FinalSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on BTN

Penn St. def. Washington 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Washington 52.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 10:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Penn St. beat visiting Washington 3-0 (25-14, 25-19, 25-23) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Penn St.'s Kennedy Martin led with 14 kills, and Ava Falduto added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set123Sets
WASH1419230
PENNST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 kills in 3 sets for Kennedy Martin. Penn St. swept Washington.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.1 points, and Washington's high was 52% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ had Washington at 52% before first serve.

WashingtonPenn St.
  • Break %+17.5 pts
    29.847.3

    35 of 74 on serve vs 17 of 57, so Washington's sideout was 52.7%.

  • Hitting+.122
    .113.235

    46 kills, 19 errors vs 29 kills, 16 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    Up 14–8 in the first set, Penn St. scored 6 straight to make it 20–8. The set finished 25–14.

Penn St. above 50Washington belowMax swing 5.1%

WashingtonPenn St.

Aces
Washington 2·Penn St. 5
Serve err
Washington 8·Penn St. 6
Blocks
Washington 10·Penn St. 83 BS · 14 BA vs 2 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Washington 46·Penn St. 58

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Penn St. above 50 · Washington below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.1% PENNSTrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.1% to Penn St. — set 3, WASH 23-25 PENNST. Simona Mateska stuffed by Kendall Northern & Alexis Stucky. PENNST win probability 95% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WASH 30.1%69.9% PENNST

Washington wins

3-0
5.7%
3-1
10.6%
3-2
13.8%

Penn St. wins

3-0
23.2%
3-1
26.8%
3-2
19.9%
WASH break %
39.3% vs this opp
PENNST break %
43.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Simona Mateska stuffed by Kendall Northern & Alexis Stucky

    Set 3 · WASH 23-25 PENNST · PENNST 95% → 100%

  2. 02

    Kill by Whitney Lauenstein (set by Alexis Stucky)

    Set 2 · WASH 10-13 PENNST · PENNST 73% → 76%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Alexis Stucky)

    Set 3 · WASH 20-23 PENNST · PENNST 95% → 98%

  4. 04

    Kill by Haley Burgdorf (set by Ava Falduto)

    Set 2 · WASH 8-10 PENNST · PENNST 70% → 73%

  5. 05

    Kill by Simona Mateska (set by Kylie Kleckner)

    Set 2 · WASH 8-8 PENNST · WASH 30% → 33%

  6. 06
    Whitney LauensteinAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Whitney Lauenstein

    Set 3 · WASH 23-24 PENNST · WASH 2% → 5%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Ava Falduto)

    Set 3 · WASH 20-22 PENNST · PENNST 92% → 95%

  8. 08

    Kill by Gabrielle Nichols (set by Ava Falduto)

    Set 2 · WASH 10-14 PENNST · PENNST 76% → 79%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39634.0880027502110
35112.333201001016
35323.087200110010.55.5
3012-.50019021000000
3000–000300000
2219.11100010031.53.5
36323.1300112014310
3000–3121100001
22110.100000101435
1002.000000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals2916115.11327284653141056
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314333.333211130132.517.5
39424.20803050010.512.5
311216.56300120031.512.5
37426.1153011011018
33510-.20000000031.54.5
3216.1673312800214
3000–4001510000
3000–001000000
3000–000500000
Team totals4619115.2354256582212875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 WASH · PENNST 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 4 WASHPENNST 6

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 WASHPENNST 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 WASHPENNST 3

Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = Washington leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Washington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%7/21
25%2/8
2
44%7/16
30%3/10
3
70%7/10
36%4/11
4
78%7/9
42%5/12
5
75%6/8
22%2/9
6
50%5/10
14%1/7
All
53%39/74
30%17/57

Penn St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
59%10/17
2
54%7/13
68%15/22
3
70%7/10
0%0/7
4
70%7/10
42%5/12
5
75%6/8
14%1/7
6
100%5/5
44%4/9
All
70%40/57
47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#WASH-PENNSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Simona Mateska+2.5
21-1PENNSTWASHServe errPenn St.+1.8
31-2WASHPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.9
41-3PENNSTPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.6
51-4PENNSTPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.5
62-4PENNSTWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.7
72-5WASHPENNSTServe errWashington+1.9
83-5PENNSTWASHBlockedHaley Burgdorfblk Simona Mateska, Katy Wessels+1.7
94-5WASHWASHBlockedKendall Northernblk Katy Wessels, Maija Howse+2.6
104-6WASHPENNSTServe errWashington+2.0
115-6PENNSTWASHAttack errKennedy Martin+1.9
125-7WASHPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+2.1
136-7PENNSTWASHKillMaija Howseset Julia Hunt+2.0
146-8WASHPENNSTServe errWashington+2.1
156-9PENNSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.8
167-9PENNSTWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.9
177-10WASHPENNST×5KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.1
187-11PENNSTPENNST×5KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.6
197-12PENNSTPENNST×5KillWhitney Lauensteinset Haley Burgdorf+2.3
207-13PENNSTPENNST×5BlockedSimona Mateskablk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+1.9
217-14PENNSTPENNST×5BlockedSimona Mateskablk Kennedy Martin+1.4
228-14PENNSTWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Lily Mae Buerkle+0.7
238-15WASHPENNST×6KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.0
248-16PENNSTPENNST×6KillKennedy Martinset Lily Mae Buerkle+1.0
258-17PENNSTPENNST×6BlockedSimona Mateskablk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+0.6
268-18PENNSTPENNST×6AcePenn St.aced Simona Mateska+0.4
278-19PENNSTPENNST×6KillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+0.2
288-20PENNSTPENNST×6KillHaley Burgdorfset Ava Falduto+0.1
299-20PENNSTWASH×4KillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova·
3010-20WASHWASH×4KillKaty Wessels+0.1
3111-20WASHWASH×4Attack errHaley Burgdorf+0.1
3212-20WASHWASH×4BlockedHaley Burgdorfblk Katy Wessels, Maija Howse+0.2
3312-21WASHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto+0.2
3413-21PENNSTWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.1
3513-22WASHPENNSTServe errWashington+0.2
3613-23PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Simona Mateska+0.1
3714-23PENNSTWASHKillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova·
3814-24WASHPENNSTServe errWashington·
3914-25PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky·
Set 2
10-1WASHPENNST×5KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.9
20-2PENNSTPENNST×5Attack errKaty Wessels+2.6
30-3PENNSTPENNST×5Attack errMaija Howse+2.5
40-4PENNSTPENNST×5KillAlexis Stuckyset Haley Burgdorf+2.4
50-5PENNSTPENNST×5KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.2
61-5PENNSTWASH×3KillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.4
72-5WASHWASH×3BlockedWhitney Lauensteinblk Hayden Conner, Maija Howse+2.2
83-5WASHWASH×3BlockedKennedy Martinblk Hayden Conner, Kylie Kleckner+2.4
93-6WASHPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.9
104-6PENNSTWASHKillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.8
114-7WASHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.0
125-7PENNSTWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.8
136-7WASHWASHAttack errGabrielle Nichols+2.8
146-8WASHPENNSTBlockedAndrea Fabikovicovablk Haley Burgdorf+2.2
157-8PENNSTWASHServe errPenn St.+2.1
168-8WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kylie Kleckner+3.0
178-9WASHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.3
188-10PENNSTPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Ava Falduto+3.1
199-10PENNSTWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.2
209-11WASHPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Kennedy Martin+2.4
2110-11PENNSTWASHServe errPenn St.+2.2
2210-12WASHPENNST×3KillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+2.4
2310-13PENNSTPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+3.2
2410-14PENNSTPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nicholsset Ava Falduto+2.8
2511-14PENNSTWASHBlockedWhitney Lauensteinblk Hayden Conner, Maija Howse+1.7
2611-15WASHPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.1
2712-15PENNSTWASHBlockedGabrielle Nicholsblk Hayden Conner+1.7
2812-16WASHPENNST×4Attack errMaija Howse+2.2
2912-17PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errMaija Howse+2.4
3012-18PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errJulia Hunt+1.8
3112-19PENNSTPENNST×4KillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+1.1
3213-19PENNSTWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
3314-19WASHWASHAceWashingtonaced Ava Falduto+1.0
3414-20WASHPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.1
3515-20PENNSTWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.7
3615-21WASHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.0
3716-21PENNSTWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
3816-22WASHPENNST×3Serve errWashington+0.9
3916-23PENNSTPENNST×3KillKendall Northern+0.6
4016-24PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedSimona Mateskablk Kendall Northern, Alexis Stucky+0.2
4117-24PENNSTWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova·
4218-24WASHWASH×3Attack errKendall Northern+0.1
4319-24WASHWASH×3BlockedKendall Northernblk Hayden Conner, Simona Mateska+0.1
4419-25WASHPENNSTServe errWashington+0.2
Set 3
10-1PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errKylie Kleckner+1.7
20-2PENNSTPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.7
30-3PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.7
41-3PENNSTWASHKillHayden Connerset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.1
51-4WASHPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.2
61-5PENNSTPENNST×3AcePenn St.aced Simona Mateska+1.6
71-6PENNSTPENNST×3AcePenn St.aced Simona Mateska+1.5
82-6PENNSTWASHKillHayden Connerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.9
93-6WASHWASHAceWashingtonaced Haley Burgdorf+1.5
103-7WASHPENNSTServe errWashington+1.2
114-7PENNSTWASHKillMaija Howseset Kaitlyn Nguyen+1.1
124-8WASHPENNSTBlockedKylie Klecknerblk Kendall Northern, Kennedy Martin+1.2
135-8PENNSTWASHAttack errKendall Northern+1.1
146-8WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.7
156-9WASHPENNSTAttack errSimona Mateska+1.4
167-9PENNSTWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.3
177-10WASHPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.4
187-11PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedKylie Klecknerblk Gabrielle Nichols, Whitney Lauenstein+1.8
197-12PENNSTPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Kennedy Martin+1.6
208-12PENNSTWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kylie Kleckner+0.9
218-13WASHPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.1
229-13PENNSTWASHServe errPenn St.+0.9
2310-13WASHWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Kaitlyn Nguyen+1.6
2410-14WASHPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.4
2511-14PENNSTWASHAttack errHaley Burgdorf+1.1
2611-15WASHPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.4
2712-15PENNSTWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.2
2813-15WASHWASH×3BlockedKendall Northernblk Julia Hunt+2.0
2914-15WASHWASH×3KillKylie Klecknerset Julia Hunt+2.3
3014-16WASHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.9
3115-16PENNSTWASHServe errPenn St.+1.8
3215-17WASHPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+2.0
3316-17PENNSTWASHAttack errAlexis Stucky+1.8
3416-18WASHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.1
3517-18PENNSTWASHServe errPenn St.+1.9
3617-19WASHPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Haley Burgdorf+2.3
3718-19PENNSTWASHBlockedKennedy Martinblk Maija Howse+2.0
3818-20WASHPENNSTAttack errHayden Conner+2.4
3919-20PENNSTWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.1
4019-21WASHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.6
4120-21PENNSTWASHKillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.2
4220-22WASHPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto+2.9
4320-23PENNSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+3.2
4421-23PENNSTWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.3
4521-24WASHPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+2.3
4622-24PENNSTWASHAttack errWhitney Lauenstein+0.9
4723-24WASHWASHAttack errWhitney Lauenstein+2.9
4823-25WASHPENNSTBlockedSimona Mateskablk Kendall Northern, Alexis Stucky+5.1

Score shown after each rally, Washington first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).