Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

George Mason def. Davidson 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Davidson 59.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

George Mason won at Davidson 3-1 (25-21, 26-24, 19-25, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. George Mason's Kiera Hamilton led with 22 kills, and Autumn Martinez-Robinson added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
GMU252619253
DAVID212425221

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Mia Hazelett, and George Mason needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are George Mason's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Davidson went in at 60% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · George Mason 9–13 Davidson

    George Mason scored 6 straight to turn a 9–13 deficit into a 15–13 lead.

    George Mason 30% → 47%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · George Mason 23–23 Davidson

    George Mason closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–0.

    George Mason 60% → 83%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · George Mason 17–19 Davidson

    George Mason scored 3 straight to turn a 17–19 deficit into a 20–19 lead.

    George Mason 59% → 78%

Davidson above 50George Mason belowMax swing 11.7%

George MasonDavidson

Sideout %
George Mason 63.4·Davidson 61.7
Break %
George Mason 38.3·Davidson 36.6
Hitting
George Mason .216·Davidson .245
Longest run
George Mason 6·Davidson 4

Nia Thompson
15 kills on .146, 18 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Davidson above 50 · George Mason below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+11.7% GMUrally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 11.7% to George Mason — set 2, GMU 26-24 DAVID. Attack error by Ellie Ocampo. DAVID win probability 28% → 17%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GMU 28.9%71.1% DAVID

George Mason wins

3-0
5.4%
3-1
10.1%
3-2
13.4%

Davidson wins

3-0
24.0%
3-1
27.3%
3-2
19.8%
GMU break %
38.8% vs this opp
DAVID break %
43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ellie OcampoAttack error+11.7%

    Attack error by Ellie Ocampo

    Set 2 · GMU 26-24 DAVID · GMU 72% → 83%

  2. 02
    Mia HazelettBlock+11.2%

    Ngodoo Harris stuffed by Mia Hazelett

    Set 2 · GMU 25-24 DAVID · GMU 60% → 72%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kiera Hamilton (set by Ava Cheney)

    Set 4 · GMU 22-20 DAVID · GMU 79% → 88%

  4. 04

    Meile Songaila stuffed by Ava Cheney & Mia Hazelett

    Set 2 · GMU 23-23 DAVID · GMU 52% → 60%

  5. 05
    George MasonAce+7.9%

    George Mason ace

    Set 4 · GMU 20-19 DAVID · GMU 70% → 78%

  6. 06
    Kiera HamiltonAttack error+7.8%

    Attack error by Kiera Hamilton

    Set 2 · GMU 23-24 DAVID · DAVID 40% → 47%

  7. 07
    Nia ThompsonKill+7.8%

    Kill by Nia Thompson (set by Ava Cheney)

    Set 2 · GMU 24-24 DAVID · GMU 53% → 60%

  8. 08
    Ariyana JohnsonAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Ariyana Johnson

    Set 4 · GMU 24-21 DAVID · GMU 90% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422856.25001073010.523.5
415848.1460217002118
43310.0002414018512
47111.54500010031.58.5
44110.30000000010.54.5
4003.000440070132.52.5
4001.000111920001
4000–3011500000
Team totals5121139.21650845052181195
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417634.324222144010.519.5
418430.46700020010.518.5
410735.0861116200011
47012.58310010031.58.5
4000–3501400000
2103.33300100010.51.5
41011.00015111300002
4000–010000001
4011-1.0005031510000
3025-.400000000000
24418.000000100215
2318.250000001014
Team totals6125147.245595956818592

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

George Mason vs Davidson

Season series · George Mason leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 GMU · DAVID 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 6 GMUDAVID 4

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 3 GMUDAVID 3

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 GMUDAVID 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 3 GMUDAVID 4

Bars above the line = Davidson leads, below = George Mason leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

George Mason

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
44%8/18
2
52%11/21
50%11/22
3
77%10/13
31%5/16
4
60%9/15
18%2/11
5
56%9/16
36%5/14
6
73%8/11
38%5/13
All
63%59/93
38%36/94

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%11/25
29%4/14
2
79%11/14
39%7/18
3
71%10/14
41%7/17
4
69%9/13
33%5/15
5
64%9/14
40%6/15
6
57%8/14
36%5/14
All
62%58/94
37%34/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#GMU-DAVIDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+1.8
21-1GMUDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.8
31-2DAVIDDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Meile Songaila+2.5
41-3DAVIDDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.4
52-3DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+1.7
62-4GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.8
72-5DAVIDDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+2.3
83-5DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.6
93-6GMUDAVID×4KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.7
103-7DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedNia Thompsonblk Cayla Weisner, Ngodoo Harris+2.1
113-8DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errNia Thompson+1.8
123-9DAVIDDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+1.5
134-9DAVIDGMUBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Ava Cheney+0.9
145-9GMUGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.6
155-10GMUDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+1.4
166-10DAVIDGMUKillMia Hazelettset Ava Cheney+1.2
176-11GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+1.4
187-11DAVIDGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.2
198-11GMUGMU×3Bad setYlame Dsamou+2.0
209-11GMUGMU×3KillGabriella Gelfoundset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+2.4
219-12GMUDAVIDServe errGeorge Mason+2.0
229-13DAVIDDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.4
2310-13DAVIDGMU×6KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.5
2411-13GMUGMU×6AceGeorge Masonaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+2.5
2512-13GMUGMU×6KillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+3.0
2613-13GMUGMU×6KillKiera Hamiltonset Mia Hazelett+3.4
2714-13GMUGMU×6AceGeorge Masonaced Meile Songaila+3.6
2815-13GMUGMU×6KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+3.7
2915-14GMUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.4
3016-14DAVIDGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+2.8
3116-15GMUDAVIDServe errGeorge Mason+2.5
3217-15DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+3.0
3317-16GMUDAVIDAttack errNia Thompson+2.6
3418-16DAVIDGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+3.1
3518-17GMUDAVIDServe errGeorge Mason+2.8
3619-17DAVIDGMU×3Serve errDavidson+3.3
3720-17GMUGMU×3Attack errMeile Songaila+4.1
3821-17GMUGMU×3Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+3.2
3921-18GMUDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+1.5
4021-19DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Kiera Hamilton+3.1
4122-19DAVIDGMUAttack errNgodoo Harris+3.3
4223-19GMUGMUKillMia Hazelettset Ava Cheney+3.1
4323-20GMUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Brooke Briscoe+1.0
4423-21DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.6
4524-21DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Mia Hazelett+3.5
4625-21GMUGMUBlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Meredith Brown, Kiera Hamilton+1.9
Set 2
10-1GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.9
21-1DAVIDGMUBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Mia Hazelett, Gabriella Gelfound+2.0
31-2GMUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.0
41-3DAVIDDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+2.7
52-3DAVIDGMU×3Serve errDavidson+1.9
63-3GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.8
74-3GMUGMU×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+3.0
84-4GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.1
95-4DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.2
105-5GMUDAVIDAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+2.2
116-5DAVIDGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+2.3
126-6GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+2.2
136-7DAVIDDAVIDAttack errMia Hazelett+3.1
147-7DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+2.3
157-8GMUDAVIDBlockedNia Thompsonblk Mia Compas, Ngodoo Harris+2.3
168-8DAVIDGMUAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+2.3
178-9GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.4
189-9DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.4
1910-9GMUGMUAceGeorge Masonaced Meile Songaila+3.5
2010-10GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.5
2110-11DAVIDDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+3.5
2211-11DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+2.6
2311-12GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.6
2412-12DAVIDGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+2.6
2512-13GMUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+2.7
2613-13DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+2.8
2713-14GMUDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+2.8
2813-15DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Mia Compas+3.8
2914-15DAVIDGMUBlockedNgodoo Harrisblk Nia Thompson, Mia Hazelett+2.6
3014-16GMUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+2.9
3115-16DAVIDGMUAttack errBrooke Briscoe+2.7
3215-17GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.0
3316-17DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+2.8
3416-18GMUDAVIDServe errGeorge Mason+3.2
3517-18DAVIDGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+2.9
3617-19GMUDAVIDKillCayla Weisnerset Kinsey Smith+3.4
3717-20DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Kiera Hamilton+4.1
3818-20DAVIDGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.3
3919-20GMUGMU×3Bad setBrooke Briscoe+4.4
4020-20GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Masonaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+5.7
4120-21GMUDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+4.6
4220-22DAVIDDAVID×3KillYlame Dsamouset Elena Garcia-Guerrios+6.0
4320-23DAVIDDAVID×3KillNgodoo Harrisset Brooke Briscoe+4.6
4421-23DAVIDGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.9
4522-23GMUGMU×3BlockedNgodoo Harrisblk Mia Hazelett, Nia Thompson+4.8
4623-23GMUGMU×3BlockedMeile Songailablk Ava Cheney, Mia Hazelett+8.2
4723-24GMUDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+7.8
4824-24DAVIDGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+7.8
4925-24GMUGMU×3BlockedNgodoo Harrisblk Mia Hazelett+11.2
5026-24GMUGMU×3Attack errEllie Ocampo+11.7
Set 3
11-0DAVIDGMUAttack errMeile Songaila+1.5
22-0GMUGMUAceGeorge Masonaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+2.1
32-1GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.5
43-1DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.6
53-2GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.5
63-3DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.1
74-3DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.6
84-4GMUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.6
94-5DAVIDDAVIDAttack errNia Thompson+2.2
105-5DAVIDGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+1.6
115-6GMUDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+1.6
125-7DAVIDDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+2.2
135-8DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Avery Booker+2.1
146-8DAVIDGMUAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.4
156-9GMUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.5
167-9DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+1.4
177-10GMUDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Ylame Dsamou+1.6
188-10DAVIDGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.4
199-10GMUGMU×3Attack errMelanie Tilles+2.3
2010-10GMUGMU×3Attack errMeile Songaila+2.5
2110-11GMUDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.9
2210-12DAVIDDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.6
2310-13DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Kiera Hamilton+2.3
2411-13DAVIDGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+1.5
2511-14GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.7
2612-14DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.6
2712-15GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.8
2813-15DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+1.6
2914-15GMUGMUBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Mia Hazelett, Ava Cheney+2.7
3014-16GMUDAVID×3Attack errNia Thompson+2.2
3114-17DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Avery Booker+2.7
3214-18DAVIDDAVID×3KillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+2.2
3315-18DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.2
3415-19GMUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+1.6
3515-20DAVIDDAVIDAttack errNia Thompson+1.6
3616-20DAVIDGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+0.7
3716-21GMUDAVIDAttack errMia Hazelett+1.1
3816-22DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.8
3917-22DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.3
4017-23GMUDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.5
4117-24DAVIDDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+0.2
4218-24DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson·
4319-24GMUGMUAceGeorge Masonaced Brooke Briscoe+0.1
4419-25GMUDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+0.2
Set 4
11-0GMUGMUAceGeorge Masonaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+3.7
21-1GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.6
31-2DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+3.6
42-2DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.7
52-3GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.7
63-3DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.7
74-3GMUGMUAttack errAriyana Johnson+3.9
84-4GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.8
95-4DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+2.9
105-5GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.9
116-5DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+3.0
126-6GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+2.9
137-6DAVIDGMUBlockedMeile Songailablk Ava Cheney, Mia Hazelett+3.1
147-7GMUDAVIDBlockedNia Thompsonblk Melanie Tilles+3.0
158-7DAVIDGMU×3KillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+3.2
169-7GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+4.5
1710-7GMUGMU×3BlockedMeile Songailablk Mia Hazelett, Gabriella Gelfound+4.3
1810-8GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.8
1910-9DAVIDDAVIDAttack errMia Hazelett+4.3
2011-9DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+3.4
2111-10GMUDAVID×4KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.2
2211-11DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedGabriella Gelfoundblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Mia Compas+4.7
2311-12DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errMeredith Brown+4.8
2411-13DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Mia Compas, Ariyana Johnson+4.7
2512-13DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+3.2
2612-14GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+3.5
2713-14DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+3.3
2813-15GMUDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+3.6
2914-15DAVIDGMUServe errDavidson+3.4
3015-15GMUGMUKillNia Thompsonset Avery Booker+5.5
3115-16GMUDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+4.2
3215-17DAVIDDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+5.6
3316-17DAVIDGMUKillMia Hazelettset Ava Cheney+3.7
3417-17GMUGMUBlockedEllie Ocampoblk Mia Hazelett, Gabriella Gelfound+6.1
3517-18GMUDAVIDAttack errKiera Hamilton+4.7
3617-19DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnson+6.3
3718-19DAVIDGMU×3Attack errMeile Songaila+4.0
3819-19GMUGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+7.0
3920-19GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Mason+7.9
4020-20GMUDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+5.5
4121-20DAVIDGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+6.4
4222-20GMUGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+8.8
4322-21GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+4.9
4423-21DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+7.2
4524-21GMUGMUAttack errAriyana Johnson+7.2
4624-22GMUDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.0
4725-22DAVIDGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+4.8

Score shown after each rally, George Mason first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).