FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Furman def. Western Caro. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Furman 59.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Furman won at Western Caro. 3-0 (25-18, 25-17, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Furman's Amber Watson led with 12 kills, and Kennedy Seekford added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
FURMAN2525253
W CAR1817140

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.458 and 12 kills for Amber Watson as Furman rolled past Western Caro.

Win probability never moved more than 2.9 points on one rally; Western Caro. topped out at 45% in Set 1. Furman went in as RallyIQ's 59% pick.

FurmanWestern Caro.
  • Break %+23.4 pts
    55.432.0

    On serve: 41/74 against 16/50 (Western Caro. sideout 44.6%).

  • Hitting+.177
    .359.182

    47 K / 10 E against 32 K / 12 E.

  • Longest run+4
    95

    9 straight Furman points in the first set turned a 6–7 deficit into a 15–7 lead. The set finished 25–18.

Western Caro. above 50Furman belowMax swing 2.9%

FurmanWestern Caro.

Aces
Furman 11·Western Caro. 3
Serve err
Furman 4·Western Caro. 4
Blocks
Furman 7·Western Caro. 23 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Furman 59·Western Caro. 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Western Caro. above 50 · Furman below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.9% FURMANrally 124 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.9% to Furman — set 1, FURMAN 8-7 W CAR. Furman ace. W CAR win probability 41% → 38%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FURMAN 61.0%39.0% W CAR

Furman wins

3-0
17.7%
3-1
23.3%
3-2
20.0%

Western Caro. wins

3-0
8.4%
3-1
14.2%
3-2
16.4%
FURMAN break %
44.4% vs this opp
W CAR break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    FurmanAce+2.9%

    Furman ace

    Set 1 · FURMAN 8-7 W CAR · FURMAN 59% → 62%

  2. 02

    Zoe Zudans stuffed by Tennyson Gorman & Emily Navarro

    Set 1 · FURMAN 9-7 W CAR · FURMAN 62% → 65%

  3. 03
    Kacie MooreKill+2.7%

    Kill by Kacie Moore (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 1 · FURMAN 5-5 W CAR · FURMAN 56% → 59%

  4. 04
    Western Caro.Ace+2.6%

    Western Caro. ace on Kennedy Seekford

    Set 1 · FURMAN 2-4 W CAR · W CAR 43% → 45%

  5. 05
    Amber WatsonKill+2.6%

    Kill by Amber Watson (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 1 · FURMAN 10-7 W CAR · FURMAN 65% → 67%

  6. 06
    Zoe ZudansKill+2.5%

    Kill by Zoe Zudans (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 1 · FURMAN 0-2 W CAR · W CAR 42% → 45%

  7. 07
    Kacie MooreKill+2.5%

    Kill by Kacie Moore (set by Morgan Baldridge)

    Set 1 · FURMAN 2-2 W CAR · FURMAN 57% → 59%

  8. 08
    Emily NavarroKill+2.3%

    Kill by Emily Navarro (set by Campbell Woods)

    Set 1 · FURMAN 11-7 W CAR · FURMAN 67% → 70%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Furmanaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310115.6000311022316
36017.353122901019
38220.30010120010.58.5
34211.182000100215
3012-.500020800002
31011.0001600700001
312124.4580003100012
34311.091130400218
32021.000210070010.52.5
3000–4101710001
Team totals4710103.3594411459338775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37216.313020310009
37223.217002300007
36333.091000100006
3419.33300030111.55.5
33314.000100610003
3203.667280010010.52.5
3000–011420001
3000–1011410000
3000–000210000
23112.167000100003
1000–000110000
Team totals3212110.1823034391112249

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Furman vs Western Caro.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 FURMAN · W CAR 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 9 FURMANW CAR 4

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 FURMANW CAR 3

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 5 FURMANW CAR 5

Bars above the line = Western Caro. leads, below = Furman leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Furman

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
58%7/12
2
86%6/7
57%8/14
3
75%6/8
0%0/6
4
60%6/10
57%8/14
5
56%5/9
50%5/10
6
63%5/8
72%13/18
All
68%34/50
55%41/74

Western Caro.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%6/16
29%2/7
2
60%6/10
14%1/7
3
67%6/9
33%3/9
4
50%6/12
14%1/7
5
38%5/13
33%3/9
6
29%4/14
55%6/11
All
45%33/74
32%16/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#FURMAN-W CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FURMANW CARKillKatie Boneyset Samantha Kranzler+1.8
20-2W CARW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+2.5
31-2W CARFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.7
42-2FURMANFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+2.5
52-3FURMANW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+1.9
62-4W CARW CARAceWestern Caro.aced Kennedy Seekford+2.6
73-4W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+1.8
83-5FURMANW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+2.0
94-5W CARFURMANBlockedTatum Sharpblk Kacie Moore+1.9
105-5FURMANFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+2.7
115-6FURMANW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+2.0
126-6W CARFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+2.0
136-7FURMANW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.1
147-7W CARFURMAN×9KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+2.0
158-7FURMANFURMAN×9AceFurman+2.9
169-7FURMANFURMAN×9BlockedZoe Zudansblk Tennyson Gorman, Emily Navarro+2.8
1710-7FURMANFURMAN×9KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+2.6
1811-7FURMANFURMAN×9KillEmily Navarroset Campbell Woods+2.3
1912-7FURMANFURMAN×9KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.9
2013-7FURMANFURMAN×9AceFurmanaced Ashlyn Cobb+1.5
2114-7FURMANFURMAN×9KillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+1.2
2215-7FURMANFURMAN×9KillEmily Navarroset Katie Boney+0.8
2315-8FURMANW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.4
2416-8W CARFURMANServe errWestern Caro.+0.6
2516-9FURMANW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+0.4
2617-9W CARFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.5
2717-10FURMANW CARAttack errIzzy Castelloe+0.3
2818-10W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Izzy Castelloe+0.5
2918-11FURMANW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Morgan Baldridge+0.3
3019-11W CARFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+0.4
3119-12FURMANW CAR×4KillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+0.2
3219-13W CARW CAR×4KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.5
3319-14W CARW CAR×4AceWestern Caro.+0.8
3419-15W CARW CAR×4AceWestern Caro.aced Amber Watson+1.3
3520-15W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+1.4
3620-16FURMANW CARServe errFurman+0.9
3721-16W CARFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Kennedy Seekford+1.3
3821-17FURMANW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+0.8
3921-18W CARW CARBlockedIzzy Castelloeblk Katie Boney, JoJo Abeyta+1.7
4022-18W CARFURMAN×4KillMorgan Baldridgeset Lauren Haynes+1.9
4123-18FURMANFURMAN×4AceFurman+1.5
4224-18FURMANFURMAN×4KillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+0.6
4325-18FURMANFURMAN×4KillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+0.1
Set 2
11-0W CARFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.6
22-0FURMANFURMAN×3KillLauren Haynesset Katie Boney+2.1
33-0FURMANFURMAN×3Bad setJoJo Abeyta+2.0
43-1FURMANW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+1.4
54-1W CARFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.5
64-2FURMANW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.4
75-2W CARFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford+1.5
86-2FURMANFURMANBlockedSamantha Kranzlerblk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods+1.9
96-3FURMANW CARServe errFurman+1.3
106-4W CARW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.0
117-4W CARFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.6
128-4FURMANFURMANAttack errSamantha Kranzler+2.0
138-5FURMANW CARAttack errCampbell Woods+1.3
149-5W CARFURMAN×4Attack errZoe Zudans+1.5
1510-5FURMANFURMAN×4KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.7
1611-5FURMANFURMAN×4AceFurmanaced Halley Tang+1.4
1712-5FURMANFURMAN×4KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.1
1812-6FURMANW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.6
1912-7W CARW CARBlockedTennyson Gormanblk JoJo Abeyta+1.1
2013-7W CARFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.0
2114-7FURMANFURMANBlockedZoe Zudansblk Izzy Castelloe, Tennyson Gorman+1.1
2214-8FURMANW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+0.6
2314-9W CARW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.1
2415-9W CARFURMAN×3Attack errAshlyn Cobb+1.0
2516-9FURMANFURMAN×3KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+1.0
2617-9FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedJoJo Abeytablk Kacie Moore+0.7
2717-10FURMANW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+0.3
2818-10W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+0.4
2918-11FURMANW CAR×3KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.3
3018-12W CARW CAR×3KillTaylor Baggettset Katie Boney+0.5
3118-13W CARW CAR×3Attack errCampbell Woods+0.9
3219-13W CARFURMAN×3KillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+0.9
3320-13FURMANFURMAN×3AceFurman+0.7
3421-13FURMANFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+0.4
3521-14FURMANW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.1
3622-14W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.2
3722-15FURMANW CARAttack errAmber Watson+0.1
3823-15W CARFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+0.1
3924-15FURMANFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+0.1
4024-16FURMANW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney·
4124-17W CARW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney·
4225-17W CARFURMANServe errWestern Caro.·
Set 3
11-0FURMANFURMANBlockedTatum Sharpblk Lauren Haynes+1.3
21-1FURMANW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.0
32-1W CARFURMAN×3Attack errSamantha Kranzler+1.0
43-1FURMANFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+1.3
54-1FURMANFURMAN×3KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+1.2
64-2FURMANW CARAttack errKacie Moore+0.9
75-2W CARFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.9
85-3FURMANW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.9
96-3W CARFURMANServe errWestern Caro.+0.9
107-3FURMANFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.2
117-4FURMANW CARKillTaylor Baggettset Katie Boney+0.8
128-4W CARFURMAN×5KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+0.9
139-4FURMANFURMAN×5AceFurmanaced Elise Gurley+1.0
1410-4FURMANFURMAN×5AceFurmanaced Eda Yalçinkaya+0.9
1511-4FURMANFURMAN×5AceFurmanaced Eda Yalçinkaya+0.7
1612-4FURMANFURMAN×5Attack errAshlyn Cobb+0.5
1712-5FURMANW CAR×5KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.3
1812-6W CARW CAR×5Attack errTennyson Gorman+0.5
1912-7W CARW CAR×5KillTaylor Baggettset Elise Gurley+0.7
2012-8W CARW CAR×5Attack errCampbell Woods+0.9
2112-9W CARW CAR×5KillKatie Boney+1.1
2213-9W CARFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+0.9
2314-9FURMANFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+1.1
2414-10FURMANW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.6
2515-10W CARFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.8
2616-10FURMANFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+0.8
2717-10FURMANFURMAN×3AceFurmanaced Samantha Kranzler+0.6
2817-11FURMANW CARAttack errAshtan Dodson+0.3
2918-11W CARFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+0.4
3019-11FURMANFURMANAceFurman+0.3
3119-12FURMANW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+0.1
3220-12W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+0.2
3320-13FURMANW CARServe errFurman+0.1
3421-13W CARFURMAN×4KillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.2
3522-13FURMANFURMAN×4BlockedTaylor Baggettblk Campbell Woods, Kacie Moore+0.1
3623-13FURMANFURMAN×4AceFurmanaced Evelyn Keefer·
3724-13FURMANFURMAN×4KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro·
3824-14FURMANW CARServe errFurman·
3925-14W CARFURMANServe errWestern Caro.·

Score shown after each rally, Furman first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).