Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

CSU Bakersfield def. Eastern Wash. 3–2

CSU Bakersfield won at Eastern Wash. 3-2 (25-20, 20-25, 21-25, 25-21, 15-5) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. CSU Bakersfield's Suelen Lima led with 28 kills, and Analiese Gagliano added 22 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set12345Sets
CSUBAK25202125153
E WASH2025252152

Win probability

Eastern Wash. above 50 · CSU Bakersfield below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+8.4% CSUBAKrally 202 · set 5

Biggest swing: 8.4% to CSU Bakersfield — set 5, CSUBAK 4-2 E WASH. Kill by Leylah Duran (set by Samantha Capinpin). E WASH win probability 37% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSUBAK 63.2%36.8% E WASH

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0
19.0%
3-1
24.2%
3-2
20.0%

Eastern Wash. wins

3-0
7.7%
3-1
13.3%
3-2
15.8%
CSUBAK break %
45.6% vs this opp
E WASH break %
43.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Leylah DuranKill+8.4%

    Kill by Leylah Duran (set by Samantha Capinpin)

    Set 5 · CSUBAK 4-2 E WASH · CSUBAK 63% → 72%

  2. 02
    Kalista LukovichAttack error+7.7%

    Attack error by Kalista Lukovich

    Set 5 · CSUBAK 5-2 E WASH · CSUBAK 72% → 79%

  3. 03
    Defne YanikKill+7.4%

    Kill by Defne Yanik (set by Luiza Da Cruz)

    Set 4 · CSUBAK 20-19 E WASH · CSUBAK 29% → 37%

  4. 04
    Kalista LukovichAttack error+7.1%

    Attack error by Kalista Lukovich

    Set 4 · CSUBAK 21-19 E WASH · CSUBAK 37% → 44%

  5. 05
    Suelen LimaKill+6.9%

    Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Luiza Da Cruz)

    Set 5 · CSUBAK 3-2 E WASH · CSUBAK 56% → 63%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kalista Lukovich (set by Jailyn Davenport)

    Set 5 · CSUBAK 2-2 E WASH · E WASH 37% → 44%

  7. 07
    Eastern Wash.Service error+6.6%

    Eastern Wash. service error

    Set 5 · CSUBAK 2-1 E WASH · CSUBAK 57% → 63%

  8. 08
    Sidney GrayAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Sidney Gray

    Set 5 · CSUBAK 6-2 E WASH · CSUBAK 79% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
528763.33311312412231
58117.4120013004210
58216.375100001019
57823-.043000301018
5000–0311210003
5001.0002422700002
510630.1331105100011
5001.00022311300003
5001.0009112210001
4103.333100000212
3209.22200000010.52.5
1000–100000000
Team totals6424164.24460119779397.5106
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
526864.281140114111.531.5
57111.5452121024412
54214.14300000031.55.5
5217.1433813160132.55.5
5008.000022500002
5000–0021230000
56330.10010050132.58.5
56321.14300210010.56.5
5000–4101400001
4000–002100000
Team totals5118155.21346913661151512.596

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 11 CSUBAK · E WASH 6

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 CSUBAKE WASH 6

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKE WASH 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 CSUBAKE WASH 5

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 3 CSUBAKE WASH 2

Set 5

15-5

Longest run 11 CSUBAKE WASH 2

Bars above the line = Eastern Wash. leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

CSU Bakersfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
40%4/10
2
69%9/13
36%5/14
3
64%9/14
31%4/13
4
56%9/16
61%14/23
5
78%7/9
18%2/11
6
71%5/7
44%4/9
All
62%48/77
41%33/80

Eastern Wash.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
47%7/15
2
69%9/13
36%5/14
3
35%9/26
25%3/12
4
82%9/11
44%7/16
5
86%6/7
43%6/14
6
50%5/10
17%1/6
All
59%47/80
38%29/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

202 rallies

#CSUBAK-E WASHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+2.2
22-0CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillJordyn Waite-Wardset Analiese Gagliano+2.1
33-0CSUBAKCSUBAK×3AceCSU Bakersfieldaced Kalista Lukovich+2.0
43-1CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.6
54-1E WASHCSUBAK×5KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.6
65-1CSUBAKCSUBAK×5KillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+1.9
76-1CSUBAKCSUBAK×5KillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+1.7
87-1CSUBAKCSUBAK×5BlockedKalista Lukovichblk Jordyn Waite-Ward+1.4
98-1CSUBAKCSUBAK×5AceCSU Bakersfield+1.2
108-2CSUBAKE WASHServe errCSU Bakersfield+0.8
119-2E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+0.9
129-3CSUBAKE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.8
139-4E WASHE WASH×3Attack errSuelen Lima+1.2
149-5E WASHE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.5
1510-5E WASHCSUBAKAttack errBria Carlisle+1.4
1610-6CSUBAKE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Aspyn Reed+1.2
1711-6E WASHCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Samantha Capinpin+1.4
1812-6CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errAspyn Reed+1.4
1912-7CSUBAKE WASHBlockedAnna Bacchinblk Judith Bolomboy+0.9
2013-7E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+1.1
2114-7CSUBAKCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Luiza Da Cruz+1.1
2214-8CSUBAKE WASH×6Bad setDefne Yanik+0.7
2314-9E WASHE WASH×6BlockedDefne Yanikblk Kalista Lukovich+1.1
2414-10E WASHE WASH×6KillKalista Lukovichset Luiza Da Cruz+1.5
2514-11E WASHE WASH×6Attack errJordyn Waite-Ward+1.9
2614-12E WASHE WASH×6Attack errJordyn Waite-Ward+2.4
2714-13E WASHE WASH×6BlockedJordyn Waite-Wardblk Judith Bolomboy+2.9
2815-13E WASHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Ella Pallagi+2.5
2916-13CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfieldaced Jade Livingston+2.9
3016-14CSUBAKE WASHBad setElla Pallagi+2.0
3116-15E WASHE WASHBlockedJordyn Waite-Wardblk Sidney Gray, Kalista Lukovich+3.1
3217-15E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+2.8
3317-16CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.6
3418-16E WASHCSUBAK×5Serve errEastern Wash.+2.9
3519-16CSUBAKCSUBAK×5Attack errSidney Gray+3.2
3620-16CSUBAKCSUBAK×5KillSuelen Limaset Analiese Gagliano+2.6
3721-16CSUBAKCSUBAK×5AceCSU Bakersfieldaced Kalista Lukovich+1.8
3822-16CSUBAK
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
3922-17CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.4
4023-17E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+0.7
4123-18CSUBAKE WASHBlockedSuelen Limablk Bria Carlisle, Sidney Gray, Aspyn Reed+0.3
4223-19E WASHE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Judith Bolomboy+0.6
4324-19E WASHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Samantha Capinpin+0.9
4424-20CSUBAKE WASHServe errCSU Bakersfield+0.3
4525-20E WASHCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+0.6
Set 2
10-1E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.aced Suelen Lima+2.0
20-2E WASHE WASHAttack errAnna Bacchin+2.1
31-2E WASHCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Luiza Da Cruz+1.6
42-2CSUBAKCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Analiese Gagliano+2.0
52-3CSUBAKE WASH×3KillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+1.7
62-4E WASHE WASH×3Attack errJordyn Waite-Ward+2.2
72-5E WASHE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+2.2
83-5E WASHCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Luiza Da Cruz+1.6
93-6CSUBAKE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Luiza Da Cruz+1.8
104-6E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+1.6
114-7CSUBAKE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
125-7E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+1.7
135-8CSUBAKE WASHServe errCSU Bakersfield+1.9
145-9E WASHE WASHKillJailyn Davenportset Reese Betschart+2.2
156-9E WASHCSUBAKAttack errJailyn Davenport+1.6
166-10CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
176-11E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.aced Suelen Lima+2.1
187-11E WASHCSUBAK×3Serve errEastern Wash.+1.4
198-11CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillAnna Bacchinset Analiese Gagliano+2.0
209-11CSUBAKCSUBAK×3AceCSU Bakersfield+2.3
219-12CSUBAKE WASHServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.1
2210-12E WASHCSUBAKBlockedBria Carlisleblk Defne Yanik+1.8
2310-13CSUBAKE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
2411-13E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.9
2511-14CSUBAKE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
2612-14E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+1.9
2712-15CSUBAKE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.3
2813-15E WASHCSUBAKBlockedKalista Lukovichblk Suelen Lima, Leylah Duran+2.0
2913-16CSUBAKE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+2.4
3014-16E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+2.0
3114-17CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.5
3215-17E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+2.1
3315-18CSUBAKE WASH×3Serve errCSU Bakersfield+2.6
3415-19E WASHE WASH×3Attack errSuelen Lima+2.8
3515-20E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.aced Anna Bacchin+2.2
3616-20E WASHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+1.1
3716-21CSUBAKE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+1.7
3817-21E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.0
3917-22CSUBAKE WASHBlockedJordyn Waite-Wardblk Judith Bolomboy, Aspyn Reed+1.6
4018-22E WASHCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Analiese Gagliano+0.8
4119-22CSUBAKCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+1.7
4219-23CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.3
4319-24E WASHE WASHAttack errLeylah Duran+1.4
4420-24E WASHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Samantha Capinpin+0.3
4520-25CSUBAKE WASHServe errCSU Bakersfield+0.7
Set 3
11-0CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errBria Carlisle+3.0
21-1CSUBAKE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+2.5
31-2E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.aced Suelen Lima+3.2
42-2E WASHCSUBAK×4KillJordyn Waite-Wardset Luiza Da Cruz+2.5
53-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+3.2
64-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+3.1
75-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillLeylah Duranset Bria Carlisle+2.9
85-3CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
96-3E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+2.3
106-4CSUBAKE WASH×5BlockedSuelen Limablk Jailyn Davenport+2.2
116-5E WASHE WASH×5KillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+3.1
126-6E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+3.4
136-7E WASHE WASH×5KillJailyn Davenport+3.7
146-8E WASHE WASH×5AceEastern Wash.+3.8
157-8E WASHCSUBAKAttack errJudith Bolomboy+2.8
167-9CSUBAKE WASH×3KillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+3.1
177-10E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.aced Analiese Gagliano+3.8
187-11E WASHE WASH×3KillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+3.6
198-11E WASHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Samantha Capinpin+2.5
208-12CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+3.0
219-12E WASHCSUBAK×4KillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+2.5
2210-12CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillAnna Bacchin+3.6
2311-12CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+4.0
2412-12CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillJordyn Waite-Wardset Defne Yanik+4.2
2512-13CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+3.6
2612-14E WASHE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+4.6
2713-14E WASHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+3.4
2814-14CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfield+4.6
2914-15CSUBAKE WASH×3Serve errCSU Bakersfield+3.9
3014-16E WASHE WASH×3Attack errSuelen Lima+5.0
3114-17E WASHE WASH×3KillBria Carlisleset Kalista Lukovich+4.8
3215-17E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+3.2
3315-18CSUBAKE WASH×3KillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+4.0
3415-19E WASHE WASH×3BlockedJordyn Waite-Wardblk Judith Bolomboy, Aspyn Reed+4.3
3515-20E WASHE WASH×3BlockedJordyn Waite-Wardblk Aspyn Reed+3.4
3616-20E WASHCSUBAK×4KillLeylah Duranset Suelen Lima+1.7
3717-20CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+3.1
3818-20CSUBAKCSUBAK×4AceCSU Bakersfieldaced Jade Livingston+4.3
3919-20CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillLeylah Duranset Nele Broszat+5.5
4019-21CSUBAKE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+5.6
4120-21E WASHCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Samantha Capinpin+4.6
4220-22CSUBAKE WASH×3Attack errAnna Bacchin+6.2
4320-23E WASHE WASH×3BlockedAnna Bacchinblk Sidney Gray, Jailyn Davenport+6.5
4420-24E WASHE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+4.0
4521-24E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+1.0
4621-25CSUBAKE WASHServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.3
Set 4
11-0E WASHCSUBAKBlockedKalista Lukovichblk Leylah Duran, Nele Broszat+2.7
22-0CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfieldaced Kalista Lukovich+3.3
32-1CSUBAKE WASHAttack errAnna Bacchin+2.6
43-1E WASHCSUBAKKillNele Broszatset Samantha Capinpin+2.7
53-2CSUBAKE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+2.7
63-3E WASHE WASHAttack errAnna Bacchin+3.6
74-3E WASHCSUBAKAttack errAspyn Reed+2.9
85-3CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfield+3.6
95-4CSUBAKE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+2.8
106-4E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+2.9
116-5CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.9
126-6E WASHE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+3.9
137-6E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+3.1
148-6CSUBAKCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+3.8
158-7CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+3.0
169-7E WASHCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Luiza Da Cruz+3.1
179-8CSUBAKE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+3.1
189-9E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.+4.3
1910-9E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+3.5
2010-10CSUBAKE WASHAttack errSuelen Lima+3.5
2111-10E WASHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Analiese Gagliano+3.6
2212-10CSUBAKCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+4.4
2312-11CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+3.4
2413-11E WASHCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+3.6
2513-12CSUBAKE WASHBlockedAnna Bacchinblk Judith Bolomboy, Jailyn Davenport+3.5
2613-13E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.aced Suelen Lima+4.9
2714-13E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Anna Bacchin+4.0
2814-14CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+4.1
2915-14E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+4.2
3015-15CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+4.3
3116-15E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+4.4
3216-16CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+4.5
3316-17E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.aced Boden Liljedahl+6.2
3417-17E WASHCSUBAKKillTorrin Higginbothamset Samantha Capinpin+4.8
3517-18CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+5.3
3618-18E WASHCSUBAKBlockedAspyn Reedblk Torrin Higginbotham, Leylah Duran+5.1
3718-19CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+5.7
3819-19E WASHCSUBAK×3KillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+5.5
3920-19CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillDefne Yanikset Luiza Da Cruz+7.4
4021-19CSUBAKCSUBAK×3Attack errKalista Lukovich+7.1
4121-20CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+4.9
4222-20E WASHCSUBAK×3KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+6.2
4323-20CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillSuelen Lima+6.1
4424-20CSUBAKCSUBAK×3AceCSU Bakersfieldaced Jade Livingston+3.5
4524-21CSUBAKE WASHBlockedSuelen Limablk Jailyn Davenport, Judith Bolomboy+0.9
4625-21E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+2.8
Set 5
11-0E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+6.4
21-1CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+6.5
32-1E WASHCSUBAKServe errEastern Wash.+6.6
42-2CSUBAKE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+6.8
53-2E WASHCSUBAK×11KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+6.9
64-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×11KillLeylah Duranset Samantha Capinpin+8.4
75-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×11Attack errKalista Lukovich+7.7
86-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×11Attack errSidney Gray+6.6
97-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×11AceCSU Bakersfieldaced Kalista Lukovich+5.2
108-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×11Attack errKalista Lukovich+3.8
119-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×11BlockedKalista Lukovichblk Suelen Lima+2.5
1210-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×11KillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+1.4
1311-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×11KillSuelen Limaset Analiese Gagliano+0.7
1412-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×11KillTorrin Higginbothamset Analiese Gagliano+0.3
1513-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×11KillSuelen Limaset Analiese Gagliano+0.1
1613-3CSUBAKE WASHServe errCSU Bakersfield·
1713-4E WASHE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport·
1814-4E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+0.1
1914-5CSUBAKE WASHServe errCSU Bakersfield·
2015-5E WASHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin·

Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).