Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on B1G+

Washington def. Rutgers 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Washington 94.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 8:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Washington beat visiting Rutgers 3-1 (25-21, 23-25, 25-16, 33-31) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Washington's Simona Mateska led with 21 kills, and Kaitlyn Nguyen added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
RUTGER212516311
WASH252325333

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Washington won every phase.

The biggest single-rally swing was 7.6 points, and Rutgers's high was 22% in Set 4. The numbers below are where it was won. RallyIQ gave Washington 95% before first serve.

RutgersWashington
  • Longest run+-2
    75

    5 straight Washington points in the third set stretched a 10–9 lead to 15–9. That set ended 25–16.

Washington above 50Rutgers belowMax swing 7.6%

RutgersWashington

Hitting
Rutgers .199·Washington .275
Aces
Rutgers 7·Washington 8
Serve err
Rutgers 15·Washington 13
Blocks
Rutgers 4·Washington 61 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Rutgers 56·Washington 68

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Washington above 50 · Rutgers below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.6% WASHrally 199 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.6% to Washington — set 4, RUTGER 24-24 WASH. Ace by Kaitlyn Nguyen on Skylar George. WASH win probability 83% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RUTGER 7.8%92.2% WASH

Rutgers wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
4.5%

Washington wins

3-0
48.6%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
12.4%
RUTGER break %
36.3% vs this opp
WASH break %
47.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Kaitlyn Nguyen on Skylar George

    Set 4 · RUTGER 24-24 WASH · WASH 83% → 90%

  2. 02
    Imani HowellAce+6.9%

    Ace by Imani Howell on Simona Mateska

    Set 4 · RUTGER 30-29 WASH · RUTGER 8% → 15%

  3. 03

    Kill by Samantha Destler (set by Andrea Fabikovicova)

    Set 4 · RUTGER 24-25 WASH · WASH 90% → 96%

  4. 04
    Alleigh DuttonBad set+5.6%

    Bad set by Alleigh Dutton

    Set 4 · RUTGER 31-32 WASH · WASH 90% → 96%

  5. 05
    Imani HowellService error+4.9%

    Service error by Imani Howell

    Set 4 · RUTGER 30-30 WASH · WASH 85% → 90%

  6. 06
    Simona MateskaBad set+4.9%

    Bad set by Simona Mateska

    Set 4 · RUTGER 31-30 WASH · RUTGER 10% → 15%

  7. 07
    Malia RomesService error+4.9%

    Service error by Malia Romes

    Set 4 · RUTGER 31-31 WASH · WASH 85% → 90%

  8. 08

    Kill by Samantha Destler (set by Andrea Fabikovicova)

    Set 4 · RUTGER 31-33 WASH · WASH 96% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411424.2920432012217
412333.2731011000012
410329.2410048100010
4000–22031100000
35217.176001000005
31210-.100000200001
412430.2670003002113
4011-1.0001821900002
4000–301820000
4000–300210000
3000–011430001
2014-.250000200000
2000–000100000
1005.00000031010.50.5
1003.00000000010.50.5
1000–000000000
Team totals5120156.1994771556816493
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421748.29211110110123
48016.50002300031.511.5
49314.4290000002110
4109.1114412191052.54.5
4000–012910001
12211.000000100002
415531.3230226100017
44118.167000300004
41011.0009122000002
2015-.200001000000
Team totals6119153.275548136871106106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 RUTGER · WASH 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 RUTGERWASH 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 RUTGERWASH 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 RUTGERWASH 5

Set 4

31-33

Longest run 7 RUTGERWASH 4

Bars above the line = Washington leads, below = Rutgers leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rutgers

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
45%5/11
2
46%6/13
46%6/13
3
55%6/11
0%0/6
4
43%6/14
45%5/11
5
60%6/10
25%2/8
6
38%5/13
54%7/13
All
51%37/73
40%25/62

Washington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
22%2/9
2
60%6/10
50%7/14
3
75%6/8
45%5/11
4
55%6/11
60%9/15
5
55%6/11
25%2/8
6
56%5/9
69%11/16
All
60%37/62
49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

199 rallies

#RUTGER-WASHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WASHRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+0.6
21-1RUTGERWASHServe errSkylar George+0.5
32-1WASHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.6
42-2RUTGERWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
52-3WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.7
63-3WASHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.5
73-4RUTGERWASH×4KillKaty Wesselsset Simona Mateska+0.5
83-5WASHWASH×4KillKylie Klecknerset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.6
93-6WASHWASH×4Attack errZharia Harris-Waddy+0.5
103-7WASHWASH×4KillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
114-7WASHRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.3
125-7RUTGERRUTGERAttack errMaija Howse+0.5
135-8RUTGERWASHServe errAddison Wiemann+0.3
146-8WASHRUTGER×3Attack errKylie Kleckner+0.4
157-8RUTGERRUTGER×3KillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+0.7
168-8RUTGERRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Alleigh Dutton+0.9
178-9RUTGERWASHBad setAspen Maxwell+0.6
188-10WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.7
199-10WASHRUTGER×3KillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+0.5
2010-10RUTGERRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Kenzie Dyrstad+0.9
2111-10RUTGERRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Kenzie Dyrstad+1.2
2211-11RUTGERWASHServe errLily Bolen+0.7
2312-11WASHRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+0.9
2412-12RUTGERWASHServe errSkylar George+0.8
2513-12WASHRUTGERServe errWashington+0.9
2613-13RUTGERWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.8
2714-13WASHRUTGERServe errWashington+1.0
2814-14RUTGERWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.9
2914-15WASHWASHAttack errAspen Maxwell+1.2
3015-15WASHRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.9
3115-16RUTGERWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.8
3216-16WASHRUTGER×4Serve errWashington+0.9
3317-16RUTGERRUTGER×4BlockedKylie Klecknerblk Aspen Maxwell, Imani Howell+1.7
3418-16RUTGERRUTGER×4KillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+2.0
3519-16RUTGERRUTGER×4KillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+2.1
3619-17RUTGERWASH×3Serve errAlleigh Dutton+1.0
3719-18WASHWASH×3KillAndrea Fabikovicovaset Kenzie Dyrstad+1.8
3819-19WASHWASH×3Attack errImani Howell+1.9
3920-19WASHRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+1.6
4020-20RUTGERWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.4
4120-21WASHWASHBlockedSkylar Georgeblk Andrea Fabikovicova, Julia Hunt+2.0
4221-21WASHRUTGERBad setKaitlyn Nguyen+1.4
4321-22RUTGERWASH×4Attack errImani Howell+1.5
4421-23WASHWASH×4BlockedMalia Romesblk Simona Mateska+1.8
4521-24WASHWASH×4Attack errMalia Romes+1.0
4621-25WASHWASH×4BlockedKaris Willowblk Andrea Fabikovicova, Katy Wessels+0.3
Set 2
11-0RUTGERRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+0.5
21-1RUTGERWASHServe errImani Howell+0.3
32-1WASHRUTGER×5KillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen+0.4
43-1RUTGERRUTGER×5Attack errKaty Wessels+0.6
54-1RUTGERRUTGER×5KillAspen Maxwellset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.7
65-1RUTGERRUTGER×5Attack errSimona Mateska+0.8
76-1RUTGERRUTGER×5AceBrooke Baldwinaced Addy Azavedo+0.8
86-2RUTGERWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
97-2WASHRUTGERAttack errSamantha Destler+0.6
107-3RUTGERWASHServe errKami Dyrstad+0.4
118-3WASHRUTGERServe errWashington+0.6
129-3RUTGERRUTGERBlockedKaty Wesselsblk Imani Howell+0.8
139-4RUTGERWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
1410-4WASHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.6
1510-5RUTGERWASH×4Serve errLily Bolen+0.4
1610-6WASHWASH×4KillJulia Huntset Lily Bolen+0.7
1710-7WASHWASH×4KillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.7
1810-8WASHWASH×4AceAddy Azavedoaced Kami Dyrstad+0.8
1911-8WASHRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+0.7
2012-8RUTGERRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen+1.0
2112-9RUTGERWASHKillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
2213-9WASHRUTGERAttack errSimona Mateska+0.7
2314-9RUTGERRUTGERAttack errSamantha Destler+1.0
2414-10RUTGERWASHBlockedAddison Wiemannblk Andrea Fabikovicova, Julia Hunt+0.5
2514-11WASHWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.8
2615-11WASHRUTGERServe errWashington+0.8
2715-12RUTGERWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
2815-13WASHWASH×3Attack errBrooke Baldwin+0.9
2915-14WASHWASH×3Attack errAspen Maxwell+0.9
3016-14WASHRUTGERServe errWashington+0.8
3116-15RUTGERWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.6
3216-16WASHWASH×3AceSimona Mateskaaced Kami Dyrstad+1.0
3316-17WASHWASH×3KillSamantha Destlerset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.9
3417-17WASHRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Kenzie Dyrstad+0.7
3518-17RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errSkylar George+1.2
3619-17RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errKaty Wessels+1.4
3719-18RUTGERWASHKillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.8
3819-19WASHWASHAttack errSkylar George+1.2
3920-19WASHRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Alleigh Dutton+1.0
4020-20RUTGERWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.9
4121-20WASHRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+1.2
4222-20RUTGERRUTGERAttack errSamantha Destler+1.9
4322-21RUTGERWASHKillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.9
4423-21WASHRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Malia Romes+1.6
4524-21RUTGERRUTGERKillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen+1.9
4624-22RUTGERWASHBlockedAddison Wiemannblk Julia Hunt, Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
4724-23WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.4
4825-23WASHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Alleigh Dutton+2.7
Set 3
10-1WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.4
21-1WASHRUTGER×3KillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+1.1
32-1RUTGERRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.8
43-1RUTGERRUTGER×3KillAddison Wiemannset Lily Bolen+2.1
53-2RUTGERWASH×3KillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.2
63-3WASHWASH×3KillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.7
73-4WASHWASH×3KillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.6
84-4WASHRUTGERAttack errSamantha Destler+1.2
94-5RUTGERWASHServe errBrooke Baldwin+1.1
105-5WASHRUTGER×3KillAspen Maxwellset Addy Azavedo+1.2
116-5RUTGERRUTGER×3KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+2.1
127-5RUTGERRUTGER×3AceKami Dyrstad+2.4
137-6RUTGERWASH×4Attack errZharia Harris-Waddy+1.4
147-7WASHWASH×4AceSamantha Destleraced Kami Dyrstad+2.0
157-8WASHWASH×4AceSamantha Destleraced Kenzie Dyrstad+1.8
167-9WASHWASH×4KillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+1.6
178-9WASHRUTGERServe errSamantha Destler+1.1
188-10RUTGERWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.1
199-10WASHRUTGERServe errWashington+1.2
209-11RUTGERWASH×5Serve errLily Bolen+1.1
219-12WASHWASH×5KillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+1.4
229-13WASHWASH×5AceAndrea Fabikovicovaaced Alleigh Dutton+1.1
239-14WASHWASH×5Attack errImani Howell+0.8
249-15WASHWASH×5KillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.5
2510-15WASHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.3
2610-16RUTGERWASHAttack errMalia Romes+0.3
2711-16WASHRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+0.3
2811-17RUTGERWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.3
2912-17WASHRUTGERServe errWashington+0.3
3012-18RUTGERWASH×3KillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.3
3112-19WASHWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.3
3212-20WASHWASH×3KillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.1
3313-20WASHRUTGERServe errWashington·
3413-21RUTGERWASHKillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.1
3514-21WASHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin·
3615-21RUTGERRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Alleigh Dutton+0.1
3715-22RUTGERWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.1
3815-23WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.1
3916-23WASHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin·
4016-24RUTGERWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova·
4116-25WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Lily Bolen·
Set 4
11-0RUTGERRUTGERAttack errSimona Mateska+1.2
21-1RUTGERWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.8
32-1WASHRUTGERAttack errSamantha Destler+0.9
42-2RUTGERWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.8
53-2WASHRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+1.0
63-3RUTGERWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.8
74-3WASHRUTGERServe errWashington+1.0
85-3RUTGERRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+1.6
95-4RUTGERWASH×3KillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.0
105-5WASHWASH×3Attack errAspen Maxwell+1.4
115-6WASHWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+1.2
126-6WASHRUTGERBlockedSimona Mateskablk Imani Howell, Aspen Maxwell+0.9
136-7RUTGERWASH×4KillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.8
146-8WASHWASH×4AceJulia Huntaced Avery Jesewitz+1.1
156-9WASHWASH×4BlockedSkylar Georgeblk Andrea Fabikovicova, Katy Wessels+0.9
166-10WASHWASH×4AceJulia Huntaced Alleigh Dutton+0.7
177-10WASHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.5
187-11RUTGERWASHKillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
197-12WASHWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
208-12WASHRUTGER×7KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.3
219-12RUTGERRUTGER×7AceImani Howell+0.7
2210-12RUTGERRUTGER×7Attack errSimona Mateska+0.9
2311-12RUTGERRUTGER×7AceImani Howell+1.3
2412-12RUTGERRUTGER×7BlockedAddie Kanouffblk Avery Jesewitz, Natalie Robinson+1.7
2513-12RUTGERRUTGER×7AceImani Howellaced Samantha Destler+2.1
2614-12RUTGERRUTGER×7Attack errSimona Mateska+2.4
2714-13RUTGERWASHServe errImani Howell+1.4
2815-13WASHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.8
2916-13RUTGERRUTGERAceBrooke Baldwinaced Andrea Fabikovicova+2.8
3016-14RUTGERWASHKillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.5
3117-14WASHRUTGER×3KillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+2.1
3218-14RUTGERRUTGER×3KillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+2.9
3319-14RUTGERRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+2.6
3419-15RUTGERWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.1
3520-15WASHRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+1.8
3620-16RUTGERWASHAttack errAspen Maxwell+1.0
3720-17WASHWASHAttack errImani Howell+2.0
3821-17WASHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+2.3
3921-18RUTGERWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.2
4022-18WASHRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+2.3
4122-19RUTGERWASHServe errSkylar George+1.1
4222-20WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+2.5
4323-20WASHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+3.1
4423-21RUTGERWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+1.5
4524-21WASHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+3.3
4624-22RUTGERWASH×4KillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.1
4724-23WASHWASH×4KillKaitlyn Nguyenset Brooke Baldwin+3.5
4824-24WASHWASH×4AceKaitlyn Nguyenaced Skylar George+7.6
4924-25WASHWASH×4KillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+5.6
5025-25WASHRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+3.7
5125-26RUTGERWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+3.7
5226-26WASHRUTGERServe errWashington+3.7
5326-27RUTGERWASHKillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+3.7
5427-27RUTGER
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.7
5527-28RUTGERWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+3.7
5628-28WASHRUTGERAttack errSimona Mateska+3.7
5728-29RUTGERWASHServe errSkylar George+3.7
5829-29WASHRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+3.7
5930-29RUTGERRUTGERAceImani Howellaced Simona Mateska+6.9
6030-30RUTGERWASHServe errImani Howell+4.9
6131-30WASHRUTGERBad setSimona Mateska+4.9
6231-31RUTGERWASH×3Serve errMalia Romes+4.9
6331-32WASHWASH×3Bad setAlleigh Dutton+5.6
6431-33WASHWASH×3KillSamantha Destlerset Andrea Fabikovicova+4.1

Score shown after each rally, Rutgers first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).