Final · 4 setsSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Providence def. Seton Hall 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Providence 77.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Providence won at Seton Hall 3-1 (23-25, 25-14, 25-17, 25-20) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Tori Otter led Providence with 10 kills; Seton Hall's Daria Safian had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set1234Sets
PROV232525253
SETON251417201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Providence broke it open with a 9–0 run in the second set.

Win probability never moved more than 7.3 points on one rally; Seton Hall topped out at 42% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Providence 78% before first serve.

ProvidenceSeton Hall
  • Break %+14.4 pts
    49.535.1

    Points won on own serve: 48 of 97 vs 27 of 77. Seton Hall sided out 50.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.171
    .239.068

    47 K / 14 E against 44 K / 34 E.

  • Longest run+6
    93

    Providence opened the set in the second set with 9 straight points for a 9–0 lead. Final score of the set: 25–14.

Seton Hall above 50Providence belowMax swing 7.3%

ProvidenceSeton Hall

Aces
Providence 7·Seton Hall 3
Serve err
Providence 13·Seton Hall 8
Blocks
Providence 17·Seton Hall 56 BS · 22 BA vs 4 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Providence 63·Seton Hall 68

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Seton Hall above 50 · Providence below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.3% SETONrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.3% to Seton Hall — set 1, PROV 23-25 SETON. Kill by Madison Loiselle (set by Gwen Adler). SETON win probability 35% → 42%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PROV 79.6%20.4% SETON

Providence wins

3-0
31.1%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.4%

Seton Hall wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.3%
PROV break %
45.8% vs this opp
SETON break %
39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Madison Loiselle (set by Gwen Adler)

    Set 1 · PROV 23-25 SETON · SETON 35% → 42%

  2. 02

    Tori Otter stuffed by Alondra Villanueva

    Set 1 · PROV 22-24 SETON · SETON 31% → 38%

  3. 03

    Kill by Madison Loiselle (set by Gwen Adler)

    Set 1 · PROV 22-23 SETON · SETON 24% → 31%

  4. 04

    Kill by Madison Loiselle (set by Gwen Adler)

    Set 1 · PROV 21-21 SETON · SETON 20% → 24%

  5. 05

    Alondra Villanueva stuffed by Aubrey Easterwood

    Set 1 · PROV 20-19 SETON · PROV 75% → 79%

  6. 06
    Lyric BerryAttack error+4.0%

    Attack error by Lyric Berry

    Set 1 · PROV 17-19 SETON · SETON 27% → 31%

  7. 07
    Macy TaylorKill+3.9%

    Kill by Macy Taylor (set by Sarah Musial)

    Set 1 · PROV 19-19 SETON · PROV 71% → 75%

  8. 08
    ProvidenceService error+3.8%

    Providence service error

    Set 1 · PROV 22-22 SETON · SETON 20% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48217.3530122044615
410227.29610030052.512.5
48527.1111138312211
46331.0972231600219
4416.50000000153.57.5
4306.50022231000005
4103.3331202300001
4000–5101900001
31111.00000010031.52.5
2609.66700010010.56.5
1001.000000000000
Team totals4714138.239437136336221798
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410635.11400020111.511.5
481139-.0771011011019
44413.00000011111.55.5
4113.00028011400001
35415.067002201016
1000–000100000
414736.1940014000014
41011.000812900002
4000–2211420002
4000–1001030000
1103.333000000001
1012-.500000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals4434147.068403868742576

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Providence vs Seton Hall

Season series · Providence leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 PROV · SETON 3

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 PROVSETON 3

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 9 PROVSETON 3

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 PROVSETON 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 3 PROVSETON 2

Bars above the line = Seton Hall leads, below = Providence leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Providence

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
55%11/20
2
90%9/10
60%15/25
3
89%8/9
56%10/18
4
62%8/13
0%0/8
5
58%7/12
36%4/11
6
54%7/13
53%8/15
All
65%50/77
49%48/97

Seton Hall

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%11/31
47%8/17
2
45%9/20
35%6/17
3
80%8/10
11%1/9
4
78%7/9
27%3/11
5
70%7/10
30%3/10
6
41%7/17
46%6/13
All
51%49/97
35%27/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#PROV-SETONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PROVPROVAceProvidenceaced Loukia Papadakos+1.8
22-0PROVPROVBlockedLoukia Papadakosblk Aubrey Easterwood+1.6
32-1PROVSETON×3Serve errProvidence+1.2
42-2SETONSETON×3AceRylee Wooldridgeaced Sophia Adkins+1.9
52-3SETONSETON×3AceRylee Wooldridgeaced Sophia Adkins+2.0
63-3SETONPROVKillMacy Taylorset Ava Dyer+1.4
73-4PROVSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler+1.6
84-4SETONPROVServe errSeton Hall+1.5
94-5PROVSETONKillKennedy Hornset Gwen Adler+1.6
105-5SETONPROVBlockedAlondra Villanuevablk Lyric Berry+1.5
115-6PROVSETONKillDaria Safianset Emilee Fuller+1.7
126-6SETONPROVServe errSeton Hall+1.6
136-7PROVSETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+1.7
147-7SETONPROVServe errSeton Hall+1.6
158-7PROVPROVKillLyla Buserset Sarah Musial+2.1
168-8PROVSETON×3KillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler+1.7
178-9SETONSETON×3BlockedMacy Taylorblk Loukia Papadakos, Madison Loiselle+2.4
188-10SETONSETON×3BlockedAubrey Easterwoodblk Loukia Papadakos+2.6
199-10SETONPROV×3Attack errMadison Loiselle+1.8
2010-10PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.4
2111-10PROVPROV×3Attack errMadison Loiselle+2.4
2211-11PROVSETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Gwen Adler+1.8
2311-12SETONSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler+2.7
2412-12SETONPROVAttack errKennedy Horn+1.9
2513-12PROVPROVBlockedKennedy Hornblk Aubrey Easterwood+2.6
2613-13PROVSETONServe errProvidence+2.0
2714-13SETONPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.0
2814-14PROVSETONAttack errSophia Adkins+2.1
2915-14SETONPROVBlockedKennedy Hornblk Sophia Adkins+2.1
3015-15PROVSETON×3KillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+2.2
3115-16SETONSETON×3KillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+3.3
3215-17SETONSETON×3Attack errSophia Adkins+3.5
3316-17SETONPROVKillSarah Musialset Ava Dyer+2.3
3417-17PROVPROVBlockedDaria Safianblk Lyric Berry, Lyla Buser+3.4
3517-18PROVSETONServe errProvidence+2.8
3617-19SETONSETONAttack errLyric Berry+4.0
3718-19SETONPROV×4KillMacy Taylorset Sarah Musial+2.5
3819-19PROVPROV×4KillMacy Taylorset Sarah Musial+3.9
3920-19PROVPROV×4BlockedAlondra Villanuevablk Aubrey Easterwood+4.0
4021-19PROVPROV×4Attack errLoukia Papadakos+3.6
4121-20PROVSETONKillDaria Safianset Rylee Wooldridge+2.3
4221-21SETONSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler+4.4
4322-21SETONPROVAttack errAlondra Villanueva+3.7
4422-22PROVSETON×3Serve errProvidence+3.8
4522-23SETONSETON×3KillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler+6.7
4622-24SETONSETON×3BlockedTori Otterblk Alondra Villanueva+7.0
4723-24SETONPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.9
4823-25PROVSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler+7.3
Set 2
11-0SETONPROV×9KillMiller McDonaldset Sophia Adkins+1.9
22-0PROVPROV×9BlockedMadison Loiselleblk Sophia Adkins, Tori Otter+2.4
33-0PROVPROV×9BlockedAlondra Villanuevablk Tori Otter, Aubrey Easterwood+2.2
44-0PROVPROV×9BlockedLoukia Papadakosblk Aubrey Easterwood+1.9
55-0PROVPROV×9AceProvidenceaced Hanna Labanowska+1.6
66-0PROVPROV×9Attack errAlondra Villanueva+1.3
77-0PROVPROV×9KillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer+1.0
88-0PROVPROV×9KillMacy Taylorset Miller McDonald+0.8
99-0PROVPROV×9KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.6
109-1PROVSETONServe errProvidence+0.3
1110-1SETONPROV×4KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+0.4
1211-1PROVPROV×4AceProvidenceaced Hanna Labanowska+0.4
1312-1PROVPROV×4KillMiller McDonaldset Macy Taylor+0.2
1413-1PROVPROV×4BlockedMadison Loiselleblk Sophia Adkins, Lyric Berry+0.1
1513-2PROVSETONAttack errSophia Adkins+0.1
1614-2SETONPROVServe errEmilee Fuller+0.1
1714-3PROVSETON×3KillAlondra Villanuevaset Gwen Adler+0.1
1814-4SETONSETON×3BlockedSophia Adkinsblk Kennedy Horn+0.1
1914-5SETONSETON×3KillDaria Safianset Emilee Fuller+0.2
2015-5SETONPROVBlockedDaria Safianblk Lyric Berry, Lyla Buser+0.2
2116-5PROVPROVAceProvidenceaced Alondra Villanueva+0.2
2216-6PROVSETONKillGwen Adlerset Emilee Fuller+0.1
2316-7SETONSETONKillLoukia Papadakos+0.2
2417-7SETONPROVKillMacy Taylorset Sarah Musial+0.2
2517-8PROVSETONAttack errLyla Buser+0.1
2617-9SETONSETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+0.2
2718-9SETONPROVAttack errAlondra Villanueva+0.2
2818-10PROVSETON×3KillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+0.1
2918-11SETONSETON×3KillLoukia Papadakos+0.3
3018-12SETONSETON×3Attack errTori Otter+0.5
3119-12SETONPROV×4KillMiller McDonaldset Ava Dyer+0.6
3220-12PROVPROV×4Attack errAlondra Villanueva+0.4
3321-12PROVPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+0.2
3422-12PROVPROV×4AceProvidenceaced Hanna Labanowska+0.1
3522-13PROVSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler·
3622-14SETONSETONKillKennedy Horn·
3723-14SETONPROV×3Attack errAlondra Villanueva+0.1
3824-14PROVPROV×3Attack errAlondra Villanueva·
3925-14PROVPROV×3KillLyric Berry·
Set 3
11-0PROVPROV×3Attack errAlondra Villanueva+2.6
22-0PROVPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+2.4
33-0PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.2
43-1PROVSETONKillKennedy Hornset Gwen Adler+1.6
54-1SETONPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+1.6
64-2PROVSETONKillKennedy Hornset Gwen Adler+1.6
75-2SETONPROVServe errKennedy Horn+1.7
86-2PROVPROVBad setRylee Wooldridge+2.0
96-3PROVSETONBad setTori Otter+1.4
107-3SETONPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer+1.5
117-4PROVSETONKillDaria Safianset Alondra Villanueva+1.4
128-4SETONPROVKillLyric Berryset Sarah Musial+1.5
139-4PROVPROVBlockedMadison Loiselleblk Macy Taylor, Lyla Buser+1.7
149-5PROVSETON×3Serve errProvidence+1.2
159-6SETONSETON×3Attack errMacy Taylor+2.0
169-7SETONSETON×3Bad setSarah Musial+2.4
1710-7SETONPROV×4Serve errRylee Wooldridge+1.9
1811-7PROVPROV×4AceProvidenceaced Rylee Wooldridge+2.2
1912-7PROVPROV×4KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.8
2013-7PROVPROV×4Attack errKennedy Horn+1.4
2113-8PROVSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler+0.8
2214-8SETONPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.0
2314-9PROVSETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Gwen Adler+0.8
2415-9SETONPROVAttack errGwen Adler+1.0
2515-10PROVSETONKillKennedy Hornset Gwen Adler+0.8
2616-10SETONPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+1.0
2717-10PROVPROVAttack errDaria Safian+0.9
2817-11PROVSETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+0.5
2918-11SETONPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Tori Otter+0.6
3018-12PROVSETONServe errProvidence+0.4
3119-12SETONPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.6
3219-13PROVSETONServe errProvidence+0.4
3319-14SETONSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler+0.8
3420-14SETONPROVAttack errAlondra Villanueva+0.8
3520-15PROVSETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Gwen Adler+0.5
3620-16SETONSETONAceEmilee Fulleraced Sophia Adkins+1.2
3721-16SETONPROVBad setEmilee Fuller+1.3
3822-16PROVPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+0.9
3922-17PROVSETONServe errProvidence+0.3
4023-17SETONPROV×3KillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+0.5
4124-17PROVPROV×3BlockedDaria Safianblk Aubrey Easterwood, Tori Otter+0.2
4225-17PROVPROV×3BlockedDaria Safianblk Aubrey Easterwood, Tori Otter·
Set 4
11-0SETONPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.6
21-1PROVSETONServe errProvidence+1.7
32-1SETONPROVServe errAlondra Villanueva+1.6
43-1PROVPROVKillLyric Berry+2.0
53-2PROVSETONServe errProvidence+1.5
64-2SETONPROVKillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald+1.5
74-3PROVSETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+1.6
85-3SETONPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Macy Taylor+1.6
96-3PROVPROVAttack errMia Clyburn+1.9
106-4PROVSETONKillDaria Safianset Emilee Fuller+1.4
117-4SETONPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.4
127-5PROVSETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Hanna Labanowska+1.4
137-6SETONSETONAttack errMacy Taylor+2.2
148-6SETONPROV×3KillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+1.7
159-6PROVPROV×3AceProvidenceaced Rylee Wooldridge+2.1
1610-6PROVPROV×3KillAubrey Easterwood+1.8
1710-7PROVSETONKillLoukia Papadakosset Emilee Fuller+1.2
1810-8SETONSETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Rylee Wooldridge+2.0
1911-8SETONPROVBlockedMadison Loiselleblk Aubrey Easterwood, Macy Taylor+1.6
2011-9PROVSETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Gwen Adler+1.6
2112-9SETONPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald+1.7
2213-9PROVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.9
2313-10PROVSETONKillLoukia Papadakosset Gwen Adler+1.3
2414-10SETONPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.4
2514-11PROVSETONKillDaria Safianset Gwen Adler+1.3
2614-12SETONSETONKillEmilee Fullerset Sarah Musial+2.2
2715-12SETONPROVBlockedDaria Safianblk Lyric Berry, Shea Dupuis+1.8
2815-13PROVSETONKillDaria Safianset Emilee Fuller+1.7
2916-13SETONPROVServe errDaria Safian+1.9
3017-13PROVPROVKillMacy Taylor+2.1
3117-14PROVSETONKillSamantha Sheltonset Emilee Fuller+1.3
3218-14SETONPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.6
3319-14PROVPROVAttack errSophia Adkins+1.5
3419-15PROVSETONKillAlondra Villanuevaset Emilee Fuller+0.8
3519-16SETONSETONAttack errAubrey Easterwood+1.6
3620-16SETONPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.6
3721-16PROVPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.4
3821-17PROVSETONKillMadison Loiselleset Gwen Adler+0.6
3922-17SETONPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.0
4023-17PROVPROVBlockedDaria Safianblk Lyric Berry, Tori Otter+0.6
4123-18PROVSETONServe errProvidence+0.2
4223-19SETONSETONBlockedSophia Adkinsblk Madison Loiselle+0.5
4324-19SETONPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+0.7
4424-20PROVSETONServe errProvidence+0.2
4525-20SETONPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Providence first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).