FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026

Lindenwood def. Southern Ind. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Lindenwood 88.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Lindenwood beat visiting Southern Ind. 3-0 (25-19, 25-20, 25-15) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Susanna Beretti led Lindenwood with 12 kills; Southern Ind.'s Ashby Willis had a match-high 13.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
S IND1920150
LINWOD2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Lindenwood swept Southern Ind., and no set was closer than 5 points.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.7 points. Southern Ind. peaked at 13% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Lindenwood 89% before first serve.

Southern Ind.Lindenwood
  • Break %+18.2 pts
    34.552.7

    Points won on own serve: 39 of 74 vs 19 of 55. Southern Ind. sided out 47.3% of the time.

  • Hitting+.129
    .167.296

    47 kills, 15 errors vs 32 kills, 15 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    Lindenwood scored 5 straight in the third set to turn a 0–1 deficit into a 5–1 lead. Final score of the set: 25–15.

Lindenwood above 50Southern Ind. belowMax swing 1.7%

Southern Ind.Lindenwood

Aces
Southern Ind. 2·Lindenwood 4
Serve err
Southern Ind. 8·Lindenwood 4
Blocks
Southern Ind. 6·Lindenwood 51 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Southern Ind. 41·Lindenwood 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Lindenwood above 50 · Southern Ind. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.7% S INDrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Southern Ind. — set 1, S IND 13-13 LINWOD. Attack error by Kylee Richey. LINWOD win probability 89% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S IND 9.5%90.5% LINWOD

Southern Ind. wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
5.4%

Lindenwood wins

3-0
45.3%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.7%
S IND break %
38.1% vs this opp
LINWOD break %
48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kylee RicheyAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Kylee Richey

    Set 1 · S IND 13-13 LINWOD · S IND 11% → 12%

  2. 02

    Kill by Lauren Ortwerth (set by Alayna Rudebeck)

    Set 1 · S IND 14-16 LINWOD · LINWOD 89% → 91%

  3. 03
    Kaci JohnsonAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Kaci Johnson

    Set 1 · S IND 14-14 LINWOD · S IND 11% → 12%

  4. 04
    Kylee RicheyAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Kylee Richey

    Set 1 · S IND 5-4 LINWOD · S IND 11% → 13%

  5. 05
    Aubrey FairKill+1.4%

    Kill by Aubrey Fair (set by Audrey Small)

    Set 1 · S IND 12-13 LINWOD · S IND 9% → 11%

  6. 06

    Kill by Susanna Beretti (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 1 · S IND 14-15 LINWOD · LINWOD 88% → 89%

  7. 07

    Aubrey Fair stuffed by Kylee Richey & Kaci Johnson

    Set 1 · S IND 14-17 LINWOD · LINWOD 91% → 92%

  8. 08
    Ashby WillisAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Ashby Willis

    Set 1 · S IND 7-8 LINWOD · LINWOD 88% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313338.26330051010.513.5
37624.042201401229
3114.0002111800002
3103.333001000212
3000–012620001
11011.000000000001
39326.2310000002110
3000–202300000
3000–3011500000
2025-.40000000031.51.5
1001.000000000000
Team totals3215102.1673128414110654
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312330.300100110010.512.5
39414.35700050031.510.5
38114.500002100219
37321.190000100218
32110.1003600800213
3000–220400002
39319.316000200009
3000–220510002
3000–3021000000
Team totals4715108.2964444472010575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southern Ind. vs Lindenwood

Season series · Lindenwood leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 S IND · LINWOD 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 S INDLINWOD 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 S INDLINWOD 4

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 S INDLINWOD 5

Bars above the line = Lindenwood leads, below = Southern Ind. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Ind.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
38%3/8
2
35%6/17
30%3/10
3
67%6/9
57%8/14
4
67%6/9
40%4/10
5
55%6/11
14%1/7
6
40%4/10
0%0/6
All
47%35/74
35%19/55

Lindenwood

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
60%9/15
2
55%6/11
60%9/15
3
50%6/12
60%9/15
4
67%6/9
33%3/9
5
100%6/6
40%4/10
6
83%5/6
50%5/10
All
65%36/55
53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#S IND-LINWODSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LINWODLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Aysa Thomas+1.1
20-2LINWODLINWOD×3AceMandy Lawsonaced Kerigan Fehr+1.0
30-3LINWODLINWOD×3KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.8
41-3LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.6
52-3S INDS INDBad setAutumn Bax+1.0
62-4S INDLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.7
73-4LINWODS IND×3KillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.8
84-4S INDS IND×3Attack errAutumn Bax+1.2
95-4S INDS IND×3Attack errKylee Richey+1.4
105-5S INDLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.0
116-5LINWODS INDAttack errSusanna Beretti+1.1
126-6S INDLINWODServe errSouthern Ind.+1.0
137-6LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.2
147-7S INDLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+1.1
157-8LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errAshby Willis+1.3
167-9LINWODLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Alayna Rudebeck+1.2
178-9LINWODS INDKillAysa Thomasset Carley Wright+0.9
188-10S INDLINWODServe errSouthern Ind.+0.9
199-10LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.0
209-11S INDLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.0
219-12LINWODLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Dana Grib+1.1
2210-12LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.8
2310-13S INDLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.8
2411-13LINWODS IND×3KillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.8
2512-13S INDS IND×3KillAubrey Fairset Audrey Small+1.4
2613-13S INDS IND×3Attack errKylee Richey+1.7
2713-14S INDLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.3
2814-14LINWODS INDAttack errKaci Johnson+1.4
2914-15S INDLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.4
3014-16LINWODLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Alayna Rudebeck+1.6
3114-17LINWODLINWOD×3BlockedAubrey Fairblk Kylee Richey, Kaci Johnson+1.4
3215-17LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Carley Wright+0.9
3315-18S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.0
3415-19LINWODLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.0
3516-19LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.6
3616-20S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.8
3716-21LINWODLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.7
3817-21LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.3
3917-22S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.5
4017-23LINWODLINWODAceMandy Lawson+0.3
4118-23LINWODS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aysa Thomas+0.1
4219-23S INDS INDAttack errAshley Geluck+0.2
4319-24S INDLINWODKillKaci Johnsonset Susanna Beretti+0.3
4419-25LINWODLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.1
Set 2
11-0S INDS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.9
21-1S INDLINWOD×4KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.6
31-2LINWODLINWOD×4KillSusanna Berettiset Mandy Lawson+0.8
41-3LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errAysa Thomas+0.7
51-4LINWODLINWOD×4BlockedAshby Willisblk Autumn Bax, Kylee Richey+0.6
62-4LINWODS INDServe errAshley Geluck+0.5
73-4S INDS INDAceAysa Thomas+0.7
83-5S INDLINWOD×4KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.5
93-6LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errCarley Wright+0.6
103-7LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errCarley Wright+0.5
113-8LINWODLINWOD×4KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.4
124-8LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.3
135-8S INDS INDAttack errKylee Richey+0.5
145-9S INDLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.4
156-9LINWODS IND×3Attack errLauren Ortwerth+0.4
167-9S INDS IND×3KillCarley Wrightset Audrey Small+0.7
178-9S INDS IND×3BlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Mackenzie Nettles, Aubrey Fair+0.8
188-10S INDLINWODServe errAudrey Small+0.6
199-10LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.7
209-11S INDLINWODBlockedAubrey Fairblk Ashley Geluck, Kaci Johnson+0.7
219-12LINWODLINWODAttack errCarley Wright+0.8
2210-12LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.6
2310-13S INDLINWOD×3Serve errKerigan Fehr+0.6
2410-14LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errCarley Wright+0.6
2510-15LINWODLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Dana Grib+0.5
2611-15LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.3
2712-15S INDS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.6
2812-16S INDLINWODServe errAspen Jankowski+0.5
2912-17LINWODLINWODAttack errAshby Willis+0.5
3013-17LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Ashby Willis+0.3
3113-18S INDLINWOD×4KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.4
3213-19LINWODLINWOD×4KillKaci Johnsonset Kaci Johnson+0.3
3313-20LINWODLINWOD×4AceAlayna Rudebeckaced Kerigan Fehr+0.2
3413-21LINWODLINWOD×4BlockedCarley Wrightblk Kylee Richey, Susanna Beretti+0.1
3514-21LINWODS IND×4KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas·
3615-21S INDS IND×4BlockedSusanna Berettiblk Carley Wright, Grace Bach+0.1
3716-21S INDS IND×4KillAubrey Fairset Audrey Small+0.1
3817-21S INDS IND×4BlockedSusanna Berettiblk Carley Wright, Grace Bach+0.3
3917-22S INDLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.3
4018-22LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Ashby Willis+0.2
4118-23S INDLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.3
4219-23LINWODS INDBlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Carley Wright+0.1
4319-24S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Dana Grib+0.2
4420-24LINWODS INDBlockedAutumn Baxblk Mackenzie Nettles, Aubrey Fair+0.1
4520-25S INDLINWODServe errKerigan Fehr+0.1
Set 3
11-0LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.3
21-1S INDLINWOD×5KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.3
31-2LINWODLINWOD×5KillSusanna Berettiset Mandy Lawson+0.4
41-3LINWODLINWOD×5KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.3
51-4LINWODLINWOD×5Attack errCarley Wright+0.3
61-5LINWODLINWOD×5KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.2
72-5LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.2
82-6S INDLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.2
92-7LINWODLINWOD×3AceAlayna Rudebeckaced Ashby Willis+0.2
102-8LINWODLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.2
113-8LINWODS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.1
123-9S INDLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.1
134-9LINWODS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aspen Jankowski+0.1
145-9S INDS INDAceKerigan Fehraced Alayna Rudebeck+0.2
155-10S INDLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.2
166-10LINWODS INDServe errDana Grib+0.1
176-11S INDLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.2
186-12LINWODLINWOD×3BlockedGrace Bachblk Ashley Geluck, Autumn Bax+0.2
196-13LINWODLINWOD×3Bad setAspen Jankowski+0.1
207-13LINWODS INDBlockedAutumn Baxblk Ashby Willis, Grace Bach+0.1
218-13S INDS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.1
228-14S INDLINWOD×3Serve errAysa Thomas+0.1
238-15LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errGrace Bach+0.1
248-16LINWODLINWOD×3KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.1
259-16LINWODS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas·
269-17S INDLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson·
2710-17LINWODS INDServe errAshley Geluck·
2810-18S INDLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson·
2910-19LINWODLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson·
3011-19LINWODS IND×3KillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas·
3112-19S INDS IND×3Attack errKylee Richey·
3213-19S INDS IND×3KillAubrey Fairset Ashby Willis+0.1
3313-20S INDLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.1
3413-21LINWODLINWODAttack errAubrey Fair·
3514-21LINWODS INDKillMackenzie Nettlesset Aspen Jankowski·
3614-22S INDLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson·
3714-23LINWODLINWODKillLauren Ortwerth·
3815-23LINWODS INDServe errDana Grib·
3915-24S INDLINWODServe errMackenzie Nettles·
4015-25LINWODLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson·

Score shown after each rally, Southern Ind. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).