Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Western Caro. def. Furman 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Furman 65.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Caro. beat visiting Furman 3-1 (25-23, 16-25, 25-23, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Western Caro.'s Samantha Kranzler led with 13 kills.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
FURMAN232523231
W CAR251625253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Samantha Kranzler hit .423 on 26 swings as Western Caro. edged Furman.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Western Caro.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Furman at 65% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Furman 22–22 Western Caro.

    Western Caro. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and lead 2–1. The match swung to Western Caro.

    Western Caro. 39% → 67%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Furman 0–2 Western Caro.

    7 straight Furman points turned a 0–2 deficit into a 7–2 lead.

    Western Caro. 74% → 51%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Furman 14–11 Western Caro.

    Western Caro. scored 8 straight to turn an 11–14 deficit into a 19–14 lead.

    Western Caro. 54% → 94%

Western Caro. above 50Furman belowMax swing 16.8%

FurmanWestern Caro.

Sideout %
Furman 54.4·Western Caro. 52.6
Break %
Furman 47.4·Western Caro. 45.6
Hitting
Furman .280·Western Caro. .169
Longest run
Furman 8·Western Caro. 8

Samantha Kranzler
4 kills inside the turning points, 13 K and .423 for the match (13 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Western Caro. above 50 · Furman below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+16.8% W CARrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 16.8% to Western Caro. — set 4, FURMAN 23-25 W CAR. Kill by Samantha Kranzler (set by Morgan Baldridge). W CAR win probability 83% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FURMAN 61.0%39.0% W CAR

Furman wins

3-0
17.8%
3-1
23.3%
3-2
20.0%

Western Caro. wins

3-0
8.4%
3-1
14.2%
3-2
16.4%
FURMAN break %
44.4% vs this opp
W CAR break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Samantha Kranzler (set by Morgan Baldridge)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 23-25 W CAR · W CAR 83% → 100%

  2. 02
    Tennyson GormanKill+11.8%

    Kill by Tennyson Gorman (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 23-23 W CAR · FURMAN 17% → 28%

  3. 03
    FurmanService error+11.6%

    Furman service error

    Set 4 · FURMAN 23-24 W CAR · W CAR 72% → 83%

  4. 04

    Amber Watson stuffed by Aiyana Harris & Sophia Marini

    Set 3 · FURMAN 23-25 W CAR · W CAR 56% → 67%

  5. 05
    Sophia MariniKill+10.7%

    Kill by Sophia Marini (set by Aiyana Harris)

    Set 3 · FURMAN 22-24 W CAR · W CAR 50% → 61%

  6. 06
    Sophia MariniKill+10.6%

    Kill by Sophia Marini (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 3 · FURMAN 22-23 W CAR · W CAR 39% → 50%

  7. 07
    Sophia MariniKill+8.3%

    Kill by Sophia Marini (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 3 · FURMAN 22-22 W CAR · W CAR 31% → 39%

  8. 08
    Tatum SharpKill+7.8%

    Kill by Tatum Sharp (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 21-23 W CAR · W CAR 81% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Furmanaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412335.257115140233.516.5
411234.26512450031.514.5
48321.2380043018513
410220.40010000031.511.5
4001.0000021620000
4001.0002600300000
410426.2310000000010
4305.600013200426
4000–2311120003
4000–170030010.50.5
Team totals5414143.280487195763221494
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411734.11802312202114
48318.2780101004211
4405.8003711100010.55.5
4000–100900000
35623-.043000100005
2125-.200000000001
413226.42300013300013
4000–4211210002
3429.22210020010.54.5
24315.067100100215
2127-.143000300001
Team totals5127142.1694465647010591

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Furman vs Western Caro.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 FURMAN · W CAR 8

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 FURMANW CAR 3

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 8 FURMANW CAR 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 FURMANW CAR 5

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 7 FURMANW CAR 8

Bars above the line = Western Caro. leads, below = Furman leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Furman

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%9/27
59%10/17
2
82%9/11
61%14/23
3
56%9/16
47%8/17
4
64%9/14
10%1/10
5
62%8/13
40%6/15
6
56%5/9
46%6/13
All
54%49/90
47%45/95

Western Caro.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
36%9/25
53%8/15
2
45%9/20
57%12/21
3
69%9/13
25%3/12
4
64%9/14
53%10/19
5
62%8/13
38%5/13
6
60%6/10
30%3/10
All
53%50/95
46%41/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#FURMAN-W CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W CARW CAR×3Attack errTennyson Gorman+2.4
20-2W CARW CAR×3KillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+2.5
30-3W CARW CAR×3KillZoe Zudans+2.5
41-3W CARFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.7
51-4FURMANW CARKillKatie Boneyset Halley Tang+1.9
62-4W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+1.7
72-5FURMANW CARServe errFurman+1.9
83-5W CARFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+1.7
93-6FURMANW CARServe errFurman+2.0
103-7W CARW CARAttack errAmber Watson+2.5
114-7W CARFURMAN×3Serve errWestern Caro.+1.6
125-7FURMANFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+2.4
136-7FURMANFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+2.6
146-8FURMANW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Elise Gurley+2.1
157-8W CARFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+2.0
167-9FURMANW CARServe errFurman+2.2
177-10W CARW CARAceWestern Caro.aced Kennedy Seekford+2.9
188-10W CARFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.9
199-10FURMANFURMANAttack errZoe Zudans+2.8
209-11FURMANW CARAttack errLauren Haynes+2.3
2110-11W CARFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+2.1
2211-11FURMANFURMAN×3Bad setKatie Boney+3.1
2312-11FURMANFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+3.1
2412-12FURMANW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+2.3
2512-13W CARW CARKillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+3.4
2613-13W CARFURMANServe errWestern Caro.+2.4
2713-14FURMANW CARServe errFurman+2.6
2814-14W CARFURMANBlockedPeri Subatblk Lauren Haynes+2.5
2914-15FURMANW CARServe errFurman+2.7
3014-16W CARW CARKillTatum Sharp+3.8
3115-16W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+2.5
3215-17FURMANW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+3.0
3315-18W CARW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+3.8
3416-18W CARFURMAN×3KillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+2.2
3517-18FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Tennyson Gorman, Emily Navarro+3.8
3618-18FURMANFURMAN×3AceFurman+4.3
3718-19FURMANW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+3.5
3818-20W CARW CARBad setMorgan Baldridge+4.8
3919-20W CARFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+3.0
4019-21FURMANW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+3.9
4120-21W CARFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+3.2
4220-22FURMANW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+4.3
4321-22W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+3.3
4421-23FURMANW CARServe errFurman+4.9
4522-23W CARFURMANBlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods+3.4
4622-24FURMANW CARServe errFurman+5.8
4723-24W CARFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+3.2
4823-25FURMANW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+7.8
Set 2
11-0FURMANFURMANAttack errZoe Zudans+2.7
22-0FURMANFURMANAttack errZoe Zudans+2.6
32-1FURMANW CAR×3Attack errIzzy Castelloe+1.9
42-2W CARW CAR×3KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+2.8
52-3W CARW CAR×3KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+3.0
63-3W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+2.1
73-4FURMANW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+2.3
84-4W CARFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+2.2
95-4FURMANFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Lauren Haynes+3.0
105-5FURMANW CAR×3KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.2
115-6W CARW CAR×3BlockedKacie Mooreblk Tatum Sharp, Ashlyn Cobb+3.2
125-7W CARW CAR×3KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+3.3
136-7W CARFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+2.3
146-8FURMANW CARServe errFurman+2.5
157-8W CARFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+2.3
168-8FURMANFURMANKillTennyson Gorman+3.3
178-9FURMANW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.6
189-9W CARFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+2.5
1910-9FURMANFURMANBlockedJoJo Abeytablk Tennyson Gorman, Lauren Haynes+3.4
2010-10FURMANW CARServe errFurman+2.6
2111-10W CARFURMAN×8KillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford+2.6
2212-10FURMANFURMAN×8KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+3.4
2313-10FURMANFURMAN×8KillLauren Haynes+3.1
2414-10FURMANFURMAN×8Attack errJoJo Abeyta+2.6
2515-10FURMANFURMAN×8Attack errZoe Zudans+2.1
2616-10FURMANFURMAN×8BlockedZoe Zudansblk Kacie Moore, Izzy Castelloe+1.6
2717-10FURMANFURMAN×8KillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+1.1
2818-10FURMANFURMAN×8Attack errZoe Zudans+0.7
2918-11FURMANW CARServe errFurman+0.3
3018-12W CARW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Elise Gurley+0.6
3119-12W CARFURMANBlockedPeri Subatblk Lauren Haynes, Kacie Moore+0.7
3219-13FURMANW CARKillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+0.4
3320-13W CARFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+0.6
3420-14FURMANW CARServe errFurman+0.3
3521-14W CARFURMANBlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Campbell Woods, Kacie Moore+0.5
3621-15FURMANW CARServe errFurman+0.3
3722-15W CARFURMANServe errWestern Caro.+0.4
3823-15FURMANFURMANAttack errTatum Sharp+0.2
3923-16FURMANW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney·
4024-16W CARFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+0.1
4125-16FURMANFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge·
Set 3
10-1W CARW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+3.3
21-1W CARFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+2.3
32-1FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errTatum Sharp+3.2
43-1FURMANFURMAN×4BlockedSophia Mariniblk Kacie Moore, Lauren Haynes+3.0
54-1FURMANFURMAN×4BlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Kacie Moore, Izzy Castelloe+2.8
64-2FURMANW CARAttack errKacie Moore+2.0
75-2W CARFURMAN×5KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+2.1
86-2FURMANFURMAN×5BlockedTatum Sharpblk Lauren Haynes+2.6
97-2FURMANFURMAN×5Attack errAshlyn Cobb+2.3
108-2FURMANFURMAN×5KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+1.9
119-2FURMANFURMAN×5AceFurmanaced Samantha Kranzler+1.5
129-3FURMANW CARServe errFurman+0.9
1310-3W CARFURMANServe errWestern Caro.+1.1
1410-4FURMANW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+0.9
1511-4W CARFURMANBlockedAiyana Harrisblk Kacie Moore+1.1
1611-5FURMANW CARServe errFurman+0.8
1712-5W CARFURMANBlockedSamantha Kranzlerblk Tennyson Gorman, Campbell Woods+1.1
1813-5FURMANFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Tennyson Gorman+1.0
1913-6FURMANW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+0.6
2013-7W CARW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.1
2114-7W CARFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+1.0
2214-8FURMANW CAR×4Serve errFurman+0.8
2314-9W CARW CAR×4KillTatum Sharpset Elise Gurley+1.4
2414-10W CARW CAR×4BlockedLauren Haynesblk Tatum Sharp, Sophia Marini+2.0
2514-11W CARW CAR×4BlockedTennyson Gormanblk Ashlyn Cobb, Tatum Sharp+2.6
2615-11W CARFURMAN×3KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+2.3
2716-11FURMANFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+2.5
2817-11FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errSophia Marini+1.8
2917-12FURMANW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.9
3018-12W CARFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.3
3118-13FURMANW CAR×3KillKatie Boneyset Morgan Baldridge+0.9
3218-14W CARW CAR×3Attack errLauren Haynes+1.7
3318-15W CARW CAR×3AceWestern Caro.aced Kennedy Seekford+2.5
3419-15W CARFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+2.4
3519-16FURMANW CAR×4BlockedAmber Watsonblk Katie Boney, Tatum Sharp+1.8
3619-17W CARW CAR×4AceWestern Caro.+3.6
3719-18W CARW CAR×4KillKatie Boney+4.9
3819-19W CARW CAR×4Attack errAmber Watson+6.2
3920-19W CARFURMAN×3KillCampbell Woodsset Kennedy Seekford+4.9
4021-19FURMANFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+6.3
4122-19FURMANFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+5.1
4222-20FURMANW CAR×5KillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+2.5
4322-21W CARW CAR×5KillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+5.6
4422-22W CARW CAR×5KillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+8.3
4522-23W CARW CAR×5KillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+10.6
4622-24W CARW CAR×5KillSophia Mariniset Aiyana Harris+10.7
4723-24W CARFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+4.4
4823-25FURMANW CARBlockedAmber Watsonblk Aiyana Harris, Sophia Marini+10.7
Set 4
10-1FURMANW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+2.8
20-2W CARW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+3.9
31-2W CARFURMAN×7KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+2.7
42-2FURMANFURMAN×7KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+3.8
53-2FURMANFURMAN×7AceFurmanaced Samantha Kranzler+3.8
64-2FURMANFURMAN×7Attack errSamantha Kranzler+3.6
75-2FURMANFURMAN×7KillIzzy Castelloe+3.4
86-2FURMANFURMAN×7Attack errAiyana Harris+3.0
97-2FURMANFURMAN×7AceFurmanaced Ashlyn Cobb+2.6
107-3FURMANW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+1.7
117-4W CARW CARAttack errKacie Moore+2.8
128-4W CARFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+2.3
139-4FURMANFURMANAceFurmanaced Elise Gurley+2.7
149-5FURMANW CAR×4KillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+1.7
159-6W CARW CAR×4AceWestern Caro.aced Ashtan Dodson+2.9
169-7W CARW CAR×4KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+3.4
179-8W CARW CAR×4AceWestern Caro.+4.0
1810-8W CARFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+3.1
1911-8FURMANFURMANAceFurmanaced Samantha Kranzler+3.9
2011-9FURMANW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Elise Gurley+2.7
2112-9W CARFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Izzy Castelloe+2.9
2212-10FURMANW CARServe errFurman+2.7
2313-10W CARFURMANServe errWestern Caro.+3.0
2413-11FURMANW CARServe errFurman+2.8
2514-11W CARFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+3.1
2614-12FURMANW CAR×8KillKatie Boneyset Katie Boney+2.8
2714-13W CARW CAR×8KillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+4.6
2814-14W CARW CAR×8KillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+5.4
2914-15W CARW CAR×8KillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+5.9
3014-16W CARW CAR×8Attack errIzzy Castelloe+6.1
3114-17W CARW CAR×8AceWestern Caro.aced Ashtan Dodson+5.8
3214-18W CARW CAR×8KillAiyana Harrisset Sophia Marini+5.1
3314-19W CARW CAR×8KillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+4.0
3415-19W CARFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+1.9
3516-19FURMANFURMANAceFurmanaced Ashlyn Cobb+3.7
3616-20FURMANW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+3.9
3717-20W CARFURMAN×3BlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Kacie Moore, Izzy Castelloe+2.6
3818-20FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errSophia Marini+5.0
3919-20FURMANFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+6.6
4019-21FURMANW CARKillAiyana Harrisset Katie Boney+6.3
4120-21W CARFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+5.1
4220-22FURMANW CARServe errFurman+6.9
4321-22W CARFURMANBlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods+5.3
4421-23FURMANW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+7.8
4522-23W CARFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+5.4
4623-23FURMANFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+11.8
4723-24FURMANW CARServe errFurman+11.6
4823-25W CARW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Morgan Baldridge+16.8

Score shown after each rally, Furman first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).