FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwayMETRO

0:3

HomePATRIOT

Lafayette def. Quinnipiac 3–0

(25-16, 25-23, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
QUINN	16	23	18	0
LAFAYE	25	25	25	3

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LAFAYE above 50 · QUINN below

Biggest swing: 9.3% to Lafayette — set 2, QUINN 23-25 LAFAYE. Sophia Minlend stuffed by Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo & Noa Kamphuis. LAFAYE win probability 80% → 89%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

QUINN 46.1%53.9% LAFAYE

Quinnipiac wins

3-0

10.9%

3-1

17.1%

3-2

18.0%

Lafayette wins

3-0

14.2%

3-1

20.4%

3-2

19.3%

QUINN break %: 43.6% vs this opp
LAFAYE break %: 44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sophia MinlendAttack error+9.3%
Sophia Minlend stuffed by Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo & Noa Kamphuis
Set 2 · QUINN 23-25 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 80% → 89%
02
QUINN serverService error+7.4%
Quinnipiac service error
Set 2 · QUINN 23-24 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 72% → 80%
03
QUINN serverService error+5.8%
Quinnipiac service error
Set 2 · QUINN 22-23 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 72% → 78%
04
Sophia MinlendKill+5.6%
Kill by Sophia Minlend (set by Sophia Gisslen)
Set 2 · QUINN 23-23 LAFAYE · QUINN 22% → 28%
05
QUINN serverAce+5.4%
Quinnipiac ace on Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo
Set 2 · QUINN 21-21 LAFAYE · QUINN 23% → 28%
06
Grace JamisonKill+4.9%
Kill by Grace Jamison (set by LK LaMonica)
Set 2 · QUINN 19-20 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 71% → 76%
07
Grace JamisonKill+4.9%
Kill by Grace Jamison (set by LK LaMonica)
Set 2 · QUINN 21-22 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 72% → 77%
08
Sophia MinlendAttack error+4.8%
Sophia Minlend stuffed by Johanna Groger & Destiny McKenzie
Set 2 · QUINN 19-21 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 76% → 81%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Quinnipiacaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
7Giulia RagusaOH	3	12	6	41	.146	0	0	0	6	0	1	1	13
8Sophia MinlendOH	3	7	5	21	.095	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	8
11Asia BelliMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	1	0	2	0	1	1	7
18Sila YildizMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	4
6Sophia GisslenS	3	0	0	2	.000	34	0	1	6	0	0	0	0
10Vittoria TonelliOH	2	2	6	13	-.308	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2
20Sahra OzbiltekinOH	3	6	2	20	.200	1	1	1	8	1	0	0	7
9Carola Negron DiazL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	1	1	0	12	2	0	0	1
13Didar BulbulL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	20	117	.137	36	4	4	52	7	2	2	57

Lafayettehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Grace JamisonOH	3	10	2	22	.364	0	0	0	2	0	6	3	13
3Auma Mbeche-OdhiamboOH	3	10	3	29	.241	0	0	1	9	1	2	1	11
26Noa KamphuisMB	3	5	1	12	.333	0	1	1	1	0	5	2.5	8.5
9Johanna GrogerMB	3	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	1	0	6	3	6
27LK LaMonicaS	3	0	0	2	.000	23	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
11Justine PuigOH	2	2	3	10	-.100	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	3
20Jada AksuOH	3	6	1	13	.385	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	7
6Alyssa ChuL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	3	1	0	26	0	0	0	1
1Sophia WilsonS	3	0	0	1	.000	11	1	1	4	0	0	0	1
22Destiny McKenzieOH	2	2	1	12	.083	0	3	1	6	0	1	0.5	5.5
Team totals		38	12	109	.239	37	7	4	53	4	22	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 QUINN · LAFAYE 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 5 QUINNLAFAYE 6

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 7 QUINNLAFAYE 4

Set 3*

18-25

Longest run 2 QUINNLAFAYE 6

Bars above the line = Lafayette leads, below = Quinnipiac leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Quinnipiac

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	29%5/17	20%1/5
2	57%4/7	62%8/13
3	57%4/7	20%1/5
4	50%3/6	33%2/6
5	50%3/6	57%4/7
6	50%3/6	25%1/4
All	45%22/49	43%17/40

Lafayette

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%5/6	73%11/15
2	42%5/12	44%4/9
3	67%4/6	43%3/7
4	38%3/8	25%1/4
5	100%3/3	50%3/6
6	60%3/5	63%5/8
All	57%23/40	55%27/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

132 rallies

Rally log

#	QUINN-LAFAYE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Attack err	Vittoria Tonelli		+2.4
2	0-2	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa		+2.4
3	0-3	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Attack err	Vittoria Tonelli	blk Grace Jamison, Johanna Groger	+2.3
4	0-4	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+2.1
5	0-5	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Carola Negron Diaz	+1.9
6	1-5	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sila Yildiz	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.3
7	1-6	QUINN	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Alyssa Chu	+1.5
8	1-7	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Vittoria Tonelli		+1.7
9	1-8	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Sophia Minlend		+1.4
10	2-8	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sila Yildiz	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.9
11	2-9	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+1.1
12	2-10	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Carola Negron Diaz	+1.1
13	3-10	LAFAYE	QUINN	Attack err	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo		+0.7
14	3-11	QUINN	LAFAYE	Serve err	QUINN server		+0.9
15	4-11	LAFAYE	QUINN×5	Attack err	Jada Aksu		+0.6
16	5-11	QUINN	QUINN×5	Kill	Asia Belli	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.1
17	6-11	QUINN	QUINN×5	Attack err	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo		+1.4
18	7-11	QUINN	QUINN×5	Attack err	Justine Puig		+1.7
19	8-11	QUINN	QUINN×5	Ace	QUINN server	aced Team	+2.1
20	8-12	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Jada Aksu	set Sophia Wilson	+1.9
21	9-12	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.7
22	9-13	QUINN	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Jada Aksu	set Sophia Wilson	+2.0
23	9-14	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Justine Puig	set LK LaMonica	+2.1
24	9-15	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Vittoria Tonelli	blk Grace Jamison, Johanna Groger	+1.7
25	10-15	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Vittoria Tonelli	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.0
26	11-15	QUINN	QUINN	Attack err	Justine Puig		+1.7
27	11-16	QUINN	LAFAYE×6	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+1.7
28	11-17	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×6	Kill	Johanna Groger	set LK LaMonica	+1.7
29	11-18	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×6	Attack err	Vittoria Tonelli		+1.2
30	11-19	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×6	Attack err	Vittoria Tonelli	blk Johanna Groger, Grace Jamison	+0.7
31	11-20	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×6	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set LK LaMonica	+0.4
32	11-21	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×6	Attack err	Sahra Ozbiltekin	blk Grace Jamison, Johanna Groger	+0.2
33	12-21	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.1
34	13-21	QUINN	QUINN	Attack err	Grace Jamison		+0.1
35	13-22	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set LK LaMonica	+0.2
36	14-22	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sila Yildiz	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.1
37	14-23	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+0.1
38	14-24	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+0.0
39	15-24	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.0
40	16-24	QUINN	QUINN	Kill	Asia Belli	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.0
41	16-25	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set LK LaMonica	+1.8
2	0-2	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set LK LaMonica	+2.3
3	1-2	LAFAYE	QUINN×7	Attack err	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo		+1.7
4	2-2	QUINN	QUINN×7	Ace	QUINN server	aced Justine Puig	+2.4
5	3-2	QUINN	QUINN×7	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Carola Negron Diaz	+2.4
6	4-2	QUINN	QUINN×7	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+2.4
7	5-2	QUINN	QUINN×7	Attack err	Grace Jamison	blk Giulia Ragusa	+2.4
8	6-2	QUINN	QUINN×7	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+2.3
9	7-2	QUINN	QUINN×7	Kill	Sahra Ozbiltekin	set Sophia Gisslen	+2.1
10	7-3	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set LK LaMonica	+1.4
11	8-3	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.6
12	8-4	QUINN	LAFAYE	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa		+1.4
13	8-5	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Asia Belli		+2.1
14	9-5	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.9
15	9-6	QUINN	LAFAYE	Serve err	QUINN server		+1.7
16	9-7	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa		+2.4
17	10-7	LAFAYE	QUINN	Attack err	Justine Puig		+2.1
18	10-8	QUINN	LAFAYE	Attack err	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo		+1.9
19	11-8	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sahra Ozbiltekin	set Sophia Gisslen	+2.2
20	11-9	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+2.0
21	11-10	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Team	+2.8
22	12-10	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sahra Ozbiltekin	set Sophia Gisslen	+2.4
23	12-11	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set LK LaMonica	+2.3
24	12-12	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa	blk Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo, Noa Kamphuis	+3.1
25	13-12	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sahra Ozbiltekin	+2.6
26	14-12	QUINN	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+3.3
27	14-13	QUINN	LAFAYE	Bad set	Sila Yildiz		+2.4
28	15-13	LAFAYE	QUINN	Serve err	LAFAYE server		+2.7
29	16-13	QUINN	QUINN	Ace	QUINN server	aced Team	+3.2
30	16-14	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+2.2
31	17-14	LAFAYE	QUINN	Bad set	Noa Kamphuis		+2.6
32	18-14	QUINN	QUINN	Attack err	Noa Kamphuis	blk Asia Belli	+2.9
33	18-15	QUINN	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Sophia Wilson	+1.7
34	18-16	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa	blk Jada Aksu, Johanna Groger	+2.9
35	18-17	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Team	+3.6
36	19-17	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+3.3
37	19-18	QUINN	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Jada Aksu	set Sophia Wilson	+3.0
38	19-19	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Johanna Groger	set LK LaMonica	+4.5
39	19-20	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+4.9
40	19-21	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Attack err	Sophia Minlend	blk Johanna Groger, Destiny McKenzie	+4.8
41	20-21	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Asia Belli	set Sophia Gisslen	+3.2
42	21-21	QUINN	QUINN	Ace	QUINN server	aced Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	+5.4
43	21-22	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+4.9
44	22-22	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sahra Ozbiltekin	set Sophia Gisslen	+4.8
45	22-23	QUINN	LAFAYE	Serve err	QUINN server		+5.8
46	23-23	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+5.6
47	23-24	QUINN	LAFAYE	Serve err	QUINN server		+7.4
48	23-25	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Sophia Minlend	blk Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo, Noa Kamphuis	+9.3
Set 3
1	0-1	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Team	+1.5
2	1-1	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sahra Ozbiltekin	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.1
3	1-2	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+1.2
4	1-3	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+1.5
5	2-3	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.1
6	2-4	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set LK LaMonica	+1.2
7	3-4	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.1
8	3-5	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Sophia Wilson	+1.2
9	4-5	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.2
10	4-6	QUINN	LAFAYE	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa		+1.2
11	4-7	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Johanna Groger	set Sophia Wilson	+1.5
12	5-7	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.1
13	5-8	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Jada Aksu	set Sophia Wilson	+1.2
14	6-8	LAFAYE	QUINN	Attack err	Johanna Groger		+1.1
15	7-8	QUINN	QUINN	Kill	Sahra Ozbiltekin	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.6
16	7-9	QUINN	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Sahra Ozbiltekin		+1.3
17	7-10	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Team	+1.6
18	7-11	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+1.5
19	8-11	LAFAYE	QUINN	Serve err	LAFAYE server		+1.0
20	8-12	QUINN	LAFAYE×6	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set LK LaMonica	+1.2
21	8-13	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×6	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Sahra Ozbiltekin	+1.3
22	8-14	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×6	Bad set	Sila Yildiz		+1.0
23	8-15	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×6	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set LK LaMonica	+0.8
24	8-16	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×6	Attack err	Sophia Minlend	blk Noa Kamphuis, Grace Jamison	+0.6
25	8-17	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×6	Attack err	Sophia Minlend	blk Noa Kamphuis, Grace Jamison	+0.4
26	9-17	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sila Yildiz	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.2
27	9-18	QUINN	LAFAYE	Serve err	QUINN server		+0.3
28	9-19	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Destiny McKenzie		+0.2
29	10-19	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.1
30	10-20	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Sophia Wilson	+0.1
31	10-21	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Jada Aksu		+0.1
32	11-21	LAFAYE	QUINN	Serve err	LAFAYE server		+0.0
33	12-21	QUINN	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.0
34	12-22	QUINN	LAFAYE	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa	blk Noa Kamphuis, Jada Aksu	+0.1
35	13-22	LAFAYE	QUINN	Serve err	LAFAYE server		+0.0
36	14-22	QUINN	QUINN	Kill	Asia Belli	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.1
37	14-23	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Jada Aksu	set Alyssa Chu	+0.1
38	15-23	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Asia Belli	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.0
39	16-23	QUINN	QUINN	Attack err	Destiny McKenzie		+0.1
40	16-24	QUINN	LAFAYE	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
41	17-24	LAFAYE	QUINN	Kill	Vittoria Tonelli	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.0
42	18-24	QUINN	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.0
43	18-25	QUINN	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Alyssa Chu	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Quinnipiac first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.