Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026

San Diego def. San Diego St. 3–1

San Diego beat visiting San Diego St. 3-1 (25-20, 22-25, 25-16, 25-15) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. San Diego's Kierstyn Barton led with 18 kills, and Lauren Lynch added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set1234Sets
SDSU202516151
USD252225253

Win probability

San Diego above 50 · San Diego St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.2% SDSUrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.2% to San Diego St. — set 2, SDSU 22-20 USD. Kill by Chelsea Cocks (set by Logan Cary). USD win probability 81% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SDSU 24.2%75.8% USD

San Diego St. wins

3-0
4.2%
3-1
8.2%
3-2
11.7%

San Diego wins

3-0
27.7%
3-1
28.9%
3-2
19.2%
SDSU break %
40.1% vs this opp
USD break %
45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Chelsea CocksKill+4.2%

    Kill by Chelsea Cocks (set by Logan Cary)

    Set 2 · SDSU 22-20 USD · SDSU 19% → 23%

  2. 02
    Nemo BeachAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Nemo Beach

    Set 2 · SDSU 23-20 USD · SDSU 23% → 26%

  3. 03
    Mila GehlenKill+3.6%

    Kill by Mila Gehlen (set by Logan Cary)

    Set 2 · SDSU 20-19 USD · SDSU 15% → 18%

  4. 04
    Mila GehlenKill+3.0%

    Kill by Mila Gehlen (set by Logan Cary)

    Set 2 · SDSU 21-20 USD · SDSU 16% → 19%

  5. 05
    Mila GehlenKill+3.0%

    Kill by Mila Gehlen (set by Logan Cary)

    Set 2 · SDSU 19-19 USD · SDSU 11% → 15%

  6. 06

    Ryann Knuth stuffed by Chelsea Cocks & Ella Schabort

    Set 3 · SDSU 6-7 USD · SDSU 23% → 26%

  7. 07
    Mila GehlenKill+2.8%

    Kill by Mila Gehlen (set by Logan Cary)

    Set 2 · SDSU 24-21 USD · SDSU 25% → 28%

  8. 08
    Logan CaryBad set+2.7%

    Bad set by Logan Cary

    Set 3 · SDSU 7-10 USD · USD 76% → 79%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48532.0940229000010
48528.107000400219
44211.18200000031.55.5
43317.000024200005
4001.00020111200001
35423.04300033010.55.5
48723.043000300008
4000–2101610001
4000–1503700000
4000–001410000
24210.200000100004
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals4029146.0753761161506376
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418336.41751211002120
413225.440024144052.517.5
410439.15400251111.511.5
45118.2220013018510
4215.200100003246
4205.40038131000214
4000–4121810001
4000–001100000
1024-.500000100000
Team totals5013132.280485156365201597

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SDSU · USD 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 SDSUUSD 5

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 SDSUUSD 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 SDSUUSD 5

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 2 SDSUUSD 4

Bars above the line = San Diego leads, below = San Diego St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Diego St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%7/19
29%2/7
2
40%6/15
36%4/11
3
67%6/9
45%5/11
4
46%6/13
14%1/7
5
83%5/6
33%3/9
6
33%4/12
29%2/7
All
46%34/74
33%17/52

San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
68%13/19
2
55%6/11
63%10/16
3
86%6/7
14%1/7
4
86%6/7
50%6/12
5
56%5/9
50%5/10
6
100%5/5
50%5/10
All
67%35/52
54%40/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#SDSU-USDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1USDUSD×3BlockedTaelyn Bentleyblk Meghan Scholz+1.8
20-2USDUSD×3KillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+1.7
30-3USDUSD×3Bad setKendall Mairs+1.6
41-3USDSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+1.1
52-3SDSUSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+1.8
62-4SDSUUSD×5KillEmma Brewerset Lauren Lynch+1.3
72-5USDUSD×5BlockedAnnabelle De Jagerblk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz+1.6
82-6USDUSD×5AceSan Diegoaced Zara Stewart+1.4
92-7USDUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.2
102-8USDUSD×5BlockedAnnabelle De Jagerblk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz+1.0
113-8USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+0.6
123-9SDSUUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.7
134-9USDSDSUAttack errBayLea Sparks+0.6
145-9SDSUSDSUKillMila Gehlen+1.1
155-10SDSUUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.9
166-10USDSDSUAttack errKierstyn Barton+0.8
177-10SDSUSDSUKillLayla Austinset Zara Stewart+1.4
187-11SDSUUSDAttack errChelsea Cocks+1.2
197-12USDUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.3
208-12USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+0.8
218-13SDSUUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.0
228-14USDUSD×3BlockedMila Gehlenblk Emma Brewer, Meghan Scholz+1.0
238-15USDUSD×3Attack errMila Gehlen+0.7
249-15USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+0.4
259-16SDSUUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.5
2610-16USDSDSU×3Serve errSan Diego+0.4
2711-16SDSUSDSU×3AceSan Diego St.aced Emma Brewer+0.7
2812-16SDSUSDSU×3KillAnnabelle De Jagerset Kendall Mairs+1.0
2912-17SDSUUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+1.0
3013-17USDSDSUAttack errNemo Beach+0.8
3114-17SDSUSDSUAttack errNemo Beach+1.5
3214-18SDSUUSDServe errSan Diego St.+1.4
3315-18USDSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+1.1
3415-19SDSUUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.4
3516-19USDSDSUBlockedNemo Beachblk Annabelle De Jager, Chelsea Cocks+1.1
3616-20SDSUUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.4
3717-20USDSDSUKillLayla Austinset Logan Cary+1.0
3818-20SDSUSDSUKillTaelyn Bentley+2.1
3918-21SDSUUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+2.1
4018-22USDUSDAceSan Diegoaced Nazare Judd+1.9
4119-22USDSDSUAttack errEmma Brewer+0.8
4219-23SDSUUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.3
4319-24USDUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.8
4420-24USDSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.2
4520-25SDSUUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.3
Set 2
1–21-1SDSU · USD
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
31-2SDSUUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+1.1
42-2USDSDSU×4Attack errMeghan Scholz+1.2
53-2SDSUSDSU×4AceSan Diego St.aced Lauren Lynch+1.7
64-2SDSUSDSU×4KillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+1.8
75-2SDSUSDSU×4AceSan Diego St.aced Emma Brewer+1.8
85-3SDSUUSD×5BlockedElla Schabortblk Emma Brewer, Meghan Scholz+1.2
95-4USDUSD×5AceSan Diegoaced Annabelle De Jager+1.7
105-5USDUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.7
115-6USDUSD×5Attack errAnnabelle De Jager+1.6
125-7USDUSD×5KillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+1.5
136-7USDSDSUKillAnnabelle De Jagerset Kendall Mairs+1.2
147-7SDSUSDSUKillAnnabelle De Jagerset Logan Cary+1.7
157-8SDSUUSDServe errSan Diego St.+1.3
168-8USDSDSUKillAnnabelle De Jagerset Logan Cary+1.4
178-9SDSUUSD×3Attack errMila Gehlen+1.3
188-10USDUSD×3KillBayLea Sparksset Mila Gehlen+1.7
198-11USDUSD×3BlockedLayla Austinblk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks+1.5
209-11USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+1.1
2110-11SDSUSDSUKillTaelyn Bentleyset Logan Cary+1.7
2210-12SDSUUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.3
2310-13USDUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.6
2411-13USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+1.1
2511-14SDSUUSDAttack errElla Schabort+1.2
2612-14USDSDSU×3KillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+1.1
2713-14SDSUSDSU×3KillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+1.9
2814-14SDSUSDSU×3AceSan Diego St.aced Nemo Beach+2.3
2914-15SDSUUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.7
3014-16USDUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+2.2
3115-16USDSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+1.5
3215-17SDSUUSD×3Serve errSan Diego St.+1.7
3315-18USDUSD×3Attack errLayla Austin+1.9
3415-19USDUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.5
3516-19USDSDSU×5KillChelsea Cocksset Kendall Mairs+0.9
3617-19SDSUSDSU×5KillAnnabelle De Jagerset Logan Cary+1.7
3718-19SDSUSDSU×5KillMila Gehlenset Logan Cary+2.3
3819-19SDSUSDSU×5KillMila Gehlenset Logan Cary+3.0
3920-19SDSUSDSU×5KillMila Gehlenset Logan Cary+3.6
4020-20SDSUUSDServe errSan Diego St.+2.5
4121-20USDSDSU×3KillMila Gehlenset Logan Cary+3.0
4222-20SDSUSDSU×3KillChelsea Cocksset Logan Cary+4.2
4323-20SDSUSDSU×3Attack errNemo Beach+3.6
4423-21SDSUUSDKillNemo Beachset Lauren Lynch+1.5
4524-21USDSDSUKillMila Gehlenset Logan Cary+2.8
4624-22SDSUUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.1
4725-22USDSDSUKillMila Gehlenset Logan Cary+2.7
Set 3
10-1USDUSD×5KillEmma Brewerset Kierstyn Barton+2.7
20-2USDUSD×5KillEmma Brewerset Ella Schabort+2.5
30-3USDUSD×5KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+2.3
40-4USDUSD×5BlockedLayla Austinblk Emma Brewer, Meghan Scholz+2.0
50-5USDUSD×5AceSan Diegoaced Annabelle De Jager+1.7
61-5USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+1.2
72-5SDSUSDSUKillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+1.9
82-6SDSUUSDServe errSan Diego St.+1.5
92-7USDUSDAttack errTaelyn Bentley+1.8
103-7USDSDSU×4Serve errSan Diego+1.2
114-7SDSUSDSU×4BlockedRyann Knuthblk Chelsea Cocks, Ella Schabort+2.0
125-7SDSUSDSU×4Attack errKierstyn Barton+2.4
136-7SDSUSDSU×4BlockedRyann Knuthblk Chelsea Cocks, Ella Schabort+2.8
146-8SDSUUSDServe errSan Diego St.+2.2
157-8USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+2.2
167-9SDSUUSD×4KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+2.2
177-10USDUSD×4Bad setLogan Cary+2.7
187-11USDUSD×4KillKierstyn Bartonset BayLea Sparks+2.3
197-12USDUSD×4AceSan Diegoaced Annabelle De Jager+1.9
208-12USDSDSUKillLayla Austinset Logan Cary+1.2
218-13SDSUUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.4
229-13USDSDSUKillChelsea Cocksset Logan Cary+1.2
2310-13SDSUSDSUAceSan Diego St.aced Emma Brewer+2.1
2410-14SDSUUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.8
2510-15USDUSD×3BlockedMila Gehlenblk Emma Brewer, Meghan Scholz+2.0
2610-16USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kierstyn Barton+1.4
2711-16USDSDSUKillLayla Austinset Logan Cary+0.8
2811-17SDSUUSDServe errSan Diego St.+1.0
2911-18USDUSDAttack errLayla Austin+0.9
3012-18USDSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.4
3112-19SDSUUSD×4KillKylie Mundayset Lauren Lynch+0.6
3212-20USDUSD×4Attack errElla Schabort+0.5
3312-21USDUSD×4Attack errAnnabelle De Jager+0.2
3412-22USDUSD×4KillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.1
3513-22USDSDSUBad setKylie Munday·
3614-22SDSUSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.1
3714-23SDSUUSDServe errSan Diego St.+0.1
3815-23USDSDSUServe errSan Diego·
3915-24SDSUUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday·
4016-24USDSDSUAttack errBayLea Sparks·
4116-25SDSUUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday·
Set 4
11-0SDSUSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+2.4
22-0SDSUSDSUAttack errEmma Brewer+2.6
32-1SDSUUSDBlockedElla Schabortblk Emma Brewer, Meghan Scholz+1.8
43-1USDSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+2.0
53-2SDSUUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kierstyn Barton+1.8
64-2USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+2.1
74-3SDSUUSD×4Serve errSan Diego St.+1.9
84-4USDUSD×4BlockedMila Gehlenblk Nemo Beach+2.5
94-5USDUSD×4Attack errLayla Austin+2.5
104-6USDUSD×4BlockedChelsea Cocksblk BayLea Sparks+2.3
115-6USDSDSUKillLayla Austinset Logan Cary+1.7
125-7SDSUUSD×3BlockedTaelyn Bentleyblk BayLea Sparks+1.7
135-8USDUSD×3Attack errMila Gehlen+2.1
145-9USDUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.8
156-9USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+1.3
167-9SDSUSDSUAceSan Diego St.aced Emma Brewer+2.1
177-10SDSUUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.7
188-10USDSDSUAttack errKierstyn Barton+1.6
198-11SDSUUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.7
208-12USDUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Lauren Lynch+2.0
219-12USDSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+1.3
229-13SDSUUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kierstyn Barton+1.5
239-14USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.6
249-15USDUSD×3KillKylie Mundayset Kierstyn Barton+1.2
2510-15USDSDSUKillChelsea Cocksset Kendall Mairs+0.7
2610-16SDSUUSDServe errSan Diego St.+0.9
2710-17USDUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.8
2811-17USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+0.4
2911-18SDSUUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.5
3012-18USDSDSUKillMila Gehlenset Zara Stewart+0.4
3112-19SDSUUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.5
3212-20USDUSD×3BlockedMila Gehlenblk BayLea Sparks, Nemo Beach+0.4
3312-21USDUSD×3BlockedLauranta iyalekhueblk BayLea Sparks+0.2
3413-21USDSDSUServe errSan Diego+0.1
3514-21SDSUSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.1
3614-22SDSUUSDAttack errElla Schabort+0.2
3715-22USDSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.1
3815-23SDSUUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.1
3915-24USDUSD×3BlockedHaylee Brownblk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz·
4015-25USDUSD×3Attack errHaylee Brown·

Score shown after each rally, San Diego St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).