FinalSat, Aug 22, 2026

AwayACC

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Wisconsin def. Louisville 3–0

(25-18, 25-20, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LOUIS	18	20	18	0
WISC	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WISC above 50 · LOUIS below

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Wisconsin — set 2, LOUIS 5-9 WISC. Wisconsin ace on Chloe Chicoine. WISC win probability 51% → 55%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LOUIS 79.6%20.4% WISC

Louisville wins

3-0

31.1%

3-1

30.1%

3-2

18.4%

Wisconsin wins

3-0

3.3%

3-1

6.8%

3-2

10.2%

LOUIS break %: 42.6% vs this opp
WISC break %: 36.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
WISC serverAce+3.8%
Wisconsin ace on Chloe Chicoine
Set 2 · LOUIS 5-9 WISC · WISC 51% → 55%
02
Jaela AugusteKill+3.7%
Kill by Jaela Auguste (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)
Set 2 · LOUIS 14-19 WISC · WISC 62% → 65%
03
Brooke BultemaAttack error+3.7%
Brooke Bultema stuffed by Lynney Tarnow & Eva Travis
Set 3 · LOUIS 8-13 WISC · WISC 87% → 90%
04
Jaela AugusteKill+3.5%
Kill by Jaela Auguste (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)
Set 2 · LOUIS 5-10 WISC · WISC 55% → 59%
05
Lynney TarnowKill+3.5%
Kill by Lynney Tarnow
Set 2 · LOUIS 2-5 WISC · WISC 47% → 50%
06
WISC serverAce+3.5%
Wisconsin ace on Chloe Chicoine
Set 3 · LOUIS 4-9 WISC · WISC 84% → 88%
07
Grace EganKill+3.4%
Kill by Grace Egan (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)
Set 3 · LOUIS 1-5 WISC · WISC 79% → 83%
08
WISC serverAce+3.4%
Wisconsin ace on Hannah Kenny
Set 3 · LOUIS 1-4 WISC · WISC 76% → 79%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Louisvilleaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Chloe ChicoineOH	3	10	2	29	.276	1	1	1	9	2	0	0	0	11
24Kalyssa BlackshearOPP	3	10	0	19	.526	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	10
2Chloe MeesterOH	3	9	4	29	.172	1	0	3	2	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
44Brooke BultemaMB	3	6	7	18	-.056	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
8Nayelis CabelloS	3	2	0	9	.222	26	0	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
11Hannah ShermanMB	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Hannah KennyS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	0
3Kamden SchrandL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
21Payton PetersenOH	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	16	0	0	0	0	0
4Addison MakunMB	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
12Jessica DrappL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Blair ThiebaudS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
54Elli StreckerMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	13	107	.234	36	1	7	45	8	1	4	3	56

Wisconsinhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Audrey FlanaganOH	3	13	5	28	.286	1	2	1	8	0	0	0	0	15
32Grace EganOH	3	6	1	16	.313	3	3	1	9	0	0	0	0	9
4Jaela AugusteMB	3	8	0	13	.615	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	9
5Eva TravisOH	3	8	1	27	.259	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
20Lynney TarnowMB	3	6	2	14	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
24Charlie FuerbringerS	3	6	2	12	.333	33	0	2	8	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
7Kristen SimonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	6	1	0	0	0	2
23Grace LopezOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Anna BardaroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	11	0	0	0	0	0
6Isabelle HoppeS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	11	110	.327	43	8	5	45	1	1	4	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 LOUIS · WISC 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 LOUISWISC 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 LOUISWISC 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 LOUISWISC 5

Bars above the line = Wisconsin leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Louisville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	43%6/14
2	50%6/12	30%3/10
3	60%6/10	40%4/10
4	50%6/12	33%3/9
5	55%6/11	33%3/9
6	50%6/12	0%0/6
All	51%37/73	33%19/58

Wisconsin

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	54%7/13
2	78%7/9	53%8/15
3	55%6/11	40%4/10
4	75%6/8	50%6/12
5	75%6/8	57%8/14
6	75%6/8	33%3/9
All	67%39/58	49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	LOUIS-WISC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.8
2	1-1	LOUIS	WISC	Serve err	LOUIS server		+1.2
3	1-2	WISC	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.0
4	2-2	WISC	LOUIS	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+1.2
5	2-3	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.4
6	3-3	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.3
7	4-3	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.9
8	4-4	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.3
9	5-4	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.2
10	5-5	LOUIS	WISC×3	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.3
11	5-6	WISC	WISC×3	Kill	Charlie Fuerbringer		+2.2
12	5-7	WISC	WISC×3	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.4
13	6-7	WISC	LOUIS	Serve err	WISC server		+1.4
14	6-8	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.7
15	7-8	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Hannah Kenny	+1.5
16	7-9	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.7
17	8-9	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.5
18	8-10	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.8
19	9-10	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.6
20	10-10	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Hannah Kenny	+2.5
21	10-11	LOUIS	WISC×4	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.8
22	10-12	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Jaela Auguste		+2.9
23	10-13	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.9
24	10-14	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Audrey Flanagan		+2.8
25	11-14	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.4
26	12-14	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema		+2.6
27	12-15	LOUIS	WISC×4	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.1
28	12-16	WISC	WISC×4	Ace	WISC server	aced Team	+2.9
29	12-17	WISC	WISC×4	Ace	WISC server	aced Kamden Schrand	+2.5
30	12-18	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Grace Egan	+1.9
31	13-18	WISC	LOUIS	Serve err	WISC server		+0.7
32	13-19	LOUIS	WISC×3	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+1.2
33	13-20	WISC	WISC×3	Ace	WISC server	aced Team	+1.1
34	13-21	WISC	WISC×3	Attack err	Chloe Meester		+0.6
35	14-21	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.2
36	14-22	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Charlie Fuerbringer	set Audrey Flanagan	+0.3
37	14-23	WISC	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.2
38	15-23	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.0
39	15-24	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
40	16-24	WISC	LOUIS×3	Serve err	WISC server		+0.0
41	17-24	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Addison Makun	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.0
42	18-24	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.1
43	18-25	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	WISC	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.0
2	0-2	WISC	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.2
3	1-2	WISC	LOUIS	Attack err	Lynney Tarnow		+1.9
4	2-2	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Payton Petersen	+3.0
5	2-3	LOUIS	WISC×3	Serve err	LOUIS server		+2.1
6	2-4	WISC	WISC×3	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Kristen Simon	+3.4
7	2-5	WISC	WISC×3	Kill	Lynney Tarnow		+3.5
8	3-5	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+2.0
9	3-6	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.4
10	4-6	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+2.1
11	4-7	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.5
12	5-7	WISC	LOUIS	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+2.1
13	5-8	LOUIS	WISC×4	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.6
14	5-9	WISC	WISC×4	Ace	WISC server	aced Chloe Chicoine	+3.8
15	5-10	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.5
16	5-11	WISC	WISC×4	Attack err	Brooke Bultema		+3.2
17	6-11	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.5
18	6-12	LOUIS	WISC	Serve err	LOUIS server		+2.1
19	6-13	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Chloe Meester	blk Charlie Fuerbringer, Lynney Tarnow	+2.6
20	7-13	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.1
21	7-14	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Charlie Fuerbringer	set Grace Egan	+1.7
22	7-15	WISC	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Anna Bardaro	+1.9
23	8-15	WISC	LOUIS	Serve err	WISC server		+0.7
24	9-15	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Charlie Fuerbringer		+1.6
25	9-16	LOUIS	WISC	Serve err	LOUIS server		+1.6
26	10-16	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.9
27	11-16	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+2.0
28	11-17	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.0
29	12-17	WISC	LOUIS×3	Kill	Brooke Bultema	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.2
30	13-17	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Nayelis Cabello	set Payton Petersen	+2.6
31	14-17	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan	blk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema	+3.4
32	14-18	LOUIS	WISC×3	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.1
33	14-19	WISC	WISC×3	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.7
34	14-20	WISC	WISC×3	Attack err	Brooke Bultema		+2.6
35	15-20	WISC	LOUIS	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+0.9
36	16-20	LOUIS	LOUIS	Ace	LOUIS server	aced Kristen Simon	+2.1
37	16-21	LOUIS	WISC	Attack err	Chloe Chicoine		+2.3
38	16-22	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Brooke Bultema		+2.0
39	17-22	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Chloe Chicoine	+0.5
40	17-23	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Charlie Fuerbringer	set Anna Bardaro	+1.1
41	17-24	WISC	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Isabelle Hoppe	+0.5
42	18-24	WISC	LOUIS×3	Serve err	WISC server		+0.1
43	19-24	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Payton Petersen	+0.2
44	20-24	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Lynney Tarnow	blk Chloe Meester, Addison Makun	+0.4
45	20-25	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.8
Set 3
1	1-0	LOUIS	LOUIS	Attack err	Chloe Meester		+2.7
2	1-1	LOUIS	WISC×5	Serve err	LOUIS server		+1.8
3	1-2	WISC	WISC×5	Attack err	Brooke Bultema		+3.0
4	1-3	WISC	WISC×5	Attack err	Chloe Meester		+3.3
5	1-4	WISC	WISC×5	Ace	WISC server	aced Hannah Kenny	+3.4
6	1-5	WISC	WISC×5	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.4
7	2-5	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Payton Petersen	+1.9
8	2-6	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Anna Bardaro	+2.4
9	2-7	WISC	WISC	Ace	WISC server	aced Team	+3.4
10	3-7	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.8
11	4-7	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+3.1
12	4-8	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.5
13	4-9	WISC	WISC	Ace	WISC server	aced Chloe Chicoine	+3.5
14	5-9	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.8
15	6-9	LOUIS	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Chloe Meester	+3.2
16	6-10	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.6
17	7-10	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+2.0
18	7-11	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.6
19	8-11	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Kamden Schrand	+2.1
20	8-12	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Charlie Fuerbringer	set Grace Egan	+2.7
21	8-13	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Brooke Bultema	blk Lynney Tarnow, Eva Travis	+3.7
22	9-13	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.8
23	9-14	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.5
24	9-15	WISC	WISC	Ace	WISC server	aced Hannah Kenny	+3.1
25	10-15	WISC	LOUIS	Attack err	Grace Egan		+1.4
26	10-16	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.0
27	11-16	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.3
28	11-17	LOUIS	WISC	Serve err	LOUIS server		+2.0
29	12-17	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+1.2
30	12-18	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Charlie Fuerbringer	set Kristen Simon	+1.9
31	13-18	WISC	LOUIS×3	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Kamden Schrand	+1.1
32	14-18	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Charlie Fuerbringer	blk Brooke Bultema	+2.5
33	15-18	LOUIS	LOUIS×3	Attack err	Eva Travis		+3.3
34	15-19	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Jaela Auguste	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.1
35	16-19	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Kalyssa Blackshear	set Nayelis Cabello	+2.0
36	16-20	LOUIS	WISC×4	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.2
37	16-21	WISC	WISC×4	Attack err	Chloe Meester		+3.4
38	16-22	WISC	WISC×4	Attack err	Chloe Chicoine		+2.0
39	16-23	WISC	WISC×4	Attack err	Brooke Bultema		+0.9
40	17-23	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Chicoine	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.1
41	17-24	LOUIS	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.4
42	18-24	WISC	LOUIS	Kill	Chloe Meester	set Nayelis Cabello	+0.1
43	18-25	LOUIS	WISC	Serve err	LOUIS server		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Louisville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.