FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

3:0

HomeSWAC

UTRGV def. Prairie View 3–0

(25-15, 25-17, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
UTRGV	25	25	25	3
PV A&M	15	17	18	0

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PV A&M above 50 · UTRGV below

Biggest swing: 1.3% to UTRGV — set 1, UTRGV 4-3 PV A&M. Attack error by Terasita Caldwell. PV A&M win probability 12% → 11%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UTRGV 88.2%11.8% PV A&M

UTRGV wins

3-0

41.6%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.0%

Prairie View wins

3-0

1.6%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

6.5%

UTRGV break %: 46.1% vs this opp
PV A&M break %: 37.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Terasita CaldwellAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Terasita Caldwell
Set 1 · UTRGV 4-3 PV A&M · UTRGV 88% → 89%
02
Ema PetkovicKill+1.2%
Kill by Ema Petkovic (set by Lana Rnjak)
Set 2 · UTRGV 12-12 PV A&M · PV A&M 5% → 7%
03
Martina FrancoKill+1.1%
Kill by Martina Franco
Set 1 · UTRGV 5-3 PV A&M · UTRGV 89% → 90%
04
D'Mya HillAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by D'Mya Hill
Set 2 · UTRGV 14-12 PV A&M · UTRGV 94% → 95%
05
Valencia WilderKill+1.1%
Kill by Valencia Wilder
Set 2 · UTRGV 9-9 PV A&M · PV A&M 5% → 6%
06
D'Mya HillKill+1.0%
Kill by D'Mya Hill (set by Aubrey Goode)
Set 1 · UTRGV 2-3 PV A&M · PV A&M 12% → 13%
07
Valencia WilderAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Valencia Wilder
Set 2 · UTRGV 12-10 PV A&M · UTRGV 94% → 95%
08
Valencia WilderKill+1.0%
Kill by Valencia Wilder (set by Aubrey Goode)
Set 1 · UTRGV 1-2 PV A&M · PV A&M 12% → 13%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UTRGVaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Ema PetkovicOH	3	9	1	21	.381	0	6	4	5	0	0	2	1	16
22Julianna BryantMB	3	9	2	16	.438	0	2	0	2	0	2	1	2.5	13.5
25Soukeyna DioufOH	3	6	1	12	.417	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	8
1Martina FrancoOH	3	7	3	23	.174	1	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	7
2Aaliyah SneadMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
10Lana RnjakS	3	1	0	2	.500	30	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	3
5Celianiz CabranesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
8Dunja StankovicDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
6Agata MakowskaS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
21Carmina TijerinaDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	9	83	.313	31	11	7	33	2	4	8	8	75

Prairie Viewhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
16Iyonna SherwoodMB	3	8	6	19	.105	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
22D'Mya HillOH	3	7	5	22	.091	0	0	0	7	3	0	0	7
20Valencia WilderOH	3	6	2	15	.267	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
15Carrington CookOH	2	5	3	13	.154	0	0	2	4	1	0	0	5
10Daniella UdegbunamMB	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
11Aubrey GoodeS	2	0	0	1	.000	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
6Camille MiddletonOH	3	2	1	9	.111	1	0	0	8	3	0	0	2
14Tayler RuffinS	3	0	0	0	–	13	1	1	7	0	0	0	1
8Jade SmithMB	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Terasita CaldwellOH	2	2	2	6	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
17Neenah BurtonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	1
24Kenedy MassieS	2	0	0	0	–	7	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
1Lucy DieterlenL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team totals		30	21	88	.102	28	2	3	35	11	4	2	50

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 UTRGV · PV A&M 3

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 7 UTRGVPV A&M 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 6 UTRGVPV A&M 2

Set 3*

25-18

Longest run 5 UTRGVPV A&M 2

Bars above the line = Prairie View leads, below = UTRGV leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UTRGV

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	50%4/8
2	80%4/5	50%4/8
3	67%4/6	43%3/7
4	80%4/5	73%11/15
5	80%4/5	33%2/6
6	60%3/5	40%2/5
All	73%24/33	53%26/49

Prairie View

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%4/12	43%3/7
2	67%4/6	33%2/6
3	40%4/10	20%1/5
4	40%4/10	33%2/6
5	57%4/7	20%1/5
6	75%3/4	0%0/4
All	47%23/49	27%9/33

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

125 rallies

Rally log

#	UTRGV-PV A&M	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Carrington Cook	set Aubrey Goode	+1.0
2	1-1	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Aaliyah Snead	set Lana Rnjak	+0.9
3	1-2	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Valencia Wilder	set Aubrey Goode	+1.0
4	2-2	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.9
5	2-3	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Aubrey Goode	+1.0
6	3-3	PV A&M	UTRGV×7	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.9
7	4-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×7	Attack err	Terasita Caldwell		+1.3
8	5-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×7	Kill	Martina Franco		+1.1
9	6-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×7	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Team	+1.0
10	7-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×7	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Team	+0.8
11	8-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×7	Kill	Julianna Bryant		+0.6
12	9-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×7	Ace	UTRGV server	aced D'Mya Hill	+0.5
13	9-4	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.3
14	10-4	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
15	11-4	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.4
16	11-5	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Carrington Cook	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.2
17	12-5	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Lana Rnjak	set Martina Franco	+0.2
18	12-6	UTRGV	PV A&M×3	Kill	Valencia Wilder	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.2
19	12-7	PV A&M	PV A&M×3	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Aubrey Goode	+0.4
20	12-8	PV A&M	PV A&M×3	Bad set	Lana Rnjak		+0.6
21	13-8	PV A&M	UTRGV×5	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
22	14-8	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Attack err	Carrington Cook		+0.5
23	15-8	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Attack err	Iyonna Sherwood	blk Soukeyna Diouf, Aaliyah Snead	+0.3
24	16-8	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Attack err	Carrington Cook		+0.2
25	17-8	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Attack err	Carrington Cook	blk Soukeyna Diouf, Aaliyah Snead	+0.1
26	17-9	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Valencia Wilder	set Kenedy Massie	+0.0
27	17-10	PV A&M	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Kenedy Massie	+0.1
28	18-10	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
29	18-11	UTRGV	PV A&M	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.1
30	19-11	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
31	20-11	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
32	20-12	UTRGV	PV A&M	Attack err	Julianna Bryant		+0.0
33	20-13	PV A&M	PV A&M	Ace	PV A&M server	aced Carmina Tijerina	+0.1
34	21-13	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
35	21-14	UTRGV	PV A&M	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.0
36	22-14	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
37	23-14	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Terasita Caldwell	blk Julianna Bryant	+0.0
38	23-15	UTRGV	PV A&M	Attack err	Martina Franco		+0.0
39	24-15	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
40	25-15	UTRGV	UTRGV	Bad set	Tayler Ruffin		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	PV A&M	UTRGV×3	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.6
2	2-0	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Attack err	Iyonna Sherwood	blk Aaliyah Snead	+0.7
3	3-0	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.6
4	3-1	UTRGV	PV A&M	Attack err	Ema Petkovic		+0.4
5	3-2	PV A&M	PV A&M	Attack err	Aaliyah Snead		+0.7
6	4-2	PV A&M	UTRGV	Serve err	PV A&M server		+0.5
7	5-2	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.7
8	5-3	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Kenedy Massie	+0.5
9	6-3	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Aaliyah Snead	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
10	6-4	UTRGV	PV A&M	Bad set	Lana Rnjak		+0.5
11	7-4	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
12	7-5	UTRGV	PV A&M	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.5
13	7-6	PV A&M	PV A&M	Attack err	Martina Franco	blk Terasita Caldwell, Daniella Udegbunam	+0.8
14	8-6	PV A&M	UTRGV	Attack err	Daniella Udegbunam		+0.6
15	8-7	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Carrington Cook	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.6
16	9-7	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.6
17	9-8	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Carrington Cook	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.7
18	9-9	PV A&M	PV A&M	Kill	Valencia Wilder		+1.1
19	10-9	PV A&M	UTRGV	Attack err	Iyonna Sherwood		+0.8
20	10-10	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Kenedy Massie	+0.8
21	11-10	PV A&M	UTRGV	Serve err	PV A&M server		+0.8
22	12-10	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Valencia Wilder		+1.0
23	12-11	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Kenedy Massie	+0.7
24	12-12	PV A&M	PV A&M	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+1.2
25	13-12	PV A&M	UTRGV×6	Attack err	Iyonna Sherwood		+0.9
26	14-12	UTRGV	UTRGV×6	Attack err	D'Mya Hill		+1.1
27	15-12	UTRGV	UTRGV×6	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Carrington Cook	+0.9
28	16-12	UTRGV	UTRGV×6	Attack err	Iyonna Sherwood		+0.7
29	17-12	UTRGV	UTRGV×6	Attack err	D'Mya Hill	blk Ema Petkovic, Julianna Bryant	+0.5
30	18-12	UTRGV	UTRGV×6	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
31	18-13	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Kenedy Massie	+0.2
32	18-14	PV A&M	PV A&M	Kill	Terasita Caldwell	set Camille Middleton	+0.4
33	19-14	PV A&M	UTRGV	Serve err	PV A&M server		+0.3
34	19-15	UTRGV	PV A&M	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.3
35	20-15	PV A&M	UTRGV	Bad set	Tayler Ruffin		+0.3
36	21-15	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
37	21-16	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Carrington Cook	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.1
38	22-16	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.2
39	22-17	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Terasita Caldwell	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.1
40	23-17	PV A&M	UTRGV×3	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
41	24-17	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced D'Mya Hill	+0.1
42	25-17	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Attack err	Iyonna Sherwood		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Camille Middleton	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.3
2	0-2	PV A&M	PV A&M	Attack err	Aaliyah Snead		+0.5
3	1-2	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
4	1-3	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.4
5	1-4	PV A&M	PV A&M	Ace	PV A&M server	aced Carmina Tijerina	+0.5
6	2-4	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
7	2-5	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.4
8	3-5	PV A&M	UTRGV×3	Attack err	D'Mya Hill		+0.3
9	4-5	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Camille Middleton	+0.5
10	5-5	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Lucy Dieterlen	+0.5
11	5-6	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.4
12	5-7	PV A&M	PV A&M	Attack err	Julianna Bryant		+0.6
13	6-7	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.4
14	6-8	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Camille Middleton	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.4
15	7-8	PV A&M	UTRGV×3	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.4
16	8-8	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Camille Middleton	+0.5
17	9-8	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
18	9-9	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Valencia Wilder	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.4
19	10-9	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Aaliyah Snead	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
20	10-10	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Valencia Wilder	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.4
21	11-10	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.4
22	12-10	UTRGV	UTRGV	Bad set	Tayler Ruffin		+0.5
23	12-11	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Lucy Dieterlen	+0.3
24	13-11	PV A&M	UTRGV	Attack err	D'Mya Hill		+0.3
25	14-11	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Jade Smith		+0.4
26	14-12	UTRGV	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Lucy Dieterlen	+0.3
27	15-12	PV A&M	UTRGV	Attack err	D'Mya Hill	blk Julianna Bryant	+0.3
28	16-12	UTRGV	UTRGV	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Camille Middleton	+0.3
29	16-13	UTRGV	PV A&M	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.2
30	17-13	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.2
31	18-13	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Camille Middleton		+0.2
32	18-14	UTRGV	PV A&M	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.1
33	18-15	PV A&M	PV A&M	Attack err	Martina Franco		+0.3
34	19-15	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.2
35	19-16	UTRGV	PV A&M	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.2
36	20-16	PV A&M	UTRGV×5	Bad set	Tayler Ruffin		+0.2
37	21-16	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Attack err	Valencia Wilder	blk Soukeyna Diouf	+0.2
38	22-16	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Bad set	Iyonna Sherwood		+0.1
39	23-16	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
40	24-16	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Ace	UTRGV server	aced D'Mya Hill	+0.0
41	24-17	UTRGV	PV A&M	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf	blk Valencia Wilder, Iyonna Sherwood	+0.0
42	24-18	PV A&M	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Lucy Dieterlen	+0.0
43	25-18	PV A&M	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, UTRGV first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.