Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Fordham def. George Mason 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: George Mason 65.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 1:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Fordham beat visiting George Mason 3-1 (20-25, 25-19, 25-16, 25-21) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Johanna Franzen led Fordham with 15 kills; George Mason's Kiera Hamilton had a match-high 26.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set1234Sets
GMU251916211
FORDHM202525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Fordham 35%. Fordham won anyway.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Fordham's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, George Mason was RallyIQ's 65% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · George Mason 0–0 Fordham

    Fordham opened the set with 5 straight points for a 5–0 lead. The match swung to Fordham.

    Fordham 38% → 55%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · George Mason 18–16 Fordham

    Fordham scored 4 straight to turn a 16–18 deficit into a 20–18 lead.

    Fordham 57% → 83%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · George Mason 19–20 Fordham

    Fordham scored 3 straight to stretch a 20–19 lead to 23–19.

    Fordham 78% → 97%

Fordham above 50George Mason belowMax swing 7.7%

George MasonFordham

Sideout %
George Mason 54.3·Fordham 63.4
Break %
George Mason 36.6·Fordham 45.7
Hitting
George Mason .147·Fordham .256
Longest run
George Mason 4·Fordham 5

Bridget Woodruff
14 kills on .429, 17 points; 4 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fordham above 50 · George Mason below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.7% FORDHMrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.7% to Fordham — set 4, GMU 18-20 FORDHM. Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Giada Ianuale). FORDHM win probability 75% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GMU 54.7%45.3% FORDHM

George Mason wins

3-0
14.6%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
19.4%

Fordham wins

3-0
10.6%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
17.9%
GMU break %
42.4% vs this opp
FORDHM break %
41.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 4 · GMU 18-20 FORDHM · FORDHM 75% → 83%

  2. 02
    Kiera HamiltonAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Kiera Hamilton

    Set 4 · GMU 18-19 FORDHM · FORDHM 68% → 75%

  3. 03

    Kiera Hamilton stuffed by Johanna Franzen & Tatum Holderied & Bridget Woodruff

    Set 4 · GMU 19-22 FORDHM · FORDHM 85% → 92%

  4. 04
    Gabriella GelfoundAttack error+6.7%

    Attack error by Gabriella Gelfound

    Set 4 · GMU 18-18 FORDHM · FORDHM 61% → 68%

  5. 05

    Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Ozge Ozaslan)

    Set 4 · GMU 19-21 FORDHM · FORDHM 78% → 85%

  6. 06
    Nia ThompsonKill+5.9%

    Kill by Nia Thompson (set by Ava Cheney)

    Set 4 · GMU 18-16 FORDHM · GMU 37% → 43%

  7. 07

    Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Sophia Kuyn)

    Set 4 · GMU 12-13 FORDHM · FORDHM 67% → 73%

  8. 08

    Ace by Kiera Hamilton on Ozge Ozaslan

    Set 4 · GMU 14-13 FORDHM · GMU 31% → 36%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4261356.23201012102128
49432.1561119002111
47114.429000000429
45619-.053100100005
4307.4293400400214
2024-.500004301011
4002.000012510001
4000–6021700000
3013-.333001000211
2102.500200200001
2034-.750000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5130143.14744310535112781
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415337.32400180052.517.5
414228.4290003006317
410528.17910010010.510.5
45212.250000100849
42311-.091223101437
43112.167360560010.53.5
4000–020200002
4001.000011700001
4000–0001100000
4000–100720000
1000–000100000
Team totals4916129.2564051048312513.595

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

George Mason vs Fordham

Season series · Fordham leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 GMU · FORDHM 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 GMUFORDHM 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 GMUFORDHM 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 GMUFORDHM 5

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 GMUFORDHM 4

Bars above the line = Fordham leads, below = George Mason leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

George Mason

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%10/23
44%7/16
2
45%10/22
29%4/14
3
67%8/12
44%7/16
4
89%8/9
33%4/12
5
50%8/16
33%4/12
6
58%7/12
33%4/12
All
54%51/94
37%30/82

Fordham

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
50%9/18
2
69%9/13
50%10/20
3
56%9/16
57%12/21
4
73%8/11
20%2/10
5
67%8/12
43%6/14
6
58%7/12
36%4/11
All
63%52/82
46%43/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#GMU-FORDHMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FORDHMFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+2.4
21-1FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.7
31-2GMUFORDHMServe errGeorge Mason+1.8
42-2FORDHMGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+1.7
53-2GMUGMUBlockedJohanna Franzenblk Ava Cheney, Meredith Brown+2.4
63-3GMUFORDHMBlockedMeredith Brownblk Johanna Franzen, Sophia Kuyn+1.8
73-4FORDHMFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+2.6
84-4FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.8
95-4GMUGMUBlockedSophia Kuynblk Meredith Brown, Nia Thompson+2.5
105-5GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.9
116-5FORDHMGMUKillAva Cheney+1.9
127-5GMUGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.5
137-6GMUFORDHM×5Serve errGeorge Mason+1.8
147-7FORDHMFORDHM×5Attack errNia Thompson+2.7
157-8FORDHMFORDHM×5Attack errKiera Hamilton+2.8
167-9FORDHMFORDHM×5KillGiada Ianualeset Giada Ianuale+2.9
177-10FORDHMFORDHM×5AceFordham+2.9
188-10FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.9
198-11GMUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+2.2
209-11FORDHMGMUServe errFordham+1.9
2110-11GMUGMUBlockedTatum Holderiedblk Mia Hazelett+2.9
2210-12GMUFORDHMServe errGeorge Mason+2.4
2311-12FORDHMGMU×4KillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+2.2
2412-12GMUGMU×4Attack errJohanna Franzen+3.2
2513-12GMUGMU×4KillNia Thompsonset Gabriella Gelfound+3.2
2614-12GMUGMU×4KillKiera Hamilton+3.1
2714-13GMUFORDHMServe errGeorge Mason+2.2
2815-13FORDHMGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+2.3
2915-14GMUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+2.2
3015-15FORDHMFORDHMAceFordham+3.5
3116-15FORDHMGMUKillMeredith Brownset Giada Ianuale+2.7
3216-16GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.8
3317-16FORDHMGMUKillAva Cheney+2.9
3417-17GMUFORDHMServe errGeorge Mason+2.9
3518-17FORDHMGMUServe errFordham+3.0
3618-18GMUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+3.1
3719-18FORDHMGMU×3Serve errFordham+3.3
3820-18GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Masonaced Ozge Ozaslan+4.3
3921-18GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+3.5
4021-19GMUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+1.9
4122-19FORDHMGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+2.7
4222-20GMUFORDHMServe errGeorge Mason+1.8
4323-20FORDHMGMU×3Attack errGiada Ianuale+2.8
4424-20GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.1
4525-20GMUGMU×3Attack errSophia Kuyn+0.6
Set 2
10-1GMUFORDHMAttack errMia Hazelett+1.5
21-1FORDHMGMUServe errFordham+1.5
31-2GMUFORDHM×5Serve errGeorge Mason+1.6
41-3FORDHMFORDHM×5BlockedGabriella Gelfoundblk Tatum Holderied, Johanna Franzen+2.2
51-4FORDHMFORDHM×5KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.2
61-5FORDHMFORDHM×5BlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Tatum Holderied, Bridget Woodruff+2.1
71-6FORDHMFORDHM×5Attack errGabriella Gelfound+2.0
82-6FORDHMGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+1.2
93-6GMUGMUAceGeorge Mason+1.9
103-7GMUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+1.6
113-8FORDHMFORDHMKillSophia Kuyn+2.0
124-8FORDHMGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+1.2
135-8GMUGMUKillAva Cheneyset Giada Ianuale+1.9
145-9GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Sophia Kuyn+1.7
156-9FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.4
166-10GMUFORDHM×3KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.7
176-11FORDHMFORDHM×3KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+2.1
186-12FORDHMFORDHM×3KillMila Micunovic+1.8
197-12FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.0
208-12GMUGMUKillNia Thompson+1.7
218-13GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Ava Cheney+1.6
229-13FORDHMGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.2
239-14GMUFORDHM×5Attack errKiera Hamilton+1.6
249-15FORDHMFORDHM×5KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+1.8
259-16FORDHMFORDHM×5BlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Tatum Holderied, Bridget Woodruff+1.4
269-17FORDHMFORDHM×5Attack errMia Hazelett+0.9
279-18FORDHMFORDHM×5Attack errKiera Hamilton+0.6
2810-18FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.2
2911-18GMUGMUBlockedTatum Holderiedblk Kiera Hamilton, Meredith Brown+0.5
3011-19GMUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Mila Micunovic+0.6
3111-20FORDHMFORDHMBlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Tatum Holderied, Bridget Woodruff+0.4
3212-20FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Nia Thompson+0.1
3312-21GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.3
3413-21FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+0.1
3513-22GMUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.2
3614-22FORDHMGMU×3Serve errFordham+0.1
3715-22GMUGMU×3BlockedSophia Kuynblk Nia Thompson, Jenna Hunt+0.2
3816-22GMUGMU×3Serve errGeorge Mason+0.3
3916-23GMUFORDHMAttack errCaroline Rodriguez+0.4
4017-23FORDHMGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+0.1
4117-24GMUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.3
4218-24FORDHMGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney·
4319-24GMUGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Ava Cheney+0.1
4419-25GMUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.2
Set 3
10-1FORDHMFORDHM×5BlockedCaroline Rodriguezblk Johanna Franzen, Tatum Holderied+3.3
20-2FORDHMFORDHM×5KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+3.4
30-3FORDHMFORDHM×5KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+3.4
40-4FORDHMFORDHM×5Attack errKiera Hamilton+3.3
50-5FORDHMFORDHM×5KillBridget Woodruff+3.1
61-5FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+1.9
71-6GMUFORDHM×4KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.3
81-7FORDHMFORDHM×4AceFordham+2.8
91-8FORDHMFORDHM×4BlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Bridget Woodruff, Sophia Kuyn+2.4
101-9FORDHMFORDHM×4BlockedCaroline Rodriguezblk Sophia Kuyn, Johanna Franzen+2.0
112-9FORDHMGMUKillCamryn Weldon+1.1
122-10GMUFORDHMServe errGeorge Mason+1.5
133-10FORDHMGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+1.1
143-11GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.4
154-11FORDHMGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.0
164-12GMUFORDHM×3KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+1.4
174-13FORDHMFORDHM×3AceFordhamaced Avery Booker+1.4
184-14FORDHMFORDHM×3KillTatum Holderied+1.0
195-14FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.4
205-15GMUFORDHM×3KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.7
215-16FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errCaroline Rodriguez+0.6
225-17FORDHMFORDHM×3KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.3
236-17FORDHMGMUServe errFordham+0.1
246-18GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.2
257-18FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+0.1
267-19GMUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.2
278-19FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+0.1
288-20GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.1
298-21FORDHMFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.1
309-21FORDHMGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney·
3110-21GMUGMU×3Attack errJohanna Franzen·
3211-21GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.1
3311-22GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.1
3411-23FORDHMFORDHMAttack errKiera Hamilton·
3512-23FORDHMGMUAttack errMila Micunovic·
3613-23GMUGMUBlockedMila Micunovicblk Jenna Hunt, Ava Cheney·
3713-24GMUFORDHMServe errGeorge Mason·
3814-24FORDHMGMU×3Serve errFordham·
3915-24GMUGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney·
4016-24GMUGMU×3Attack errMila Micunovic·
4116-25GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale·
Set 4
11-0GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+3.6
22-0GMUGMU×3BlockedBridget Woodruffblk Kiera Hamilton, Meredith Brown+3.5
33-0GMUGMU×3Attack errMila Micunovic+3.2
43-1GMUFORDHMServe errGeorge Mason+2.3
54-1FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.4
64-2GMUFORDHM×4KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+2.3
74-3FORDHMFORDHM×4Attack errKiera Hamilton+3.6
84-4FORDHMFORDHM×4AceFordhamaced Kiera Hamilton+3.9
94-5FORDHMFORDHM×4KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+4.2
105-5FORDHMGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Giada Ianuale+3.0
116-5GMUGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+4.1
127-5GMUGMU×3Attack errBridget Woodruff+3.9
137-6GMUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.8
148-6FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.9
158-7GMUFORDHMKillGiada Ianuale+2.9
169-7FORDHMGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+3.0
179-8GMUFORDHMBlockedNia Thompsonblk Sophia Kuyn, Giada Ianuale+3.0
1810-8FORDHMGMUServe errSophia Kuyn+3.1
1910-9GMUFORDHMBlockedGabriella Gelfoundblk Mila Micunovic, Tatum Holderied+3.0
2011-9FORDHMGMUServe errGiada Ianuale+3.2
2111-10GMUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+3.1
2211-11FORDHMFORDHMAttack errGabriella Gelfound+4.8
2312-11FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+3.6
2412-12GMUFORDHMBlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Bridget Woodruff, Tatum Holderied+3.7
2512-13FORDHMFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Sophia Kuyn+5.4
2613-13FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+3.8
2714-13GMUGMUAceKiera Hamiltonaced Ozge Ozaslan+5.3
2814-14GMUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+4.0
2915-14FORDHMGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+4.1
3015-15GMUFORDHMKillGiada Ianuale+4.2
3116-15FORDHMGMUServe errJohanna Franzen+4.3
3216-16GMUFORDHMBlockedJenna Huntblk Sophia Kuyn+4.4
3317-16FORDHMGMUAttack errMila Micunovic+4.5
3418-16GMUGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+5.9
3518-17GMUFORDHM×4Attack errKiera Hamilton+4.0
3618-18FORDHMFORDHM×4Attack errGabriella Gelfound+6.7
3718-19FORDHMFORDHM×4Attack errKiera Hamilton+7.6
3818-20FORDHMFORDHM×4KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+7.7
3919-20FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+4.8
4019-21GMUFORDHM×3KillBridget Woodruffset Ozge Ozaslan+6.2
4119-22FORDHMFORDHM×3BlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Johanna Franzen, Tatum Holderied, Bridget Woodruff+7.3
4219-23FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errGabriella Gelfound+5.0
4320-23FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.7
4420-24GMUFORDHMServe errGeorge Mason+3.3
4521-24FORDHMGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.0
4621-25GMUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+2.4

Score shown after each rally, George Mason first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).