Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on No Livestream

George Mason def. Davidson 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Davidson 63.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

George Mason won at Davidson 3-1 (17-25, 25-23, 25-21, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. George Mason's Nia Thompson led with 19 kills, and Autumn Martinez-Robinson added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set1234Sets
GMU172525253
DAVID252321141

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Nia Thompson's 19 kills led George Mason past Davidson in a tight one.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are George Mason's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had Davidson at 63% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · George Mason 22–22 Davidson

    George Mason closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and level the match at 1–1.

    George Mason 24% → 40%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · George Mason 20–19 Davidson

    3 straight George Mason points stretched a 20–19 lead to 23–19.

    George Mason 50% → 66%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · George Mason 4–5 Davidson

    8 straight George Mason points turned a 4–5 deficit into a 12–5 lead.

    George Mason 65% → 94%

Davidson above 50George Mason belowMax swing 6.9%

George MasonDavidson

Sideout %
George Mason 59.5·Davidson 53.8
Break %
George Mason 46.2·Davidson 40.5
Hitting
George Mason .238·Davidson .169
Longest run
George Mason 8·Davidson 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Davidson above 50 · George Mason below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.9% GMUrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.9% to George Mason — set 2, GMU 24-22 DAVID. Attack error by Ngodoo Harris. DAVID win probability 71% → 64%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GMU 28.9%71.1% DAVID

George Mason wins

3-0
5.4%
3-1
10.1%
3-2
13.4%

Davidson wins

3-0
24.0%
3-1
27.3%
3-2
19.8%
GMU break %
38.8% vs this opp
DAVID break %
43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ngodoo HarrisAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Ngodoo Harris

    Set 2 · GMU 24-22 DAVID · GMU 29% → 36%

  2. 02
    Nia ThompsonKill+6.7%

    Kill by Nia Thompson (set by Ava Cheney)

    Set 2 · GMU 25-23 DAVID · GMU 33% → 40%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kiera Hamilton (set by Ava Cheney)

    Set 3 · GMU 22-19 DAVID · GMU 55% → 62%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kiera Hamilton (set by Ava Cheney)

    Set 2 · GMU 22-21 DAVID · GMU 22% → 28%

  5. 05
    Ariyana JohnsonAttack error+5.3%

    Attack error by Ariyana Johnson

    Set 3 · GMU 16-14 DAVID · GMU 46% → 51%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kiera Hamilton (set by Ava Cheney)

    Set 3 · GMU 21-19 DAVID · GMU 50% → 55%

  7. 07
    Ariyana JohnsonAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Ariyana Johnson

    Set 3 · GMU 18-15 DAVID · GMU 51% → 57%

  8. 08
    Nia ThompsonAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Nia Thompson

    Set 3 · GMU 18-17 DAVID · DAVID 46% → 52%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419447.31900112100019
4151044.114220161010.517.5
46318.167000500217
45112.333000000427
4205.40045201500426
2318.250000000003
4001.0007231810002
4000–002420000
3418.37501110132.57.5
1000–000000000
Team totals5420143.2385477715114892
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412956.05400110002113
48213.4620001012210
47122.273002430007
4002.00022101100001
38010.800000100219
32415-.13310020010.52.5
410427.22210040010.510.5
4102.5004332130004
4012-.5001701600000
3000–010000001
3000–000310000
1114.000000000001
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals4923154.169455763718583

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

George Mason vs Davidson

Season series · George Mason leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 GMU · DAVID 4

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 GMUDAVID 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 GMUDAVID 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 GMUDAVID 3

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 8 GMUDAVID 3

Bars above the line = Davidson leads, below = George Mason leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

George Mason

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
20%2/10
2
63%10/16
52%11/21
3
64%9/14
40%6/15
4
67%8/12
47%7/15
5
47%7/15
50%8/16
6
60%6/10
57%8/14
All
60%50/84
46%42/91

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
38%5/13
2
50%10/20
33%5/15
3
67%8/12
47%9/19
4
38%8/21
27%3/11
5
47%7/15
27%3/11
6
67%6/9
60%9/15
All
54%49/91
40%34/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#GMU-DAVIDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GMUDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+1.7
21-1DAVIDGMUKillJenna Huntset Ava Cheney+1.7
31-2GMUDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+1.7
41-3DAVIDDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+2.3
52-3DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.6
62-4GMUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.7
73-4DAVIDGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+1.7
84-4GMUGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.5
94-5GMUDAVID×3KillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+1.8
104-6DAVIDDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+2.5
114-7DAVIDDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+2.3
125-7DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+1.6
135-8GMUDAVID×4KillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+1.7
145-9DAVIDDAVID×4KillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou+2.1
155-10DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errKiera Hamilton+1.8
165-11DAVIDDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ariyana Johnson+1.4
176-11DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+0.8
186-12GMUDAVIDAttack errJenna Hunt+1.0
196-13DAVIDDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Brooke Briscoe+1.1
207-13DAVIDGMUKillJenna Huntset Ava Cheney+0.6
217-14GMUDAVID×3Attack errKiera Hamilton+0.7
227-15DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedGabriella Gelfoundblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Melanie Tilles+0.7
237-16DAVIDDAVID×3KillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+0.5
248-16DAVIDGMU×4Serve errDavidson+0.2
259-16GMUGMU×4KillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+0.4
2610-16GMUGMU×4Attack errNgodoo Harris+0.7
2711-16GMUGMU×4Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.0
2811-17GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+1.0
2911-18DAVIDDAVIDBlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Mia Compas+0.9
3012-18DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.4
3113-18GMUGMUBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Ava Cheney, Meredith Brown+0.9
3213-19GMUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.9
3313-20DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+0.7
3414-20DAVIDGMU×3Attack errYlame Dsamou+0.3
3515-20GMUGMU×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+0.7
3616-20GMUGMU×3BlockedMia Compasblk Meredith Brown, Ava Cheney+1.1
3716-21GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou+1.2
3817-21DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.7
3917-22GMUDAVID×4Serve errGeorge Mason+1.1
4017-23DAVIDDAVID×4AceDavidsonaced Avery Booker+0.7
4117-24DAVIDDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+0.2
4217-25DAVIDDAVID×4AceDavidsonaced Nia Thompson·
Set 2
10-1DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Autumn Martinez-Robinson+2.0
20-2DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ngodoo Harris+2.0
31-2DAVIDGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+1.4
41-3GMUDAVIDServe errGeorge Mason+1.4
52-3DAVIDGMU×3Serve errDavidson+1.4
63-3GMUGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+2.2
74-3GMUGMU×3Bad setKinsey Smith+2.3
84-4GMUDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+1.6
95-4DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.7
105-5GMUDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+1.6
116-5DAVIDGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+1.7
126-6GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou+1.7
137-6DAVIDGMU×4KillNia Thompsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+1.8
148-6GMUGMU×4KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+2.5
159-6GMUGMU×4KillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+2.5
1610-6GMUGMU×4KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+2.4
1710-7GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou+1.4
1811-7DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.7
1911-8GMUDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Ylame Dsamou+1.5
2012-8DAVIDGMU×3KillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+1.8
2113-8GMUGMU×3Attack errMeile Songaila+2.2
2214-8GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.8
2314-9GMUDAVIDBad setAva Cheney+0.9
2414-10DAVIDDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+1.7
2515-10DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+1.6
2615-11GMUDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.2
2715-12DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errNia Thompson+2.1
2815-13DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Kiera Hamilton+2.6
2916-13DAVIDGMUKillAva Cheneyset Kiera Hamilton+2.2
3017-13GMUGMUKillNia Thompsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+2.7
3117-14GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.5
3217-15DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+2.7
3318-15DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+2.4
3418-16GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou+1.9
3519-16DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.5
3619-17GMUDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou+2.0
3719-18DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errGabriella Gelfound+3.5
3819-19DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errNia Thompson+4.1
3920-19DAVIDGMUKillJenna Huntset Ava Cheney+3.3
4020-20GMUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+3.2
4120-21DAVIDDAVIDBlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Ngodoo Harris, Melanie Tilles+4.9
4221-21DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+3.5
4322-21GMUGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+5.8
4422-22GMUDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+4.0
4523-22DAVIDGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+5.0
4624-22GMUGMUAttack errNgodoo Harris+6.9
4724-23GMUDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+2.7
4825-23DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+6.7
Set 3
10-1GMUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.3
20-2DAVIDDAVIDAttack errMia Hazelett+3.1
31-2DAVIDGMU×3KillMia Hazelettset Ava Cheney+2.2
42-2GMUGMU×3KillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+3.3
53-2GMUGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+3.5
63-3GMUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.4
74-3DAVIDGMUBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Meredith Brown, Gabriella Gelfound+2.6
85-3GMUGMUKillAva Cheneyset Kiera Hamilton+3.7
95-4GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.5
106-4DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+2.7
117-4GMUGMUAceGeorge Masonaced Meile Songaila+3.7
127-5GMUDAVIDKillBrooke Briscoeset Ylame Dsamou+2.4
138-5DAVIDGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+2.8
148-6GMUDAVIDAttack errNia Thompson+2.5
159-6DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+2.8
1610-6GMUGMUKillNia Thompsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+3.7
1710-7GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou+2.3
1810-8DAVIDDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+3.6
1911-8DAVIDGMUKillMia Hazelettset Ava Cheney+3.0
2011-9GMUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.6
2111-10DAVIDDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+4.1
2212-10DAVIDGMUAttack errNgodoo Harris+3.2
2312-11GMUDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+3.0
2412-12DAVIDDAVID×3Bad setNia Thompson+4.5
2512-13DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedGabriella Gelfoundblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Mia Compas+4.5
2613-13DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+3.3
2713-14GMUDAVIDServe errGeorge Mason+3.4
2814-14DAVIDGMU×3KillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+3.4
2915-14GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Masonaced Adlee Grissett+5.2
3016-14GMUGMU×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+5.3
3116-15GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+3.4
3217-15DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+4.0
3318-15GMUGMUAttack errAriyana Johnson+5.2
3418-16GMUDAVIDServe errGeorge Mason+3.0
3518-17DAVIDDAVIDAttack errNia Thompson+5.2
3619-17DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+4.5
3719-18GMUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+3.9
3820-18DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+4.9
3920-19GMUDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+4.1
4021-19DAVIDGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+5.3
4122-19GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+6.3
4223-19GMUGMU×3BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Meredith Brown, Gabriella Gelfound+4.3
4323-20GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.4
4423-21DAVIDDAVIDKillMia Compas+3.6
4524-21DAVIDGMUAttack errNgodoo Harris+4.8
4625-21GMUGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+2.7
Set 4
11-0DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.7
22-0GMUGMUAceGeorge Masonaced Meile Songaila+3.9
32-1GMUDAVIDAttack errMeredith Brown+2.6
43-1DAVIDGMUAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+2.9
53-2GMUDAVID×3Serve errGeorge Mason+2.7
63-3DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Mia Compas, Ariyana Johnson+3.9
73-4DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Avery Booker+3.9
84-4DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+2.8
94-5GMUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ava Cheney+2.8
105-5DAVIDGMU×8Serve errDavidson+2.9
116-5GMUGMU×8KillMia Hazelettset Ava Cheney+4.3
127-5GMUGMU×8BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Mia Hazelett, Ava Cheney+4.4
138-5GMUGMU×8Attack errMia Compas+4.3
149-5GMUGMU×8AceGeorge Masonaced Brooke Briscoe+4.1
1510-5GMUGMU×8KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+3.7
1611-5GMUGMU×8AceGeorge Masonaced Brooke Briscoe+3.2
1712-5GMUGMU×8BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Ava Cheney, Mia Hazelett+2.6
1812-6GMUDAVIDServe errGeorge Mason+1.4
1912-7DAVIDDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Ava Cheney+2.5
2013-7DAVIDGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+2.3
2114-7GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Masonaced Meile Songaila+2.5
2215-7GMUGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+1.9
2315-8GMUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+0.9
2416-8DAVIDGMU×3Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.3
2517-8GMUGMU×3BlockedCayla Weisnerblk Mia Hazelett+1.1
2618-8GMUGMU×3BlockedEllie Ocampoblk Mia Hazelett, Kiera Hamilton+0.7
2718-9GMUDAVIDServe errGeorge Mason+0.2
2819-9DAVIDGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+0.4
2919-10GMUDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+0.2
3020-10DAVIDGMUAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.3
3120-11GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.1
3221-11DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+0.2
3321-12GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.1
3421-13DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.2
3522-13DAVIDGMUAttack errAriyana Johnson+0.3
3622-14GMUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.1
3723-14DAVIDGMU×3KillMia Hazelettset Ava Cheney+0.2
3824-14GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Masonaced Brooke Briscoe+0.1
3925-14GMUGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney·

Score shown after each rally, George Mason first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).