FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Butler def. Seton Hall 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Butler 89.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Butler beat visiting Seton Hall 3-0 (25-21, 25-21, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Butler's Karen Dutro led with 11 kills, and Jersey Loyer added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
SETON2121220
BUTLER2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Butler swept Seton Hall without a set decided by more than four.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.9 points. Seton Hall peaked at 12% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Butler at 90%.

Seton HallButler
  • Break %+8.5 pts
    39.447.9

    On serve: 35/73 against 26/66 (Seton Hall sideout 52.1%).

  • Longest run+3
    36

    Butler scored 6 straight in the second set to open the set 6–0. Final score of the set: 25–21.

Butler above 50Seton Hall belowMax swing 1.9%

Seton HallButler

Hitting
Seton Hall .135·Butler .165
Aces
Seton Hall 5·Butler 8
Serve err
Seton Hall 10·Butler 11
Blocks
Seton Hall 8·Butler 52 BS · 12 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Seton Hall 48·Butler 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Butler above 50 · Seton Hall below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.9% SETONrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Seton Hall — set 2, SETON 20-20 BUTLER. Kill by Madison Loiselle (set by Emilee Fuller). BUTLER win probability 95% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SETON 10.6%89.4% BUTLER

Seton Hall wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
5.9%

Butler wins

3-0
43.4%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.4%
SETON break %
36.9% vs this opp
BUTLER break %
46.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Madison Loiselle (set by Emilee Fuller)

    Set 2 · SETON 20-20 BUTLER · SETON 5% → 7%

  2. 02
    Loukia PapadakosAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Loukia Papadakos

    Set 2 · SETON 20-22 BUTLER · BUTLER 95% → 96%

  3. 03
    Loukia PapadakosAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Loukia Papadakos

    Set 2 · SETON 20-21 BUTLER · BUTLER 93% → 95%

  4. 04

    Kill by Alondra Villanueva (set by Madison Loiselle)

    Set 2 · SETON 19-20 BUTLER · SETON 4% → 5%

  5. 05

    Kill by Loukia Papadakos (set by Gwen Adler)

    Set 1 · SETON 1-0 BUTLER · SETON 10% → 12%

  6. 06
    Raegan DurbinKill+1.2%

    Kill by Raegan Durbin (set by Sarah Kempf)

    Set 1 · SETON 20-23 BUTLER · BUTLER 92% → 94%

  7. 07

    Ace by Alondra Villanueva on Jersey Loyer

    Set 1 · SETON 19-21 BUTLER · SETON 7% → 8%

  8. 08
    Alondra VillanuevaAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Alondra Villanueva

    Set 2 · SETON 20-23 BUTLER · BUTLER 96% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36314.21410000132.58.5
35521.00001290010.56.5
3226.000000540002
3002.0001601200000
2215.20012240010.54.5
23411-.09100000010.53.5
37019.368100000218
3002.0001111210001
3000–5121210001
24115.200102211226
1001.000000200211
1000–100010000
Team totals291696.13527510488212864
Butlerhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311217.52900000031.512.5
310019.5260026002111
36427.0740416000010
3148-.37500000031.52.5
3001.0001611500001
2000–001200000
35321.09500333010.55.5
3000–153240010.53.5
3011-1.0000012010000
24211.182000100004
2000–000100000
11310-.200000000001
Team totals3819115.16531811485010575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Seton Hall vs Butler

Season series · Butler leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 SETON · BUTLER 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 2 SETONBUTLER 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 SETONBUTLER 6

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 SETONBUTLER 5

Bars above the line = Butler leads, below = Seton Hall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Seton Hall

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
38%5/13
2
64%7/11
30%3/10
3
46%6/13
22%2/9
4
60%6/10
50%6/12
5
55%6/11
40%4/10
6
55%6/11
50%6/12
All
52%38/73
39%26/66

Butler

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
60%9/15
2
78%7/9
30%3/10
3
70%7/10
46%6/13
4
60%6/10
50%6/12
5
43%6/14
33%3/9
6
75%6/8
57%8/14
All
61%40/66
48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#SETON-BUTLERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SETONSETONKillLoukia Papadakosset Gwen Adler+1.3
21-1SETONBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Sarah Kempf+0.8
32-1BUTLERSETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+0.9
42-2SETONBUTLER×3BlockedSamantha Sheltonblk Zoe McDonald, Maria Nix+0.8
52-3BUTLERBUTLER×3Attack errKennedy Horn+1.1
62-4BUTLERBUTLER×3AceKaylee Finneganaced Samantha Shelton+1.0
73-4BUTLERSETONKillKennedy Hornset Gwen Adler+0.7
83-5SETONBUTLER×4Serve errEmilee Fuller+0.7
93-6BUTLERBUTLER×4Bad setEmilee Fuller+0.9
103-7BUTLERBUTLER×4KillZoe McDonald+0.7
113-8BUTLERBUTLER×4Bad setEmilee Fuller+0.6
124-8BUTLERSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+0.4
135-8SETONSETONAttack errTaylor Wathen+0.7
145-9SETONBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Kaylee Finnegan+0.5
155-10BUTLERBUTLERKillTaylor Wathenset Kaylee Finnegan+0.6
166-10BUTLERSETONServe errButler+0.4
177-10SETONSETONBlockedTaylor Wathenblk Loukia Papadakos, Madison Loiselle+0.7
187-11SETONBUTLERServe errKennedy Horn+0.6
198-11BUTLERSETONAttack errTaylor Wathen+0.5
208-12SETONBUTLERBlockedAlondra Villanuevablk Maria Nix, Karen Dutro+0.6
218-13BUTLERBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Sarah Kempf+0.6
229-13BUTLERSETONServe errButler+0.4
2310-13SETONSETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+0.8
2410-14SETONBUTLERServe errAlondra Villanueva+0.6
2511-14BUTLERSETONServe errButler+0.6
2611-15SETONBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Sarah Kempf+0.6
2711-16BUTLERBUTLERAceKaylee Finneganaced Samantha Shelton+0.7
2812-16BUTLERSETONKillSamantha Sheltonset Gwen Adler+0.4
2913-16SETONSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+0.8
3013-17SETONBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Kaylee Finnegan+0.7
3114-17BUTLERSETONAttack errJersey Loyer+0.6
3214-18SETONBUTLERKillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+0.7
3315-18BUTLERSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+0.6
3416-18SETONSETONAttack errKaren Dutro+1.2
3516-19SETONBUTLERKillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+1.0
3616-20BUTLERBUTLERBlockedAlondra Villanuevablk Karen Dutro, Kaylee Finnegan+1.0
3717-20BUTLERSETONServe errButler+0.5
3817-21SETONBUTLERServe errGwen Adler+0.7
3918-21BUTLERSETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Gwen Adler+0.5
4019-21SETONSETONAceAlondra Villanuevaaced Jersey Loyer+1.2
4119-22SETONBUTLERAttack errLoukia Papadakos+1.2
4220-22BUTLERSETONKillDaria Safianset Loukia Papadakos+0.8
4320-23SETONBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Sarah Kempf+1.2
4420-24BUTLERBUTLERAttack errSamantha Shelton+0.8
4521-24BUTLERSETONKillSamantha Sheltonset Gwen Adler+0.2
4621-25SETONBUTLERKillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+0.4
Set 2
10-1BUTLERBUTLER×6KillKaren Dutroset Sarah Kempf+0.7
20-2BUTLERBUTLER×6AceRaegan Durbinaced Rylee Wooldridge+0.6
30-3BUTLERBUTLER×6Attack errDaria Safian+0.6
40-4BUTLERBUTLER×6AceRaegan Durbinaced Samantha Shelton+0.5
50-5BUTLERBUTLER×6BlockedAlondra Villanuevablk Maria Nix, Karen Dutro+0.4
60-6BUTLERBUTLER×6Attack errDaria Safian+0.3
71-6BUTLERSETONServe errButler+0.2
81-7SETONBUTLERServe errAlondra Villanueva+0.2
92-7BUTLERSETONKillLoukia Papadakosset Gwen Adler+0.2
102-8SETONBUTLERServe errRylee Wooldridge+0.2
113-8BUTLERSETONServe errButler+0.2
123-9SETONBUTLERKillEllery Reesset Samantha Shelton+0.2
134-9BUTLERSETONServe errButler+0.2
144-10SETONBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Kaylee Finnegan+0.2
155-10BUTLERSETON×3Serve errButler+0.2
166-10SETONSETON×3AceKennedy Horn+0.4
177-10SETONSETON×3AceKennedy Hornaced Elise Ward+0.5
187-11SETONBUTLERServe errKennedy Horn+0.4
198-11BUTLERSETONAttack errRaegan Durbin+0.4
208-12SETONBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Sarah Kempf+0.4
218-13BUTLERBUTLERKillMaria Nixset Sarah Kempf+0.4
229-13BUTLERSETON×3Attack errElise Ward+0.3
2310-13SETONSETON×3Attack errMaria Nix+0.5
2411-13SETONSETON×3BlockedMaria Nixblk Hanna Labanowska+0.7
2511-14SETONBUTLERKillElise Wardset Sarah Kempf+0.5
2612-14BUTLERSETONKillHanna Labanowskaset Gwen Adler+0.5
2713-14SETONSETONBlockedElise Wardblk Kennedy Horn, Daria Safian+1.0
2813-15SETONBUTLER×3BlockedDaria Safianblk Elise Ward, Zoe McDonald+0.7
2913-16BUTLERBUTLER×3AceKaylee Finneganaced Hanna Labanowska+0.9
3013-17BUTLERBUTLER×3Attack errDaria Safian+0.7
3114-17BUTLERSETON×3Serve errButler+0.4
3215-17SETONSETON×3KillKennedy Horn+0.8
3316-17SETONSETON×3KillMadison Loiselleset Rylee Wooldridge+1.1
3416-18SETONBUTLERServe errEmilee Fuller+0.9
3516-19BUTLERBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Kaylee Finnegan+1.0
3617-19BUTLERSETONServe errButler+0.6
3717-20SETONBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Kaylee Finnegan+0.7
3818-20BUTLERSETON×3KillAlondra Villanuevaset Kennedy Horn+0.6
3919-20SETONSETON×3KillAlondra Villanuevaset Madison Loiselle+1.3
4020-20SETONSETON×3KillMadison Loiselleset Emilee Fuller+1.9
4120-21SETONBUTLER×4Attack errLoukia Papadakos+1.4
4220-22BUTLERBUTLER×4Attack errLoukia Papadakos+1.7
4320-23BUTLERBUTLER×4Attack errAlondra Villanueva+1.2
4420-24BUTLERBUTLER×4KillKaren Dutro+0.6
4521-24BUTLERSETONServe errButler+0.1
4621-25SETONBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Sarah Kempf+0.3
Set 3
10-1SETONBUTLER×3KillZoe McDonaldset Sarah Kempf+0.2
20-2BUTLERBUTLER×3KillElise Wardset Kaylee Finnegan+0.3
30-3BUTLERBUTLER×3KillZoe McDonald+0.3
41-3BUTLERSETONKillHanna Labanowskaset Kennedy Cummins+0.2
51-4SETONBUTLERServe errHanna Labanowska+0.2
62-4BUTLERSETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Gwen Adler+0.2
72-5SETONBUTLER×3KillEllery Reesset Kaylee Finnegan+0.2
82-6BUTLERBUTLER×3KillEllery Rees+0.2
92-7BUTLERBUTLER×3KillEllery Reesset Kaylee Finnegan+0.2
103-7BUTLERSETONBlockedRaegan Durbinblk Madison Loiselle, Loukia Papadakos+0.1
114-7SETONSETONAttack errEllery Rees+0.2
124-8SETONBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Kaylee Finnegan+0.2
134-9BUTLERBUTLERAceSarah Kempfaced Samantha Shelton+0.2
145-9BUTLERSETONKillLoukia Papadakosset Gwen Adler+0.1
156-9SETONSETONBlockedRaegan Durbinblk Loukia Papadakos+0.2
166-10SETONBUTLER×5KillKaren Dutroset Sarah Kempf+0.2
176-11BUTLERBUTLER×5KillKaren Dutro+0.2
186-12BUTLERBUTLER×5KillKaren Dutro+0.1
196-13BUTLERBUTLER×5AceRaegan Durbinaced Kennedy Cummins+0.1
206-14BUTLERBUTLER×5AceRaegan Durbinaced Emilee Fuller+0.1
217-14BUTLERSETON×3KillLoukia Papadakosset Gwen Adler·
228-14SETONSETON×3Attack errMaria Nix+0.1
239-14SETONSETON×3AceRylee Wooldridgeaced Elise Ward+0.1
249-15SETONBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Sarah Kempf+0.1
2510-15BUTLERSETON×3Attack errElise Ward+0.1
2611-15SETONSETON×3KillHanna Labanowskaset Gwen Adler+0.2
2712-15SETONSETON×3BlockedMaria Nixblk Mia Clyburn, Hanna Labanowska+0.3
2812-16SETONBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Sarah Kempf+0.2
2913-16BUTLERSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler+0.2
3014-16SETONSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Ellery Rees+0.4
3114-17SETONBUTLERServe errHanna Labanowska+0.3
3215-17BUTLERSETONBlockedEllery Reesblk Alondra Villanueva, Mia Clyburn+0.3
3315-18SETONBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Kaylee Finnegan+0.3
3416-18BUTLERSETON×3KillAlondra Villanuevaset Hanna Labanowska+0.3
3517-18SETONSETON×3AceEmilee Fulleraced Elise Ward+0.6
3618-18SETONSETON×3KillLoukia Papadakosset Gwen Adler+0.8
3718-19SETONBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Kaylee Finnegan+0.6
3818-20BUTLERBUTLERAttack errAlondra Villanueva+0.7
3919-20BUTLERSETONAttack errRaegan Durbin+0.5
4020-20SETONSETONBlockedKaren Dutroblk Loukia Papadakos, Hanna Labanowska+0.9
4120-21SETONBUTLERKillRaegan Durbinset Sarah Kempf+0.7
4221-21BUTLERSETONKillLoukia Papadakosset Gwen Adler+0.7
4321-22SETONBUTLERKillKaren Dutroset Sarah Kempf+0.8
4421-23BUTLERBUTLERBad setGwen Adler+1.0
4522-23BUTLERSETONKillHanna Labanowskaset Emilee Fuller+0.5
4622-24SETONBUTLERAttack errHanna Labanowska+0.8
4722-25BUTLERBUTLERKillZoe McDonaldset Sarah Kempf+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Seton Hall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).