-3C ARKN ALABad setTatelyn Brandsma+0.5
85-3N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.6
95-4C ARKN ALAKillAnna Hoffmayerset Ally Greenwell+0.5
106-4N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.+0.6
116-5C ARKN ALAKillAnna Hoffmayerset Kinslee McGowan+0.5
126-6N ALAN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Ally Greenwell+0.7
137-6N ALAC ARK×4KillMcKinzee Haasset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.6
148-6C ARKC ARK×4AceCentral Ark.aced Ava Martindale+0.9
159-6C ARKC ARK×4BlockedReese Rickettsblk Nicole Sargent, McKinzee Haas+1.0
1610-6C ARKC ARK×4BlockedJenna Kolostablk Ella Chaney+1.0
1710-7C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.6
1810-8N ALAN ALAKillKinslee McGowanset Ava Martindale+0.9
1911-8N ALAC ARK×7KillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.8
2012-8C ARKC ARK×7Attack errPhoebe Reyes Fortunato+1.1
2113-8C ARKC ARK×7KillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.1
2214-8C ARKC ARK×7BlockedJenna Kolostablk Greyson Button, Ella Chaney+1.0
2315-8C ARKC ARK×7KillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.9
2416-8C ARKC ARK×7Attack errPhoebe Reyes Fortunato+0.7
2517-8C ARKC ARK×7AceCentral Ark.aced Kaylee Maikranz+0.5
2617-9C ARKN ALA×6KillReese Rickettsset Kaylee Maikranz+0.2
2717-10N ALAN ALA×6KillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.4
2817-11N ALAN ALA×6BlockedNicole Sargentblk Dylann Garner, Jenna Kolosta+0.5
2917-12N ALAN ALA×6Attack errElla Chaney+0.6
3017-13N ALAN ALA×6KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.8
3117-14N ALAN ALA×6Attack errElla Chaney+1.0
3218-14N ALAC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.0
3318-15C ARKN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.6
3419-15N ALAC ARKKillTatelyn Brandsmaset Trinity Hamilton+1.0
3519-16C ARKN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.6
3620-16N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Ella Chaney+1.0
3720-17C ARKN ALAServe errCentral Ark.+0.6
3821-17N ALAC ARKKillTatelyn Brandsmaset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.1
3921-18C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Ally Greenwell+0.6
4022-18N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.1
4123-18C ARKC ARKKillElla Chaney+1.0
4223-19C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.2
4324-19N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Cameron McDaniel+0.6
4424-20C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.1
4524-21N ALAN ALABlockedGreyson Buttonblk Jenna Kolosta+0.4
4625-21N ALAC ARKAttack errJenna Kolosta+0.7
Set 3
10-1N ALAN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+1.6
21-1N ALAC ARKBlockedPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoblk Ella Chaney, McKinzee Haas+1.2
31-2C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+1.1
42-2N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.2
52-3C ARKN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+1.1
63-3N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.3
73-4C ARKN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+1.2
84-4N ALAC ARK×4Serve errNorth Ala.+1.3
95-4C ARKC ARK×4Attack errKinslee McGowan+2.2
106-4C ARKC ARK×4BlockedDylann Garnerblk McKinzee Haas, Tatelyn Brandsma+2.5
117-4C ARKC ARK×4KillTatelyn Brandsma+2.8
127-5C ARKN ALAServe errCentral Ark.+1.6
138-5N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.+2.1
148-6C ARKN ALA×4KillAnna Hoffmayerset Kinslee McGowan+1.7
158-7N ALAN ALA×4AceNorth Ala.+2.5
168-8N ALAN ALA×4Attack errKennady Martindale+2.3
178-9N ALAN ALA×4Attack errMcKinzee Haas+2.1
189-9N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.6
199-10C ARKN ALAAttack errElla Chaney+1.5
2010-10N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Cameron McDaniel+1.7
2110-11C ARKN ALAServe errCentral Ark.+1.5
2211-11N ALAC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.8
2312-11C ARKC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+2.9
2412-12C ARKN ALA×3KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+1.9
2512-13N ALAN ALA×3KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+2.6
2612-14N ALAN ALA×3KillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+2.2
2713-14N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.6
2813-15C ARKN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+1.6
2914-15N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.+1.6
3014-16C ARKN ALAServe errCentral Ark.+1.6
3114-17N ALAN ALAAttack errKennady Martindale+2.0
3215-17N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.+1.2
3316-17C ARKC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Cameron McDaniel+2.5
3416-18C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Ava Martindale+1.9
3517-18N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.9
3617-19C ARKN ALAKillJenna Kolostaset Kinslee McGowan+2.0
3717-20N ALAN ALAAttack errElla Chaney+2.3
3818-20N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.3
3918-21C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+1.6
4019-21N ALAC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.3
4119-22C ARKN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+1.7
4220-22N ALAC ARKBlockedDylann Garnerblk Greyson Button, Vivian Spradlin+1.2
4321-22C ARKC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+3.1
4421-23C ARKN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+3.0
4522-23N ALAC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+2.3
4622-24C ARKN ALAServe errCentral Ark.+3.4
4723-24N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+2.0
4824-24C ARK
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+7.7
4924-25C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+5.5
5025-25N ALAC ARKAttack errReese Ricketts+5.5
5125-26C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+5.5
5225-27N ALAN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+6.3
Set 4
11-0C ARKC ARKAttack errReese Ricketts+1.4
21-1C ARKN ALAKillJenna Kolostaset Kinslee McGowan+0.9
32-1N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+1.0
42-2C ARKN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.9
52-3N ALAN ALAAttack errGreyson Button+1.2
63-3N ALAC ARKKillVivian Spradlinset Sophie Skinner+0.9
73-4C ARKN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.8
84-4N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.+1.0
94-5C ARKN ALABlockedKennady Martindaleblk Kinslee McGowan, Anna Hoffmayer+0.9
104-6N ALAN ALAAceNorth Ala.aced Cameron McDaniel+1.1
115-6N ALAC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+0.8
126-6C ARKC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Sophie Skinner+1.4
136-7C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.9
147-7N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+1.1
157-8C ARKN ALAServe errCentral Ark.+1.0
168-8N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+1.1
178-9C ARKN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+1.0
188-10N ALAN ALAKillJenna Kolostaset Kinslee McGowan+1.3
199-10N ALAC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Sophie Skinner+1.0
209-11C ARKN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.9
2110-11N ALAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+1.0
2210-12C ARKN ALA×4KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+1.0
2310-13N ALAN ALA×4KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+1.2
2410-14N ALAN ALA×4KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.9
2510-15N ALAN ALA×4Bad setGreyson Button+0.7
2611-15N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.+0.4
2712-15C ARKC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+0.8
2812-16C ARKN ALAKillAnna Hoffmayerset Kinslee McGowan+0.7
2913-16N ALAC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+0.6
3014-16C ARKC ARKBad setReese Ricketts+1.2
3114-17C ARKN ALA×3KillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+1.0
3214-18N ALAN ALA×3Attack errKennady Martindale+1.0
3314-19N ALAN ALA×3BlockedMcKinzee Haasblk Jenna Kolosta, Reese Ricketts+0.7
3415-19N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+0.3
3515-20C ARKN ALAKillJenna Kolostaset Kinslee McGowan+0.4
3616-20N ALAC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+0.3
3717-20C ARKC ARKAttack errReese Ricketts+0.8
3817-21C ARKN ALAAttack errElla Chaney+0.7
3918-21N ALAC ARKKillVivian Spradlinset Sophie Skinner+0.5
4018-22C ARKN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.7
4119-22N ALAC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+0.4
4219-23C ARKN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.7
4320-23N ALAC ARKServe errNorth Ala.+0.3
4420-24C ARKN ALAKillAnna Hoffmayerset Kinslee McGowan+0.6
4520-25N ALAN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Ava Martindale+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Central Ark. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).