Louisville def. Texas A&M 3–1
(25-20, 25-23, 20-25, 25-21)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOUIS | 25 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 3 |
| TX A&M | 20 | 23 | 25 | 21 | 1 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 5.8% to Louisville — set 2, LOUIS 25-23 TX A&M. Kill by Hannah Sherman (set by Chloe Meester). TX A&M win probability 11% → 5%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Louisville wins
Texas A&M wins
- LOUIS break %
- 43.4% vs this opp
- TX A&M break %
- 38.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Hannah ShermanKill+5.8%
Kill by Hannah Sherman (set by Chloe Meester)
Set 2 · LOUIS 25-23 TX A&M · LOUIS 89% → 95%
- 02Kaia CastleAttack error+4.4%
Kaia Castle stuffed by Hannah Sherman & Chloe Meester
Set 2 · LOUIS 24-23 TX A&M · LOUIS 85% → 89%
- 03Kirra MusgroveAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Kirra Musgrove
Set 2 · LOUIS 22-21 TX A&M · LOUIS 83% → 88%
- 04Hannah ShermanAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Hannah Sherman
Set 4 · LOUIS 17-17 TX A&M · TX A&M 11% → 15%
- 05Natalie RingKill+4.2%
Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Kirra Musgrove)
Set 2 · LOUIS 20-21 TX A&M · TX A&M 15% → 19%
- 06Kaia CastleAttack error+4.1%
Kaia Castle stuffed by Hannah Sherman
Set 4 · LOUIS 19-17 TX A&M · LOUIS 88% → 92%
- 07Nayelis CabelloKill+3.5%
Kill by Nayelis Cabello (set by Chloe Chicoine)
Set 2 · LOUIS 23-22 TX A&M · LOUIS 85% → 88%
- 08Chloe ChicoineKill+3.5%
Kill by Chloe Chicoine (set by Payton Petersen)
Set 2 · LOUIS 20-19 TX A&M · LOUIS 84% → 87%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 19 | 3 | 38 | .421 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 20.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 9 | 34 | .059 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 20 | .350 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
| 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | .364 | 45 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 25 | 133 | .241 | 56 | 2 | 11 | 65 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 9 | 54 | .037 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 25 | .240 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 16 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 25 | .160 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .333 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 48 | 25 | 151 | .152 | 46 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 89 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-20
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
20-25
Set 4
25-21
Bars above the line = Texas A&M leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Louisville
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%12/18 | 33%5/15 |
| 2 | 63%12/19 | 29%5/17 |
| 3 | 73%11/15 | 37%7/19 |
| 4 | 82%9/11 | 50%9/18 |
| 5 | 82%9/11 | 18%2/11 |
| 6 | 50%8/16 | 43%6/14 |
| All | 68%61/90 | 36%34/94 |
Texas A&M
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80%12/15 | 9%1/11 |
| 2 | 57%12/21 | 45%10/22 |
| 3 | 61%11/18 | 29%5/17 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 23%3/13 |
| 5 | 67%8/12 | 10%1/10 |
| 6 | 57%8/14 | 53%9/17 |
| All | 64%60/94 | 32%29/90 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
184 rallies
Rally log
| # | LOUIS-TX A&M | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LOUIS | TX A&M×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +1.5 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | blk Taryn Morris, Eliza Sharp | +2.3 |
| 3 | 0-3 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | TX A&M | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Lily Nicholson | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Payton Petersen | +2.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Lily Nicholson | +1.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Serve err | TX A&M server | +1.5 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Serve err | LOUIS server | +1.7 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Attack err | Megan Fitch | blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Brooke Bultema | +1.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +1.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Kirra Musgrove | +2.6 |
| 13 | 6-7 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Serve err | TX A&M server | +1.6 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Kirra Musgrove | set Addi Applegate | +1.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.7 |
| 16 | 8-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Natalie Ring | +2.5 |
| 17 | 8-9 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +1.9 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.8 |
| 19 | 9-10 | LOUIS | TX A&M×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +1.9 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Chloe Meester | blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring | +2.9 |
| 21 | 9-12 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Ace | TX A&M server | aced Chloe Meester | +2.9 |
| 22 | 10-12 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Hannah Sherman | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.7 |
| 23 | 10-13 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Serve err | LOUIS server | +2.1 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.8 |
| 25 | 11-14 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Kirra Musgrove | +2.2 |
| 26 | 12-14 | TX A&M | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.8 |
| 27 | 13-14 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Megan Fitch | +3.0 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +3.1 |
| 29 | 15-14 | LOUIS | LOUIS×4 | Attack err | Natalie Ring | +3.1 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +2.2 |
| 31 | 16-15 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.2 |
| 32 | 16-16 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Kaia Castle | set Kirra Musgrove | +2.3 |
| 33 | 17-16 | TX A&M | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.4 |
| 34 | 18-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Hannah Kenny | +3.2 |
| 35 | 19-16 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Megan Fitch | +2.7 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Kaia Castle | set Lily Nicholson | +1.5 |
| 37 | 20-17 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Attack err | Natalie Ring | +1.9 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | +1.5 |
| 39 | 21-18 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.0 |
| 40 | 22-18 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Ace | LOUIS server | aced Team | +1.9 |
| 41 | 22-19 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.8 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.2 |
| 43 | 23-20 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring | +0.6 |
| 44 | 24-20 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.1 |
| 45 | 25-20 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Eliza Sharp | blk Chloe Chicoine, Brooke Bultema | +0.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Hannah Sherman | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Lily Nicholson | +1.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | +1.1 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Attack err | Natalie Ring | +1.1 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.5 |
| 7 | 4-3 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Serve err | LOUIS server | +1.1 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.1 |
| 9 | 5-4 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Serve err | LOUIS server | +1.1 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Kirra Musgrove | +1.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.1 |
| 13 | 7-6 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Lily Nicholson | +1.1 |
| 14 | 8-6 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Hannah Sherman | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.2 |
| 15 | 8-7 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Lily Nicholson | +1.2 |
| 16 | 8-8 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | +1.9 |
| 17 | 9-8 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Serve err | LOUIS server | +1.2 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Kirra Musgrove | +2.0 |
| 21 | 11-10 | TX A&M | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.4 |
| 22 | 12-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.9 |
| 23 | 13-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Eliza Sharp | +1.7 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Kirra Musgrove | set Natalie Ring | +1.1 |
| 25 | 13-12 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Gabi Rodriguez | +1.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.4 |
| 27 | 14-13 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +1.4 |
| 28 | 15-13 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Serve err | TX A&M server | +1.5 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Kaia Castle | +1.9 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | LOUIS | TX A&M×4 | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +1.2 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | TX A&M | TX A&M×4 | Attack err | Hannah Sherman | +2.1 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | TX A&M | TX A&M×4 | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Kirra Musgrove | +2.6 |
| 33 | 16-17 | TX A&M | TX A&M×4 | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Kirra Musgrove | +3.0 |
| 34 | 17-17 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Serve err | TX A&M server | +2.0 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Lily Nicholson | +2.3 |
| 36 | 18-18 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Attack err | Natalie Ring | blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Hannah Sherman | +2.1 |
| 37 | 18-19 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | blk Kaia Castle, Natalie Ring | +2.5 |
| 38 | 19-19 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.3 |
| 39 | 20-19 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Payton Petersen | +3.5 |
| 40 | 20-20 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Lily Nicholson | +2.4 |
| 41 | 20-21 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Kirra Musgrove | +4.2 |
| 42 | 21-21 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Serve err | TX A&M server | +2.7 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Kirra Musgrove | +4.4 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Attack err | Chloe Meester | blk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp | +3.0 |
| 45 | 23-22 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Chloe Chicoine | +3.5 |
| 46 | 23-23 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Kirra Musgrove | +3.5 |
| 47 | 24-23 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Attack err | Kaia Castle | blk Hannah Sherman, Chloe Meester | +4.4 |
| 48 | 25-23 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Hannah Sherman | set Chloe Meester | +5.8 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | +0.6 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Ace | TX A&M server | aced Chloe Meester | +0.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.6 |
| 4 | 1-3 | LOUIS | TX A&M×3 | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.7 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +1.0 |
| 6 | 1-5 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Ace | TX A&M server | aced Team | +1.0 |
| 7 | 2-5 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Serve err | TX A&M server | +0.6 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Kirra Musgrove | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.7 |
| 9 | 2-7 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Ace | TX A&M server | aced Kamden Schrand | +1.0 |
| 10 | 3-7 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 11 | 3-8 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.7 |
| 12 | 4-8 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.5 |
| 13 | 5-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.9 |
| 14 | 5-9 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.8 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Brooke Bultema | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.6 |
| 16 | 6-10 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Kaia Castle | set Lily Nicholson | +0.8 |
| 17 | 7-10 | TX A&M | LOUIS×3 | Serve err | TX A&M server | +0.6 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.0 |
| 19 | 9-10 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Natalie Ring | +1.1 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Lily Nicholson | +0.9 |
| 21 | 9-12 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | +1.2 |
| 22 | 10-12 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Attack err | Natalie Ring | +0.7 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Eliza Sharp | blk Hannah Sherman | +1.2 |
| 24 | 11-13 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Lily Nicholson | +0.9 |
| 25 | 11-14 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | +1.3 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.8 |
| 27 | 12-15 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Kirra Musgrove | +1.0 |
| 28 | 12-16 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | +1.2 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Serve err | TX A&M server | +0.7 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.9 |
| 31 | 14-17 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Serve err | TX A&M server | +0.7 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | LOUIS | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.9 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | +1.0 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +0.7 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.3 |
| 36 | 15-21 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Kaia Castle | set Lily Nicholson | +0.5 |
| 37 | 15-22 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Attack err | Chloe Meester | blk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris | +0.4 |
| 38 | 16-22 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Chloe Chicoine | +0.1 |
| 39 | 16-23 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Kaia Castle | set Lily Nicholson | +0.2 |
| 40 | 17-23 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Chloe Chicoine | +0.0 |
| 41 | 17-24 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Lily Nicholson | +0.1 |
| 42 | 18-24 | TX A&M | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.0 |
| 43 | 19-24 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +0.1 |
| 44 | 20-24 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Natalie Ring | +0.1 | |
| 45 | 20-25 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Attack err | Natalie Ring | +1.6 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | blk Taryn Morris, Kaia Castle | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Attack err | Brooke Bultema | blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring | +2.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Kalyssa Blackshear | set Chloe Chicoine | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Lily Nicholson | +1.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Kirra Musgrove | +1.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Kirra Musgrove | set Nayelis Cabello | +1.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Serve err | LOUIS server | +1.9 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Nayelis Cabello | set Payton Petersen | +1.8 |
| 12 | 7-5 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Kaia Castle | blk Hannah Sherman, Chloe Meester | +2.5 |
| 13 | 7-6 | LOUIS | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Kirra Musgrove | +1.7 |
| 14 | 7-7 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Lily Nicholson | +2.8 |
| 15 | 7-8 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Kalyssa Blackshear | blk Taryn Morris, Kaia Castle | +3.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Hannah Sherman | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.1 |
| 17 | 9-8 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Taryn Morris | blk Kalyssa Blackshear, Hannah Sherman | +2.9 |
| 18 | 9-9 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Lily Nicholson | +2.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.1 |
| 20 | 10-10 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Kaia Castle | set Lily Nicholson | +2.2 |
| 21 | 10-11 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Bad set | Nayelis Cabello | +3.4 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | TX A&M | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Taryn Morris | +3.3 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Taryn Morris | +3.1 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | +2.1 |
| 26 | 14-12 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Payton Petersen | +2.2 |
| 27 | 14-13 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Kirra Musgrove | set Addi Applegate | +2.1 |
| 28 | 15-13 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.3 |
| 29 | 16-13 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.9 |
| 30 | 16-14 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +1.8 |
| 31 | 17-14 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Serve err | TX A&M server | +2.0 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | LOUIS | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Hannah Sherman | +1.8 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Chloe Meester | +3.4 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Hannah Sherman | +4.2 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | TX A&M | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Meester | set Nayelis Cabello | +3.0 |
| 36 | 19-17 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Attack err | Kaia Castle | blk Hannah Sherman | +4.1 |
| 37 | 20-17 | LOUIS | LOUIS×3 | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +3.4 |
| 38 | 20-18 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Lily Nicholson | +1.8 |
| 39 | 21-18 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Nayelis Cabello | +2.4 |
| 40 | 22-18 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Natalie Ring | +2.3 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Serve err | LOUIS server | +0.9 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Attack err | Chloe Chicoine | blk Taryn Morris, Eliza Sharp | +2.4 |
| 43 | 23-20 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Kill | Chloe Chicoine | set Kamden Schrand | +2.6 |
| 44 | 24-20 | LOUIS | LOUIS | Attack err | Taryn Morris | blk Chloe Chicoine | +1.9 |
| 45 | 24-21 | LOUIS | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | +0.4 |
| 46 | 25-21 | TX A&M | LOUIS | Serve err | TX A&M server | +0.9 | |
Score shown after each rally, Louisville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.