CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSun, Aug 23, 2026
Kentucky logo

AwaySEC

1:3

Pittsburgh def. Kentucky 31

(25-14, 21-25, 25-13, 25-21)
Set1234Sets
UK142513211
PITT252125253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PITT above 50 · UK below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100PITTUKBiggest swing +5.2% UK · S2 23-21rally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.2% to Kentucky — set 2, UK 23-21 PITT. Kentucky ace on Team. PITT win probability 80%74%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UK 25.9%74.1% PITT

Kentucky wins

3-0
4.6%
3-1
8.9%
3-2
12.3%

Pittsburgh wins

3-0
26.3%
3-1
28.4%
3-2
19.4%
UK break %
36.8% vs this opp
PITT break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    UK serverAce+5.2%

    Kentucky ace on Team

    Set 2 · UK 23-21 PITT · UK 20%26%

  2. 02
    Jordyn DaileyAttack error+4.0%

    Jordyn Dailey stuffed by Kassie O'Brien & Lizzie Carr

    Set 2 · UK 20-19 PITT · UK 15%19%

  3. 03
    UK serverAce+3.8%

    Kentucky ace on Team

    Set 2 · UK 24-21 PITT · UK 26%29%

  4. 04

    Kill by Georgia Watson (set by Kassie O'Brien)

    Set 3 · UK 7-6 PITT · UK 30%34%

  5. 05
    Kennedy WashingtonAttack error+3.6%

    Kennedy Washington stuffed by Ayanna Watson & Maaike Heilig

    Set 3 · UK 7-8 PITT · PITT 68%72%

  6. 06
    Brooklyn DeLeyeAttack error+3.6%

    Brooklyn DeLeye stuffed by Jordyn Dailey & Olivia Babcock

    Set 3 · UK 9-11 PITT · PITT 72%75%

  7. 07
    Brooklyn DeLeyeAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Brooklyn DeLeye

    Set 4 · UK 10-10 PITT · PITT 81%84%

  8. 08
    Morgan GaerteKill+3.3%

    Kill by Morgan Gaerte (set by Kassie O'Brien)

    Set 3 · UK 5-5 PITT · UK 27%30%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4131142.0480336100016
48622.0910001004210
44414.00000010111.55.5
4104.250381240031.53.5
42311-.091001700002
4000100510000
414737.1890001002115
40004101610001
3329.111002200003
3000000200000
1000001000000
Team totals4533139.0864359453110673
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
427856.3390039004229
410329.24100080031.511.5
46020.300021010219
43031.000003000847
4203.6674101130052.54.5
4137-.286100000634
4000311320001
4000000000000
4000100500000
30002001000000
Team totals4914118.29748394850281496

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UK · PITT 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 UKPITT 6

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 UKPITT 4

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 3 UKPITT 5

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 UKPITT 3

Bars above the line = Pittsburgh leads, below = Kentucky leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Kentucky

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
50%8/16
2
41%9/22
44%7/16
3
56%9/16
18%2/11
4
47%7/15
31%4/13
5
58%7/12
22%2/9
6
55%6/11
22%2/9
All
51%48/95
34%25/74

Pittsburgh

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
53%9/17
2
64%9/14
58%14/24
3
64%9/14
50%9/18
4
80%8/10
38%5/13
5
78%7/9
53%8/15
6
86%6/7
25%2/8
All
66%49/74
49%47/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

169 rallies

Rally log

#UK-PITTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PITTUKAttack errOlivia Babcock+1.5
21-1UKPITTServe errUK server+1.4
32-1PITTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.5
42-2UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.4
52-3PITTPITTAttack errLizzie Carr+2.2
63-3PITTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+1.4
74-3UKUKKillAsia Thigpenset Molly Tuozzo+2.4
84-4UKPITT×3Attack errMorgan Gaerte+1.5
94-5PITTPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.3
104-6PITTPITT×3Attack errKennedy Washington+2.1
115-6PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Molly Tuozzo+1.4
125-7UKPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Masten+1.4
135-8PITTPITTAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+1.9
146-8PITTUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+1.2
156-9UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.3
166-10PITTPITTAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+1.7
177-10PITTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.0
187-11UKPITTAttack errBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Izzy Starck, Jordyn Dailey+1.1
197-12PITTPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Jordyn Dailey+1.4
208-12PITTUKServe errPITT server+0.7
219-12UKUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Molly Tuozzo+1.5
229-13UKPITT×6KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.1
239-14PITTPITT×6KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.4
249-15PITTPITT×6Attack errMorgan Gaerte+1.0
259-16PITTPITT×6Attack errBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Blaire Bayless, Jordyn Dailey+0.7
269-17PITTPITT×6Attack errLizzie Carr+0.4
279-18PITTPITT×6AcePITT serveraced Brooklyn DeLeye+0.2
2810-18PITTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.1
2910-19UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.1
3010-20PITTPITTAttack errAsia Thigpenblk Olivia Babcock, Maaike Heilig+0.1
3111-20PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.0
3211-21UKPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.0
3312-21PITTUKServe errPITT server+0.0
3412-22UKPITT×3KillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+0.0
3512-23PITTPITT×3KillIzzy Starckset Trinity Ward+0.0
3612-24PITTPITT×3Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+0.0
3713-24PITTUKKillAsia Thigpenset Kassie O'Brien+0.0
3814-24UKUKAttack errOlivia Babcock+0.0
3914-25UKPITTServe errUK server+0.0
Set 2
11-0UKUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+1.8
22-0UKUKAceUK serveraced Ayanna Watson+1.9
32-1UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.1
43-1PITTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+1.3
53-2UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Mallorie Meyer+1.2
64-2PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.3
74-3UKPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Mallorie Meyer+1.2
85-3PITTUKAttack errOlivia Babcock+1.3
95-4UKPITT×4KillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+1.2
105-5PITTPITT×4Attack errAsia Thigpen+1.9
115-6PITTPITT×4Attack errAsia Thigpenblk Maaike Heilig, Izzy Starck+1.9
125-7PITTPITT×4KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+1.7
136-7PITTUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+1.1
146-8UKPITTAttack errBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Maaike Heilig, Izzy Starck+1.1
157-8PITTUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+1.1
167-9UKPITT×3KillJordyn Daileyset Izzy Starck+1.2
177-10PITTPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Trinity Thompson+1.6
187-11PITTPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Trinity Thompson+1.4
198-11PITTUK×3Attack errOlivia Babcock+0.8
209-11UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Izzy Starck+1.5
2110-11UKUK×3Attack errJordyn Dailey+1.9
2210-12UKPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.3
2310-13PITTPITT×3Bad setKassie O'Brien+1.8
2410-14PITTPITT×3Attack errLizzie Carr+1.5
2511-14PITTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.8
2612-14UKUKAttack errBlaire Baylessblk Morgan Gaerte, Lizzie Carr+1.6
2712-15UKPITTAttack errLizzie Carrblk Olivia Babcock, Jordyn Dailey+1.2
2813-15PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.1
2914-15UKUKAttack errOlivia Babcock+2.1
3014-16UKPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+1.5
3115-16PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.5
3216-16UKUKAttack errBlaire Bayless+2.8
3316-17UKPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+1.8
3416-18PITTPITTAttack errKennedy Washingtonblk Ayanna Watson, Maaike Heilig+2.7
3517-18PITTUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+1.6
3618-18UKUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+3.1
3718-19UKPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+2.1
3819-19PITTUKServe errPITT server+2.2
3920-19UKUKAttack errJordyn Daileyblk Kassie O'Brien, Lizzie Carr+4.0
4020-20UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.4
4121-20PITTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+2.9
4221-21UKPITTAttack errMorgan Gaerte+2.7
4322-21PITTUK×4KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+3.3
4423-21UKUK×4AceUK serveraced Team+5.2
4524-21UKUK×4AceUK serveraced Team+3.8
4625-21UKUK×4AceUK serveraced Mallorie Meyer+1.4
Set 3
10-1PITTPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+3.0
21-1PITTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.0
31-2UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.9
41-3PITTPITTAcePITT serveraced Molly Tuozzo+2.9
52-3PITTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+1.8
62-4UKPITTServe errUK server+1.8
72-5PITTPITTAttack errGeorgia Watson+2.6
83-5PITTUK×3Serve errPITT server+1.6
94-5UKUK×3AceUK serveraced Mallorie Meyer+2.9
105-5UKUK×3KillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+3.3
115-6UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.1
126-6PITTUKServe errPITT server+2.3
137-6UKUKKillGeorgia Watsonset Kassie O'Brien+3.8
147-7UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.3
157-8PITTPITTAttack errKennedy Washingtonblk Ayanna Watson, Maaike Heilig+3.6
168-8PITTUKKillKennedy Washingtonset Kassie O'Brien+2.4
178-9UKPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+2.3
189-9PITTUKServe errPITT server+2.5
199-10UKPITT×4KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+2.4
209-11PITTPITT×4Attack errBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Jordyn Dailey, Olivia Babcock+3.6
219-12PITTPITT×4KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+3.1
229-13PITTPITT×4KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+2.6
2310-13PITTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+1.4
2411-13UKUKAttack errOlivia Babcockblk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte+2.9
2511-14UKPITT×5KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+2.1
2611-15PITTPITT×5Attack errBrooklyn DeLeyeblk Blaire Bayless, Jordyn Dailey+2.7
2711-16PITTPITT×5Attack errMorgan Gaerteblk Jordyn Dailey, Olivia Babcock+2.0
2811-17PITTPITT×5KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.4
2911-18PITTPITT×5KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.8
3012-18PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.3
3112-19UKPITT×4Serve errUK server+0.5
3212-20PITTPITT×4Attack errGeorgia Watson+0.4
3312-21PITTPITT×4KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.2
3412-22PITTPITT×4KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.1
3513-22PITTUKKillLizzie Carrset Kassie O'Brien+0.0
3613-23UKPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.0
3713-24PITTPITT×3KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.0
3813-25PITTPITT×3Attack errMorgan Gaerteblk Maaike Heilig, Blaire Bayless+0.0
Set 4
11-0UKUK×4Attack errOlivia Babcockblk Kennedy Washington, Kassie O'Brien+2.7
22-0UKUK×4Attack errJordyn Daileyblk Kennedy Washington+2.9
33-0UKUK×4KillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.9
44-0UKUK×4Attack errOlivia Babcock+2.9
54-1UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.6
65-1PITTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+1.9
76-1UKUKAttack errBlaire Baylessblk Lizzie Carr, Kassie O'Brien+2.8
86-2UKPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.5
96-3PITTPITT×3Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+2.6
106-4PITTPITT×3Attack errLizzie Carr+2.8
117-4PITTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Molly Tuozzo+2.1
127-5UKPITTServe errUK server+1.8
138-5PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.2
148-6UKPITTServe errUK server+1.9
159-6PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.2
169-7UKPITTKillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+1.9
179-8PITTPITTAttack errGeorgia Watson+3.2
1810-8PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+2.3
1910-9UKPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.1
2010-10PITTPITT×3Attack errBrooklyn DeLeye+3.4
2110-11PITTPITT×3Attack errKennedy Washington+3.3
2211-11PITTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.2
2311-12UKPITTServe errUK server+2.2
2411-13PITTPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+3.2
2512-13PITTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.0
2612-14UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.1
2713-14PITTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+2.1
2813-15UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.2
2913-16PITTPITTAttack errMorgan Gaerteblk Izzy Starck, Maaike Heilig+3.0
3014-16PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.7
3114-17UKPITTAttack errLizzie Carrblk Maaike Heilig, Izzy Starck+1.9
3215-17PITTUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+1.7
3315-18UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+2.0
3416-18PITTUKServe errPITT server+1.7
3516-19UKPITTKillIzzy Starckset Mallorie Meyer+2.1
3617-19PITTUKKillKassie O'Brienset Trinity Ward+1.7
3717-20UKPITTServe errUK server+2.2
3817-21PITTPITTAttack errBrooklyn DeLeye+2.4
3918-21PITTUKServe errPITT server+1.0
4018-22UKPITTServe errUK server+1.5
4118-23PITTPITTAcePITT serveraced Trinity Ward+1.1
4219-23PITTUKKillBrooklyn DeLeyeset Kassie O'Brien+0.3
4320-23UKUKKillMorgan Gaerteset Kassie O'Brien+0.9
4420-24UKPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.2
4521-24PITTUKServe errPITT server+0.3
4621-25UKPITTAttack errMorgan Gaerte+0.8

Score shown after each rally, Kentucky first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.