Final · 5 setsSun, Sep 13, 2026

Illinois def. Marquette 3–2

Illinois beat visiting Marquette 3-2 (25-15, 25-11, 25-27, 18-25, 15-13) on Sun, Sep 13, 2026. Paityn Chapman and Alyssa Aguayo led Illinois with 16 kills each; Marquette's Carson Tyler had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Sep 13

Set12345Sets
MARQ15112725132
ILL25252518153

Win probability

Illinois above 50 · Marquette below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+17.1% ILLrally 199 · set 5

Biggest swing: 17.1% to Illinois — set 5, MARQ 11-12 ILL. Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Kenna Phelan). ILL win probability 54% → 71%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARQ 25.9%74.1% ILL

Marquette wins

3-0
4.6%
3-1
8.9%
3-2
12.3%

Illinois wins

3-0
26.3%
3-1
28.4%
3-2
19.4%
MARQ break %
39.6% vs this opp
ILL break %
44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alyssa AguayoKill+17.1%

    Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 5 · MARQ 11-12 ILL · ILL 54% → 71%

  2. 02
    Alyssa AguayoKill+16.2%

    Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 5 · MARQ 13-15 ILL · ILL 84% → 100%

  3. 03
    Alyssa AguayoKill+15.7%

    Kill by Alyssa Aguayo

    Set 5 · MARQ 11-11 ILL · ILL 38% → 54%

  4. 04
    Alyssa AguayoKill+15.3%

    Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 5 · MARQ 11-13 ILL · ILL 71% → 86%

  5. 05
    Kenna PhelanBad set+13.1%

    Bad set by Kenna Phelan

    Set 5 · MARQ 9-7 ILL · MARQ 52% → 65%

  6. 06
    Alyssa AguayoKill+12.6%

    Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Paityn Chapman)

    Set 5 · MARQ 11-10 ILL · ILL 26% → 38%

  7. 07
    Tani JuricKill+12.5%

    Kill by Tani Juric (set by Emi Juric)

    Set 5 · MARQ 8-7 ILL · MARQ 40% → 52%

  8. 08
    Emma ParksKill+12.4%

    Kill by Emma Parks (set by Emi Juric)

    Set 5 · MARQ 10-7 ILL · MARQ 65% → 78%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517451.25502312202120
56316.18800010153.59.5
55220.15000010031.56.5
55526.000000500216
53016.188380090010.53.5
5025-.400011700001
512342.21400020132.514.5
5102.5000111210002
5000–022100002
5000–4011820000
1000–100000000
Team totals4919178.16943686852161091
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516644.227243171031.521.5
516238.3681029006319
513226.42310050094.517.5
514332.34400040010.514.5
511623.21710000031.512.5
5305.60056021100214
5014-.2500141420001
5000–4002630000
5000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–001000000
Team totals7320172.3086551286602412108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Marquette vs Illinois

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MARQ · ILL 7

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 MARQILL 6

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 2 MARQILL 5

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 4 MARQILL 4

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 7 MARQILL 5

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 6 MARQILL 7

Bars above the line = Illinois leads, below = Marquette leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marquette

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
53%9/17
2
45%10/22
38%6/16
3
59%10/17
29%4/14
4
36%8/22
50%9/18
5
54%7/13
33%4/12
6
46%6/13
57%8/14
All
47%51/108
44%40/91

Illinois

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
56%10/18
2
63%10/16
29%4/14
3
63%10/16
57%13/23
4
50%9/18
57%13/23
5
43%6/14
56%9/16
6
75%6/8
57%8/14
All
56%51/91
53%57/108

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

199 rallies

#MARQ-ILLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ILLILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.9
21-1ILLMARQAttack errTaylor de Boer+1.5
31-2MARQILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kristina Starostenko+1.4
42-2ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.5
52-3MARQILLServe errMarquette+1.5
63-3ILLMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+1.5
73-4MARQILL×5KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.5
83-5ILLILL×5KillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+2.0
93-6ILLILL×5Attack errKeira Schmidt+1.8
103-7ILLILL×5KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.6
113-8ILLILL×5KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.3
124-8ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.8
135-8MARQMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+1.4
145-9MARQILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+1.2
155-10ILLILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.3
166-10ILLMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.8
177-10MARQMARQAttack errTaylor de Boer+1.5
187-11MARQILLKillKenna Phelan+1.2
198-11ILLMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+1.1
208-12MARQILL×3KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.2
218-13ILLILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.4
228-14ILLILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.0
239-14ILLMARQ×3Serve errIllinois+0.6
2410-14MARQMARQ×3Attack errPaityn Chapman+1.1
2511-14MARQMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.5
2611-15MARQILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.3
2711-16ILLILL×3BlockedMolly Welgeblk Kristina Starostenko, Alyssa Aguayo+1.4
2811-17ILLILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.0
2912-17ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.5
3012-18MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.7
3113-18ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.5
3214-18MARQMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+1.0
3314-19MARQILL×6KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.0
3414-20ILLILL×6AceIllinoisaced Carson Tyler+0.9
3514-21ILLILL×6KillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.5
3614-22ILLILL×6KillKenna Phelanset Alyssa Aguayo+0.2
3714-23ILLILL×6AceIllinoisaced Carson Tyler+0.1
3814-24ILLILL×6AceIllinoisaced Emi Juric·
3915-24ILLMARQServe errIllinois·
4015-25MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan·
Set 2
10-1MARQILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.1
20-2ILLILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.5
31-2ILLMARQServe errIllinois+1.1
41-3MARQILL×5KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.1
51-4ILLILL×5Bad setLuanna Markus+1.4
61-5ILLILL×5BlockedCarson Tylerblk Ashlyn Philpot, Paityn Chapman+1.2
71-6ILLILL×5BlockedTani Juricblk Ashlyn Philpot, Alyssa Aguayo+1.0
81-7ILLILL×5KillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+0.8
92-7ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Lauren Young+0.5
102-8MARQILL×4KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.6
112-9ILLILL×4KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.6
122-10ILLILL×4AceIllinoisaced Avery Helms+0.5
132-11ILLILL×4KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.3
143-11ILLMARQServe errIllinois+0.2
153-12MARQILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.2
163-13ILLILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.2
174-13ILLMARQServe errIllinois+0.1
184-14MARQILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.1
195-14ILLMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+0.1
205-15MARQILLKillKenna Phelanset Emi Juric+0.1
215-16ILLILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Talita Goncalves+0.1
226-16ILLMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus·
237-16MARQMARQAttack errKristina Starostenko+0.1
247-17MARQILLServe errMarquette+0.1
258-17ILLMARQAttack errPaityn Chapman+0.1
269-17MARQMARQBad setKenna Phelan+0.1
279-18MARQILL×3KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.1
289-19ILLILL×3KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.1
299-20ILLILL×3BlockedTani Juricblk Ashlyn Philpot, Alyssa Aguayo·
3010-20ILLMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus·
3110-21MARQILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan·
3210-22ILLILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan·
3311-22ILLMARQAttack errPaityn Chapman·
3411-23MARQILL×3Serve errMarquette·
3511-24ILLILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan·
3611-25ILLILL×3Attack errAllie Beers·
Set 3
10-1ILLILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.8
21-1ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.6
31-2MARQILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.6
42-2ILLMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+0.6
53-2MARQMARQBlockedKristina Starostenkoblk Molly Welge+0.9
63-3MARQILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.7
73-4ILLILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.9
84-4ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.7
94-5MARQILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.6
105-5ILLMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.7
116-5MARQMARQAceMarquetteaced Talita Goncalves+1.0
126-6MARQILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.7
136-7ILLILLKillTaylor de Boerset Paityn Chapman+1.0
147-7ILLMARQKillLuanna Markus+0.7
157-8MARQILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.7
168-8ILLMARQServe errIllinois+0.7
179-8MARQMARQAceMarquetteaced Talita Goncalves+1.1
189-9MARQILL×4KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.8
199-10ILLILL×4Bad setKeira Schmidt+1.1
209-11ILLILL×4KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.0
219-12ILLILL×4Attack errTani Juric+0.9
2210-12ILLMARQServe errIllinois+0.6
2310-13MARQILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.6
2411-13ILLMARQServe errIllinois+0.6
2511-14MARQILLServe errMarquette+0.7
2612-14ILLMARQ×4KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.6
2713-14MARQMARQ×4KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+1.1
2814-14MARQMARQ×4AceMarquetteaced Talita Goncalves+1.3
2915-14MARQMARQ×4BlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Emma Parks, Molly Welge+1.4
3015-15MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.0
3116-15ILLMARQServe errIllinois+1.1
3216-16MARQILLBlockedKeira Schmidtblk Ashlyn Philpot, Alyssa Aguayo+1.0
3317-16ILLMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.2
3417-17MARQILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+1.1
3518-17ILLMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.3
3618-18MARQILLBlockedTani Juricblk Taylor de Boer, Kristina Starostenko+1.2
3719-18ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.3
3819-19MARQILLBad setLuanna Markus+1.3
3920-19ILLMARQServe errIllinois+1.5
4021-19MARQMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.1
4121-20MARQILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.2
4221-21ILLILL×3BlockedMolly Welgeblk Ashlyn Philpot, Alyssa Aguayo+2.1
4321-22ILLILL×3Attack errCarson Tyler+2.3
4422-22ILLMARQBlockedAlyssa Aguayoblk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus+1.7
4522-23MARQILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+2.0
4623-23ILLMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.9
4724-23MARQMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+3.8
4824-24MARQILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+2.8
4924-25ILLILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+3.5
5025-25ILLMARQ×3BlockedTaylor de Boerblk Keira Schmidt, Emma Parks+2.5
5126-25MARQMARQ×3BlockedAshlyn Philpotblk Emma Parks, Keira Schmidt+3.8
5227-25MARQMARQ×3BlockedAshlyn Philpotblk Emma Parks+4.3
Set 4
10-1MARQILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.7
21-1ILLMARQ×4Attack errKristina Starostenko+1.8
32-1MARQMARQ×4AceMarquetteaced Maya Harris+2.6
43-1MARQMARQ×4KillLuanna Markusset Paityn Chapman+2.8
54-1MARQMARQ×4Attack errAlyssa Aguayo+2.8
64-2MARQILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+1.8
75-2ILLMARQ×3KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+2.1
86-2MARQMARQ×3KillMolly Welgeset Kenna Phelan+2.9
97-2MARQMARQ×3AceMarquetteaced Maya Harris+2.7
107-3MARQILLServe errMarquette+1.6
118-3ILLMARQ×6KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.0
129-3MARQMARQ×6KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.5
1310-3MARQMARQ×6AceMarquetteaced Paityn Chapman+2.2
1411-3MARQMARQ×6KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.8
1512-3MARQMARQ×6KillAvery Helmsset Luanna Markus+1.4
1613-3MARQMARQ×6Attack errMaya Harris+1.0
1713-4MARQILL×3Serve errMarquette+0.5
1813-5ILLILL×3BlockedEmma Parksblk Ashlyn Philpot, Kenna Phelan+0.9
1913-6ILLILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Ashlyn Philpot+1.2
2014-6ILLMARQServe errIllinois+1.2
2114-7MARQILL×3KillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.8
2214-8ILLILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Emi Juric+1.4
2314-9ILLILL×3Attack errTani Juric+1.9
2415-9ILLMARQKillKeira Schmidtset Luanna Markus+1.9
2515-10MARQILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.3
2616-10ILLMARQ×7KillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+1.8
2717-10MARQMARQ×7BlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Molly Welge, Tani Juric+1.9
2818-10MARQMARQ×7BlockedKristina Starostenkoblk Molly Welge, Carson Tyler+1.3
2919-10MARQMARQ×7KillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.8
3020-10MARQMARQ×7KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.4
3121-10MARQMARQ×7BlockedKristina Starostenkoblk Molly Welge, Carson Tyler+0.2
3222-10MARQMARQ×7KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+0.1
3322-11MARQILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan·
3422-12ILLILLAceIllinoisaced Emi Juric·
3523-12ILLMARQServe errIllinois+0.1
3623-13MARQILL×5KillAlyssa Aguayoset Talita Goncalves·
3723-14ILLILL×5Attack errCarson Tyler·
3823-15ILLILL×5BlockedCarson Tylerblk Paityn Chapman, Ashlyn Philpot+0.1
3923-16ILLILL×5BlockedMolly Welgeblk Ashlyn Philpot, Alyssa Aguayo+0.1
4023-17ILLILL×5Attack errAllie Beers+0.2
4124-17ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.4
4224-18MARQILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.1
4325-18ILLMARQKillLuanna Markusset Kenna Phelan+1.3
Set 5
10-1ILLILLKillAlyssa Aguayo+8.1
20-2ILLILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+7.5
31-2ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+5.4
41-3MARQILLServe errMarquette+5.6
52-3ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+5.5
62-4MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+5.8
73-4ILLMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+5.7
83-5MARQILLBlockedEmma Parksblk Kenna Phelan, Ashlyn Philpot+6.1
94-5ILLMARQBad setKenna Phelan+5.9
105-5MARQMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+9.7
115-6MARQILLServe errMarquette+7.2
125-7ILLILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+9.4
136-7ILLMARQ×6KillEmma Parksset Emi Juric+6.4
147-7MARQMARQ×6BlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Tani Juric, Keira Schmidt+10.8
158-7MARQMARQ×6KillTani Juricset Emi Juric+12.5
169-7MARQMARQ×6Bad setKenna Phelan+13.1
1710-7MARQMARQ×6KillEmma Parksset Emi Juric+12.4
1811-7MARQMARQ×6Attack errTaylor de Boer+10.1
1911-8MARQILL×7KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+4.5
2011-9ILLILL×7BlockedEmma Parksblk Paityn Chapman, Kristina Starostenko+9.2
2111-10ILLILL×7KillAlyssa Aguayoset Paityn Chapman+12.6
2211-11ILLILL×7KillAlyssa Aguayo+15.7
2311-12ILLILL×7KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+17.1
2411-13ILLILL×7KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+15.3
2511-14ILLILL×7KillKristina Starostenko+10.0
2612-14ILLMARQKillEmma Parksset Emi Juric+2.9
2713-14MARQMARQAttack errKristina Starostenko+9.8
2813-15MARQILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+16.2

Score shown after each rally, Marquette first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).