FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

Marquette def. Illinois 3–0

Marquette beat visiting Illinois 3-0 (25-16, 25-22, 26-24) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Marquette's Carson Tyler led with 13 kills, and Emi Juric added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
ILL1622240
MARQ2525263

Win probability

Marquette above 50 · Illinois below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+8.9% MARQrally 138 · set 3

Biggest swing: 8.9% to Marquette — set 3, ILL 24-26 MARQ. Attack error by Alyssa Aguayo. MARQ win probability 91% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ILL 60.5%39.5% MARQ

Illinois wins

3-0
17.5%
3-1
23.1%
3-2
19.9%

Marquette wins

3-0
8.6%
3-1
14.4%
3-2
16.5%
ILL break %
43.0% vs this opp
MARQ break %
41.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alyssa AguayoAttack error+8.9%

    Attack error by Alyssa Aguayo

    Set 3 · ILL 24-26 MARQ · MARQ 91% → 100%

  2. 02
    Tani JuricKill+8.5%

    Kill by Tani Juric (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 3 · ILL 24-25 MARQ · MARQ 83% → 91%

  3. 03
    Tani JuricKill+8.1%

    Kill by Tani Juric (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 3 · ILL 24-24 MARQ · MARQ 75% → 83%

  4. 04
    Carson TylerKill+6.6%

    Kill by Carson Tyler (set by Allie Beers)

    Set 2 · ILL 20-22 MARQ · MARQ 67% → 74%

  5. 05
    IllinoisAce+5.8%

    Illinois ace on Allie Beers

    Set 2 · ILL 20-20 MARQ · ILL 32% → 38%

  6. 06
    MarquetteAce+5.4%

    Marquette ace on Talita Goncalves

    Set 2 · ILL 20-23 MARQ · MARQ 74% → 79%

  7. 07
    Tani JuricKill+5.2%

    Kill by Tani Juric (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 2 · ILL 17-19 MARQ · MARQ 65% → 70%

  8. 08
    Carson TylerKill+4.8%

    Kill by Carson Tyler (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 2 · ILL 20-21 MARQ · MARQ 62% → 67%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39529.13830290031.510.5
38427.14810211031.59.5
35012.41700010111.56.5
36320.150000200006
3115.000241080010.52.5
1012-.500000000211
3011-1.000015310001
3000–1101040001
3000–012000001
3000–000100000
2104.250000100423
1000–000000000
Team totals3015100.15029411366114862
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313337.27021411110115
38415.26700010031.59.5
38114.500100100219
3407.571020200217
32210.00030111000214
3000–103320000
37825-.04000030010.57.5
3000–122500002
3001.0002001310000
2000–000000000
Team totals4218109.22037610494110676

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Illinois vs Marquette

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ILL · MARQ 4

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 ILLMARQ 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 ILLMARQ 4

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 ILLMARQ 4

Bars above the line = Marquette leads, below = Illinois leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Illinois

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
20%2/10
2
53%8/15
47%7/15
3
70%7/10
50%8/16
4
50%6/12
22%2/9
5
50%6/12
0%0/6
6
60%6/10
25%2/8
All
55%41/74
33%21/64

Marquette

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
36%4/11
2
57%8/14
43%6/14
3
50%7/14
46%6/13
4
88%7/8
42%5/12
5
100%6/6
57%8/14
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
67%43/64
45%33/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#ILL-MARQSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ILLMARQKillTani Juricset Carson Tyler+1.8
20-2MARQMARQAttack errPaityn Chapman+2.5
31-2MARQILLServe errMarquette+1.7
42-2ILLILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Talita Goncalves+2.5
52-3ILLMARQ×3Serve errIllinois+1.9
62-4MARQMARQ×3KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.6
72-5MARQMARQ×3KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+2.6
83-5MARQILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.7
93-6ILLMARQAttack errAlyssa Aguayo+1.9
103-7MARQMARQServe errMarquette+2.5
114-7MARQILLBlockedEmma Parksblk Paityn Chapman, Lindsay Oldendorf+1.6
124-8ILLMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+1.9
134-9MARQMARQBlockedAlyssa Aguayoblk Keira Schmidt, Tani Juric+2.3
145-9MARQILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.4
155-10ILLMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.7
166-10MARQILLServe errMarquette+1.4
177-10ILLILLAttack errTani Juric+2.3
187-11ILLMARQServe errIllinois+2.0
197-12MARQMARQAttack errPaityn Chapman+2.4
208-12MARQILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.4
218-13ILLMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+1.8
228-14MARQMARQBlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Luanna Markus, Molly Welge+2.0
239-14MARQILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Alyssa Aguayo+1.1
249-15ILLMARQServe errIllinois+1.4
2510-15MARQILLServe errMarquette+1.0
2611-15ILLILLBlockedMolly Welgeblk Alyssa Aguayo, Lindsay Oldendorf+1.9
2711-16ILLMARQAttack errLindsay Oldendorf+1.8
2812-16MARQILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.3
2913-16ILLILLAttack errCarson Tyler+2.4
3013-17ILLMARQServe errIllinois+2.3
3114-17MARQILLAttack errEmma Parks+1.7
3214-18ILLMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+2.3
3314-19MARQMARQKillKeira Schmidt+2.4
3415-19MARQILLServe errMarquette+1.2
3515-20ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.7
3615-21MARQMARQAceMarquetteaced Alyssa Aguayo+1.5
3716-21MARQILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.6
3816-22ILLMARQ×4KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.0
3916-23MARQMARQ×4KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.6
4016-24MARQMARQ×4KillCarson Tylerset Avery Helms+0.2
4116-25MARQMARQ×4AceMarquetteaced Talita Goncalves·
Set 2
11-0MARQILL×4KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.9
22-0ILLILL×4KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+2.6
33-0ILLILL×4BlockedMolly Welgeblk Alyssa Aguayo, Kristina Starostenko+2.5
44-0ILLILL×4AceIllinoisaced Emi Juric+2.2
54-1ILLMARQServe errIllinois+1.5
65-1MARQILLServe errMarquette+1.6
75-2ILLMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Carson Tyler+1.5
86-2MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.7
96-3ILLMARQ×3KillLuanna Markusset Emi Juric+1.5
106-4MARQMARQ×3AceMarquetteaced Talita Goncalves+2.4
116-5MARQMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Emi Juric+2.8
127-5MARQILLServe errMarquette+2.1
137-6ILLMARQ×4KillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+2.1
147-7MARQMARQ×4KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+3.1
157-8MARQMARQ×4BlockedTaylor de Boerblk Keira Schmidt, Tani Juric+3.3
167-9MARQMARQ×4KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+3.4
178-9MARQILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+2.3
188-10ILLMARQ×3Attack errKenna Phelan+2.5
198-11MARQMARQ×3BlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Carson Tyler+3.4
208-12MARQMARQ×3AceMarquetteaced Talita Goncalves+3.1
219-12MARQILLKillKenna Phelanset Paityn Chapman+1.9
2210-12ILLILLAttack errCarson Tyler+3.1
2310-13ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.6
2411-13MARQILLAttack errCarson Tyler+2.3
2511-14ILLMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+2.7
2611-15MARQMARQAceMarquetteaced Maya Harris+3.3
2712-15MARQILL×3Serve errMarquette+1.9
2813-15ILLILL×3BlockedMolly Welgeblk Alyssa Aguayo, Gabriella Pitcel+3.3
2914-15ILLILL×3Attack errEmma Parks+3.8
3014-16ILLMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+3.2
3115-16MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+2.9
3216-16ILLILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Paityn Chapman+4.4
3316-17ILLMARQServe errIllinois+3.5
3417-17MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+3.4
3517-18ILLMARQServe errIllinois+3.7
3617-19MARQMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+5.2
3718-19MARQILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+3.2
3818-20ILLMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+4.0
3919-20MARQILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+3.4
4020-20ILLILLAceIllinoisaced Allie Beers+5.8
4120-21ILLMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+4.8
4220-22MARQMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Allie Beers+6.6
4320-23MARQMARQ×3AceMarquetteaced Talita Goncalves+5.4
4421-23MARQILLServe errMarquette+2.2
4521-24ILLMARQServe errIllinois+4.0
4622-24MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.5
4722-25ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+3.7
Set 3
10-1ILLMARQAttack errTaylor de Boer+1.5
21-1MARQILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.5
31-2ILLMARQ×4KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.6
41-3MARQMARQ×4KillMolly Welge+2.2
51-4MARQMARQ×4BlockedAlyssa Aguayoblk Luanna Markus, Molly Welge+2.2
61-5MARQMARQ×4BlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Molly Welge, Emma Parks+2.1
72-5MARQILL×4KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.3
83-5ILLILL×4AceIllinoisaced Carson Tyler+2.0
94-5ILLILL×4BlockedEmma Parksblk Gabriella Pitcel, Paityn Chapman+2.2
105-5ILLILL×4KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+2.3
115-6ILLMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+1.7
126-6MARQILLAttack errEmma Parks+1.7
136-7ILLMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.8
147-7MARQILLBlockedEmma Parksblk Kenna Phelan, Gabriella Pitcel+1.7
157-8ILLMARQKillEmma Parksset Tani Juric+1.8
168-8MARQILLServe errMarquette+1.8
179-8ILLILLAceIllinoisaced Allie Beers+2.5
189-9ILLMARQServe errIllinois+1.8
1910-9MARQILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.8
2010-10ILLMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+1.9
2111-10MARQILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.9
2211-11ILLMARQServe errIllinois+1.9
2312-11MARQILLServe errMarquette+2.0
2412-12ILLMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+2.0
2512-13MARQMARQKillLuanna Markusset Kenna Phelan+3.0
2613-13MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Paityn Chapman+2.1
2713-14ILLMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.3
2814-14MARQILLAttack errLuanna Markus+2.2
2914-15ILLMARQServe errIllinois+2.4
3014-16MARQMARQAttack errTaylor de Boer+3.3
3115-16MARQILLKillGabriella Pitcelset Kenna Phelan+2.2
3215-17ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.5
3316-17MARQILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+2.2
3416-18ILLMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+2.7
3517-18MARQILL×4KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+2.3
3618-18ILLILL×4BlockedLuanna Markusblk Kristina Starostenko+3.8
3719-18ILLILL×4KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+4.0
3820-18ILLILL×4KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+3.8
3920-19ILLMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+2.4
4020-20MARQMARQKillEmma Parksset Kenna Phelan+4.3
4121-20MARQILL×3Attack errEmma Parks+3.5
4222-20ILLILL×3BlockedEmma Parksblk Gabriella Pitcel, Paityn Chapman+4.6
4323-20ILLILL×3Attack errMolly Welge+3.5
4423-21ILLMARQAttack errMaya Harris+1.4
4523-22MARQMARQAttack errKeira Schmidt+3.7
4624-22MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+4.3
4724-23ILLMARQ×4KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.4
4824-24MARQMARQ×4KillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+8.1
4924-25MARQMARQ×4KillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+8.5
5024-26MARQMARQ×4Attack errAlyssa Aguayo+8.9

Score shown after each rally, Illinois first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).