FinalMon, Aug 24, 2026

AwayACC

3:0

HomeBIG-EAST

Pittsburgh def. Xavier 3–0

(26-24, 25-13, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
PITT	26	25	25	3
XAVIER	24	13	18	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

XAVIER above 50 · PITT below

Biggest swing: 0.7% to Xavier — set 1, PITT 24-24 XAVIER. Kill by McKinley Boehm. XAVIER win probability 1% → 1%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PITT 99.5%0.5% XAVIER

Pittsburgh wins

3-0

79.5%

3-1

17.6%

3-2

2.4%

Xavier wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.4%

PITT break %: 51.1% vs this opp
XAVIER break %: 31.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
McKinley BoehmKill+0.7%
Kill by McKinley Boehm
Set 1 · PITT 24-24 XAVIER · XAVIER 1% → 1%
02
Blaire BaylessKill+0.5%
Kill by Blaire Bayless (set by Izzy Starck)
Set 1 · PITT 25-24 XAVIER · PITT 99% → 99%
03
Ava TildenAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Ava Tilden
Set 1 · PITT 26-24 XAVIER · PITT 99% → 100%
04
Charlotte MoriartyKill+0.4%
Kill by Charlotte Moriarty (set by Macy Hatkevich)
Set 1 · PITT 15-17 XAVIER · XAVIER 1% → 2%
05
Ayanna WatsonKill+0.3%
Kill by Ayanna Watson (set by Maaike Heilig)
Set 1 · PITT 17-17 XAVIER · PITT 99% → 99%
06
Olivia BabcockAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Olivia Babcock
Set 1 · PITT 9-12 XAVIER · XAVIER 1% → 1%
07
Ayanna WatsonKill+0.3%
Kill by Ayanna Watson
Set 1 · PITT 19-18 XAVIER · PITT 99% → 99%
08
Charlotte MoriartyKill+0.3%
Kill by Charlotte Moriarty (set by Kelsey Niesen)
Set 1 · PITT 17-18 XAVIER · XAVIER 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Pittsburghaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Olivia BabcockOH	3	12	3	20	.450	0	2	3	5	0	0	3	1.5	15.5
8Blaire BaylessOH	3	13	5	28	.286	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	14
2Maaike HeiligMB	3	4	0	4	1.000	1	2	2	1	0	1	4	3	9
20Abbey EmchMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	6
21Izzy StarckS	3	1	1	2	.000	29	0	1	10	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
12Ayanna WatsonOH	2	8	1	15	.467	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	9
25Haiti Tautua'aS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
13Mallorie MeyerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	2	2	0	0	0	1
9Trinity ThompsonS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
7Izzy MastenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Sophia GregoireOH	2	4	2	12	.167	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	4
Team totals		46	13	90	.367	40	6	8	36	3	1	16	9	76

Xavierhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
4Charlotte MoriartyOH	3	17	4	40	.325	1	0	2	5	2	1	0.5	17.5
12McKinley BoehmMB	3	4	2	14	.143	0	0	2	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
8Macy HatkevichS	3	1	0	2	.500	22	1	0	3	0	4	2	4
14Catherine FlahartyOH	3	3	4	11	-.091	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Julia GraceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
18Iyanna BattleMB	2	3	0	3	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
15Ava TildenOH	3	1	5	9	-.444	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	1
2Kelsey NiesenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	10	2	0	0	1
11Kasey QuenichetL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
9Quinci ThomasOH	2	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Elouise CzajkowskiL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
16Margo KempMB	1	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
5Jenna BarhorstS	1	0	0	0	–	6	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		31	16	89	.169	30	3	7	27	6	10	5	55

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 PITT · XAVIER 4

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 3 PITTXAVIER 4

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 6 PITTXAVIER 2

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 PITTXAVIER 2

Bars above the line = Xavier leads, below = Pittsburgh leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Pittsburgh

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	60%9/15
2	80%8/10	33%4/12
3	58%7/12	53%8/15
4	75%6/8	54%7/13
5	71%5/7	29%2/7
6	71%5/7	58%7/12
All	68%39/57	50%37/74

Xavier

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	46%6/13
2	70%7/10	20%2/10
3	35%6/17	30%3/10
4	60%6/10	40%4/10
5	50%5/10	25%2/8
6	42%5/12	17%1/6
All	50%37/74	32%18/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	PITT-XAVIER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.1
2	1-1	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.1
3	1-2	XAVIER	XAVIER	Attack err	Blaire Bayless		+0.1
4	2-2	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.1
5	3-2	PITT	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless		+0.1
6	3-3	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Iyanna Battle	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.1
7	4-3	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Maaike Heilig	set Izzy Starck	+0.1
8	5-3	PITT	PITT	Ace	PITT server	aced Charlotte Moriarty	+0.1
9	5-4	PITT	XAVIER×3	Serve err	PITT server		+0.1
10	5-5	XAVIER	XAVIER×3	Attack err	Blaire Bayless		+0.1
11	5-6	XAVIER	XAVIER×3	Attack err	Olivia Babcock		+0.1
12	6-6	XAVIER	PITT	Serve err	XAVIER server		+0.1
13	6-7	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	McKinley Boehm	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.1
14	7-7	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Izzy Starck	+0.1
15	8-7	PITT	PITT	Attack err	McKinley Boehm	blk Abbey Emch, Ayanna Watson	+0.1
16	8-8	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Macy Hatkevich	set Charlotte Moriarty	+0.1
17	9-8	XAVIER	PITT	Serve err	XAVIER server		+0.1
18	9-9	PITT	XAVIER×4	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.1
19	9-10	XAVIER	XAVIER×4	Ace	XAVIER server	aced Mallorie Meyer	+0.2
20	9-11	XAVIER	XAVIER×4	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.3
21	9-12	XAVIER	XAVIER×4	Attack err	Olivia Babcock		+0.3
22	10-12	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
23	10-13	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.3
24	11-13	XAVIER	PITT	Serve err	XAVIER server		+0.2
25	11-14	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.3
26	12-14	XAVIER	PITT×3	Attack err	Ava Tilden	blk Maaike Heilig, Olivia Babcock	+0.2
27	13-14	PITT	PITT×3	Ace	PITT server	aced Ava Tilden	+0.3
28	14-14	PITT	PITT×3	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.3
29	14-15	PITT	XAVIER	Serve err	PITT server		+0.2
30	15-15	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Maaike Heilig	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
31	15-16	PITT	XAVIER	Attack err	Ayanna Watson	blk Macy Hatkevich, McKinley Boehm	+0.2
32	15-17	XAVIER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.4
33	16-17	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
34	17-17	PITT	PITT	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Maaike Heilig	+0.3
35	17-18	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Kelsey Niesen	+0.3
36	18-18	XAVIER	PITT×3	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
37	19-18	PITT	PITT×3	Kill	Ayanna Watson		+0.3
38	20-18	PITT	PITT×3	Kill	Ayanna Watson		+0.2
39	20-19	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.2
40	21-19	XAVIER	PITT	Attack err	Catherine Flaharty		+0.2
41	22-19	PITT	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
42	22-20	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.1
43	23-20	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Abbey Emch	set Izzy Starck	+0.1
44	24-20	PITT	PITT	Attack err	Catherine Flaharty		+0.1
45	24-21	PITT	XAVIER×4	Kill	Iyanna Battle	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
46	24-22	XAVIER	XAVIER×4	Attack err	Blaire Bayless	blk Catherine Flaharty, Macy Hatkevich	+0.1
47	24-23	XAVIER	XAVIER×4	Ace	XAVIER server	aced Mallorie Meyer	+0.2
48	24-24	XAVIER	XAVIER×4	Kill	McKinley Boehm		+0.7
49	25-24	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.5
50	26-24	PITT	PITT	Attack err	Ava Tilden		+0.5
Set 2
1	1-0	PITT	PITT	Attack err	Margo Kemp		+0.0
2	1-1	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
3	2-1	XAVIER	PITT	Attack err	Ava Tilden	blk Abbey Emch, Ayanna Watson	+0.0
4	3-1	PITT	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Trinity Thompson	+0.0
5	3-2	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Catherine Flaharty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
6	4-2	XAVIER	PITT×6	Serve err	XAVIER server		+0.0
7	5-2	PITT	PITT×6	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Mallorie Meyer	+0.0
8	6-2	PITT	PITT×6	Attack err	McKinley Boehm	blk Maaike Heilig	+0.0
9	7-2	PITT	PITT×6	Attack err	Catherine Flaharty	blk Maaike Heilig, Blaire Bayless	+0.0
10	8-2	PITT	PITT×6	Ace	PITT server	aced Charlotte Moriarty	+0.0
11	9-2	PITT	PITT×6	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
12	9-3	PITT	XAVIER	Serve err	PITT server		+0.0
13	9-4	XAVIER	XAVIER	Attack err	Blaire Bayless	blk Macy Hatkevich, McKinley Boehm	+0.0
14	10-4	XAVIER	PITT×3	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
15	11-4	PITT	PITT×3	Kill	Sophia Gregoire	set Haiti Tautua'a	+0.0
16	12-4	PITT	PITT×3	Ace	PITT server	aced Kelsey Niesen	+0.0
17	12-5	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
18	13-5	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Sophia Gregoire	set Haiti Tautua'a	+0.0
19	13-6	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
20	14-6	XAVIER	PITT×3	Kill	Maaike Heilig	set Haiti Tautua'a	+0.0
21	15-6	PITT	PITT×3	Attack err	Charlotte Moriarty		+0.0
22	16-6	PITT	PITT×3	Ace	PITT server	aced Kelsey Niesen	+0.0
23	16-7	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
24	16-8	XAVIER	XAVIER	Attack err	Sophia Gregoire	blk Charlotte Moriarty, Margo Kemp	+0.0
25	17-8	XAVIER	PITT×4	Kill	Abbey Emch	set Haiti Tautua'a	+0.0
26	18-8	PITT	PITT×4	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
27	19-8	PITT	PITT×4	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Trinity Thompson	+0.0
28	20-8	PITT	PITT×4	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
29	20-9	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Margo Kemp	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
30	21-9	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
31	21-10	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
32	22-10	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
33	23-10	PITT	PITT	Attack err	Catherine Flaharty	blk Maaike Heilig, Blaire Bayless	+0.0
34	23-11	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	McKinley Boehm	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
35	23-12	XAVIER	XAVIER	Attack err	Blaire Bayless	blk Macy Hatkevich, McKinley Boehm	+0.0
36	24-12	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
37	24-13	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
38	25-13	XAVIER	PITT	Attack err	Charlotte Moriarty		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
2	1-1	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	McKinley Boehm	set Jenna Barhorst	+0.0
3	2-1	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
4	2-2	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Jenna Barhorst	+0.0
5	3-2	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Mallorie Meyer	+0.0
6	4-2	PITT	PITT	Kill	Izzy Starck	set Sophia Gregoire	+0.0
7	4-3	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
8	5-3	XAVIER	PITT×3	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
9	6-3	PITT	PITT×3	Attack err	Ava Tilden	blk Maaike Heilig, Izzy Starck	+0.0
10	7-3	PITT	PITT×3	Attack err	Ava Tilden		+0.0
11	7-4	PITT	XAVIER	Attack err	Sophia Gregoire		+0.0
12	7-5	XAVIER	XAVIER	Attack err	Izzy Starck		+0.0
13	8-5	XAVIER	PITT	Attack err	Charlotte Moriarty		+0.0
14	8-6	PITT	XAVIER	Serve err	PITT server		+0.0
15	8-7	XAVIER	XAVIER	Ace	XAVIER server	aced Sophia Gregoire	+0.0
16	9-7	XAVIER	PITT×4	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
17	10-7	PITT	PITT×4	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Trinity Thompson	+0.0
18	11-7	PITT	PITT×4	Kill	Abbey Emch	set Jenna Barhorst	+0.0
19	12-7	PITT	PITT×4	Bad set	Jenna Barhorst		+0.0
20	12-8	PITT	XAVIER	Serve err	PITT server		+0.0
21	12-9	XAVIER	XAVIER	Attack err	Abbey Emch		+0.0
22	13-9	XAVIER	PITT×3	Serve err	XAVIER server		+0.0
23	14-9	PITT	PITT×3	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
24	15-9	PITT	PITT×3	Attack err	Charlotte Moriarty	blk Olivia Babcock, Abbey Emch	+0.0
25	15-10	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Jenna Barhorst	+0.0
26	15-11	XAVIER	XAVIER	Kill	Charlotte Moriarty	set Jenna Barhorst	+0.0
27	16-11	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Mallorie Meyer	+0.0
28	16-12	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Quinci Thomas	set Jenna Barhorst	+0.0
29	17-12	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
30	17-13	PITT	XAVIER	Serve err	PITT server		+0.0
31	18-13	XAVIER	PITT	Serve err	XAVIER server		+0.0
32	18-14	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Iyanna Battle	set Macy Hatkevich	+0.0
33	19-14	XAVIER	PITT×4	Kill	Maaike Heilig	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
34	20-14	PITT	PITT×4	Kill	Abbey Emch	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
35	21-14	PITT	PITT×4	Kill	Sophia Gregoire		+0.0
36	22-14	PITT	PITT×4	Ace	PITT server	aced Team	+0.0
37	22-15	PITT	XAVIER	Serve err	PITT server		+0.0
38	23-15	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Sophia Gregoire	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
39	23-16	PITT	XAVIER	Kill	Ava Tilden	set Jenna Barhorst	+0.0
40	23-17	XAVIER	XAVIER	Attack err	Olivia Babcock		+0.0
41	24-17	XAVIER	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
42	24-18	PITT	XAVIER	Serve err	PITT server		+0.0
43	25-18	XAVIER	PITT	Serve err	XAVIER server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Pittsburgh first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.