FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayCUSA

0:3

HomeSEC

Auburn def. Liberty 3–0

(25-20, 25-23, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LIBRTY	20	23	17	0
AUBURN	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

AUBURN above 50 · LIBRTY below

Biggest swing: 2.7% to Auburn — set 2, LIBRTY 23-25 AUBURN. Paige Overcash stuffed by Kate Mansfield & Lauren Dreves. AUBURN win probability 96% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LIBRTY 9.9%90.1% AUBURN

Liberty wins

3-0

1.3%

3-1

3.0%

3-2

5.6%

Auburn wins

3-0

44.5%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.0%

LIBRTY break %: 36.0% vs this opp
AUBURN break %: 45.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Paige OvercashAttack error+2.7%
Paige Overcash stuffed by Kate Mansfield & Lauren Dreves
Set 2 · LIBRTY 23-25 AUBURN · AUBURN 96% → 98%
02
Lauren DrevesKill+2.3%
Kill by Lauren Dreves (set by Kayla O'Brien)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 23-24 AUBURN · AUBURN 93% → 96%
03
Carly O'BrienKill+2.3%
Kill by Carly O'Brien
Set 2 · LIBRTY 22-22 AUBURN · LIBRTY 4% → 7%
04
Kate MansfieldAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Kate Mansfield
Set 1 · LIBRTY 15-14 AUBURN · LIBRTY 11% → 13%
05
Belle PatrickKill+1.9%
Kill by Belle Patrick (set by Carson Eickenloff)
Set 1 · LIBRTY 15-16 AUBURN · AUBURN 88% → 90%
06
Layla CollinsKill+1.8%
Kill by Layla Collins (set by Alison Bierwagen)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 23-23 AUBURN · LIBRTY 5% → 7%
07
Paige OvercashAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Paige Overcash
Set 2 · LIBRTY 22-23 AUBURN · AUBURN 93% → 95%
08
Jenna OttsAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Jenna Otts
Set 2 · LIBRTY 19-20 AUBURN · AUBURN 93% → 95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Libertyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Laney DaniellMB	3	9	2	19	.368	1	2	2	2	0	1	2	2	13
2Carly O'BrienOH	3	7	5	26	.077	0	0	1	10	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
25Paige OvercashOH	3	6	7	14	-.071	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
24Layla CollinsMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
22Molly LittlefieldL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
4Addie FielderS	2	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
15Charli MorrisS	3	6	2	10	.400	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	7
16Charli CrowsonS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	2	9	0	0	0	0	0
5Melis UralL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	8	1	0	0	0	0
8Jenna OttsOH	2	2	5	17	-.176	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	3
11Alison BierwagenS	2	0	0	0	–	6	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
1Kayla O'BrienL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Addison HartOH	1	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2
Team totals		35	24	101	.109	32	3	6	42	6	3	10	8	60

Auburnhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Lauren DrevesOH	3	17	5	42	.286	0	2	1	6	0	3	1.5	20.5
1Belle PatrickOH	3	8	5	25	.120	0	1	2	4	1	1	0.5	9.5
11Kate MansfieldMB	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	7
6Anastasija IvkovicOH	3	3	0	8	.375	0	1	2	1	0	2	1	5
17Grace HavlicekMB	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
13Carson EickenloffS	3	0	0	1	.000	30	1	0	3	0	1	0.5	1.5
22Macy McAmisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	1
14Emily KeiranL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	17	1	0	0	0
9Symone SimsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	0
Team totals		35	13	95	.232	31	6	8	39	3	14	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 LIBRTY · AUBURN 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 LIBRTYAUBURN 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 LIBRTYAUBURN 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 LIBRTYAUBURN 5

Bars above the line = Auburn leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Liberty

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	33%3/9
2	40%6/15	38%5/13
3	60%6/10	40%4/10
4	35%6/17	40%4/10
5	55%6/11	40%4/10
6	50%5/10	33%3/9
All	50%37/74	38%23/61

Auburn

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	46%6/13
2	58%7/12	50%7/14
3	55%6/11	40%4/10
4	67%6/9	65%11/17
5	60%6/10	45%5/11
6	63%5/8	44%4/9
All	62%38/61	50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	LIBRTY-AUBURN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	AUBURN	AUBURN	Attack err	Carly O'Brien		+1.0
2	1-1	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Attack err	Belle Patrick		+0.8
3	1-2	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.7
4	2-2	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Addie Fielder	+0.8
5	2-3	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.7
6	2-4	AUBURN	AUBURN	Ace	AUBURN server	aced Team	+1.0
7	3-4	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+0.7
8	3-5	LIBRTY	AUBURN×4	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.7
9	3-6	AUBURN	AUBURN×4	Ace	AUBURN server	aced Jenna Otts	+0.8
10	3-7	AUBURN	AUBURN×4	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+0.7
11	3-8	AUBURN	AUBURN×4	Kill	Kate Mansfield		+0.5
12	4-8	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+0.3
13	4-9	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Belle Patrick	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.4
14	5-9	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.3
15	6-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Carson Eickenloff		+0.7
16	6-10	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.5
17	7-10	AUBURN	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Belle Patrick		+0.5
18	8-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Addie Fielder	+0.9
19	9-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Belle Patrick	blk Carly O'Brien, Layla Collins	+1.2
20	9-11	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.8
21	10-11	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Attack err	Lauren Dreves	blk Paige Overcash, Layla Collins	+0.9
22	10-12	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Belle Patrick		+0.9
23	10-13	AUBURN	AUBURN	Bad set	Addie Fielder		+1.1
24	11-13	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Serve err	AUBURN server		+0.7
25	12-13	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Molly Littlefield	+1.3
26	12-14	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.9
27	13-14	AUBURN	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.0
28	14-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Lauren Dreves		+1.8
29	15-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Kate Mansfield		+2.1
30	15-15	LIBRTY	AUBURN×3	Kill	Kate Mansfield	set Carson Eickenloff	+1.3
31	15-16	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Kill	Belle Patrick	set Carson Eickenloff	+1.9
32	15-17	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Kill	Belle Patrick	set Symone Sims	+1.7
33	16-17	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Serve err	AUBURN server		+1.1
34	16-18	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.2
35	16-19	AUBURN	AUBURN	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+1.4
36	17-19	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+0.8
37	17-20	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Bad set	Melis Ural		+1.0
38	18-20	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Addie Fielder	+0.8
39	18-21	LIBRTY	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Paige Overcash	blk Anastasija Ivkovic, Grace Havlicek	+1.0
40	18-22	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Ace	AUBURN server	aced Team	+0.9
41	18-23	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Carly O'Brien	blk Anastasija Ivkovic, Grace Havlicek	+0.4
42	19-23	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Serve err	AUBURN server		+0.1
43	20-23	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Lauren Dreves	blk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash	+0.4
44	20-24	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Anastasija Ivkovic	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.5
45	20-25	AUBURN	AUBURN	Kill	Anastasija Ivkovic	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.5
2	1-1	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Addie Fielder	+0.5
3	2-1	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Addie Fielder	+0.9
4	2-2	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Anastasija Ivkovic	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.5
5	3-2	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Serve err	AUBURN server		+0.6
6	4-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson	+1.0
7	4-3	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.6
8	5-3	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+0.7
9	5-4	LIBRTY	AUBURN×3	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.6
10	5-5	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+0.9
11	5-6	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Laney Daniell		+0.8
12	6-6	AUBURN	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+0.6
13	7-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Emily Keiran	+1.0
14	8-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Symone Sims	+1.1
15	8-7	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.7
16	9-7	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+0.8
17	10-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Addie Fielder	+1.3
18	10-8	LIBRTY	AUBURN×4	Kill	Grace Havlicek	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.7
19	10-9	AUBURN	AUBURN×4	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+1.1
20	10-10	AUBURN	AUBURN×4	Kill	Belle Patrick	set Carson Eickenloff	+1.1
21	10-11	AUBURN	AUBURN×4	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+1.0
22	11-11	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Serve err	AUBURN server		+0.7
23	11-12	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.7
24	12-12	AUBURN	LIBRTY×3	Serve err	AUBURN server		+0.8
25	13-12	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Kayla O'Brien	+1.3
26	14-12	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Molly Littlefield	+1.5
27	14-13	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Kate Mansfield	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.9
28	14-14	AUBURN	AUBURN	Attack err	Paige Overcash	blk Lauren Dreves, Kate Mansfield	+1.3
29	15-14	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Serve err	AUBURN server		+1.0
30	16-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Morris	+1.6
31	16-15	LIBRTY	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Carly O'Brien		+1.0
32	16-16	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Carly O'Brien	blk Kate Mansfield, Carson Eickenloff	+1.5
33	16-17	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Carly O'Brien		+1.4
34	17-17	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Attack err	Belle Patrick	blk Laney Daniell, Charli Morris	+1.0
35	18-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.8
36	18-18	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Bad set	Laney Daniell		+1.1
37	19-18	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.4
38	19-19	LIBRTY	AUBURN×3	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+1.2
39	19-20	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+1.8
40	19-21	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Charli Morris		+1.5
41	20-21	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+0.9
42	20-22	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+1.1
43	21-22	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Addie Fielder	+1.0
44	22-22	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien		+2.3
45	22-23	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+1.8
46	23-23	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.8
47	23-24	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Kayla O'Brien	+2.3
48	23-25	AUBURN	AUBURN	Attack err	Paige Overcash	blk Kate Mansfield, Lauren Dreves	+2.7
Set 3
1	1-0	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.3
2	2-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
3	2-1	LIBRTY	AUBURN×3	Kill	Grace Havlicek	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.3
4	2-2	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Kill	Kate Mansfield	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.4
5	2-3	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Kill	Lauren Dreves		+0.3
6	3-3	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.3
7	3-4	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Attack err	Charli Morris		+0.2
8	3-5	AUBURN	AUBURN	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.3
9	4-5	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+0.2
10	5-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Melis Ural	+0.4
11	5-6	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.3
12	6-6	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Melis Ural	+0.3
13	6-7	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Belle Patrick	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.3
14	7-7	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Attack err	Grace Havlicek	blk Layla Collins	+0.3
15	7-8	LIBRTY	AUBURN×3	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.3
16	7-9	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Layla Collins	blk Grace Havlicek, Belle Patrick	+0.4
17	7-10	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Ace	AUBURN server	aced Addison Hart	+0.3
18	8-10	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Addison Hart	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.2
19	8-11	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.2
20	9-11	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.2
21	9-12	LIBRTY	AUBURN×4	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.2
22	9-13	AUBURN	AUBURN×4	Attack err	Laney Daniell	blk Lauren Dreves, Kate Mansfield	+0.3
23	9-14	AUBURN	AUBURN×4	Ace	AUBURN server	aced Melis Ural	+0.2
24	9-15	AUBURN	AUBURN×4	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.1
25	10-15	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Serve err	AUBURN server		+0.1
26	11-15	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Kate Mansfield	blk Laney Daniell	+0.2
27	11-16	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.1
28	12-16	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+0.1
29	12-17	LIBRTY	AUBURN×5	Kill	Kate Mansfield	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.1
30	12-18	AUBURN	AUBURN×5	Attack err	Addison Hart		+0.1
31	12-19	AUBURN	AUBURN×5	Kill	Belle Patrick	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.1
32	12-20	AUBURN	AUBURN×5	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.0
33	12-21	AUBURN	AUBURN×5	Ace	AUBURN server	aced Team	+0.0
34	13-21	AUBURN	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Addison Hart	set Laney Daniell	+0.0
35	14-21	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Lauren Dreves		+0.0
36	15-21	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Belle Patrick	blk Layla Collins, Charli Morris	+0.0
37	15-22	LIBRTY	AUBURN×3	Kill	Belle Patrick	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.0
38	15-23	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.0
39	15-24	AUBURN	AUBURN×3	Attack err	Layla Collins		+0.0
40	16-24	AUBURN	LIBRTY	Attack err	Lauren Dreves		+0.0
41	17-24	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Belle Patrick	+0.0
42	17-25	LIBRTY	AUBURN	Kill	Lauren Dreves	set Carson Eickenloff	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.