FinalThu, Sep 3, 2026

AwayBIG-WEST

0:3

HomeSUMMIT-LEAGUE

South Dakota def. Utah Valley 3–0

(25-21, 25-20, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UT VAL	21	20	16	0
SO DAK	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SO DAK above 50 · UT VAL below

Biggest swing: 1.2% to Utah Valley — set 1, UT VAL 19-19 SO DAK. Attack error by Gabi Zachariasen. SO DAK win probability 96% → 95%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UT VAL 3.5%96.5% SO DAK

Utah Valley wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.2%

South Dakota wins

3-0

60.3%

3-1

28.1%

3-2

8.1%

UT VAL break %: 35.4% vs this opp
SO DAK break %: 49.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Gabi ZachariasenAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Gabi Zachariasen
Set 1 · UT VAL 19-19 SO DAK · UT VAL 4% → 5%
02
SO DAK serverAce+1.2%
South Dakota ace on Team
Set 1 · UT VAL 20-22 SO DAK · SO DAK 96% → 97%
03
Miley ThunstromKill+1.0%
Kill by Miley Thunstrom (set by Evalyn Medaris)
Set 1 · UT VAL 20-20 SO DAK · UT VAL 4% → 5%
04
Avery Van HookKill+1.0%
Kill by Avery Van Hook (set by Sierra Pokharel)
Set 1 · UT VAL 20-21 SO DAK · SO DAK 95% → 96%
05
Gabi ZachariasenKill+0.9%
Kill by Gabi Zachariasen (set by Avery Van Hook)
Set 1 · UT VAL 19-20 SO DAK · SO DAK 95% → 96%
06
Morgan BodeAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Morgan Bode
Set 1 · UT VAL 17-18 SO DAK · UT VAL 3% → 4%
07
Amanda LoschenKill+0.8%
Kill by Amanda Loschen (set by Avery Van Hook)
Set 1 · UT VAL 20-23 SO DAK · SO DAK 97% → 98%
08
Amanda LoschenAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Amanda Loschen
Set 1 · UT VAL 3-0 SO DAK · UT VAL 5% → 5%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Utah Valleyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Miley ThunstromOH	3	7	3	32	.125	2	0	5	2	0	2	1	8
17Olivia GloecknerOH	3	7	4	21	.143	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
11Evalyn MedarisS	3	7	1	11	.545	15	3	9	0	0	2	1	8
18Brielle RueckertMB	3	1	1	8	.000	0	2	0	0	0	4	2	3
5Chloe HansenOH	2	2	4	13	-.154	3	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
2Alyvia WatkinsMB	2	1	2	9	-.111	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
8Lani ToutaiL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	3	1	21	2	0	0	0	1
12Kenna McClureL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
16Myka ChristensenS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
1Maranda WoolfMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
19Bree CarsonOH	1	1	2	10	-.100	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		27	18	106	.085	24	7	44	7	1	12	7	57

South Dakotahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Gabi ZachariasenOH	3	9	6	30	.100	1	3	1	8	0	3	1.5	13.5
4Lauren MedeckOH	3	13	4	28	.321	0	0	1	9	0	1	0.5	13.5
8Morgan BodeMB	3	7	3	16	.250	2	1	1	1	0	3	1.5	9.5
14Amanda LoschenMB	3	5	3	13	.154	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
2Avery Van HookS	3	4	0	11	.364	33	2	1	12	0	1	0.5	6.5
5Audrey NelsonMB	3	4	2	17	.118	0	0	0	1	1	1	1.5	5.5
13Cora HokenstadDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	3	9	0	0	0	1
11Sierra PokharelDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	12	0	0	0	0
3Ava BallOH	1	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	20	117	.188	40	7	8	52	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UT VAL · SO DAK 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 UT VALSO DAK 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 UT VALSO DAK 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 UT VALSO DAK 5

Bars above the line = South Dakota leads, below = Utah Valley leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Utah Valley

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	25%2/8
2	43%6/14	50%7/14
3	60%6/10	25%2/8
4	40%6/15	25%2/8
5	33%5/15	45%5/11
6	71%5/7	44%4/9
All	47%35/74	38%22/58

South Dakota

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	36%4/11
2	67%6/9	57%8/14
3	75%6/8	54%7/13
4	55%6/11	45%5/11
5	63%5/8	72%13/18
6	63%5/8	29%2/7
All	62%36/58	53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

132 rallies

Rally log

#	UT VAL-SO DAK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SO DAK	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Gabi Zachariasen	blk Brielle Rueckert, Evalyn Medaris	+0.4
2	2-0	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Amanda Loschen	blk Miley Thunstrom, Brielle Rueckert	+0.6
3	3-0	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Amanda Loschen		+0.7
4	3-1	UT VAL	SO DAK	Serve err	UT VAL server		+0.4
5	4-1	SO DAK	UT VAL	Attack err	Lauren Medeck		+0.6
6	4-2	UT VAL	SO DAK×4	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.5
7	4-3	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+0.6
8	4-4	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Olivia Gloeckner		+0.6
9	4-5	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Chloe Hansen		+0.5
10	5-5	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.4
11	5-6	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Audrey Nelson	set Avery Van Hook	+0.4
12	6-6	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.4
13	6-7	UT VAL	SO DAK×5	Attack err	Evalyn Medaris		+0.4
14	6-8	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Attack err	Chloe Hansen		+0.5
15	6-9	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+0.4
16	6-10	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Morgan Bode	+0.3
17	6-11	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Attack err	Chloe Hansen		+0.2
18	7-11	SO DAK	UT VAL	Attack err	Lauren Medeck		+0.1
19	7-12	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.2
20	7-13	SO DAK	SO DAK	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.2
21	8-13	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Chloe Hansen	+0.1
22	9-13	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.2
23	9-14	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.2
24	10-14	SO DAK	UT VAL×3	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Miley Thunstrom	+0.2
25	11-14	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Lani Toutai	+0.3
26	12-14	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Gabi Zachariasen	blk Brielle Rueckert, Olivia Gloeckner	+0.4
27	12-15	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.3
28	13-15	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Chloe Hansen	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.4
29	14-15	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Audrey Nelson	+0.7
30	14-16	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.5
31	14-17	SO DAK	SO DAK	Kill	Audrey Nelson	set Avery Van Hook	+0.6
32	15-17	SO DAK	UT VAL	Serve err	SO DAK server		+0.4
33	15-18	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.4
34	16-18	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Miley Thunstrom	+0.4
35	17-18	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Morgan Bode		+0.8
36	17-19	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.6
37	18-19	SO DAK	UT VAL	Attack err	Gabi Zachariasen		+0.6
38	19-19	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Gabi Zachariasen		+1.2
39	19-20	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.9
40	20-20	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.0
41	20-21	UT VAL	SO DAK×3	Kill	Avery Van Hook	set Sierra Pokharel	+1.0
42	20-22	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Ace	SO DAK server	aced Team	+1.2
43	20-23	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.8
44	21-23	SO DAK	UT VAL	Bad set	Amanda Loschen		+0.3
45	21-24	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.5
46	21-25	SO DAK	SO DAK	Kill	Amanda Loschen		+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Gabi Zachariasen	blk Olivia Gloeckner, Brielle Rueckert	+0.3
2	1-1	UT VAL	SO DAK×3	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.2
3	1-2	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Bad set	Chloe Hansen		+0.3
4	1-3	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom	blk Audrey Nelson	+0.2
5	2-3	SO DAK	UT VAL	Serve err	SO DAK server		+0.2
6	3-3	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Amanda Loschen		+0.3
7	3-4	UT VAL	SO DAK	Attack err	Olivia Gloeckner	blk Gabi Zachariasen, Amanda Loschen	+0.2
8	4-4	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Lani Toutai	+0.2
9	5-4	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Miley Thunstrom	+0.4
10	5-5	UT VAL	SO DAK	Attack err	Chloe Hansen		+0.3
11	6-5	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.3
12	7-5	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Lauren Medeck	blk Alyvia Watkins, Evalyn Medaris	+0.5
13	7-6	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.3
14	7-7	SO DAK	SO DAK	Kill	Avery Van Hook	set Gabi Zachariasen	+0.4
15	8-7	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Chloe Hansen	+0.4
16	8-8	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.3
17	9-8	SO DAK	UT VAL	Serve err	SO DAK server		+0.4
18	9-9	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+0.3
19	10-9	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.4
20	10-10	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.3
21	10-11	SO DAK	SO DAK	Ace	SO DAK server	aced Lani Toutai	+0.4
22	11-11	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.3
23	12-11	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Lani Toutai		+0.6
24	12-12	UT VAL	SO DAK×4	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen		+0.4
25	12-13	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Ace	SO DAK server	aced Team	+0.5
26	12-14	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Audrey Nelson	set Avery Van Hook	+0.4
27	12-15	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Ace	SO DAK server	aced Miley Thunstrom	+0.3
28	13-15	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Chloe Hansen	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.2
29	13-16	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Audrey Nelson	set Avery Van Hook	+0.2
30	14-16	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Alyvia Watkins	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.2
31	14-17	UT VAL	SO DAK×4	Kill	Avery Van Hook	set Morgan Bode	+0.2
32	14-18	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+0.2
33	14-19	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+0.2
34	14-20	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Alyvia Watkins		+0.1
35	15-20	SO DAK	UT VAL	Serve err	SO DAK server		+0.0
36	16-20	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Morgan Bode		+0.1
37	16-21	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.1
38	16-22	SO DAK	SO DAK	Attack err	Alyvia Watkins	blk Gabi Zachariasen, Morgan Bode	+0.1
39	17-22	SO DAK	UT VAL×3	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Chloe Hansen	+0.0
40	18-22	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Bad set	Sierra Pokharel		+0.1
41	19-22	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Lani Toutai	+0.2
42	19-23	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+0.2
43	19-24	SO DAK	SO DAK	Ace	SO DAK server	aced Lani Toutai	+0.1
44	20-24	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.0
45	20-25	UT VAL	SO DAK	Serve err	UT VAL server		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	SO DAK	UT VAL	Attack err	Audrey Nelson		+0.1
2	2-0	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Audrey Nelson		+0.2
3	2-1	UT VAL	SO DAK	Serve err	UT VAL server		+0.1
4	2-2	SO DAK	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.1
5	3-2	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.1
6	3-3	UT VAL	SO DAK	Serve err	UT VAL server		+0.1
7	4-3	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Bree Carson	+0.1
8	5-3	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Morgan Bode	blk Maranda Woolf	+0.2
9	5-4	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.1
10	5-5	SO DAK	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.2
11	6-5	SO DAK	UT VAL	Serve err	SO DAK server		+0.1
12	6-6	UT VAL	SO DAK×5	Kill	Avery Van Hook	set Cora Hokenstad	+0.1
13	6-7	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Attack err	Olivia Gloeckner		+0.1
14	6-8	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Attack err	Bree Carson	blk Morgan Bode, Avery Van Hook	+0.1
15	6-9	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Attack err	Brielle Rueckert		+0.1
16	6-10	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Attack err	Olivia Gloeckner	blk Morgan Bode, Gabi Zachariasen	+0.1
17	7-10	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Bree Carson	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.1
18	8-10	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Sierra Pokharel	+0.1
19	8-11	UT VAL	SO DAK	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom		+0.1
20	9-11	SO DAK	UT VAL	Serve err	SO DAK server		+0.1
21	9-12	UT VAL	SO DAK	Serve err	UT VAL server		+0.1
22	9-13	SO DAK	SO DAK	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom	blk Audrey Nelson, Amanda Loschen	+0.1
23	10-13	SO DAK	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.1
24	10-14	UT VAL	SO DAK×4	Serve err	UT VAL server		+0.1
25	10-15	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Sierra Pokharel	+0.1
26	10-16	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Ace	SO DAK server	aced Team	+0.0
27	10-17	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Maranda Woolf	blk Amanda Loschen, Lauren Medeck	+0.0
28	11-17	SO DAK	UT VAL	Serve err	SO DAK server		+0.0
29	11-18	UT VAL	SO DAK	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.0
30	12-18	SO DAK	UT VAL	Attack err	Lauren Medeck		+0.0
31	12-19	UT VAL	SO DAK×5	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.0
32	12-20	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Ace	SO DAK server	aced Miley Thunstrom	+0.0
33	12-21	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+0.0
34	12-22	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.0
35	12-23	SO DAK	SO DAK×5	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Cora Hokenstad	+0.0
36	13-23	SO DAK	UT VAL×4	Serve err	SO DAK server		+0.0
37	14-23	UT VAL	UT VAL×4	Attack err	Gabi Zachariasen		+0.0
38	15-23	UT VAL	UT VAL×4	Attack err	Ava Ball		+0.0
39	16-23	UT VAL	UT VAL×4	Attack err	Ava Ball		+0.0
40	16-24	UT VAL	SO DAK	Serve err	UT VAL server		+0.0
41	16-25	SO DAK	SO DAK	Attack err	Bree Carson		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Utah Valley first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.