Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Chattanooga def. Western Caro. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Caro. 53.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Chattanooga beat visiting Western Caro. 3-1 (21-25, 25-19, 25-15, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Chattanooga's Gracie Rose led with 11 kills, and Caiti Barthel added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
W CAR251915141
CHAT212525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Gracie Rose, and Chattanooga needed each of them.

The match turned twice; each line shows Chattanooga's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ had Western Caro. at 54% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Western Caro. 14–12 Chattanooga

    Chattanooga scored 6 straight to turn a 12–14 deficit into an 18–14 lead.

    Chattanooga 22% → 42%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Western Caro. 11–12 Chattanooga

    Up 12–11, Chattanooga scored 8 straight to make it 20–11.

    Chattanooga 52% → 73%

Chattanooga above 50Western Caro. belowMax swing 4.4%

Western Caro.Chattanooga

Sideout %
Western Caro. 50.5·Chattanooga 66.2
Break %
Western Caro. 33.8·Chattanooga 49.5
Hitting
Western Caro. .113·Chattanooga .224
Longest run
Western Caro. 5·Chattanooga 8

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Chattanooga above 50 · Western Caro. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.4% W CARrally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.4% to Western Caro. — set 1, W CAR 23-20 CHAT. Kill by Zoe Zudans (set by Katie Boney). CHAT win probability 36% → 32%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W CAR 53.3%46.7% CHAT

Western Caro. wins

3-0
13.9%
3-1
20.1%
3-2
19.2%

Chattanooga wins

3-0
11.2%
3-1
17.4%
3-2
18.2%
W CAR break %
44.4% vs this opp
CHAT break %
43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Zoe ZudansKill+4.4%

    Kill by Zoe Zudans (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 1 · W CAR 23-20 CHAT · W CAR 64% → 68%

  2. 02
    Ryan OdenService error+4.3%

    Service error by Ryan Oden

    Set 1 · W CAR 22-20 CHAT · W CAR 60% → 64%

  3. 03

    Kill by Elena Vukmanov (set by Caiti Barthel)

    Set 3 · W CAR 11-14 CHAT · CHAT 56% → 60%

  4. 04

    Ace by Ashley Reynolds on Samantha Kranzler

    Set 1 · W CAR 20-19 CHAT · CHAT 37% → 41%

  5. 05
    Zoe ZudansKill+3.9%

    Kill by Zoe Zudans (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 1 · W CAR 21-19 CHAT · W CAR 59% → 63%

  6. 06

    Samantha Kranzler stuffed by Ashley Reynolds & Jordin Glass

    Set 3 · W CAR 7-9 CHAT · CHAT 51% → 55%

  7. 07

    Ashlyn Cobb stuffed by Jordin Glass & Sophia Garrido

    Set 3 · W CAR 11-15 CHAT · CHAT 60% → 64%

  8. 08
    Tatum SharpKill+3.7%

    Kill by Tatum Sharp (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 3 · W CAR 7-7 CHAT · W CAR 48% → 52%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410448.12500051010.510.5
47724.000001630218
47215.333001601018
46627.000001630006
42214.00000020233.55.5
4507.71432011600005
4105.2003232010003
4002.0001211000002
2316.333000000003
1115.000000000001
1004.000000201011
1012-.500000000000
1000–000200000
Team totals4224159.113364875946773
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411435.20005250010.516.5
48322.2270113016413
49319.31600020073.512.5
49218.38900030052.511.5
410337.18920012100010
4205.40032311300216
4124-.25000010010.51.5
41011.000701400001
4003.0008012110000
4000–100400000
3000–000810000
1118.000001500001
1000–001310000
Team totals5218152.22450988441221296

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Caro. vs Chattanooga

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 W CAR · CHAT 8

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 W CARCHAT 2

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 5 W CARCHAT 6

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 W CARCHAT 8

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 2 W CARCHAT 4

Bars above the line = Chattanooga leads, below = Western Caro. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Caro.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%10/25
0%0/8
2
56%9/16
38%6/16
3
50%9/18
31%4/13
4
47%8/17
11%1/9
5
60%6/10
56%10/18
6
67%6/9
40%4/10
All
51%48/95
34%25/74

Chattanooga

SlotSideout %Break %
1
91%10/11
43%6/14
2
53%10/19
60%15/25
3
89%8/9
57%12/21
4
50%8/16
43%6/14
5
70%7/10
50%7/14
6
67%6/9
14%1/7
All
66%49/74
49%47/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#W CAR-CHATSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CHATCHATAceAshley Reynoldsaced Samantha Kranzler+2.4
21-1CHATW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.9
31-2W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.9
41-3CHATCHATKillSophia Garridoset Caiti Barthel+2.5
52-3CHATW CARBlockedSophia Garridoblk JoJo Abeyta, Zoe Zudans+1.9
63-3W CARW CARAttack errElena Vukmanov+2.5
73-4W CARCHATServe errKatie Boney+2.0
84-4CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+2.0
94-5W CARCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+2.1
105-5CHATW CARBlockedElena Vukmanovblk Ashlyn Cobb, JoJo Abeyta+2.1
116-5W CARW CARKillElise Gurleyset Ashley Reynolds+2.7
126-6W CARCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+2.1
136-7CHATCHATBlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Jordin Glass, Gracie Rose+2.8
147-7CHATW CARAttack errJordin Glass+2.2
158-7W CARW CARKillKatie Boneyset Elise Gurley+2.8
168-8W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.2
179-8CHATW CARKillKatie Boney+2.3
189-9W CARCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+2.3
1910-9CHATW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.4
2010-10W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.4
2111-10CHATW CAR×3KillKatie Boneyset Ashley Reynolds+2.4
2212-10W CARW CAR×3BlockedElena Vukmanovblk Ashlyn Cobb, JoJo Abeyta+3.1
2313-10W CARW CAR×3KillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+2.9
2413-11W CARCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+2.0
2513-12CHATCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+3.0
2614-12CHATW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+2.6
2714-13W CARCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+2.5
2814-14CHATCHATAttack errAshlyn Cobb+3.5
2915-14CHATW CAR×4KillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+2.9
3016-14W CARW CAR×4AceElise Gurleyaced Ryan Oden+3.6
3117-14W CARW CAR×4Attack errBailey Burgess+3.3
3218-14W CARW CAR×4KillSamantha Kranzlerset Elise Gurley+2.8
3318-15W CARCHATServe errElise Gurley+1.7
3418-16CHATCHATBlockedTatum Sharpblk Bailey Burgess, Jordin Glass+2.9
3519-16CHATW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+2.8
3619-17W CARCHATAttack errSamantha Kranzler+2.3
3720-17CHATW CARKillKatie Boneyset Katie Boney+3.0
3820-18W CARCHATKillBailey Burgessset Mallory Merz+2.3
3920-19CHATCHATAceAshley Reynoldsaced Samantha Kranzler+4.0
4021-19CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+3.9
4121-20W CARCHATKillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+3.3
4222-20CHATW CARServe errRyan Oden+4.3
4323-20W CARW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+4.4
4423-21W CARCHATAttack errJoJo Abeyta+2.0
4524-21CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+3.5
4625-21W CARW CARAceHalley Tangaced Elena Vukmanov+1.8
Set 2
10-1W CARCHAT×4KillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.8
20-2CHATCHAT×4BlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Sophia Garrido+2.4
30-3CHATCHAT×4Attack errZoe Zudans+2.3
40-4CHATCHAT×4AceGracie Roseaced Ashlyn Cobb+2.2
51-4CHATW CAR×5BlockedKynli Kirkendollblk JoJo Abeyta+1.5
62-4W CARW CAR×5KillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+2.2
73-4W CARW CAR×5Attack errSophia Garrido+2.4
84-4W CARW CAR×5Attack errDelaney Wingenbach+2.5
95-4W CARW CAR×5AceHalley Tangaced Finley Hilliard+2.5
105-5W CARCHATAttack errSamantha Kranzler+2.0
116-5CHATW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+2.0
126-6W CARCHATServe errElise Gurley+2.0
137-6CHATW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+2.1
147-7W CARCHAT×3KillDelaney Wingenbachset Caiti Barthel+2.1
157-8CHATCHAT×3Attack errTatum Sharp+2.8
167-9CHATCHAT×3KillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.8
178-9CHATW CARServe errDelaney Wingenbach+2.1
189-9W CARW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+2.8
199-10W CARCHATServe errSamantha Kranzler+2.3
209-11CHATCHATAceJordin Glassaced Samantha Kranzler+3.0
2110-11CHATW CAR×4KillKatie Boney+2.2
2211-11W CARW CAR×4Attack errGracie Rose+3.0
2312-11W CARW CAR×4KillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+3.1
2413-11W CARW CAR×4KillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+3.1
2513-12W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.3
2614-12CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+2.5
2714-13W CARCHAT×6KillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+2.4
2814-14CHATCHAT×6AceGracie Roseaced Elise Gurley+3.4
2914-15CHATCHAT×6Attack errSophia Marini+3.6
3014-16CHATCHAT×6BlockedSamantha Kranzlerblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Sophia Garrido+3.6
3114-17CHATCHAT×6AceGracie Rose+3.4
3214-18CHATCHAT×6Bad setKatie Boney+2.9
3315-18CHATW CARAttack errSophia Garrido+1.7
3415-19W CARCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+2.3
3515-20CHATCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+2.2
3616-20CHATW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Halley Tang+1.1
3716-21W CARCHATKillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+1.7
3816-22CHATCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Mallory Merz+1.3
3917-22CHATW CARServe errMallory Merz+0.5
4017-23W CARCHATServe errAshlyn Cobb+0.8
4117-24CHATCHATKillMallory Merzset Elena Vukmanov+0.4
4218-24CHATW CARAttack errJordin Glass+0.1
4319-24W CARW CARBlockedBailey Burgessblk Tatum Sharp+0.2
4419-25W CARCHATKillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+0.3
Set 3
10-1CHATCHATAceAshley Reynoldsaced Ashlyn Cobb+3.3
21-1CHATW CARServe errAshley Reynolds+2.5
32-1W CARW CARAttack errGracie Rose+3.3
42-2W CARCHAT×3KillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.6
52-3CHATCHAT×3BlockedZoe Zudansblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Sophia Garrido+3.4
62-4CHATCHAT×3BlockedZoe Zudansblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Sophia Garrido+3.4
73-4CHATW CARServe errGracie Rose+2.6
83-5W CARCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+2.7
94-5CHATW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+2.6
104-6W CARCHATServe errHalley Tang+2.8
114-7CHATCHATBlockedSamantha Kranzlerblk Jordin Glass, Ashley Reynolds+3.5
125-7CHATW CAR×3KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+2.5
136-7W CARW CAR×3AceElise Gurleyaced Caiti Barthel+3.5
147-7W CARW CAR×3KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+3.7
157-8W CARCHATServe errElise Gurley+3.0
167-9CHATCHATBlockedSamantha Kranzlerblk Ashley Reynolds, Jordin Glass+3.9
178-9CHATW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+2.9
188-10W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+3.1
199-10CHATW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+3.0
209-11W CARCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+3.2
2110-11CHATW CARAttack errGracie Rose+3.0
2210-12W CARCHATServe errTatum Sharp+3.3
2311-12CHATW CARAttack errKynli Kirkendoll+3.1
2411-13W CARCHAT×8KillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+3.4
2511-14CHATCHAT×8KillElena Vukmanovset Caiti Barthel+4.2
2611-15CHATCHAT×8BlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Jordin Glass, Sophia Garrido+3.8
2711-16CHATCHAT×8Attack errAshlyn Cobb+3.2
2811-17CHATCHAT×8KillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+2.4
2911-18CHATCHAT×8Attack errZoe Zudans+1.7
3011-19CHATCHAT×8KillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+1.1
3111-20CHATCHAT×8KillJordin Glass+0.6
3212-20CHATW CARServe errCaiti Barthel+0.2
3312-21W CARCHAT×4KillElena Vukmanovset Caiti Barthel+0.4
3412-22CHATCHAT×4Attack errSamantha Kranzler+0.2
3512-23CHATCHAT×4KillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+0.1
3612-24CHATCHAT×4KillElena Vukmanovset Mallory Merz·
3713-24CHATW CAR×3KillPeri Subatset Katie Boney·
3814-24W CARW CAR×3Bad setMallory Merz·
3915-24W CARW CAR×3BlockedJordin Glassblk Taylor Baggett·
4015-25W CARCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Mallory Merz·
Set 4
10-1W CARCHATBlockedJoJo Abeytablk Kynli Kirkendoll, Sophia Garrido+2.6
20-2CHATCHATKillSophia Garridoset Elena Vukmanov+3.4
31-2CHATW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+2.5
41-3W CARCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+2.7
52-3CHATW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+2.6
62-4W CARCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+2.8
73-4CHATW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+2.7
83-5W CARCHATKillAshley Reynoldsset Caroline Peterson+2.8
94-5CHATW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.7
104-6W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.9
115-6CHATW CARServe errJordin Glass+2.8
125-7W CARCHAT×3KillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+3.0
135-8CHATCHAT×3Attack errAshlyn Cobb+3.7
145-9CHATCHAT×3KillGracie Roseset Caiti Barthel+3.4
156-9CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+2.4
166-10W CARCHAT×4KillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.7
176-11CHATCHAT×4Attack errPeri Subat+3.1
186-12CHATCHAT×4AceGracie Roseaced Ashlyn Cobb+2.6
196-13CHATCHAT×4AceGracie Roseaced Zoe Zudans+2.1
207-13CHATW CARServe errGracie Rose+1.2
218-13W CARW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+2.0
228-14W CARCHAT×3KillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+2.1
238-15CHATCHAT×3KillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+2.0
248-16CHATCHAT×3BlockedAiyana Harrisblk Jordin Glass+1.5
259-16CHATW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+0.7
269-17W CARCHATKillSophia Garridoset Caiti Barthel+1.1
2710-17CHATW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.7
2810-18W CARCHATKillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+1.0
2910-19CHATCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Caiti Barthel+0.8
3011-19CHATW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.3
3111-20W CARCHATBad setKatie Boney+0.5
3212-20CHATW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.2
3312-21W CARCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+0.4
3412-22CHATCHATBad setKatie Boney+0.2
3513-22CHATW CARAttack errGracie Rose+0.1
3613-23W CARCHATKillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+0.1
3714-23CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney·
3814-24W CARCHATKillAshley Reynoldsset Caiti Barthel+0.1
3914-25CHATCHATBlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Jordin Glass, Sophia Garrido·

Score shown after each rally, Western Caro. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).