FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Pepperdine def. San Diego 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: San Diego 68.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Pepperdine won at San Diego 3-0 (25-15, 25-22, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Pepperdine's Mariia Nikol dvornikova led with 14 kills, and Laine Briggs added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set123Sets
PEPPER2525253
USD1522230

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Iva Popovic, and Pepperdine needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Pepperdine's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. San Diego went in at 68% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Pepperdine 17–20 San Diego

    Down 17–20, Pepperdine scored 5 straight to lead 22–20. The match swung to Pepperdine.

    Pepperdine 42% → 68%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Pepperdine 22–22 San Diego

    Pepperdine scored 3 straight to go from 22–22 to a 25–22 lead.

    Pepperdine 57% → 79%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Pepperdine 13–16 San Diego

    5 straight Pepperdine points turned a 13–16 deficit into an 18–16 lead.

    Pepperdine 71% → 88%

San Diego above 50Pepperdine belowMax swing 9.4%

PepperdineSan Diego

Sideout %
Pepperdine 59.7·San Diego 47.9
Break %
Pepperdine 52.1·San Diego 40.3
Hitting
Pepperdine .304·San Diego .184
Longest run
Pepperdine 8·San Diego 4

Chloe Pravednikov
11 kills on .346, 11 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

San Diego above 50 · Pepperdine below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+9.4% PEPPERrally 135 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.4% to Pepperdine — set 2, PEPPER 24-22 USD. Pepperdine ace. USD win probability 36% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PEPPER 30.2%69.8% USD

Pepperdine wins

3-0
5.8%
3-1
10.6%
3-2
13.8%

San Diego wins

3-0
23.1%
3-1
26.8%
3-2
19.9%
PEPPER break %
41.9% vs this opp
USD break %
45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    PepperdineAce+9.4%

    Pepperdine ace

    Set 2 · PEPPER 24-22 USD · PEPPER 64% → 73%

  2. 02

    Kill by Chloe Pravednikov (set by Tristen Raymond)

    Set 3 · PEPPER 25-23 USD · PEPPER 92% → 100%

  3. 03
    Baylea SparksKill+7.4%

    Kill by Baylea Sparks

    Set 2 · PEPPER 22-22 USD · USD 36% → 43%

  4. 04
    Maggie BeauerKill+7.2%

    Kill by Maggie Beauer (set by Tristen Raymond)

    Set 2 · PEPPER 23-22 USD · PEPPER 57% → 64%

  5. 05
    Kierstyn BartonAttack error+7.0%

    Attack error by Kierstyn Barton

    Set 2 · PEPPER 22-20 USD · PEPPER 61% → 68%

  6. 06

    Kill by Chloe Pravednikov (set by Laine Briggs)

    Set 2 · PEPPER 21-20 USD · PEPPER 54% → 61%

  7. 07

    Nemo Beach stuffed by Maggie Beauer & Irelynd Lorenzen

    Set 2 · PEPPER 25-22 USD · PEPPER 73% → 79%

  8. 08
    Nemo BeachAttack error+5.7%

    Attack error by Nemo Beach

    Set 2 · PEPPER 20-20 USD · PEPPER 49% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314329.3790001000014
311226.3460001100011
39113.61500310111.510.5
34110.30000000153.57.5
34421.00000020052.56.5
3003.0003702100010.50.5
3000–051210005
3000–020300002
3000–1221200002
3000–112630001
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals4211102.304391010385212875
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311320.40011083010.512.5
39012.75000000111.510.5
37422.136011200008
34213.154010100427
33626-.115100610214
3014-.250251250031.52.5
3000–1121510001
3001.000000100000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000100000
3000–000000000
3000–001110000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals341698.184285640101116.560

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Pepperdine vs San Diego

Season series · Pepperdine leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 PEPPER · USD 4

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 8 PEPPERUSD 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 PEPPERUSD 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 5 PEPPERUSD 4

Bars above the line = San Diego leads, below = Pepperdine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Pepperdine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
50%5/10
2
47%7/15
59%10/17
3
78%7/9
42%5/12
4
60%6/10
14%1/7
5
60%6/10
67%12/18
6
44%4/9
56%5/9
All
60%37/62
52%38/73

San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
40%4/10
2
88%7/8
46%6/13
3
55%6/11
36%4/11
4
55%6/11
40%4/10
5
36%5/14
33%3/9
6
33%4/12
44%4/9
All
48%35/73
40%25/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#PEPPER-USDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1USDUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Irelynd Lorenzen+2.1
21-1USDPEPPER×3Attack errRyann Knuthset Nemo Beach+1.7
32-1PEPPERPEPPER×3KillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+2.3
43-1PEPPERPEPPER×3KillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+2.4
53-2PEPPERUSDServe errPepperdine+1.7
63-3USDUSDKillBaylea Sparksset Baylea Sparks+2.3
74-3USDPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.9
84-4PEPPERUSDServe errPepperdine+1.8
95-4USDPEPPERServe errSan Diego+1.9
105-5PEPPERUSD×4KillNemo Beach+1.9
115-6USDUSD×4KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+2.4
125-7USDUSD×4KillMeghan Scholz+2.3
135-8USDUSD×4AceSan Diegoaced Charis Kai+2.1
146-8USDPEPPER×5KillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.6
157-8PEPPERPEPPER×5KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+2.3
168-8PEPPERPEPPER×5KillIrelynd Lorenzen+2.6
179-8PEPPERPEPPER×5KillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+2.8
1810-8PEPPERPEPPER×5Attack errNemo Beach+2.9
1910-9PEPPERUSDKillNemo Beach+2.1
2011-9USDPEPPER×3Serve errSan Diego+2.3
2112-9PEPPERPEPPER×3BlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Maggie Beauer, Ryann Knuth+2.9
2213-9PEPPERPEPPER×3KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+2.8
2313-10PEPPERUSDBlockedChloe Pravednikovblk Meghan Scholz, Kylie Munday+1.8
2413-11USDUSDKillBaylea Sparks+2.7
2514-11USDPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikov+2.5
2615-11PEPPERPEPPERAcePepperdineaced Kierstyn Barton+2.9
2715-12PEPPERUSDServe errPepperdine+1.8
2816-12USDPEPPER×8KillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+2.3
2917-12PEPPERPEPPER×8KillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+2.5
3018-12PEPPERPEPPER×8AcePepperdineaced Ryann Knuth+2.0
3119-12PEPPERPEPPER×8KillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+1.4
3220-12PEPPERPEPPER×8KillElla Piskorz+0.9
3321-12PEPPERPEPPER×8KillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.5
3422-12PEPPERPEPPER×8KillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+0.2
3523-12PEPPERPEPPER×8AcePepperdine+0.1
3623-13PEPPERUSDServe errPepperdine·
3723-14USDUSDBlockedMariia Nikol dvornikovablk Kierstyn Barton, Baylea Sparks·
3824-14USDPEPPERKillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond·
3924-15PEPPERUSDKillBaylea Sparksset Kylie Munday·
4025-15USDPEPPERServe errSan Diego·
Set 2
10-1PEPPERUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+2.0
20-2USDUSDAceSan Diegoaced Chloe Pravednikov+2.5
31-2USDPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.9
41-3PEPPERUSD×4KillBaylea Sparksset Kylie Munday+2.0
51-4USDUSD×4Attack errMariia Nikol dvornikova+2.4
61-5USDUSD×4KillRyann Knuth+2.1
71-6USDUSD×4KillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+1.9
82-6USDPEPPER×5KillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+1.3
93-6PEPPERPEPPER×5BlockedMeghan Scholzblk Ella Piskorz+2.0
104-6PEPPERPEPPER×5BlockedRyann Knuthblk Tristen Raymond, Ella Piskorz+2.4
115-6PEPPERPEPPER×5AcePepperdineaced Kierstyn Barton+2.7
126-6PEPPERPEPPER×5AcePepperdine+3.0
136-7PEPPERUSDKillRyann Knuthset Kierstyn Barton+2.3
146-8USDUSDBlockedChloe Pravednikovblk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz+2.9
157-8USDPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+2.2
167-9PEPPERUSDKillRyann Knuthset Kylie Munday+2.3
178-9USDPEPPER×4KillChloe Pravednikovset Charis Kai+2.3
189-9PEPPERPEPPER×4BlockedKylie Mundayblk Irelynd Lorenzen+3.3
1910-9PEPPERPEPPER×4BlockedNemo Beachblk Maggie Beauer, Irelynd Lorenzen+3.6
2011-9PEPPERPEPPER×4Attack errMeghan Scholz+3.7
2111-10PEPPERUSDAttack errMaggie Beauerset Laine Briggs+2.7
2211-11USDUSDAttack errIrelynd Lorenzen+3.6
2312-11USDPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+3.0
2413-11PEPPERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+4.0
2513-12PEPPERUSD×4KillNemo Beachset Ryann Knuth+2.8
2613-13USDUSD×4KillBaylea Sparksset Kylie Munday+3.9
2713-14USDUSD×4KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+3.9
2813-15USDUSD×4KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+3.7
2914-15USDPEPPERKillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+2.8
3014-16PEPPERUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+3.0
3115-16USDPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+2.9
3215-17PEPPERUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+3.2
3316-17USDPEPPERKillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+3.0
3416-18PEPPERUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+3.3
3517-18USDPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+3.1
3617-19PEPPERUSDServe errPepperdine+3.6
3717-20USDUSDKillNemo Beach+3.9
3818-20USDPEPPER×5KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+2.5
3919-20PEPPERPEPPER×5Ball handlingNemo Beach+4.4
4020-20PEPPERPEPPER×5Attack errNemo Beach+5.7
4121-20PEPPERPEPPER×5KillChloe Pravednikovset Laine Briggs+6.8
4222-20PEPPERPEPPER×5Attack errKierstyn Barton+7.0
4322-21PEPPERUSDServe errPepperdine+4.3
4422-22USDUSDKillBaylea Sparks+7.4
4523-22USDPEPPER×3KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+7.2
4624-22PEPPERPEPPER×3AcePepperdine+9.4
4725-22PEPPERPEPPER×3BlockedNemo Beachblk Maggie Beauer, Irelynd Lorenzen+5.8
Set 3
11-0USDPEPPERAttack errKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.8
21-1PEPPERUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+1.7
32-1USDPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.8
42-2PEPPERUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.8
53-2USDPEPPERKillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+1.9
63-3PEPPERUSDKillBaylea Sparksset Kylie Munday+1.8
74-3USDPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.9
84-4PEPPERUSDServe errPepperdine+1.9
95-4USDPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+2.0
105-5PEPPERUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+1.9
115-6USDUSDAttack errMaggie Beauer+2.4
126-6USDPEPPERServe errSan Diego+1.9
136-7PEPPERUSDBlockedMaggie Beauerblk Meghan Scholz, Ryann Knuth+1.9
147-7USDPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+2.0
158-7PEPPERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+2.7
168-8PEPPERUSD×4KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+2.1
178-9USDUSD×4KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+2.7
188-10USDUSD×4AceSan Diegoaced Iva Popovic+2.5
198-11USDUSD×4Attack errMaggie Beauer+2.3
209-11USDPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.7
219-12PEPPERUSDServe errPepperdine+1.8
229-13USDUSDAceSan Diegoaced Charis Kai+2.1
2310-13USDPEPPERServe errSan Diego+1.4
2411-13PEPPERPEPPERKillElla Piskorz+2.3
2511-14PEPPERUSDBlockedElla Piskorzblk Baylea Sparks+2.0
2612-14USDPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.8
2712-15PEPPERUSDServe errPepperdine+2.0
2813-15USDPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.9
2913-16PEPPERUSDServe errPepperdine+2.1
3014-16USDPEPPER×5KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.9
3115-16PEPPERPEPPER×5AcePepperdineaced Emma Brewer+3.0
3216-16PEPPERPEPPER×5AcePepperdineaced Kierstyn Barton+3.6
3317-16PEPPERPEPPER×5AcePepperdineaced Lauren Lynch+4.0
3418-16PEPPERPEPPER×5BlockedRyann Knuthblk Maggie Beauer, Irelynd Lorenzen+4.1
3518-17PEPPERUSDBlockedMariia Nikol dvornikovablk Meghan Scholz, Kylie Munday, Ryann Knuth+2.8
3619-17USDPEPPERBlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Irelynd Lorenzen, Maggie Beauer+3.5
3719-18PEPPERUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+3.0
3820-18USDPEPPERKillMariia Nikol dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+3.7
3921-18PEPPERPEPPERAcePepperdine+4.3
4021-19PEPPERUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+2.4
4122-19USDPEPPERServe errSan Diego+3.6
4222-20PEPPERUSDKillBaylea Sparksset Kylie Munday+2.4
4323-20USDPEPPERAttack errRyann Knuthset Kylie Munday+3.8
4424-20PEPPERPEPPERAttack errRyann Knuth+3.0
4524-21PEPPERUSD×3KillBaylea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.7
4624-22USDUSD×3AceSan Diegoaced Charis Kai+2.0
4724-23USDUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+4.5
4825-23USDPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+8.2

Score shown after each rally, Pepperdine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).