Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026 · Neutral site

Columbia def. Niagara 3–1

Columbia beat Niagara 3-1 (17-25, 25-9, 25-17, 25-22) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site. Alexia Cornea led Columbia with 11 kills; Niagara's Payton Lee had a match-high 13.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
NIAGRA25917221
COLUMB172525253

Win probability

Columbia above 50 · Niagara below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.3% NIAGRArally 165 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Niagara — set 2, NIAGRA 3-2 COLUMB. Attack error by Josie Zynczak. COLUMB win probability 77% → 75%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NIAGRA 8.1%91.9% COLUMB

Niagara wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.4%
3-2
4.7%

Columbia wins

3-0
47.9%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
12.7%
NIAGRA break %
38.6% vs this opp
COLUMB break %
49.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Josie ZynczakAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Josie Zynczak

    Set 2 · NIAGRA 3-2 COLUMB · NIAGRA 23% → 25%

  2. 02
    Avery JonesAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Avery Jones

    Set 4 · NIAGRA 10-8 COLUMB · NIAGRA 9% → 11%

  3. 03
    Katelynn RottmanAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Katelynn Rottman

    Set 2 · NIAGRA 3-4 COLUMB · COLUMB 76% → 78%

  4. 04
    ColumbiaAce+1.9%

    Columbia ace

    Set 4 · NIAGRA 10-10 COLUMB · COLUMB 91% → 93%

  5. 05
    NiagaraAce+1.8%

    Niagara ace on Alexia Cornea

    Set 4 · NIAGRA 4-1 COLUMB · NIAGRA 9% → 11%

  6. 06
    ColumbiaAce+1.8%

    Columbia ace on Katelynn Rottman

    Set 2 · NIAGRA 0-1 COLUMB · COLUMB 77% → 79%

  7. 07
    ColumbiaAce+1.8%

    Columbia ace on Karlotta Kattai

    Set 2 · NIAGRA 3-5 COLUMB · COLUMB 78% → 80%

  8. 08
    ColumbiaAce+1.7%

    Columbia ace

    Set 4 · NIAGRA 10-11 COLUMB · COLUMB 93% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413323.4350001004215
410424.25011162010.511.5
47627.0370419200011
4226.000000202446
4004.000100101222
4005.0001901500000
4000–020100002
4003.000000010000
4001.0001000100000
3138-.25000020010.51.5
3102.500100610001
2013-.333000000000
1102.500000000001
Team totals3519108.14832733411312973
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410420.30014013100014
411423.30400012031.512.5
410217.4710012004212
47117.353000200218
4417.429200301226
4004.0002252400005
49417.29400000111.510.5
4205.4001811400003
4004.000411700001
4001.000302510000
2224.000001100002
Team totals5518119.31150118427212892

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NIAGRA · COLUMB 9

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 5 NIAGRACOLUMB 2

Set 2

9-25

Longest run 2 NIAGRACOLUMB 9

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 NIAGRACOLUMB 5

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 6 NIAGRACOLUMB 6

Bars above the line = Columbia leads, below = Niagara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Niagara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%10/27
33%4/12
2
57%8/14
50%10/20
3
78%7/9
43%6/14
4
37%7/19
13%1/8
5
58%7/12
36%4/11
6
70%7/10
22%2/9
All
51%46/91
36%27/74

Columbia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
57%12/21
2
75%9/12
55%11/20
3
58%7/12
36%4/11
4
88%7/8
56%9/16
5
64%7/11
46%6/13
6
70%7/10
30%3/10
All
64%47/74
49%45/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

165 rallies

#NIAGRA-COLUMBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NIAGRACOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Delaney Seaman+0.6
20-2COLUMBCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+0.7
31-2COLUMBNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.6
42-2NIAGRANIAGRABlockedMaria Happblk Sole Rancy+0.9
52-3NIAGRACOLUMBBlockedPayton Leeblk Maria Happ+0.7
63-3COLUMBNIAGRA×5KillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.8
74-3NIAGRANIAGRA×5Attack errDanica Nordlicht+1.1
85-3NIAGRANIAGRA×5KillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.3
96-3NIAGRANIAGRA×5BlockedAlexia Corneablk Payton Lee, Jakayla Brown+1.4
107-3NIAGRANIAGRA×5KillPayton Leeset Maria Happ+1.5
117-4NIAGRACOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+1.0
128-4COLUMBNIAGRABlockedJosie Zynczakblk Jakayla Brown+1.2
138-5NIAGRACOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo+1.0
149-5COLUMBNIAGRA×3Serve errColumbia+1.3
1510-5NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errJosie Zynczak+1.6
1611-5NIAGRANIAGRA×3AceNiagaraaced Elena Maynulet+1.5
1711-6NIAGRACOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Madison Hsieh+0.9
1812-6COLUMBNIAGRA×3Serve errColumbia+1.3
1913-6NIAGRANIAGRA×3AceNiagara+1.4
2014-6NIAGRANIAGRA×3AceNiagaraaced Madison Hsieh+1.2
2114-7NIAGRACOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Madison Hsieh+0.6
2215-7COLUMBNIAGRA×3KillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins+1.0
2316-7NIAGRANIAGRA×3BlockedAvery Jonesblk Payton Lee, Jakayla Brown+0.9
2417-7NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKatelynn Rottmanset Delaney Seaman+0.7
2517-8NIAGRACOLUMBServe errNiagara+0.3
2617-9COLUMBCOLUMBBad setKarlotta Kattai+0.5
2718-9COLUMBNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Sole Rancy+0.6
2819-9NIAGRANIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.5
2919-10NIAGRACOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Elena Maynulet+0.2
3019-11COLUMBCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+0.3
3120-11COLUMBNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.5
3221-11NIAGRANIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Ashley Moreland+0.3
3321-12NIAGRACOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+0.1
3422-12COLUMBNIAGRABad setClaire Mo+0.2
3522-13NIAGRACOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo+0.1
3622-14COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errJakayla Brown+0.1
3723-14COLUMBNIAGRAAttack errElena Maynulet+0.2
3823-15NIAGRACOLUMBServe errNiagara·
3924-15COLUMBNIAGRABlockedJosie Zynczakblk Jakayla Brown, Karlotta Kattai+0.1
4024-16NIAGRACOLUMBAttack errKatelynn Rottman·
4124-17COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errKatelynn Rottman·
4225-17COLUMBNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins+0.1
Set 2
10-1COLUMBCOLUMBAceColumbiaaced Katelynn Rottman+1.8
21-1COLUMBNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.5
31-2NIAGRACOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+1.4
42-2COLUMBNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.6
53-2NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errJosie Zynczak+2.3
63-3NIAGRACOLUMB×3KillMaria Happset Clara Yu+1.7
73-4COLUMBCOLUMB×3Attack errKatelynn Rottman+2.0
83-5COLUMBCOLUMB×3AceColumbiaaced Karlotta Kattai+1.8
94-5COLUMBNIAGRAServe errColumbia+1.5
104-6NIAGRACOLUMB×9KillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+1.4
114-7COLUMBCOLUMB×9AceColumbiaaced Katelynn Rottman+1.6
124-8COLUMBCOLUMB×9BlockedKadence Goolsbyblk Danica Nordlicht, Avery Jones+1.3
134-9COLUMBCOLUMB×9BlockedJakayla Brownblk Danica Nordlicht, Alexia Cornea+1.0
144-10COLUMBCOLUMB×9KillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+0.8
154-11COLUMBCOLUMB×9Attack errKarlotta Kattai+0.6
164-12COLUMBCOLUMB×9KillAvery Jonesset Claire Mo+0.4
174-13COLUMBCOLUMB×9BlockedKarlotta Kattaiblk Alexia Cornea, Danica Nordlicht+0.3
184-14COLUMBCOLUMB×9KillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+0.2
195-14COLUMBNIAGRAServe errColumbia+0.1
205-15NIAGRACOLUMB×3KillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+0.1
215-16COLUMBCOLUMB×3Bad setLeah Allen+0.1
225-17COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo·
236-17COLUMBNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins·
246-18NIAGRACOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo·
257-18COLUMBNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins·
267-19NIAGRACOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Claire Mo·
277-20COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errPayton Lee·
288-20COLUMBNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui·
298-21NIAGRACOLUMB×4KillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu·
308-22COLUMBCOLUMB×4Attack errKarlotta Kattai·
318-23COLUMBCOLUMB×4AceColumbiaaced Ashley Moreland·
328-24COLUMBCOLUMB×4AceColumbia·
339-24COLUMBNIAGRABlockedAlexia Corneablk Payton Lee, Sole Rancy·
349-25NIAGRACOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Clara Yu·
Set 3
10-1NIAGRACOLUMB×5KillMaria Happset Clara Yu+1.2
20-2COLUMBCOLUMB×5BlockedKatelynn Rottmanblk Maria Happ, Alexia Cornea+1.4
30-3COLUMBCOLUMB×5KillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+1.2
40-4COLUMBCOLUMB×5AceColumbiaaced Elyannah Sonza+1.0
50-5COLUMBCOLUMB×5AceColumbia+0.8
61-5COLUMBNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.6
71-6NIAGRACOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Clara Yu+0.7
82-6COLUMBNIAGRAAttack errAlexia Cornea+0.6
92-7NIAGRACOLUMBAttack errKarlotta Kattai+0.7
103-7COLUMBNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.7
114-7NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errElena Maynulet+1.1
124-8NIAGRACOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+0.9
134-9COLUMBCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+0.9
145-9COLUMBNIAGRAAttack errDanica Nordlicht+0.7
155-10NIAGRACOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo+0.7
166-10COLUMBNIAGRAKillJakayla Brownset Noel Perkins+0.7
176-11NIAGRACOLUMBKillClaire Moset Delaney Seaman+0.7
186-12COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errKatelynn Rottman+0.7
197-12COLUMBNIAGRABad setElena Maynulet+0.5
207-13NIAGRACOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Clara Yu+0.5
217-14COLUMBCOLUMBBad setKarlotta Kattai+0.5
228-14COLUMBNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.3
238-15NIAGRACOLUMBKillMaria Happset Clara Yu+0.4
249-15COLUMBNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.3
259-16NIAGRACOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+0.4
2610-16COLUMBNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.3
2710-17NIAGRACOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo+0.4
2810-18COLUMBCOLUMBBlockedLeah Allenblk Danica Nordlicht, Avery Jones+0.3
2911-18COLUMBNIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins+0.1
3012-18NIAGRANIAGRA×3Bad setDanica Nordlicht+0.3
3113-18NIAGRANIAGRA×3BlockedElena Maynuletblk Leah Allen, Jakayla Brown+0.5
3213-19NIAGRACOLUMB×3Attack errLeah Allen+0.5
3313-20COLUMBCOLUMB×3Bad setLeah Allen+0.4
3413-21COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillClaire Moset Maria Happ+0.2
3514-21COLUMBNIAGRAServe errColumbia+0.1
3614-22NIAGRACOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Claire Mo+0.1
3715-22COLUMBNIAGRAServe errColumbia·
3816-22NIAGRANIAGRABlockedElena Maynuletblk Payton Lee, Sole Rancy+0.1
3916-23NIAGRACOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+0.2
4017-23COLUMBNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.1
4117-24NIAGRACOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+0.1
4217-25COLUMBCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu·
Set 4
10-1COLUMBCOLUMBAceColumbiaaced Karlotta Kattai+1.2
21-1COLUMBNIAGRA×4KillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.0
32-1NIAGRANIAGRA×4AceNiagaraaced Alexia Cornea+1.5
43-1NIAGRANIAGRA×4AceNiagara+1.7
54-1NIAGRANIAGRA×4AceNiagaraaced Alexia Cornea+1.8
64-2NIAGRACOLUMBServe errNiagara+1.2
75-2COLUMBNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.5
85-3NIAGRACOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Clara Yu+1.3
96-3COLUMBNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.6
106-4NIAGRACOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+1.3
116-5COLUMBCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlicht+1.7
127-5COLUMBNIAGRAKillAshley Morelandset Karlotta Kattai+1.5
137-6NIAGRACOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo+1.3
148-6COLUMBNIAGRAServe errColumbia+1.6
158-7NIAGRACOLUMBAttack errLeah Allen+1.4
168-8COLUMBCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Maria Happ+1.7
179-8COLUMBNIAGRAKillLeah Allenset Noel Perkins+1.5
1810-8NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errAvery Jones+2.2
1910-9NIAGRACOLUMB×6KillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+1.5
2010-10COLUMBCOLUMB×6AceColumbia+1.9
2110-11COLUMBCOLUMB×6AceColumbia+1.7
2210-12COLUMBCOLUMB×6AceColumbia+1.5
2310-13COLUMBCOLUMB×6BlockedPayton Leeblk Josie Zynczak, Maria Happ+1.3
2410-14COLUMBCOLUMB×6BlockedKatelynn Rottmanblk Josie Zynczak+1.0
2511-14COLUMBNIAGRAKillPayton Lee+0.7
2611-15NIAGRACOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Madison Hsieh+0.8
2711-16COLUMBCOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Clara Yu+0.8
2812-16COLUMBNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.5
2912-17NIAGRACOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Ashley Moreland+0.6
3013-17COLUMBNIAGRABlockedAlexia Corneablk Jakayla Brown+0.5
3113-18NIAGRACOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Clara Yu+0.6
3214-18COLUMBNIAGRAKillJakayla Brownset Noel Perkins+0.5
3314-19NIAGRACOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+0.6
3414-20COLUMBCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Delaney Seaman+0.5
3515-20COLUMBNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins+0.2
3615-21NIAGRACOLUMBKillEvie Naumannset Claire Mo+0.3
3716-21COLUMBNIAGRAKillNatasa Ljubicicset Noel Perkins+0.2
3816-22NIAGRACOLUMB×3KillMaria Happset Claire Mo+0.3
3916-23COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillJosie Zynczakset Delaney Seaman+0.2
4016-24COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillEvie Naumannset Clara Yu·
4117-24COLUMBNIAGRA×6Serve errColumbia·
4218-24NIAGRANIAGRA×6Attack errEvie Naumann·
4319-24NIAGRANIAGRA×6Attack errJosie Zynczak+0.1
4420-24NIAGRANIAGRA×6KillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.1
4521-24NIAGRANIAGRA×6Attack errEvie Naumann+0.3
4622-24NIAGRANIAGRA×6AceNiagara+0.9
4722-25NIAGRACOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Clara Yu+1.4

Score shown after each rally, Niagara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).