FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Western Caro. def. Chattanooga 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Chattanooga 51.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 2:06 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Caro. won at Chattanooga 3-0 (25-18, 25-12, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Western Caro.'s Tatum Sharp led with 12 kills, and Ashlyn Cobb added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
W CAR2525253
CHAT1812210

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Tatum Sharp hit .440 with 12 kills as Western Caro. rolled past Chattanooga.

Win probability never moved more than 3.6 points on one rally; Chattanooga topped out at 50% in Set 1. Chattanooga went in at 52% by RallyIQ.

Western Caro.Chattanooga
  • Break %+20.4 pts
    56.235.8

    On serve: 41/73 against 19/53 (Chattanooga sideout 43.8%).

  • Hitting+.139
    .203.064

    Kills and errors: 42–16 vs 29–21.

  • Longest run+0
    66

    Down 6–8 in the third set, Western Caro. scored 6 straight to lead 12–8. The set finished 25–21.

Chattanooga above 50Western Caro. belowMax swing 3.6%

Western Caro.Chattanooga

Aces
Western Caro. 6·Chattanooga 0
Serve err
Western Caro. 5·Chattanooga 6
Blocks
Western Caro. 7·Chattanooga 81 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Western Caro. 72·Chattanooga 60

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Chattanooga above 50 · Western Caro. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.6% W CARrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Western Caro. — set 3, W CAR 21-19 CHAT. Gracie Rose stuffed by Katie Boney & JoJo Abeyta. CHAT win probability 10% → 6%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W CAR 53.4%46.6% CHAT

Western Caro. wins

3-0
14.0%
3-1
20.2%
3-2
19.2%

Chattanooga wins

3-0
11.1%
3-1
17.3%
3-2
18.1%
W CAR break %
44.4% vs this opp
CHAT break %
43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Gracie Rose stuffed by Katie Boney & JoJo Abeyta

    Set 3 · W CAR 21-19 CHAT · W CAR 90% → 94%

  2. 02
    Tatum SharpKill+3.3%

    Kill by Tatum Sharp (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 3 · W CAR 19-18 CHAT · W CAR 86% → 90%

  3. 03
    JoJo AbeytaKill+3.0%

    Kill by JoJo Abeyta (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 3 · W CAR 22-19 CHAT · W CAR 94% → 97%

  4. 04
    Western Caro.Ace+2.9%

    Western Caro. ace on Finley Hilliard

    Set 2 · W CAR 8-6 CHAT · W CAR 70% → 73%

  5. 05
    Zoe ZudansKill+2.8%

    Kill by Zoe Zudans (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 3 · W CAR 20-19 CHAT · W CAR 87% → 90%

  6. 06

    Kill by Sophia Garrido (set by Ashley Reynolds)

    Set 2 · W CAR 6-6 CHAT · CHAT 29% → 32%

  7. 07
    Kynli KirkendollAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Kynli Kirkendoll

    Set 2 · W CAR 9-6 CHAT · W CAR 73% → 76%

  8. 08

    Destiny Wiggins stuffed by Ashlyn Cobb & Tatum Sharp

    Set 3 · W CAR 16-16 CHAT · W CAR 84% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312125.4400228012216
39534.118022130010.511.5
36311.273000100428
3115.000312090031.54.5
33413-.07700040010.53.5
3003.0000001100000
310230.26700050010.510.5
3003.000300900000
3002.0002011200000
1102.500000000001
Team totals4216128.2033665720112775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38525.120002400008
35315.133201300638
35222.13610030111.56.5
3215.200130030010.52.5
23310.000000100003
22419-.1050001020002
33116.125000300214
3002.0001001500000
3001.0001001600000
3000–000510000
2017-.14300231031.51.5
2113.00000000010.51.5
2000–100410000
1000–000010000
Team totals2921125.0642806606114851

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Caro. vs Chattanooga

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 W CAR · CHAT 6

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 W CARCHAT 3

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 5 W CARCHAT 2

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 W CARCHAT 6

Bars above the line = Chattanooga leads, below = Western Caro. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Caro.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
55%6/11
2
86%6/7
65%11/17
3
60%6/10
54%7/13
4
67%6/9
63%10/16
5
100%5/5
55%6/11
6
36%4/11
20%1/5
All
64%34/53
56%41/73

Chattanooga

SlotSideout %Break %
1
29%6/21
33%3/9
2
86%6/7
25%2/8
3
29%6/21
40%4/10
4
60%6/10
25%2/8
5
57%4/7
14%1/7
6
57%4/7
64%7/11
All
44%32/73
36%19/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#W CAR-CHATSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CHATW CAR×5Attack errSophia Garrido+1.9
22-0W CARW CAR×5KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.4
33-0W CARW CAR×5KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.4
44-0W CARW CAR×5KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.2
55-0W CARW CAR×5BlockedSophia Garridoblk Tatum Sharp+2.1
65-1W CARCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.4
76-1CHATW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.6
86-2W CARCHATKillAshley Reynolds+1.4
97-2CHATW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.6
107-3W CARCHAT×3KillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+1.4
117-4CHATCHAT×3KillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+2.1
127-5CHATCHAT×3Attack errKatie Boney+2.4
138-5CHATW CAR×4Attack errElena Vukmanov+2.0
149-5W CARW CAR×4AceWestern Caro.aced Caroline Peterson+2.5
1510-5W CARW CAR×4KillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+2.2
1611-5W CARW CAR×4BlockedElena Vukmanovblk JoJo Abeyta, Sophia Marini+1.9
1711-6W CARCHATKillAshley Reynoldsset Caroline Peterson+1.2
1812-6CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+1.4
1912-7W CARCHATBlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Jordin Glass, Ashley Reynolds+1.1
2013-7CHATW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.4
2113-8W CARCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.1
2213-9CHATCHATBlockedTatum Sharpblk Kynli Kirkendoll+1.8
2314-9CHATW CAR×3KillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+1.8
2415-9W CARW CAR×3Attack errAshley Reynolds+1.8
2516-9W CARW CAR×3KillAshlyn Cobbset Halley Tang+1.4
2616-10W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+0.7
2716-11CHATCHATKillSophia Garridoset Kynli Kirkendoll+1.3
2817-11CHATW CARServe errChattanooga+1.4
2917-12W CARCHATServe errWestern Caro.+1.0
3018-12CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+1.3
3119-12W CARW CARBlockedSophia Garridoblk Zoe Zudans, JoJo Abeyta+1.2
3219-13W CARCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+0.5
3320-13CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+0.8
3420-14W CARCHATAttack errJoJo Abeyta+0.4
3521-14CHATW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+0.7
3621-15W CARCHAT×3KillBailey Burgessset Mallory Merz+0.4
3721-16CHATCHAT×3KillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+0.8
3821-17CHATCHAT×3Attack errAshlyn Cobb+1.3
3922-17CHATW CARServe errChattanooga+1.6
4023-17W CARW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.1
4123-18W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+0.3
4224-18CHATW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+0.6
4325-18W CARW CARBlockedGracie Roseblk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney+0.2
Set 2
10-1W CARCHATKillBailey Burgessset Mallory Merz+1.9
20-2CHATCHATAttack errSophia Marini+2.5
31-2CHATW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.8
41-3W CARCHATKillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+1.9
52-3CHATW CAR×3KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.9
63-3W CARW CAR×3Attack errElena Vukmanov+2.6
74-3W CARW CAR×3Attack errGracie Rose+2.6
84-4W CARCHATAttack errZoe Zudans+2.0
95-4CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Ashley Reynolds+2.1
106-4W CARW CARAceWestern Caro.aced Elena Vukmanov+2.7
116-5W CARCHATServe errWestern Caro.+2.0
126-6CHATCHATKillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+2.8
137-6CHATW CAR×4KillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+2.2
148-6W CARW CAR×4AceWestern Caro.aced Finley Hilliard+2.9
159-6W CARW CAR×4Attack errKynli Kirkendoll+2.7
1610-6W CARW CAR×4KillJoJo Abeytaset Ashley Reynolds+2.5
1710-7W CARCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+1.7
1811-7CHATW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+2.0
1912-7W CARW CARAttack errJordin Glass+2.3
2012-8W CARCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+1.5
2113-8CHATW CAR×5Attack errJordin Glass+1.8
2214-8W CARW CAR×5KillTatum Sharp+1.9
2315-8W CARW CAR×5Attack errElena Vukmanov+1.4
2416-8W CARW CAR×5KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.0
2517-8W CARW CAR×5KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.7
2617-9W CARCHATAttack errSophia Marini+0.3
2718-9CHATW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.5
2818-10W CARCHATKillBailey Burgessset Mallory Merz+0.3
2919-10CHATW CAR×5KillKatie Boney+0.4
3020-10W CARW CAR×5KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.3
3121-10W CARW CAR×5AceWestern Caro.aced Elena Vukmanov+0.1
3222-10W CARW CAR×5KillTatum Sharp·
3323-10W CARW CAR×5AceWestern Caro.aced Ryan Oden·
3423-11W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Caiti Barthel·
3524-11CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney·
3624-12W CARCHATServe errWestern Caro.·
3725-12CHATW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney·
Set 3
10-1CHATCHATBlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Bailey Burgess, Jordin Glass+1.7
20-2CHATCHATBad setKatie Boney+1.7
31-2CHATW CAR×5Serve errChattanooga+1.3
42-2W CARW CAR×5KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.7
53-2W CARW CAR×5KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.8
64-2W CARW CAR×5Attack errJordin Glass+1.8
75-2W CARW CAR×5KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.7
85-3W CARCHATAttack errAshlyn Cobb+1.2
96-3CHATW CARServe errChattanooga+1.4
106-4W CARCHAT×5Serve errWestern Caro.+1.3
116-5CHATCHAT×5KillGracie Roseset Jordin Glass+1.8
126-6CHATCHAT×5BlockedZoe Zudansblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Bailey Burgess+1.9
136-7CHATCHAT×5KillGracie Roseset Jordin Glass+2.0
146-8CHATCHAT×5KillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+1.9
157-8CHATW CAR×6KillZoe Zudans+1.4
168-8W CARW CAR×6KillZoe Zudansset Halley Tang+2.0
179-8W CARW CAR×6AceWestern Caro.aced Delaney Wingenbach+2.1
1810-8W CARW CAR×6Attack errDelaney Wingenbach+2.1
1911-8W CARW CAR×6BlockedGracie Roseblk JoJo Abeyta, Katie Boney+2.0
2012-8W CARW CAR×6Attack errBailey Burgess+1.8
2112-9W CARCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+1.2
2213-9CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Halley Tang+1.4
2313-10W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.2
2414-10CHATW CARServe errChattanooga+1.5
2514-11W CARCHAT×6KillDestiny Wigginsset Ashley Reynolds+1.2
2614-12CHATCHAT×6BlockedSophia Mariniblk Delaney Wingenbach, Jordin Glass+1.9
2714-13CHATCHAT×6KillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+2.2
2814-14CHATCHAT×6BlockedSophia Mariniblk Delaney Wingenbach, Jordin Glass+2.5
2914-15CHATCHAT×6BlockedJoJo Abeytablk Jordin Glass, Delaney Wingenbach+2.6
3014-16CHATCHAT×6BlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Jordin Glass, Destiny Wiggins+2.6
3115-16CHATW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.8
3216-16W CARW CARBlockedDestiny Wigginsblk Ashlyn Cobb, Tatum Sharp+2.7
3316-17W CARCHATServe errElise Gurley+2.2
3417-17CHATW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+2.2
3517-18W CARCHATKillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+2.4
3618-18CHATW CARServe errDelaney Wingenbach+2.4
3719-18W CARW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+3.3
3819-19W CARCHATKillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+2.6
3920-19CHATW CAR×4KillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+2.8
4021-19W CARW CAR×4BlockedGracie Roseblk Katie Boney, JoJo Abeyta+3.6
4122-19W CARW CAR×4KillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+3.0
4223-19W CARW CAR×4Attack errKynli Kirkendoll+2.1
4323-20W CARCHATAttack errJoJo Abeyta+0.8
4424-20CHATW CARAttack errGracie Rose+1.4
4524-21W CARCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+0.5
4625-21CHATW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+1.0

Score shown after each rally, Western Caro. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).