FinalSat, Aug 22, 2026 · Neutral site

Wisconsin def. Louisville 3–0

Wisconsin beat Louisville 3-0 (25-18, 25-20, 25-18) on Sat, Aug 22, 2026 at a neutral site. Wisconsin's Audrey Flanagan led with 13 kills, and Anna Bardaro added 11 digs.

Data through · final Aug 22

Set123Sets
LOUIS1820180
WISC2525253

Win probability

Wisconsin above 50 · Louisville below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.7% WISCrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.7% to Wisconsin — set 2, LOUIS 5-9 WISC. Wisconsin ace on Chloe Chicoine. WISC win probability 56% → 60%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LOUIS 75.8%24.2% WISC

Louisville wins

3-0
27.7%
3-1
28.9%
3-2
19.2%

Wisconsin wins

3-0
4.2%
3-1
8.3%
3-2
11.7%
LOUIS break %
40.8% vs this opp
WISC break %
35.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    WisconsinAce+3.7%

    Wisconsin ace on Chloe Chicoine

    Set 2 · LOUIS 5-9 WISC · WISC 56% → 60%

  2. 02
    Lynney TarnowKill+3.6%

    Kill by Lynney Tarnow

    Set 2 · LOUIS 2-5 WISC · WISC 51% → 55%

  3. 03

    Kill by Audrey Flanagan (set by Kristen Simon)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 2-4 WISC · WISC 48% → 51%

  4. 04
    Jaela AugusteKill+3.5%

    Kill by Jaela Auguste (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 14-19 WISC · WISC 66% → 69%

  5. 05
    Jaela AugusteKill+3.5%

    Kill by Jaela Auguste (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 5-10 WISC · WISC 60% → 63%

  6. 06
    Lynney TarnowKill+3.3%

    Kill by Lynney Tarnow (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)

    Set 2 · LOUIS 0-2 WISC · WISC 47% → 51%

  7. 07

    Brooke Bultema stuffed by Lynney Tarnow & Eva Travis

    Set 3 · LOUIS 8-13 WISC · WISC 89% → 92%

  8. 08
    WisconsinAce+3.3%

    Wisconsin ace on Hannah Kenny

    Set 3 · LOUIS 1-4 WISC · WISC 79% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310229.2761119200011
310019.5260001000010
39429.17210320010.59.5
36718-.05600100111.57.5
3209.222260160010.52.5
3002.000000100000
3000–200720000
3000–200210000
3000–4001600000
21011.00000010010.51.5
2000–000000000
1000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3813107.234361745814356
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313528.2861218000015
36116.313331900009
38013.615000001019
38127.25900010010.58.5
36214.286000000217
36212.333330280010.56.5
3000–220610002
3000–010000001
3000–3001100000
3000–101200000
Team totals4711110.327438545114375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 LOUIS · WISC 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 LOUISWISC 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 LOUISWISC 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 LOUISWISC 5

Bars above the line = Wisconsin leads, below = Louisville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Louisville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%7/16
43%6/14
2
50%6/12
30%3/10
3
60%6/10
40%4/10
4
50%6/12
33%3/9
5
55%6/11
33%3/9
6
50%6/12
0%0/6
All
51%37/73
33%19/58

Wisconsin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
54%7/13
2
78%7/9
53%8/15
3
55%6/11
40%4/10
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
75%6/8
57%8/14
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
67%39/58
49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#LOUIS-WISCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+2.0
21-1LOUISWISCServe errLouisville+1.3
31-2WISCWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.3
42-2WISCLOUISAttack errAudrey Flanagan+1.3
52-3LOUISWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.5
63-3WISCLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+1.4
74-3LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+2.2
84-4LOUISWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.4
95-4WISCLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+1.3
105-5LOUISWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.4
115-6WISCWISC×3KillCharlie Fuerbringer+2.5
125-7WISCWISC×3KillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.7
136-7WISCLOUISServe errWisconsin+1.5
146-8LOUISWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.7
157-8WISCLOUISKillNayelis Cabelloset Hannah Kenny+1.5
167-9LOUISWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.8
178-9WISCLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+1.6
188-10LOUISWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.9
199-10WISCLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+1.6
2010-10LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Hannah Kenny+2.8
2110-11LOUISWISC×4KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.9
2210-12WISCWISC×4KillJaela Auguste+3.1
2310-13WISCWISC×4KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.1
2410-14WISCWISC×4KillAudrey Flanagan+2.9
2511-14WISCLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+1.4
2612-14LOUISLOUISKillBrooke Bultema+2.8
2712-15LOUISWISC×4KillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.1
2812-16WISCWISC×4AceWisconsin+3.1
2912-17WISCWISC×4AceWisconsinaced Kamden Schrand+2.5
3012-18WISCWISC×4KillAudrey Flanaganset Grace Egan+1.9
3113-18WISCLOUISServe errWisconsin+0.7
3213-19LOUISWISC×3Attack errAudrey Flanagan+1.1
3313-20WISCWISC×3AceWisconsin+1.1
3413-21WISCWISC×3Attack errChloe Meester+0.5
3514-21WISCLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
3614-22LOUISWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Audrey Flanagan+0.3
3714-23WISCWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3815-23WISCLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello·
3915-24LOUISWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer·
4016-24WISCLOUIS×3Serve errWisconsin·
4117-24LOUISLOUIS×3KillAddison Makunset Nayelis Cabello·
4218-24LOUISLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello·
4318-25LOUISWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
Set 2
10-1WISCWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.1
20-2WISCWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.3
31-2WISCLOUISAttack errLynney Tarnow+1.9
42-2LOUISLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Payton Petersen+3.1
52-3LOUISWISC×3Serve errLouisville+2.1
62-4WISCWISC×3KillAudrey Flanaganset Kristen Simon+3.5
72-5WISCWISC×3KillLynney Tarnow+3.6
83-5WISCLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+2.0
93-6LOUISWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.3
104-6WISCLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+2.0
114-7LOUISWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.4
125-7WISCLOUISAttack errAudrey Flanagan+2.0
135-8LOUISWISC×4KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.4
145-9WISCWISC×4AceWisconsinaced Chloe Chicoine+3.7
155-10WISCWISC×4KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.5
165-11WISCWISC×4Attack errBrooke Bultema+3.0
176-11WISCLOUISKillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+1.4
186-12LOUISWISCServe errLouisville+1.9
196-13WISCWISCBlockedChloe Meesterblk Charlie Fuerbringer, Lynney Tarnow+2.4
207-13WISCLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.0
217-14LOUISWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Grace Egan+1.5
227-15WISCWISCKillGrace Eganset Anna Bardaro+1.7
238-15WISCLOUISServe errWisconsin+0.6
249-15LOUISLOUISAttack errCharlie Fuerbringer+1.4
259-16LOUISWISCServe errLouisville+1.4
2610-16WISCLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.8
2711-16LOUISLOUISAttack errAudrey Flanagan+1.9
2811-17LOUISWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.7
2912-17WISCLOUIS×3KillBrooke Bultemaset Nayelis Cabello+1.0
3013-17LOUISLOUIS×3KillNayelis Cabelloset Payton Petersen+2.4
3114-17LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedAudrey Flanaganblk Nayelis Cabello, Brooke Bultema+3.3
3214-18LOUISWISC×3KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.8
3314-19WISCWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.5
3414-20WISCWISC×3Attack errBrooke Bultema+2.3
3515-20WISCLOUISAttack errAudrey Flanagan+0.7
3616-20LOUISLOUISAceChloe Chicoineaced Kristen Simon+1.9
3716-21LOUISWISCAttack errChloe Chicoine+2.0
3816-22WISCWISCAttack errBrooke Bultema+1.8
3917-22WISCLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Chloe Chicoine+0.4
4017-23LOUISWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Anna Bardaro+0.9
4117-24WISCWISCKillEva Travisset Isabelle Hoppe+0.4
4218-24WISCLOUIS×3Serve errWisconsin·
4319-24LOUISLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Payton Petersen+0.2
4420-24LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedLynney Tarnowblk Chloe Meester, Addison Makun+0.4
4520-25LOUISWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
Set 3
11-0LOUISLOUISAttack errChloe Meester+2.7
21-1LOUISWISC×5Serve errLouisville+1.7
31-2WISCWISC×5Attack errBrooke Bultema+3.0
41-3WISCWISC×5Attack errChloe Meester+3.2
51-4WISCWISC×5AceWisconsinaced Hannah Kenny+3.3
61-5WISCWISC×5KillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.2
72-5WISCLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Payton Petersen+1.7
82-6LOUISWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Anna Bardaro+2.1
92-7WISCWISCAceWisconsin+3.1
103-7WISCLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.5
114-7LOUISLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+2.9
124-8LOUISWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.2
134-9WISCWISCAceWisconsinaced Chloe Chicoine+3.2
145-9WISCLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.5
156-9LOUISLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Chloe Meester+3.0
166-10LOUISWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.3
177-10WISCLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+1.8
187-11LOUISWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.3
198-11WISCLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Kamden Schrand+1.8
208-12LOUISWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Grace Egan+2.3
218-13WISCWISCBlockedBrooke Bultemablk Lynney Tarnow, Eva Travis+3.3
229-13WISCLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+1.5
239-14LOUISWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.1
249-15WISCWISCAceWisconsinaced Hannah Kenny+2.7
2510-15WISCLOUISAttack errGrace Egan+1.1
2610-16LOUISWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.7
2711-16WISCLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello+1.0
2811-17LOUISWISCServe errLouisville+1.6
2912-17WISCLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+1.0
3012-18LOUISWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Kristen Simon+1.6
3113-18WISCLOUIS×3KillKalyssa Blackshearset Kamden Schrand+0.9
3214-18LOUISLOUIS×3BlockedCharlie Fuerbringerblk Brooke Bultema+2.1
3315-18LOUISLOUIS×3Attack errEva Travis+3.0
3415-19LOUISWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.7
3516-19WISCLOUISKillKalyssa Blackshearset Nayelis Cabello+1.7
3616-20LOUISWISC×4KillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.7
3716-21WISCWISC×4Attack errChloe Meester+3.0
3816-22WISCWISC×4Attack errChloe Chicoine+1.6
3916-23WISCWISC×4Attack errBrooke Bultema+0.7
4017-23WISCLOUISKillChloe Chicoineset Nayelis Cabello+0.1
4117-24LOUISWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
4218-24WISCLOUISKillChloe Meesterset Nayelis Cabello·
4318-25LOUISWISCServe errLouisville+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Louisville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).