FinalSun, Aug 23, 2026

AwayACC

#11SMUSMU

3:0

HomeSEC

#8TX A&MTexas A&M

SMU def. Texas A&M 3–0

(27-25, 25-19, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SMU	27	25	25	3
TX A&M	25	19	20	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TX A&M above 50 · SMU below

Biggest swing: 10.5% to SMU — set 1, SMU 27-25 TX A&M. Attack error by Megan Fitch. TX A&M win probability 44% → 33%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SMU 47.0%53.0% TX A&M

SMU wins

3-0

11.3%

3-1

17.5%

3-2

18.2%

Texas A&M wins

3-0

13.8%

3-1

20.0%

3-2

19.2%

SMU break %: 38.0% vs this opp
TX A&M break %: 38.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Megan FitchAttack error+10.5%
Attack error by Megan Fitch
Set 1 · SMU 27-25 TX A&M · SMU 56% → 67%
02
Natalie RingKill+6.9%
Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Kirra Musgrove)
Set 1 · SMU 22-22 TX A&M · TX A&M 44% → 51%
03
Suli DavisKill+6.5%
Kill by Suli Davis (set by Hannah Beauford)
Set 1 · SMU 24-23 TX A&M · SMU 50% → 56%
04
Megan FitchKill+6.5%
Kill by Megan Fitch (set by Kirra Musgrove)
Set 1 · SMU 24-24 TX A&M · TX A&M 44% → 50%
05
Gabi PlacideKill+6.5%
Kill by Gabi Placide (set by Suli Davis)
Set 1 · SMU 25-24 TX A&M · SMU 50% → 56%
06
Kaia CastleKill+6.5%
Kill by Kaia Castle (set by Kirra Musgrove)
Set 1 · SMU 25-25 TX A&M · TX A&M 44% → 50%
07
Christa WilburnKill+6.5%
Kill by Christa Wilburn (set by Hannah Beauford)
Set 1 · SMU 26-25 TX A&M · SMU 50% → 56%
08
TX A&M serverService error+5.3%
Texas A&M service error
Set 1 · SMU 23-22 TX A&M · SMU 49% → 55%

Official NCAA box

Box score

SMUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
25Suli DavisOH	3	15	7	38	.211	2	0	1	5	1	0	1	0.5	15.5
15Gabi PlacideOH	3	9	2	18	.389	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	11.5
21Favor AnyanwuMB	3	7	1	12	.500	0	0	2	1	0	0	7	3.5	10.5
12Natalia NewsomeMB	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	5
11Hannah BeaufordS	3	3	0	6	.500	33	0	3	5	0	0	2	1	4
5Elle VandewegheMB	2	1	1	2	.000	0	2	2	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Christa WilburnOH	3	5	2	11	.273	0	1	3	6	0	1	2	2	8
2Sarah FrazeeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
0Victoria HarrisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	13	0	0	0	0	0
7Ellie MooreS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
8Mia SilvaL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	14	93	.301	40	3	12	40	2	4	18	13	77

Texas A&Mhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
17Natalie RingOH	3	13	8	36	.139	0	0	1	2	1	2	1	14
20Megan FitchOH	3	10	2	28	.286	2	0	2	8	2	1	0.5	10.5
6Taryn MorrisOPP	3	7	1	15	.400	0	0	3	1	0	2	1	8
25Eliza SharpMB	3	3	5	12	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
19Kaia CastleMB	3	1	5	14	-.286	0	0	1	1	0	4	2	3
12Lily NicholsonS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
14Kirra MusgroveS	3	2	1	7	.143	17	0	1	4	0	2	1	3
1Gabi RodriguezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	6	0	0	0	1
2Addi ApplegateL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
10Margot ManningS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
8Amare HernandezOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		36	22	112	.125	34	2	10	31	3	14	7	64

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 SMU · TX A&M 4

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 4 SMUTX A&M 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 SMUTX A&M 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 3 SMUTX A&M 4

Bars above the line = Texas A&M leads, below = SMU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

SMU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	46%6/13
2	73%8/11	38%5/13
3	62%8/13	43%6/14
4	78%7/9	50%7/14
5	64%7/11	30%3/10
6	86%6/7	50%6/12
All	68%44/65	43%33/76

Texas A&M

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	33%3/9
2	57%8/14	33%4/12
3	57%8/14	43%6/14
4	58%7/12	33%4/12
5	70%7/10	13%1/8
6	38%5/13	30%3/10
All	57%43/76	32%21/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

141 rallies

Rally log

#	SMU-TX A&M	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SMU	SMU	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+2.7
2	1-1	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+1.7
3	2-1	TX A&M	SMU	Attack err	Natalie Ring	blk Elle Vandeweghe, Natalia Newsome	+1.7
4	2-2	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+1.7
5	3-2	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Favor Anyanwu	set Hannah Beauford	+1.8
6	3-3	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+1.7
7	3-4	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Christa Wilburn		+2.9
8	4-4	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Hannah Beauford	set Victoria Harris	+1.8
9	4-5	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+1.8
10	5-5	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Gabi Placide	set Hannah Beauford	+1.8
11	6-5	SMU	SMU	Attack err	Kirra Musgrove	blk Natalia Newsome	+3.1
12	6-6	SMU	TX A&M	Serve err	SMU server		+1.9
13	6-7	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Gabi Placide	blk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris	+3.1
14	7-7	TX A&M	SMU×4	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+1.9
15	8-7	SMU	SMU×4	Kill	Gabi Placide	set Hannah Beauford	+3.2
16	9-7	SMU	SMU×4	Attack err	Kaia Castle		+3.2
17	10-7	SMU	SMU×4	Kill	Natalia Newsome	set Hannah Beauford	+3.1
18	10-8	SMU	TX A&M	Serve err	SMU server		+1.7
19	11-8	TX A&M	SMU	Serve err	TX A&M server		+2.0
20	11-9	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+1.7
21	11-10	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Suli Davis		+3.2
22	12-10	TX A&M	SMU	Serve err	TX A&M server		+2.2
23	12-11	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+2.0
24	13-11	TX A&M	SMU×3	Kill	Suli Davis	set Victoria Harris	+2.3
25	14-11	SMU	SMU×3	Ace	SMU server	aced Megan Fitch	+3.4
26	15-11	SMU	SMU×3	Ace	SMU server	aced Megan Fitch	+2.9
27	15-12	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+1.4
28	15-13	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+3.0
29	16-13	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Favor Anyanwu	set Hannah Beauford	+2.3
30	17-13	SMU	SMU	Attack err	Eliza Sharp	blk Gabi Placide, Favor Anyanwu	+3.0
31	17-14	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+1.4
32	18-14	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+1.9
33	18-15	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+1.4
34	18-16	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Gabi Placide	blk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris	+3.1
35	19-16	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+2.5
36	19-17	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Lily Nicholson	+1.9
37	20-17	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Gabi Placide	set Hannah Beauford	+2.6
38	21-17	SMU	SMU	Attack err	Natalie Ring		+3.1
39	21-18	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+1.1
40	22-18	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Elle Vandeweghe	set Hannah Beauford	+1.9
41	22-19	SMU	TX A&M×4	Serve err	SMU server		+1.0
42	22-20	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Suli Davis	blk Eliza Sharp, Kirra Musgrove	+2.8
43	22-21	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Suli Davis		+4.6
44	22-22	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+6.9
45	23-22	TX A&M	SMU	Serve err	TX A&M server		+5.3
46	23-23	SMU	TX A&M	Serve err	SMU server		+4.9
47	24-23	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+6.5
48	24-24	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+6.5
49	25-24	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Gabi Placide	set Suli Davis	+6.5
50	25-25	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+6.5
51	26-25	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Christa Wilburn	set Hannah Beauford	+6.5
52	27-25	SMU	SMU	Attack err	Megan Fitch		+10.5
Set 2
1	0-1	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+2.8
2	0-2	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Elle Vandeweghe	blk Kaia Castle, Natalie Ring	+2.7
3	1-2	TX A&M	SMU	Serve err	TX A&M server		+1.6
4	1-3	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Gabi Rodriguez	+1.7
5	2-3	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Hannah Beauford	set Suli Davis	+1.7
6	3-3	SMU	SMU	Attack err	Natalie Ring		+2.9
7	3-4	SMU	TX A&M×3	Serve err	SMU server		+1.8
8	3-5	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Suli Davis	blk Eliza Sharp, Kirra Musgrove	+2.9
9	3-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Hannah Beauford	+2.8
10	4-6	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Favor Anyanwu	set Hannah Beauford	+1.6
11	4-7	SMU	TX A&M	Attack err	Christa Wilburn		+1.8
12	4-8	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+2.6
13	5-8	TX A&M	SMU	Serve err	TX A&M server		+1.4
14	6-8	SMU	SMU	Attack err	Eliza Sharp	blk Christa Wilburn	+2.6
15	6-9	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+1.8
16	7-9	TX A&M	SMU	Serve err	TX A&M server		+1.7
17	8-9	SMU	SMU	Attack err	Natalie Ring		+3.1
18	8-10	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Megan Fitch	+2.1
19	9-10	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Christa Wilburn	set Hannah Beauford	+2.0
20	10-10	SMU	SMU	Ace	SMU server	aced Natalie Ring	+3.5
21	10-11	SMU	TX A&M	Serve err	SMU server		+2.2
22	11-11	TX A&M	SMU×3	Attack err	Natalie Ring	blk Gabi Placide	+2.2
23	12-11	SMU	SMU×3	Attack err	Kaia Castle	blk Favor Anyanwu, Gabi Placide	+3.8
24	13-11	SMU	SMU×3	Attack err	Natalie Ring	blk Favor Anyanwu, Gabi Placide	+3.8
25	13-12	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+2.2
26	14-12	TX A&M	SMU×3	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+2.4
27	15-12	SMU	SMU×3	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+3.6
28	16-12	SMU	SMU×3	Attack err	Natalie Ring	blk Favor Anyanwu, Hannah Beauford	+3.1
29	16-13	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+1.5
30	16-14	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Favor Anyanwu	blk Natalie Ring, Eliza Sharp	+3.1
31	17-14	TX A&M	SMU×4	Serve err	TX A&M server		+2.4
32	18-14	SMU	SMU×4	Kill	Christa Wilburn	set Kirra Musgrove	+3.2
33	19-14	SMU	SMU×4	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+2.3
34	20-14	SMU	SMU×4	Attack err	Eliza Sharp	blk Favor Anyanwu, Christa Wilburn	+1.4
35	20-15	SMU	TX A&M	Serve err	SMU server		+0.5
36	20-16	TX A&M	TX A&M	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Team	+1.3
37	21-16	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Favor Anyanwu	set Hannah Beauford	+1.3
38	21-17	SMU	TX A&M	Serve err	SMU server		+0.7
39	21-18	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Suli Davis	blk Kaia Castle, Megan Fitch	+1.9
40	22-18	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Christa Wilburn	set Hannah Beauford	+1.9
41	22-19	SMU	TX A&M	Serve err	SMU server		+1.0
42	23-19	TX A&M	SMU×3	Kill	Gabi Placide	set Hannah Beauford	+1.8
43	24-19	SMU	SMU×3	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+1.2
44	25-19	SMU	SMU×3	Attack err	Kaia Castle		+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	SMU	SMU	Kill	Suli Davis	set Victoria Harris	+1.9
2	1-1	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Gabi Rodriguez	+1.2
3	2-1	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Gabi Placide	set Hannah Beauford	+1.2
4	2-2	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+1.2
5	3-2	TX A&M	SMU	Serve err	TX A&M server		+1.2
6	3-3	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Megan Fitch	+1.2
7	4-3	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Favor Anyanwu	set Hannah Beauford	+1.3
8	5-3	SMU	SMU	Kill	Favor Anyanwu	set Hannah Beauford	+2.0
9	5-4	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+1.2
10	6-4	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Hannah Beauford	set Victoria Harris	+1.3
11	7-4	SMU	SMU	Attack err	Eliza Sharp	blk Natalia Newsome, Christa Wilburn	+2.0
12	7-5	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+1.1
13	7-6	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+2.0
14	8-6	TX A&M	SMU	Serve err	TX A&M server		+1.3
15	9-6	SMU	SMU	Attack err	Eliza Sharp	blk Natalia Newsome	+2.1
16	9-7	SMU	TX A&M	Serve err	SMU server		+1.1
17	10-7	TX A&M	SMU	Attack err	Natalie Ring		+1.3
18	10-8	SMU	TX A&M×4	Serve err	SMU server		+1.2
19	10-9	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Suli Davis	+2.1
20	10-10	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Suli Davis		+2.3
21	10-11	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+2.4
22	11-11	TX A&M	SMU×3	Kill	Natalia Newsome	set Hannah Beauford	+1.5
23	12-11	SMU	SMU×3	Attack err	Taryn Morris	blk Suli Davis, Favor Anyanwu	+2.5
24	13-11	SMU	SMU×3	Kill	Suli Davis		+2.5
25	13-12	SMU	TX A&M	Attack err	Suli Davis		+1.4
26	14-12	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Favor Anyanwu	set Hannah Beauford	+1.6
27	15-12	SMU	SMU	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+2.4
28	15-13	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+1.3
29	16-13	TX A&M	SMU×3	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+1.6
30	17-13	SMU	SMU×3	Attack err	Megan Fitch	blk Hannah Beauford, Favor Anyanwu	+2.1
31	18-13	SMU	SMU×3	Attack err	Kaia Castle		+1.6
32	18-14	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.6
33	19-14	TX A&M	SMU	Serve err	TX A&M server		+1.0
34	19-15	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.6
35	20-15	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Christa Wilburn	set Sarah Frazee	+0.9
36	20-16	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Gabi Rodriguez	+0.5
37	20-17	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Natalia Newsome		+1.4
38	21-17	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Gabi Placide	set Hannah Beauford	+1.3
39	21-18	SMU	TX A&M	Serve err	SMU server		+0.8
40	22-18	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Gabi Placide	set Hannah Beauford	+1.3
41	23-18	SMU	SMU	Kill	Suli Davis	set Hannah Beauford	+1.1
42	23-19	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+0.2
43	24-19	TX A&M	SMU	Kill	Gabi Placide	set Hannah Beauford	+0.5
44	24-20	SMU	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
45	25-20	TX A&M	SMU	Attack err	Kaia Castle		+0.3

Score shown after each rally, SMU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.