Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Lindenwood def. Southern Ind. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Lindenwood 88.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Lindenwood beat visiting Southern Ind. 3-1 (25-21, 25-16, 25-27, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Kylee Richey and Lauren Ortwerth led Lindenwood with 13 kills each; Southern Ind.'s Ashby Willis had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
S IND211627191
LINWOD252525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Serve, receive, attack, block: Lindenwood won all four, start to finish.

Win probability never moved more than 2.6 points on one rally; Southern Ind. topped out at 14% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Lindenwood at 89%.

Southern Ind.Lindenwood
  • Break %+11.4 pts
    31.042.4

    On serve: 42/99 against 26/84 (Southern Ind. sideout 57.6%).

  • Hitting+.116
    .194.310

    Kills and errors: 61–17 vs 52–24.

Lindenwood above 50Southern Ind. belowMax swing 2.6%

Southern Ind.Lindenwood

Aces
Southern Ind. 3·Lindenwood 7
Serve err
Southern Ind. 7·Lindenwood 9
Blocks
Southern Ind. 8·Lindenwood 101 BS · 14 BA vs 7 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Southern Ind. 54·Lindenwood 56

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Lindenwood above 50 · Southern Ind. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.6% S INDrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.6% to Southern Ind. — set 3, S IND 27-25 LINWOD. Autumn Bax stuffed by Mackenzie Nettles & Ashby Willis. LINWOD win probability 95% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S IND 9.5%90.5% LINWOD

Southern Ind. wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
5.4%

Lindenwood wins

3-0
45.3%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.7%
S IND break %
38.1% vs this opp
LINWOD break %
48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Autumn Bax stuffed by Mackenzie Nettles & Ashby Willis

    Set 3 · S IND 27-25 LINWOD · S IND 5% → 8%

  2. 02
    Aubrey FairKill+2.4%

    Kill by Aubrey Fair (set by Aysa Thomas)

    Set 1 · S IND 18-18 LINWOD · S IND 11% → 14%

  3. 03
    Autumn BaxKill+2.3%

    Kill by Autumn Bax (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 1 · S IND 21-23 LINWOD · LINWOD 89% → 92%

  4. 04
    Mackenzie NettlesAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Mackenzie Nettles

    Set 1 · S IND 18-20 LINWOD · LINWOD 88% → 91%

  5. 05
    Lauren OrtwerthAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Lauren Ortwerth

    Set 3 · S IND 24-23 LINWOD · S IND 3% → 5%

  6. 06
    Aspen JankowskiService error+2.0%

    Service error by Aspen Jankowski

    Set 1 · S IND 20-22 LINWOD · LINWOD 89% → 91%

  7. 07
    Kylee RicheyKill+1.9%

    Kill by Kylee Richey (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 1 · S IND 21-24 LINWOD · LINWOD 92% → 93%

  8. 08
    Ashley GeluckKill+1.9%

    Kill by Ashley Geluck (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 1 · S IND 18-19 LINWOD · LINWOD 86% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417449.26500284031.518.5
411534.17601180132.514.5
4619.556000000428
4208.2504201130010.52.5
4000–022000002
41011.000000920001
413834.1470001000013
4269-.44400000031.53.5
4000–6011500000
Team totals5224144.1944837547114883
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413422.40900030435.518.5
412424.3331128000013
411023.4780002020213
410430.20000010111.511.5
4207.28654231500215
4000–222700002
413536.2220001000013
4000–022500002
4000–2001420000
Team totals6117142.31059795637610100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southern Ind. vs Lindenwood

Season series · Lindenwood leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 S IND · LINWOD 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 S INDLINWOD 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 S INDLINWOD 4

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 3 S INDLINWOD 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 4 S INDLINWOD 4

Bars above the line = Lindenwood leads, below = Southern Ind. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Ind.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
50%10/20
2
59%10/17
20%3/15
3
53%9/17
17%2/12
4
53%9/17
25%3/12
5
60%9/15
31%4/13
6
62%8/13
33%4/12
All
58%57/99
31%26/84

Lindenwood

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
33%5/15
2
85%11/13
31%5/16
3
75%9/12
57%12/21
4
82%9/11
50%9/18
5
69%9/13
18%2/11
6
44%8/18
50%9/18
All
69%58/84
42%42/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#S IND-LINWODSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1S INDLINWOD×3Serve errSouthern Ind.+0.8
20-2LINWODLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.0
30-3LINWODLINWOD×3BlockedAshby Willisblk Kylee Richey, Autumn Bax+0.8
41-3LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.7
51-4S INDLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.7
61-5LINWODLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.7
72-5LINWODS INDServe errAlayna Rudebeck+0.6
82-6S INDLINWODServe errSouthern Ind.+0.6
93-6LINWODS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aysa Thomas+0.6
103-7S INDLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.6
113-8LINWODLINWODAttack errCarley Wright+0.6
124-8LINWODS IND×3Attack errSusanna Beretti+0.5
135-8S INDS IND×3KillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.8
146-8S INDS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.0
156-9S INDLINWODServe errSouthern Ind.+0.8
166-10LINWODLINWODAttack errCarley Wright+0.8
177-10LINWODS IND×3KillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.6
188-10S INDS IND×3Attack errLauren Ortwerth+1.0
199-10S INDS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.3
209-11S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.0
2110-11LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.1
2211-11S INDS INDKillAysa Thomas+1.6
2311-12S INDLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.2
2412-12LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.3
2512-13S INDLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Dana Grib+1.3
2612-14LINWODLINWODAttack errVita Sensenbrenner+1.5
2713-14LINWODS INDBlockedSusanna Berettiblk Carley Wright, Vita Sensenbrenner+1.2
2813-15S INDLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.2
2913-16LINWODLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Dana Grib+1.3
3013-17LINWODLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.0
3114-17LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Audrey Small+0.7
3215-17S INDS INDBlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Carley Wright+1.2
3315-18S INDLINWODServe errSouthern Ind.+1.1
3416-18LINWODS IND×3Bad setLauren Ortwerth+1.0
3517-18S INDS IND×3KillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+1.8
3618-18S INDS IND×3KillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+2.4
3718-19S INDLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.9
3818-20LINWODLINWODAttack errMackenzie Nettles+2.2
3919-20LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.6
4019-21S INDLINWODBlockedAshby Willisblk Ashley Geluck+1.8
4120-21LINWODS INDAttack errAutumn Bax+1.7
4220-22S INDLINWODServe errAspen Jankowski+2.0
4321-22LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.8
4421-23S INDLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+2.3
4521-24LINWODLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+1.9
4621-25LINWODLINWOD×3KillKylee Richey+0.7
Set 2
10-1LINWODLINWODAceLindenwoodaced Kerigan Fehr+0.7
20-2LINWODLINWODAceLindenwood+0.7
31-2LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.5
41-3S INDLINWODServe errAshby Willis+0.5
52-3LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Audrey Small+0.6
62-4S INDLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.5
72-5LINWODLINWODAttack errCarley Wright+0.6
83-5LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.5
94-5S INDS INDAceCarley Wrightaced Dana Grib+0.7
104-6S INDLINWOD×4KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.6
114-7LINWODLINWOD×4AceLindenwoodaced Ashby Willis+0.7
124-8LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errAubrey Fair+0.5
134-9LINWODLINWOD×4BlockedAubrey Fairblk Kylee Richey, Kaci Johnson+0.4
145-9LINWODS INDBlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Mackenzie Nettles, Aysa Thomas+0.3
155-10S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerth+0.3
165-11LINWODLINWODAttack errMackenzie Nettles+0.3
176-11LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.2
186-12S INDLINWOD×3KillAshley Geluck+0.3
196-13LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errAshby Willis+0.2
206-14LINWODLINWOD×3AceKaci Johnsonaced Kerigan Fehr+0.2
217-14LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Audrey Small+0.1
228-14S INDS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aysa Thomas+0.2
238-15S INDLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.2
248-16LINWODLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.2
259-16LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.1
269-17S INDLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.1
279-18LINWODLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.1
2810-18LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas·
2910-19S INDLINWODBlockedAubrey Fairblk Autumn Bax+0.1
3010-20LINWODLINWODBlockedMackenzie Nettlesblk Kylee Richey·
3111-20LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas·
3211-21S INDLINWODBad setMackenzie Nettles·
3312-21LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas·
3412-22S INDLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson·
3513-22LINWODS INDKillMackenzie Nettlesset Aysa Thomas·
3613-23S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson·
3714-23LINWODS INDServe errKaci Johnson·
3815-23S INDS INDKillCarley Wrightset Audrey Small·
3915-24S INDLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson·
4016-24LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas·
4116-25S INDLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson·
Set 3
11-0S INDS INDAceAspen Jankowskiaced Dana Grib+0.4
21-1S INDLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.3
32-1LINWODS INDAttack errAutumn Bax+0.4
43-1S INDS INDBad setKaci Johnson+0.5
53-2S INDLINWODServe errAysa Thomas+0.3
64-2LINWODS INDServe errLindenwood+0.4
74-3S INDLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.4
85-3LINWODS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aysa Thomas+0.4
95-4S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.4
106-4LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.4
116-5S INDLINWOD×3KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.4
126-6LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errMackenzie Nettles+0.5
136-7LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errAubrey Fair+0.4
147-7LINWODS INDServe errLindenwood+0.4
158-7S INDS INDKillMackenzie Nettlesset Aysa Thomas+0.5
168-8S INDLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.4
179-8LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.4
1810-8S INDS INDAceAspen Jankowski+0.6
1910-9S INDLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.4
2010-10LINWODLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Mandy Lawson+0.6
2111-10LINWODS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aysa Thomas+0.5
2211-11S INDLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.4
2311-12LINWODLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.5
2411-13LINWODLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.5
2512-13LINWODS IND×3BlockedKylee Richeyblk Ashby Willis, Vita Sensenbrenner+0.4
2613-13S INDS IND×3BlockedSusanna Berettiblk Carley Wright+0.6
2714-13S INDS IND×3Attack errKylee Richey+0.7
2814-14S INDLINWODKillKaci Johnsonset Mandy Lawson+0.5
2915-14LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.6
3015-15S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.5
3116-15LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.6
3216-16S INDLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.6
3316-17LINWODLINWODAttack errMackenzie Nettles+0.7
3417-17LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.6
3517-18S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.6
3617-19LINWODLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.7
3718-19LINWODS INDKillAysa Thomasset Aysa Thomas+0.5
3819-19S INDS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.9
3919-20S INDLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.7
4019-21LINWODLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.8
4120-21LINWODS INDKillKerigan Fehrset Audrey Small+0.6
4221-21S INDS INDBlockedAutumn Baxblk Ashby Willis, Vita Sensenbrenner+1.1
4321-22S INDLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.9
4422-22LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.9
4522-23S INDLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+1.1
4623-23LINWODS INDServe errSusanna Beretti+1.1
4724-23S INDS INDAttack errLauren Ortwerth+2.1
4824-24S INDLINWODBlockedCarley Wrightblk Kylee Richey+1.7
4925-24LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Audrey Small+1.7
5025-25S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.7
5126-25LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.7
5227-25S INDS INDBlockedAutumn Baxblk Mackenzie Nettles, Ashby Willis+2.6
Set 4
11-0LINWODS INDServe errMandy Lawson+1.3
21-1S INDLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.2
32-1LINWODS INDAttack errKylee Richey+1.4
42-2S INDLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+1.2
52-3LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errAubrey Fair+1.5
62-4LINWODLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+1.4
73-4LINWODS INDAttack errKylee Richey+1.1
83-5S INDLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.1
93-6LINWODLINWODBlockedAubrey Fairblk Kaci Johnson, Kylee Richey+1.2
104-6LINWODS INDServe errSusanna Beretti+1.0
114-7S INDLINWODBlockedMackenzie Nettlesblk Kylee Richey+1.0
125-7LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.0
135-8S INDLINWOD×3KillKaci Johnsonset Susanna Beretti+1.0
145-9LINWODLINWOD×3AceKaci Johnsonaced Ashby Willis+1.1
155-10LINWODLINWOD×3KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.9
166-10LINWODS INDServe errKaci Johnson+0.6
177-10S INDS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Kaci Johnson+1.0
187-11S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.9
198-11LINWODS INDServe errMandy Lawson+0.8
208-12S INDLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.9
219-12LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.9
229-13S INDLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.9
2310-13LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.9
2410-14S INDLINWOD×4KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.9
2510-15LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errAubrey Fair+0.9
2610-16LINWODLINWOD×4KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.7
2710-17LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errAubrey Fair+0.4
2811-17LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.2
2911-18S INDLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.3
3012-18LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.2
3112-19S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.3
3213-19LINWODS IND×4KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.2
3314-19S INDS IND×4KillVita Sensenbrennerset Susanna Beretti+0.4
3415-19S INDS IND×4BlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Vita Sensenbrenner, Carley Wright+0.7
3516-19S INDS IND×4KillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+1.1
3616-20S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.1
3716-21LINWODLINWODBlockedAshby Willisblk Ashley Geluck+0.9
3817-21LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.5
3918-21S INDS INDAttack errSusanna Beretti+1.0
4018-22S INDLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.1
4119-22LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.7
4219-23S INDLINWOD×3BlockedCarley Wrightblk Kylee Richey+1.1
4319-24LINWODLINWOD×3AceAlayna Rudebeckaced Ashby Willis+0.6
4419-25LINWODLINWOD×3AceAlayna Rudebeckaced Ashby Willis+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Southern Ind. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).