FinalThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on BTN

Nebraska def. Penn St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Nebraska 94.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Nebraska won at Penn St. 3-0 (25-20, 25-17, 25-18) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Harper Murray led Nebraska with 13 kills; Penn St.'s Kennedy Martin had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set123Sets
NEB2525253
PENNST2017180

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.400 and 13 kills for Harper Murray as Nebraska rolled past Penn St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.2 points. Penn St. peaked at 6% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Nebraska went in as RallyIQ's 94% pick.

NebraskaPenn St.
  • Break %+18.5 pts
    46.628.1

    On serve: 34/73 against 16/57 (Penn St. sideout 53.4%).

  • Hitting+.189
    .419.230

    46 K / 7 E against 41 K / 18 E.

Penn St. above 50Nebraska belowMax swing 1.2%

NebraskaPenn St.

Aces
Nebraska 5·Penn St. 2
Serve err
Nebraska 5·Penn St. 4
Blocks
Nebraska 10·Penn St. 31 BS · 18 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Nebraska 40·Penn St. 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Penn St. above 50 · Nebraska below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.2% PENNSTrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.2% to Penn St. — set 1, NEB 19-18 PENNST. Kill by Harper Murray (set by Alexis Stucky). PENNST win probability 5% → 6%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NEB 93.7%6.3% PENNST

Nebraska wins

3-0
52.1%
3-1
30.5%
3-2
11.1%

Penn St. wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.8%
3-2
3.7%
NEB break %
46.1% vs this opp
PENNST break %
34.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Harper MurrayKill+1.2%

    Kill by Harper Murray (set by Alexis Stucky)

    Set 1 · NEB 19-18 PENNST · PENNST 5% → 6%

  2. 02
    Andi JacksonKill+1.1%

    Kill by Andi Jackson (set by Bergen Reilly)

    Set 1 · NEB 21-19 PENNST · NEB 94% → 95%

  3. 03
    NebraskaAce+1.1%

    Nebraska ace on Jocelyn Nathan

    Set 1 · NEB 22-19 PENNST · NEB 95% → 96%

  4. 04

    Kill by Manaia Ogbechie (set by Bergen Reilly)

    Set 1 · NEB 20-18 PENNST · NEB 94% → 95%

  5. 05
    Alexis StuckyKill+1.0%

    Kill by Alexis Stucky (set by Ava Falduto)

    Set 1 · NEB 20-19 PENNST · PENNST 5% → 6%

  6. 06
    Penn St.Service error+0.8%

    Penn St. service error

    Set 1 · NEB 23-20 PENNST · NEB 96% → 97%

  7. 07
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+0.8%

    Point Penn St. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · NEB 19-17 PENNST · PENNST 4% → 5%

  8. 08

    Kill by Whitney Lauenstein (set by Alexis Stucky)

    Set 2 · NEB 0-3 PENNST · PENNST 4% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313130.4001223104217
311116.6250011016415
38117.41210151010.58.5
36213.30810000031.57.5
36213.30800000010.56.5
3103.3333401160031.52.5
3000–420600002
3000–310800001
11011.000000000001
1000–000100000
Team totals46793.41944554021181075
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317640.2750006000017
312530.23310130031.513.5
3305.6003220400005
3315.40000000010.53.5
3114.000001200212
3000–000620000
3000–402400000
3000–100510000
3000–000220000
23312.000000000003
1213.333000200002
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000100000
1000–200000000
Team totals4118100.230402435506355

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NEB · PENNST 3

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 NEBPENNST 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 NEBPENNST 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 NEBPENNST 3

Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = Nebraska leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Nebraska

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
50%4/8
2
71%5/7
55%6/11
3
57%4/7
60%6/10
4
100%4/4
43%3/7
5
67%4/6
50%4/8
6
80%4/5
20%1/5
All
72%26/36
49%24/49

Penn St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%5/11
0%0/5
2
40%4/10
44%4/9
3
40%4/10
33%2/6
4
100%4/4
20%1/5
5
44%4/9
0%0/4
6
80%4/5
43%3/7
All
51%25/49
28%10/36

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#NEB-PENNSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PENNSTNEB×3Serve errPenn St.+0.4
22-0NEBNEB×3BlockedWhitney Lauensteinblk Virginia Adriano, Andi Jackson+0.5
33-0NEBNEB×3KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.5
43-1NEBPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.4
54-1PENNSTNEB×4KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.3
65-1NEBNEB×4BlockedWhitney Lauensteinblk Andi Jackson, Harper Murray+0.4
76-1NEBNEB×4Attack errKennedy Martin+0.3
87-1NEBNEB×4Attack errKennedy Martin+0.2
97-2NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.2
107-3PENNSTPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+0.3
118-3PENNSTNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.2
128-4NEBPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+0.2
139-4PENNSTNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.2
149-5NEBPENNSTAttack errTeraya Sigler+0.2
1510-5PENNSTNEBBlockedEmmi Sellmanblk Bergen Reilly, Manaia Ogbechie+0.2
1610-6NEBPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+0.2
1710-7PENNSTPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Jocelyn Nathan+0.4
1811-7PENNSTNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.3
1912-7NEBNEBKillHarper Murrayset Olivia Mauch+0.4
2012-8NEBPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.2
2112-9PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.4
2213-9PENNSTNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.4
2313-10NEBPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.3
2414-10PENNSTNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.4
2514-11NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.4
2615-11PENNSTNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.4
2716-11NEBNEBKillTeraya Sigler+0.4
2816-12NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.2
2917-12PENNSTNEBAttack errKendall Northern+0.3
3017-13NEBPENNSTServe errNebraska+0.2
3117-14PENNSTPENNSTAttack errHarper Murray+0.5
3218-14PENNSTNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.4
3318-15NEBPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+0.4
3419-15PENNSTNEBAttack errTeraya Sigler+0.4
3519-16NEBPENNST×3Serve errNebraska+0.4
3619-17PENNST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
3719-18PENNSTPENNST×3KillHarper Murrayset Alexis Stucky+1.2
3820-18PENNSTNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+1.0
3920-19NEBPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Ava Falduto+1.0
4021-19PENNSTNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+1.1
4122-19NEBNEBAceNebraskaaced Jocelyn Nathan+1.1
4222-20NEBPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Ava Falduto+0.6
4323-20PENNSTNEB×3Serve errPenn St.+0.8
4424-20NEBNEB×3AceNebraskaaced Lexi Gin+0.5
4525-20NEBNEB×3KillTeraya Siglerset Laney Choboy+0.1
Set 2
10-1NEBPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.4
20-2PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedVirginia Adrianoblk Gabrielle Nichols, Whitney Lauenstein+0.6
30-3PENNSTPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.7
41-3PENNSTNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.4
52-3NEBNEBKillHarper Murrayset Olivia Mauch+0.5
62-4NEBPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Ava Falduto+0.5
73-4PENNSTNEB×4KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.4
84-4NEBNEB×4BlockedEmmi Sellmanblk Bergen Reilly, Andi Jackson+0.5
95-4NEBNEB×4BlockedKennedy Martinblk Andi Jackson, Harper Murray+0.5
106-4NEBNEB×4KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.4
116-5NEBPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+0.3
126-6PENNSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.5
137-6PENNSTNEBServe errPenn St.+0.4
147-7NEBPENNSTServe errNebraska+0.4
158-7PENNSTNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.4
169-7NEBNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Laney Choboy+0.5
179-8NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.4
189-9PENNSTPENNSTBlockedManaia Ogbechieblk Kendall Northern, Whitney Lauenstein+0.6
1910-9PENNSTNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Teraya Sigler+0.4
2010-10NEBPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+0.5
2111-10PENNSTNEB×3KillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.4
2212-10NEBNEB×3KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.5
2313-10NEBNEB×3Attack errWhitney Lauenstein+0.4
2413-11NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.3
2514-11PENNSTNEB×3KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.3
2615-11NEBNEB×3AceNebraskaaced Haley Burgdorf+0.3
2716-11NEBNEB×3Attack errKennedy Martin+0.2
2816-12NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.2
2917-12PENNSTNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.2
3017-13NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
3118-13PENNSTNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.2
3218-14NEBPENNSTServe errNebraska+0.1
3319-14PENNSTNEB×4KillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.2
3420-14NEBNEB×4Attack errEmmi Sellman+0.1
3521-14NEBNEB×4KillTeraya Siglerset Laney Choboy+0.1
3622-14NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly·
3722-15NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky·
3822-16PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Danielle Whitmire·
3923-16PENNSTNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly·
4023-17NEBPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Danielle Whitmire·
4124-17PENNSTNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly·
4225-17NEBNEBBlockedCaroline Jureviciusblk Manaia Ogbechie, Harper Murray·
Set 3
11-0PENNSTNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.1
21-1NEBPENNST×3KillAlexis Stuckyset Whitney Lauenstein+0.2
31-2PENNSTPENNST×3AceAlexis Stuckyaced Harper Murray+0.2
41-3PENNSTPENNST×3AceAlexis Stuckyaced Teraya Sigler+0.3
52-3PENNSTNEB×4KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.2
63-3NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.2
74-3NEBNEB×4AceNebraskaaced Haley Burgdorf+0.2
85-3NEBNEB×4BlockedWhitney Lauensteinblk Bergen Reilly, Andi Jackson+0.2
95-4NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
106-4PENNSTNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.1
116-5NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
127-5PENNSTNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.1
137-6NEBPENNSTKillFinley Krystkowiakset Ava Falduto+0.2
148-6PENNSTNEBKillBergen Reillyset Laney Choboy+0.1
159-6NEBNEBBlockedKennedy Martinblk Teraya Sigler, Manaia Ogbechie+0.2
169-7NEBPENNSTKillFinley Krystkowiakset Alexis Stucky+0.1
1710-7PENNSTNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.1
1810-8NEBPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
1911-8PENNSTNEBServe errPenn St.+0.1
2011-9NEBPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
2112-9PENNSTNEBKillHarper Murrayset Olivia Mauch+0.1
2212-10NEBPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
2312-11PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.2
2412-12PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errAndi Jackson+0.3
2513-12PENNSTNEB×4Bad setKennedy Martin+0.2
2614-12NEBNEB×4AceNebraskaaced Lexi Gin+0.3
2715-12NEBNEB×4BlockedGabrielle Nicholsblk Andi Jackson+0.2
2816-12NEBNEB×4Attack errFinley Krystkowiak+0.2
2916-13NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
3017-13PENNSTNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.1
3117-14NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
3218-14PENNSTNEBBad setJocelyn Nathan+0.1
3318-15NEBPENNSTServe errNebraska+0.1
3418-16PENNSTPENNSTAttack errManaia Ogbechie+0.2
3519-16PENNSTNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.2
3620-16NEBNEBKillHarper Murrayset Manaia Ogbechie+0.2
3720-17NEBPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
3821-17PENNSTNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.1
3922-17NEBNEB×4KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.1
4023-17NEBNEB×4BlockedKennedy Martinblk Andi Jackson, Harper Murray·
4124-17NEBNEB×4KillVirginia Adrianoset Harper Murray·
4224-18NEBPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky·
4325-18PENNSTNEBKillRyan Hunterset Bergen Reilly·

Score shown after each rally, Nebraska first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).