FinalFri, Aug 21, 2026

AwaySEC

3:0

HomeBIG-TEN

Kentucky def. Wisconsin 3–0

(25-20, 26-24, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
UK	25	26	25	3
WISC	20	24	18	0

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WISC above 50 · UK below

Biggest swing: 6.1% to Kentucky — set 2, UK 26-24 WISC. Kill by Lizzie Carr. WISC win probability 11% → 5%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UK 73.3%26.7% WISC

Kentucky wins

3-0

25.7%

3-1

28.1%

3-2

19.6%

Wisconsin wins

3-0

4.8%

3-1

9.2%

3-2

12.6%

UK break %: 40.8% vs this opp
WISC break %: 36.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lizzie CarrKill+6.1%
Kill by Lizzie Carr
Set 2 · UK 26-24 WISC · UK 89% → 95%
02
Charlie FuerbringerBad set+4.2%
Bad set by Charlie Fuerbringer
Set 2 · UK 24-23 WISC · UK 84% → 89%
03
Eva TravisKill+4.2%
Kill by Eva Travis (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)
Set 2 · UK 24-24 WISC · WISC 11% → 16%
04
Lizzie CarrKill+4.2%
Kill by Lizzie Carr (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 2 · UK 25-24 WISC · UK 84% → 89%
05
Morgan GaerteAttack error+3.7%
Attack error by Morgan Gaerte
Set 2 · UK 20-20 WISC · WISC 12% → 16%
06
Brooklyn DeLeyeKill+3.4%
Kill by Brooklyn DeLeye (set by Kassie O'Brien)
Set 2 · UK 23-22 WISC · UK 84% → 88%
07
Eva TravisKill+3.3%
Kill by Eva Travis (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)
Set 2 · UK 23-23 WISC · WISC 12% → 16%
08
Audrey FlanaganAttack error+3.0%
Audrey Flanagan stuffed by Lizzie Carr & Morgan Gaerte
Set 1 · UK 20-17 WISC · UK 78% → 81%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Kentuckyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Brooklyn DeLeyeOH	3	12	2	31	.323	2	1	3	6	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
15Lizzie CarrMB	3	8	0	14	.571	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	10
20Asia ThigpenOH	3	7	2	19	.263	0	0	1	8	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
10Kennedy WashingtonMB	3	4	3	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	6
6Kassie O'BrienS	3	2	0	2	1.000	33	0	1	9	0	1	3	2.5	4.5
1Trinity WardL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
18Morgan GaerteOH	3	10	1	17	.529	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	12.5
27Brynn CovellS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
12Molly TuozzoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	12	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	8	92	.380	39	2	7	45	4	2	16	10	76

Wisconsinhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Audrey FlanaganOH	3	9	6	31	.097	1	0	1	9	1	0	0	9
4Jaela AugusteMB	3	7	1	14	.429	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
32Grace EganOH	3	3	4	13	-.077	1	2	3	4	0	0	0	5
23Grace LopezOH	3	1	0	4	.250	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	2
24Charlie FuerbringerS	3	1	0	3	.333	36	0	0	8	0	2	1	2
12Natalie WardlowMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Eva TravisOH	3	13	8	32	.156	0	0	0	2	1	3	1.5	14.5
20Lynney TarnowMB	3	8	1	14	.500	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	9
2Anna BardaroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	5	0	0	0	0
7Kristen SimonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	0
10Madison QuestOH	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Isabelle HoppeS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		42	21	113	.186	41	4	9	38	2	10	5	62

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 UK · WISC 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 UKWISC 4

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 3 UKWISC 4

Set 3*

25-18

Longest run 5 UKWISC 3

Bars above the line = Wisconsin leads, below = Kentucky leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Kentucky

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%6/8	38%3/8
2	86%6/7	50%6/12
3	60%6/10	40%4/10
4	83%5/6	29%2/7
5	63%5/8	29%2/7
6	83%5/6	17%1/6
All	73%33/45	36%18/50

Wisconsin

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%6/12	0%0/6
2	50%6/12	25%2/8
3	71%5/7	25%2/8
4	63%5/8	44%4/9
5	83%5/6	38%3/8
6	100%5/5	17%1/6
All	64%32/50	27%12/45

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

138 rallies

Rally log

#	UK-WISC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	WISC	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.3
2	1-1	UK	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.4
3	2-1	WISC	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.3
4	2-2	UK	WISC	Serve err	UK server		+1.4
5	3-2	WISC	UK	Serve err	WISC server		+1.4
6	4-2	UK	UK	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+2.1
7	4-3	UK	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.3
8	5-3	WISC	UK	Attack err	Eva Travis		+1.3
9	5-4	UK	WISC	Attack err	Kennedy Washington	blk Jaela Auguste, Eva Travis	+1.3
10	6-4	WISC	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.4
11	6-5	UK	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.4
12	7-5	WISC	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.4
13	7-6	UK	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.4
14	8-6	WISC	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.4
15	8-7	UK	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.4
16	9-7	WISC	UK×3	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.5
17	10-7	UK	UK×3	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+2.1
18	11-7	UK	UK×3	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Molly Tuozzo	+1.8
19	11-8	UK	WISC	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.0
20	12-8	WISC	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.1
21	12-9	UK	WISC	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.0
22	12-10	WISC	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.0
23	13-10	WISC	UK×3	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Molly Tuozzo	+1.4
24	14-10	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Eva Travis		+1.9
25	15-10	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Jaela Auguste	blk Asia Thigpen, Kennedy Washington	+1.4
26	15-11	UK	WISC×4	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.7
27	15-12	WISC	WISC×4	Attack err	Kennedy Washington	blk Natalie Wardlow, Eva Travis	+1.5
28	15-13	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.1
29	15-14	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.8
30	16-14	WISC	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.9
31	17-14	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+2.7
32	17-15	UK	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.4
33	17-16	WISC	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.0
34	18-16	WISC	UK	Kill	Kassie O'Brien	set Trinity Ward	+2.1
35	18-17	UK	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.0
36	19-17	WISC	UK×4	Serve err	WISC server		+2.3
37	20-17	UK	UK×4	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan	blk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte	+3.0
38	21-17	UK	UK×4	Attack err	Grace Egan		+2.0
39	22-17	UK	UK×4	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.1
40	22-18	UK	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.3
41	23-18	WISC	UK	Serve err	WISC server		+0.6
42	24-18	UK	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.3
43	24-19	UK	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
44	24-20	WISC	WISC	Ace	WISC server	aced Team	+0.1
45	25-20	WISC	UK	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan	blk Morgan Gaerte	+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	UK	UK	Attack err	Eva Travis	blk Brooklyn DeLeye, Lizzie Carr	+1.7
2	1-1	UK	WISC×3	Serve err	UK server		+1.1
3	1-2	WISC	WISC×3	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Kristen Simon	+1.9
4	1-3	WISC	WISC×3	Ace	WISC server	aced Team	+2.0
5	2-3	WISC	UK×3	Serve err	WISC server		+1.2
6	3-3	UK	UK×3	Kill	Asia Thigpen		+1.9
7	4-3	UK	UK×3	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.9
8	4-4	UK	WISC	Serve err	UK server		+1.2
9	5-4	WISC	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.2
10	5-5	UK	WISC×4	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.2
11	5-6	WISC	WISC×4	Attack err	Asia Thigpen	blk Charlie Fuerbringer, Jaela Auguste	+2.1
12	5-7	WISC	WISC×4	Ace	WISC server	aced Team	+2.2
13	5-8	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Charlie Fuerbringer	set Anna Bardaro	+2.3
14	6-8	WISC	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.2
15	6-9	UK	WISC	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.5
16	7-9	WISC	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.3
17	7-10	UK	WISC	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.5
18	8-10	WISC	UK	Kill	Kassie O'Brien		+1.3
19	8-11	UK	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.6
20	9-11	WISC	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.3
21	9-12	UK	WISC	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+1.6
22	10-12	WISC	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.3
23	11-12	UK	UK	Ace	UK server	aced Audrey Flanagan	+2.4
24	11-13	UK	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.7
25	12-13	WISC	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.5
26	13-13	UK	UK	Attack err	Grace Egan		+2.6
27	13-14	UK	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.8
28	14-14	WISC	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.7
29	15-14	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Trinity Ward	+2.7
30	15-15	UK	WISC	Serve err	UK server		+1.7
31	16-15	WISC	UK	Attack err	Eva Travis	blk Kassie O'Brien, Kennedy Washington	+1.7
32	16-16	UK	WISC	Serve err	UK server		+1.8
33	17-16	WISC	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+1.9
34	17-17	UK	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.9
35	18-17	WISC	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+2.0
36	19-17	UK	UK	Attack err	Grace Egan	blk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte	+3.0
37	19-18	UK	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.6
38	20-18	WISC	UK	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+1.9
39	20-19	UK	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.7
40	20-20	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte		+3.7
41	21-20	WISC	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+2.6
42	21-21	UK	WISC	Serve err	UK server		+2.6
43	22-21	WISC	UK	Serve err	WISC server		+2.9
44	22-22	UK	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.9
45	23-22	WISC	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+3.4
46	23-23	UK	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.3
47	24-23	WISC	UK	Bad set	Charlie Fuerbringer		+4.2
48	24-24	UK	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+4.2
49	25-24	WISC	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+4.2
50	26-24	UK	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr		+6.1
Set 3
1	0-1	WISC	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow		+1.0
2	1-1	WISC	UK×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
3	2-1	UK	UK×4	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Brooklyn DeLeye	+1.0
4	3-1	UK	UK×4	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+0.9
5	4-1	UK	UK×4	Attack err	Lynney Tarnow		+0.8
6	4-2	UK	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.5
7	5-2	WISC	UK	Attack err	Grace Egan	blk Morgan Gaerte, Lizzie Carr	+0.5
8	5-3	UK	WISC	Kill	Grace Lopez	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.5
9	6-3	WISC	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.5
10	6-4	UK	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Grace Egan	+0.5
11	7-4	WISC	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.5
12	8-4	UK	UK	Ace	UK server	aced Eva Travis	+0.8
13	8-5	UK	WISC×3	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.4
14	8-6	WISC	WISC×3	Ace	WISC server	aced Asia Thigpen	+0.8
15	8-7	WISC	WISC×3	Attack err	Asia Thigpen		+1.0
16	9-7	WISC	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.7
17	9-8	UK	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Anna Bardaro	+0.7
18	10-8	WISC	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.7
19	10-9	UK	WISC	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye	blk Lynney Tarnow, Eva Travis	+0.7
20	11-9	WISC	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.7
21	11-10	UK	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.7
22	12-10	WISC	UK	Serve err	WISC server		+0.7
23	13-10	UK	UK	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+1.0
24	13-11	UK	WISC	Serve err	UK server		+0.6
25	14-11	WISC	UK	Serve err	WISC server		+0.7
26	15-11	UK	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.9
27	15-12	UK	WISC	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.4
28	15-13	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Kennedy Washington		+1.0
29	16-13	WISC	UK×5	Serve err	WISC server		+0.7
30	17-13	UK	UK×5	Attack err	Eva Travis	blk Kennedy Washington, Kassie O'Brien	+0.9
31	18-13	UK	UK×5	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.6
32	19-13	UK	UK×5	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Brooklyn DeLeye	+0.4
33	20-13	UK	UK×5	Attack err	Eva Travis	blk Kassie O'Brien	+0.2
34	20-14	UK	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
35	20-15	WISC	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Audrey Flanagan	+0.2
36	21-15	WISC	UK	Attack err	Eva Travis	blk Kennedy Washington, Kassie O'Brien	+0.2
37	21-16	UK	WISC	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye	blk Lynney Tarnow, Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
38	22-16	WISC	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.2
39	23-16	UK	UK	Attack err	Eva Travis		+0.1
40	23-17	UK	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
41	23-18	WISC	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
42	24-18	WISC	UK	Serve err	WISC server		+0.1
43	25-18	UK	UK	Attack err	Madison Quest		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Kentucky first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.