Murray State def. Southern Ill. 3-2 Volleyball (Oct 16)

Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026ESPN+

2:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Southern Ill. 71.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Murray St. beat visiting Southern Ill. 3-2 (27-25, 10-25, 15-25, 25-19, 15-6) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Alexa Watts led Murray St. with 13 kills; Southern Ill.'s Ella Swansiger had a match-high 15.

Data through Nov 3, 9:20 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
SIU	25	25	25	19	6	2
MURRAY	27	10	15	25	15	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Murray St. 28%. Murray St. won anyway.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Murray St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Southern Ill. was RallyIQ's 72% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Southern Ill. 24–24 Murray St.
Murray St. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and lead 1–0.
Murray St. 30% → 49%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · Southern Ill. 1–0 Murray St.
From here Murray St. won 25 of 43 rallies to take the set 25–19.
Murray St. 13% → 41%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · Southern Ill. 6–8 Murray St.
7 straight Murray St. points stretched an 8–6 lead to 15–6.
Murray St. 68% → >99%

Murray St. above 50Southern Ill. belowMax swing 10.4%

Southern Ill.Murray St.

Sideout %: Southern Ill. 50.5·Murray St. 46.5
Break %: Southern Ill. 53.5·Murray St. 49.5
Hitting: Southern Ill. .187·Murray St. .095
Longest run: Southern Ill. 14·Murray St. 8

Alexa Watts
7 of her kills came in the stretches above. 13 K, .135, 15 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Murray St. above 50 · Southern Ill. below

Biggest swing: 10.4% to Murray St. — set 1, SIU 25-27 MURRAY. Kill by Alexa Watts (set by Samantha Nelson). MURRAY win probability 39% → 49%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIU 64.8%35.2% MURRAY

Southern Ill. wins

3-0

19.9%

3-1

24.8%

3-2

20.1%

Murray St. wins

3-0

7.2%

3-1

12.6%

3-2

15.4%

SIU break %: 44.0% vs this opp
MURRAY break %: 41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Alexa WattsKill+10.4%
Kill by Alexa Watts (set by Samantha Nelson)
Set 1 · SIU 25-27 MURRAY · MURRAY 39% → 49%
02
Ella McFarlandBad set+9.9%
Bad set by Ella McFarland
Set 5 · SIU 6-10 MURRAY · MURRAY 76% → 86%
03
Ella SwansigerAttack error+9.5%
Attack error by Ella Swansiger
Set 5 · SIU 0-2 MURRAY · MURRAY 48% → 57%
04
Teodora Cickovic&Alexa WattsBlock+9.4%
McKenzie Moeller stuffed by Teodora Cickovic & Alexa Watts
Set 5 · SIU 0-3 MURRAY · MURRAY 57% → 67%
05
Beatriz PiaiaAttack error+9.4%
Attack error by Beatriz Piaia
Set 5 · SIU 3-7 MURRAY · MURRAY 71% → 80%
06
Ella McFarlandAttack error+9.4%
Attack error by Ella McFarland
Set 1 · SIU 25-26 MURRAY · MURRAY 30% → 39%
07
Beatriz PiaiaKill+9.0%
Kill by Beatriz Piaia
Set 5 · SIU 6-8 MURRAY · SIU 23% → 32%
08
Ella Swansiger&Chloe AndersonBlock+8.7%
Maezi Snyder stuffed by Ella Swansiger & Chloe Anderson
Set 1 · SIU 24-23 MURRAY · SIU 68% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Southern Ill.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Ella SwansigerOH	5	15	6	37	.243	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	3	18
13Beatriz PiaiaMB	5	11	3	16	.500	0	3	4	0	0	3	2	4	18
3McKenzie MoellerOH	5	12	8	40	.100	5	2	3	13	2	0	1	0.5	14.5
22Chloe AndersonMB	5	6	2	13	.308	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	3	9
4Ella McFarlandOPP	5	0	2	6	-.333	26	3	1	8	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
21Isabella Del RealL/DS	1	0	0	1	.000	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	1
2Natalie VanceOPP	5	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
11Jillian ShaneyfeltL/DS	5	0	0	2	.000	7	1	0	19	1	0	0	0	1
9Lillian DempkeyS	5	0	0	0	–	10	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
17Julia LaidigDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	0
8Alexandria ArringtonS	3	6	1	19	.263	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
15Ida AlmkvistOH	3	3	5	14	-.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
1Dafne SosaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		56	27	155	.187	50	10	13	54	5	3	20	13	100

Murray St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Alexa WattsOH	5	13	8	37	.135	0	0	1	8	1	0	4	2	15
11Maezi SnyderMB	5	10	7	26	.115	0	1	1	1	0	1	5	3.5	14.5
5Lily BurnettOH	5	8	3	24	.208	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	1	10
17Anne MakowskiOH	5	7	7	28	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	9
2Paige BrockS	5	1	0	4	.250	31	1	1	13	0	0	0	0	2
14Mija Sagadin PristovnikOH	4	1	1	10	.000	0	0	0	13	2	0	0	0	1
3Samantha NelsonL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	6	1	1	15	1	0	0	0	1
10Teodora CickovicMB	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	1.5
4Melis AydinS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
12Ceren DurakOH	2	4	4	16	.000	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	5
8Kathryn TitusS	2	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	30	148	.095	41	5	4	56	10	1	18	10	92

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southern Ill. vs Murray St.

Season series · Murray St. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Southern Ill. at Murray St. · Murray St. won 3-2This match
Sat, Oct 24, 2026Murray St. at Southern Ill. · Murray St. won 3-2Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 14 SIU · MURRAY 8

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 4 SIUMURRAY 8

Set 2

25-10

Longest run 14 SIUMURRAY 4

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 4 SIUMURRAY 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 SIUMURRAY 4

Set 5

6-15

Longest run 3 SIUMURRAY 7

Bars above the line = Murray St. leads, below = Southern Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%10/25	69%18/26
2	60%9/15	47%9/19
3	57%8/14	57%12/21
4	53%8/15	11%1/9
5	40%6/15	53%8/15
6	71%5/7	55%6/11
All	51%46/91	53%54/101

Murray St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	29%10/35	65%13/20
2	63%10/16	33%5/15
3	50%8/16	53%9/17
4	67%8/12	33%4/12
5	38%6/16	38%5/13
6	83%5/6	64%9/14
All	47%47/101	49%45/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

192 rallies

#	SIU-MURRAY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MURRAY	MURRAY×8	Ace	Paige Brock	aced Isabella Del Real	+2.3
2	0-2	MURRAY	MURRAY×8	Kill	Maezi Snyder		+2.4
3	0-3	MURRAY	MURRAY×8	Blocked	Ella Swansiger	blk Maezi Snyder, Anne Makowski	+2.4
4	0-4	MURRAY	MURRAY×8	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+2.4
5	0-5	MURRAY	MURRAY×8	Blocked	Ella Swansiger	blk Maezi Snyder, Anne Makowski	+2.3
6	0-6	MURRAY	MURRAY×8	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+2.1
7	0-7	MURRAY	MURRAY×8	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Samantha Nelson	+1.8
8	0-8	MURRAY	MURRAY×8	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+1.6
9	1-8	MURRAY	SIU	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+0.8
10	1-9	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+1.1
11	2-9	MURRAY	SIU×4	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Ella McFarland	+0.8
12	3-9	SIU	SIU×4	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	+1.4
13	4-9	SIU	SIU×4	Blocked	Maezi Snyder	blk Beatriz Piaia	+1.7
14	5-9	SIU	SIU×4	Kill	Ida Almkvist	set Ella McFarland	+2.0
15	5-10	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+1.7
16	5-11	MURRAY	MURRAY	Blocked	Ida Almkvist	blk Alexa Watts, Lily Burnett	+2.1
17	6-11	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Ella McFarland	+1.1
18	6-12	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+1.5
19	7-12	MURRAY	SIU×3	Blocked	Anne Makowski	blk Beatriz Piaia	+1.1
20	8-12	SIU	SIU×3	Ace	Southern Ill.		+2.0
21	9-12	SIU	SIU×3	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+2.3
22	9-13	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Mija Sagadin Pristovnik	set Paige Brock	+2.0
23	10-13	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.6
24	11-13	SIU	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set McKenzie Moeller	+2.7
25	11-14	SIU	MURRAY	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+2.3
26	12-14	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.9
27	13-14	SIU	SIU	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+3.1
28	13-15	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+2.5
29	13-16	MURRAY	MURRAY	Blocked	Ella Swansiger	blk Maezi Snyder, Anne Makowski	+3.5
30	14-16	MURRAY	SIU	Blocked	Maezi Snyder	blk Ella Swansiger, Ella McFarland	+2.0
31	15-16	SIU	SIU	Kill	Ida Almkvist	set Ella McFarland	+3.4
32	15-17	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+2.8
33	16-17	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Ella McFarland	+2.4
34	16-18	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+2.9
35	16-19	MURRAY	MURRAY	Ace	Murray St.	aced McKenzie Moeller	+4.0
36	17-19	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Ella McFarland	+2.1
37	17-20	SIU	MURRAY	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+2.9
38	18-20	MURRAY	SIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+2.1
39	18-21	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+3.0
40	19-21	MURRAY	SIU×3	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	+2.1
41	20-21	SIU	SIU×3	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ida Almkvist	+4.2
42	21-21	SIU	SIU×3	Ace	Southern Ill.		+5.4
43	21-22	SIU	MURRAY	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+4.4
44	22-22	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Lillian Dempkey	+4.1
45	22-23	SIU	MURRAY	Bad set	McKenzie Moeller		+5.2
46	23-23	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	+4.8
47	24-23	SIU	SIU	Blocked	Maezi Snyder	blk Ella Swansiger, Chloe Anderson	+8.7
48	24-24	SIU	MURRAY	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+5.9
49	25-24	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Ella McFarland	+5.9
50	25-25	SIU	MURRAY×3	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+5.9
51	25-26	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Ella McFarland		+9.4
52	25-27	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Samantha Nelson	+10.4
Set 2
1	1-0	SIU	SIU×14	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+2.8
2	2-0	SIU	SIU×14	Blocked	Anne Makowski	blk Chloe Anderson, Ella Swansiger	+2.6
3	3-0	SIU	SIU×14	Kill	Chloe Anderson		+2.4
4	4-0	SIU	SIU×14	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Mija Sagadin Pristovnik	+2.1
5	5-0	SIU	SIU×14	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set McKenzie Moeller	+1.8
6	6-0	SIU	SIU×14	Attack err	Maezi Snyder		+1.5
7	7-0	SIU	SIU×14	Attack err	Maezi Snyder		+1.2
8	8-0	SIU	SIU×14	Blocked	Anne Makowski	blk Chloe Anderson, Ella Swansiger	+0.9
9	9-0	SIU	SIU×14	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	+0.6
10	10-0	SIU	SIU×14	Attack err	Mija Sagadin Pristovnik		+0.4
11	11-0	SIU	SIU×14	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+0.3
12	12-0	SIU	SIU×14	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Mija Sagadin Pristovnik	+0.2
13	13-0	SIU	SIU×14	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Ella McFarland	+0.1
14	14-0	SIU	SIU×14	Attack err	Alexa Watts		·
15	14-1	SIU	MURRAY	Attack err	Chloe Anderson		·
16	14-2	MURRAY	MURRAY	Blocked	McKenzie Moeller	blk Alexa Watts, Maezi Snyder	·
17	15-2	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	·
18	15-3	SIU	MURRAY×4	Serve err	Southern Ill.		·
19	15-4	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Ida Almkvist		+0.1
20	15-5	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Ida Almkvist		+0.1
21	15-6	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Ace	Murray St.	aced McKenzie Moeller	+0.2
22	16-6	MURRAY	SIU×8	Kill	Ida Almkvist	set Ella McFarland	+0.2
23	17-6	SIU	SIU×8	Blocked	Alexa Watts	blk Ida Almkvist, Beatriz Piaia	+0.1
24	18-6	SIU	SIU×8	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set McKenzie Moeller	+0.1
25	19-6	SIU	SIU×8	Attack err	Alexa Watts		·
26	20-6	SIU	SIU×8	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	·
27	21-6	SIU	SIU×8	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Ceren Durak	·
28	22-6	SIU	SIU×8	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	·
29	23-6	SIU	SIU×8	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	·
30	23-7	SIU	MURRAY	Blocked	Beatriz Piaia	blk Maezi Snyder	·
31	24-7	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Ella McFarland	·
32	24-8	SIU	MURRAY×3	Serve err	Southern Ill.		·
33	24-9	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Ida Almkvist		·
34	24-10	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Ida Almkvist		·
35	25-10	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Lillian Dempkey	·
Set 3
1	1-0	MURRAY	SIU×4	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+2.0
2	2-0	SIU	SIU×4	Blocked	Ceren Durak	blk Chloe Anderson, Ella Swansiger	+2.8
3	3-0	SIU	SIU×4	Attack err	Ceren Durak		+2.6
4	4-0	SIU	SIU×4	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Ceren Durak	+2.3
5	4-1	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+1.5
6	4-2	MURRAY	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Paige Brock	+2.5
7	5-2	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Ella McFarland	+1.8
8	6-2	SIU	SIU	Blocked	Alexa Watts	blk Beatriz Piaia	+2.4
9	6-3	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Samantha Nelson	+1.5
10	7-3	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Ella McFarland	+1.6
11	8-3	SIU	SIU	Attack err	Alexa Watts		+2.0
12	8-4	SIU	MURRAY×3	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Lily Burnett	+1.2
13	8-5	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Alexandria Arrington	+2.2
14	8-6	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Kathryn Titus	+2.7
15	9-6	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.0
16	9-7	SIU	MURRAY	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+1.9
17	10-7	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.1
18	10-8	SIU	MURRAY	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+2.0
19	11-8	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.1
20	11-9	SIU	MURRAY×3	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Kathryn Titus	+2.0
21	11-10	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+3.5
22	11-11	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+4.0
23	12-11	MURRAY	SIU×4	Serve err	Murray St.		+2.8
24	13-11	SIU	SIU×4	Attack err	Ceren Durak		+3.9
25	14-11	SIU	SIU×4	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Alexa Watts	+3.4
26	15-11	SIU	SIU×4	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Ella McFarland	+2.8
27	15-12	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Paige Brock	+1.6
28	16-12	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	+2.0
29	17-12	SIU	SIU	Attack err	Ceren Durak		+2.2
30	17-13	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+1.1
31	18-13	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Ella McFarland	+1.4
32	18-14	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+1.0
33	19-14	MURRAY	SIU×3	Blocked	Maezi Snyder	blk Beatriz Piaia, Natalie Vance	+1.4
34	20-14	SIU	SIU×3	Blocked	Alexa Watts	blk Ida Almkvist, McKenzie Moeller	+1.3
35	21-14	SIU	SIU×3	Attack err	Lily Burnett		+0.7
36	21-15	SIU	MURRAY	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+0.2
37	22-15	MURRAY	SIU×4	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Lillian Dempkey	+0.4
38	23-15	SIU	SIU×4	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Samantha Nelson	+0.2
39	24-15	SIU	SIU×4	Ace	Southern Ill.		·
40	25-15	SIU	SIU×4	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Julia Laidig	·
Set 4
1	1-0	SIU	SIU	Blocked	Alexa Watts	blk Chloe Anderson, Ella Swansiger	+2.5
2	1-1	SIU	MURRAY	Attack err	Ella Swansiger		+1.8
3	2-1	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Ella McFarland	+1.7
4	2-2	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+1.8
5	3-2	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Ella McFarland	+1.8
6	3-3	SIU	MURRAY×3	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+1.9
7	3-4	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+2.9
8	3-5	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Samantha Nelson	+3.1
9	4-5	MURRAY	SIU	Attack err	Lily Burnett		+2.0
10	4-6	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Lily Burnett	+2.2
11	4-7	MURRAY	MURRAY	Attack err	Paige Brock		+3.2
12	5-7	MURRAY	SIU×3	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.9
13	6-7	SIU	SIU×3	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Lillian Dempkey	+3.0
14	7-7	SIU	SIU×3	Attack err	Lily Burnett		+3.1
15	7-8	SIU	MURRAY×4	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+2.3
16	7-9	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+3.4
17	7-10	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+3.4
18	7-11	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Ace	Murray St.		+3.3
19	8-11	MURRAY	SIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+1.9
20	8-12	SIU	MURRAY	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+2.4
21	9-12	MURRAY	SIU×3	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.9
22	10-12	SIU	SIU×3	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Paige Brock	+3.2
23	11-12	SIU	SIU×3	Ace	Southern Ill.	aced Lily Burnett	+3.5
24	11-13	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Samantha Nelson	+2.7
25	11-14	MURRAY	MURRAY	Ace	Murray St.	aced Jillian Shaneyfelt	+3.9
26	12-14	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+2.3
27	13-14	SIU	SIU	Blocked	Alexa Watts	blk Alexandria Arrington, Chloe Anderson	+3.7
28	13-15	SIU	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Alexandria Arrington		+3.0
29	13-16	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Samantha Nelson	+4.2
30	13-17	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Blocked	Ella Swansiger	blk Maezi Snyder, Anne Makowski	+3.8
31	14-17	MURRAY	SIU	Serve err	Murray St.		+1.9
32	14-18	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+2.7
33	15-18	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	+1.9
34	15-19	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+2.7
35	16-19	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set McKenzie Moeller	+1.8
36	16-20	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+2.8
37	17-20	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+1.8
38	17-21	SIU	MURRAY×3	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+2.8
39	17-22	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Chloe Anderson		+2.6
40	17-23	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Blocked	McKenzie Moeller	blk Teodora Cickovic, Alexa Watts	+1.3
41	18-23	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set McKenzie Moeller	+0.3
42	18-24	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+0.6
43	19-24	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+0.1
44	19-25	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+1.7
Set 5
1	0-1	SIU	MURRAY×3	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+6.3
2	0-2	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Ella Swansiger		+9.5
3	0-3	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Blocked	McKenzie Moeller	blk Teodora Cickovic, Alexa Watts	+9.4
4	1-3	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Ella McFarland	+5.5
5	1-4	SIU	MURRAY	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+6.8
6	2-4	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Ella McFarland	+5.6
7	2-5	SIU	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+7.0
8	3-5	MURRAY	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	+5.8
9	3-6	SIU	MURRAY×3	Serve err	Southern Ill.		+7.3
10	3-7	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Beatriz Piaia		+9.4
11	3-8	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+7.7
12	4-8	MURRAY	SIU×3	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	+3.5
13	5-8	SIU	SIU×3	Attack err	Maezi Snyder		+7.0
14	6-8	SIU	SIU×3	Kill	Beatriz Piaia		+9.0
15	6-9	SIU	MURRAY×7	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+8.3
16	6-10	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Bad set	Ella McFarland		+9.9
17	6-11	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+7.0
18	6-12	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Blocked	Ella McFarland	blk Lily Burnett, Teodora Cickovic	+4.1
19	6-13	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+1.8
20	6-14	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Attack err	Beatriz Piaia		+0.6
21	6-15	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Kill	Paige Brock	set McKenzie Moeller	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Southern Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Murray St. def. Southern Ill. 3–2

RallyIQ gave Murray St. 28%. Murray St. won anyway.