FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

TCU def. Texas Tech 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: TCU 98.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 6:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

TCU beat visiting Texas Tech 3-0 (25-15, 25-21, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. TCU's Evan Hendrix led with 17 kills, and Rosemary Archer added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
TXTECH1521170
TCU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

17 kills in 3 sets for Evan Hendrix. TCU swept Texas Tech.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.3 points. Texas Tech peaked at 2% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had TCU at 98%.

Texas TechTCU
  • Break %+20.2 pts
    29.149.3

    On serve: 36/73 against 16/55 (Texas Tech sideout 50.7%).

  • Hitting+.179
    .129.308

    Kills and errors: 43–7 vs 33–18.

TCU above 50Texas Tech belowMax swing 0.3%

Texas TechTCU

Aces
Texas Tech 2·TCU 8
Serve err
Texas Tech 5·TCU 9
Blocks
Texas Tech 2·TCU 110 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Texas Tech 58·TCU 55

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

TCU above 50 · Texas Tech below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 128 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: TCU stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TXTECH 1.4%98.6% TCU

Texas Tech wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.3%
3-2
0.9%

TCU wins

3-0
70.8%
3-1
23.1%
3-2
4.7%
TXTECH break %
32.8% vs this opp
TCU break %
49.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39422.2270010002110
36322.13600020010.56.5
35115.267000300005
3206.3332401700002
1127-.143100310001
1013-.333000000000
38429.13820091010.58.5
3013-.333111810001
3000–1001320000
3000–001820000
2215.200011300003
1014-.250000000000
1000–000000000
1000–100200000
Team totals3318116.129302558804253
TCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317146.3480005000017
39331.19411160052.512.5
38017.47102350010.510.5
3205.400040200428
3102.5002601140010.51.5
2226.000000001224
3214.250001100213
3000–011510001
3000–700200000
3000–4011010000
2003.00000100010.50.5
2000–000300000
1102.50000010031.52.5
11011.00000000010.51.5
1000–000000000
1000–200100000
Team totals437117.30840895521201175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TXTECH · TCU 4

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 4 TXTECHTCU 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 TXTECHTCU 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 5 TXTECHTCU 4

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = Texas Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
25%2/8
2
50%7/14
42%5/12
3
47%7/15
22%2/9
4
46%6/13
13%1/8
5
67%6/9
40%4/10
6
36%4/11
25%2/8
All
51%37/73
29%16/55

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
62%8/13
2
54%7/13
42%5/12
3
88%7/8
46%6/13
4
100%6/6
57%8/14
5
55%6/11
45%5/11
6
75%6/8
40%4/10
All
71%39/55
49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#TXTECH-TCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1TXTECHTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Becca Kelley
21-1TCUTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran
31-2TXTECHTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Alice Volpe
42-2TCUTXTECHServe errJalyn Gibson
52-3TXTECHTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer
62-4TCUTCUBlockedGretchen Sigmanblk Becca Kelley, Kinsley Young
73-4TCUTXTECHKillGretchen Sigmanset Katelyn Cochran
83-5TXTECHTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer
93-6TCUTCUAceKinsley Youngaced Ashlyn Bellamy
104-6TCUTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran
115-6TXTECHTXTECHKillKatelyn Cochranset Sara Bowcutt
125-7TXTECHTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
136-7TCUTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran
146-8TXTECHTCU×4Serve errShelby Ignash
156-9TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe
166-10TCUTCU×4AceTCUaced Sara Bowcutt
176-11TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
187-11TCUTXTECHAttack errDe'Andrea McMillian
197-12TXTECHTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer
208-12TCUTXTECHAttack errBecca Kelley
218-13TXTECHTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
228-14TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe
238-15TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Emily Contreras
249-15TCUTXTECHKillGretchen Sigmanset Katelyn Cochran
259-16TXTECHTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
2610-16TCUTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran
2710-17TXTECHTCU×3KillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn
2810-18TCUTCU×3BlockedSara Bowcuttblk De'Andrea McMillian, Reese Robins
2910-19TCUTCU×3BlockedSara Bowcuttblk De'Andrea McMillian, Reese Robins
3011-19TCUTXTECH×4KillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran
3112-19TXTECHTXTECH×4KillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran
3213-19TXTECHTXTECH×4BlockedReese Robinsblk Shelby Ignash, Kenna McKenzie
3314-19TXTECHTXTECH×4Attack errDe'Andrea McMillian
3414-20TXTECHTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn
3514-21TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer
3614-22TCUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer
3715-22TCUTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Elia Dinsmore
3815-23TXTECHTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Addy Horner
3915-24TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Maggie Boyd
4015-25TCUTCU×3BlockedFaith Jordanblk De'Andrea McMillian
Set 2
10-1TCUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer
20-2TCUTCUAttack errElia Dinsmore
31-2TCUTXTECHServe errTCU
41-3TXTECHTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer
52-3TCUTXTECH×3KillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran
63-3TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errBecca Kelley
74-3TXTECHTXTECH×3KillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran
84-4TXTECHTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer
94-5TCUTCUAceTCUaced Emily Contreras
105-5TCUTXTECHKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer
115-6TXTECHTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
125-7TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe
135-8TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Maggie Boyd
146-8TCUTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran
156-9TXTECHTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
167-9TCUTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran
178-9TXTECHTXTECHKillGretchen Sigmanset Katelyn Cochran
188-10TXTECHTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Addy Horner
199-10TCUTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran
2010-10TXTECHTXTECHAceAshlyn Bellamyaced Alice Volpe
2110-11TXTECHTCUServe errAshlyn Bellamy
2211-11TCUTXTECHKillGretchen Sigmanset Katelyn Cochran
2311-12TXTECHTCUAttack errElia Dinsmore
2411-13TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrix
2512-13TCUTXTECHServe errTCU
2612-14TXTECHTCUAttack errElia Dinsmore
2713-14TCUTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran
2813-15TXTECHTCUAttack errKenna McKenzie
2914-15TCUTXTECHServe errTCU
3014-16TXTECHTCUBlockedKenna McKenzieblk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer
3115-16TCUTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran
3215-17TXTECHTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer
3315-18TCUTCUAceKinsley Youngaced Elia Dinsmore
3416-18TCUTXTECHKillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran
3516-19TXTECHTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillianset Rosemary Archer
3617-19TCUTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran
3718-19TXTECHTXTECHBlockedBecca Kelleyblk Shelby Ignash, Elia Dinsmore
3818-20TXTECHTCU×3Serve errTatum Johnson
3918-21TCUTCU×3KillDe'Andrea McMillianset Rosemary Archer
4018-22TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
4119-22TCUTXTECHServe errTCU
4219-23TXTECHTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
4319-24TCUTCUAttack errShelby Ignash
4420-24TCUTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran
4521-24TXTECHTXTECHBad setJosie Valgus
4621-25TXTECHTCUBlockedKenna McKenzieblk Lauren Murphy
Set 3
11-0TXTECHTXTECHAttack errEvan Hendrix
21-1TXTECHTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer
32-1TCUTXTECHServe errTCU
42-2TXTECHTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer
52-3TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrix
62-4TCUTCU×3KillRosemary Archerset Katelyn Cochran
73-4TCUTXTECHServe errTCU
83-5TXTECHTCU×4Serve errMaggie Boyd
93-6TCUTCU×4BlockedAshlyn Bellamyblk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley
103-7TCUTCU×4Attack errShelby Ignash
113-8TCUTCU×4KillReese Robinsset Addy Horner
124-8TCUTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran
134-9TXTECHTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Addy Horner
144-10TCUTCU×3AceKinsley Young
154-11TCUTCU×3Attack errShelby Ignash
165-11TCUTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Emily Contreras
175-12TXTECHTCUKillReese Robinsset Addy Horner
185-13TCUTCUBlockedTatum Johnsonblk Becca Kelley, Mia Lee
196-13TCUTXTECHKillKatelyn Cochranset Elia Dinsmore
206-14TXTECHTCUKillMia Leeset Rosemary Archer
216-15TCUTCUBad setKatelyn Cochran
227-15TCUTXTECHKillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran
237-16TXTECHTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer
247-17TCUTCU×3BlockedElia Dinsmoreblk Jalyn Gibson, Morgan Holloman
257-18TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
268-18TCUTXTECH×5KillElia Dinsmoreset Ashlyn Bellamy
279-18TXTECHTXTECH×5Bad setRosemary Archer
2810-18TXTECHTXTECH×5AceTatum Johnsonaced Molly McCarthy
2911-18TXTECHTXTECH×5KillElia Dinsmoreset Jaylen Clark
3012-18TXTECHTXTECH×5KillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran
3112-19TXTECHTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
3213-19TCUTXTECHServe errLauren Murphy
3313-20TXTECHTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer
3413-21TCUTCU×3BlockedShelby Ignashblk Becca Kelley, Morgan Holloman
3513-22TCUTCU×3BlockedKayla Robertsonblk Becca Kelley, Morgan Holloman
3614-22TCUTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Taylor Cook
3714-23TXTECHTCUKillMorgan Hollomanset Addy Horner
3815-23TCUTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Taylor Cook
3915-24TXTECHTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Addy Horner
4016-24TCUTXTECHServe errReese Robins
4117-24TXTECHTXTECHKillGretchen Sigmanset Katelyn Cochran
4217-25TXTECHTCUServe errKatelyn Cochran

Score shown after each rally, Texas Tech first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).