FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Dayton def. George Mason 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Dayton 86.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 10:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Dayton won at George Mason 3-0 (25-18, 30-28, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Kamryn Hunt and Gabriela Machin Borges led Dayton with 9 kills each; George Mason's Kiera Hamilton had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
DAYTON2530253
GMU1828180

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Dayton outhit George Mason .337 to .160.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.0 points, and George Mason's high was 17% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Dayton at 86%.

DaytonGeorge Mason
  • Break %+13.0 pts
    46.833.8

    On serve: 37/79 against 22/65 (George Mason sideout 53.2%).

  • Hitting+.177
    .337.160

    Kills and errors: 44–10 vs 40–23.

George Mason above 50Dayton belowMax swing 5.0%

DaytonGeorge Mason

Aces
Dayton 4·George Mason 3
Serve err
Dayton 9·George Mason 8
Blocks
Dayton 8·George Mason 20 BS · 16 BA vs 2 BS · 0 BA
Digs
Dayton 37·George Mason 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

George Mason above 50 · Dayton below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.0% GMUrally 144 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.0% to George Mason — set 2, DAYTON 25-26 GMU. Attack error by Sidney Sprada. GMU win probability 9% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAYTON 86.6%13.4% GMU

Dayton wins

3-0
39.2%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.9%

George Mason wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%
DAYTON break %
44.3% vs this opp
GMU break %
35.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sidney SpradaAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Sidney Sprada

    Set 2 · DAYTON 25-26 GMU · GMU 9% → 14%

  2. 02
    Rylee KinnellAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Rylee Kinnell

    Set 2 · DAYTON 25-24 GMU · DAYTON 90% → 94%

  3. 03
    Sidney SpradaKill+4.4%

    Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Rylee Sloss)

    Set 2 · DAYTON 28-27 GMU · DAYTON 90% → 94%

  4. 04
    George MasonAce+4.0%

    George Mason ace on Ava Liening

    Set 2 · DAYTON 22-23 GMU · GMU 9% → 13%

  5. 05

    Nia Thompson stuffed by Ava Liening & Rylee Sloss

    Set 2 · DAYTON 30-28 GMU · DAYTON 94% → 98%

  6. 06
    George MasonService error+3.5%

    George Mason service error

    Set 2 · DAYTON 24-24 GMU · DAYTON 86% → 90%

  7. 07

    Kill by Gabriela Machin Borges (set by Rylee Sloss)

    Set 2 · DAYTON 26-26 GMU · DAYTON 86% → 90%

  8. 08
    DaytonService error+3.5%

    Dayton service error

    Set 2 · DAYTON 26-27 GMU · GMU 10% → 14%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Daytonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39230.2332119002111
36418.11120100052.58.5
3519.444012300006
3416.50000001031.55.5
3307.429001100425
3001.0001102700000
39214.500001200009
38016.50000010010.58.5
3000–202020010.52.5
3000–400220000
3000–1011000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4410101.3374049373016880
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
3191041.2201007110120
311529.2073109200012
3123-.3332911200002
31111.000100000001
3000–101700000
2103.333000000001
36313.231000200006
3126-.167003001012
3000–4121510001
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals4023106.160393842420264

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Dayton vs George Mason

Season series · Dayton leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 DAYTON · GMU 3

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 DAYTONGMU 3

Set 2

30-28

Longest run 4 DAYTONGMU 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 3 DAYTONGMU 3

Bars above the line = George Mason leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
89%8/9
30%3/10
2
50%8/16
38%5/13
3
70%7/10
53%8/15
4
58%7/12
46%6/13
5
64%7/11
50%7/14
6
86%6/7
57%8/14
All
66%43/65
47%37/79

George Mason

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
0%0/7
2
54%7/13
33%4/12
3
64%7/11
46%6/13
4
50%7/14
42%5/12
5
50%7/14
30%3/10
6
43%6/14
36%4/11
All
53%42/79
34%22/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

144 rallies

#DAYTON-GMUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DAYTONDAYTONAttack errKiera Hamilton+1.3
21-1DAYTONGMUServe errDayton+0.9
32-1GMUDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+0.9
42-2DAYTONGMU×3Serve errDayton+1.0
52-3GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Masonaced Lily Barry+1.6
62-4GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Nia Thompson+1.8
73-4GMUDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.1
84-4DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Hunt+1.6
95-4DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errKiera Hamilton+1.5
105-5DAYTONGMUServe errDayton+1.1
115-6GMUGMUAttack errCharlotte Vinson+1.8
126-6GMUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.1
136-7DAYTONGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.3
147-7GMUDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.1
158-7DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAva Cheney+1.7
169-7DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+1.5
179-8DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.0
1810-8GMUDAYTON×3KillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+1.0
1911-8DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.3
2012-8DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAva Cheney+1.1
2112-9DAYTONGMUServe errDayton+0.6
2213-9GMUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.7
2313-10DAYTONGMUKillNia Thompsonset Kiera Hamilton+0.6
2413-11GMUGMUKillJenna Huntset Ava Cheney+1.3
2514-11GMUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+0.9
2614-12DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.9
2715-12GMUDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.0
2815-13DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.9
2916-13GMUDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.0
3017-13DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errKiera Hamilton+1.2
3118-13DAYTONDAYTON×4KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.8
3219-13DAYTONDAYTON×4AceRylee Slossaced Nia Thompson+0.5
3319-14DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.2
3419-15GMUGMUBad setAva Liening+0.5
3520-15GMUDAYTON×3Serve errGeorge Mason+0.5
3621-15DAYTONDAYTON×3AceKamryn Huntaced Kiera Hamilton+0.4
3722-15DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAva Liening+0.2
3822-16DAYTONGMU×3KillRylee Kinnellset Ava Cheney·
3922-17GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Avery Booker+0.1
4022-18GMUGMU×3BlockedGabriela Machin Borgesblk Kiera Hamilton+0.3
4123-18GMUDAYTON×3Attack errKiera Hamilton+0.4
4224-18DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedMeredith Brownblk Kaleigh Meritt, Abigail Cresse+0.2
4325-18DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errNia Thompson·
Set 2
11-0GMUDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Charlotte Vinson+0.6
21-1DAYTONGMUKillAva Cheney+0.7
31-2GMUGMUAttack errCharlotte Vinson+1.1
42-2GMUDAYTONServe errGeorge Mason+0.7
52-3DAYTONGMUKillNia Thompsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+0.8
63-3GMUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.7
73-4DAYTONGMUKillRylee Kinnellset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+0.8
83-5GMUGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.3
94-5GMUDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+0.8
105-5DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+1.2
115-6DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.9
125-7GMUGMUBad setRylee Sloss+1.4
136-7GMUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+0.8
146-8DAYTONGMUAttack errGabriela Machin Borges+1.0
157-8GMUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+0.9
168-8DAYTONDAYTONBlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+1.3
178-9DAYTONGMUKillMeredith Brownset Ava Cheney+1.0
189-9GMUDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.9
1910-9DAYTONDAYTON×3AceSidney Spradaaced Nia Thompson+1.3
2011-9DAYTONDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Charlotte Vinson+1.2
2111-10DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.8
2211-11GMUGMUAceGeorge Masonaced Lily Barry+1.4
2312-11GMUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.9
2412-12DAYTONGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.0
2513-12GMUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+0.9
2613-13DAYTONGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.0
2714-13GMUDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+1.0
2814-14DAYTONGMUKillRylee Kinnellset Ava Cheney+1.1
2915-14GMUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+1.0
3015-15DAYTONGMUKillRylee Kinnellset Meredith Brown+1.1
3116-15GMUDAYTONServe errGeorge Mason+1.1
3216-16DAYTONGMUServe errDayton+1.2
3317-16GMUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Kamryn Hunt+1.2
3417-17DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+1.3
3517-18GMUGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Nia Thompson+2.3
3618-18GMUDAYTON×4KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.4
3719-18DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errNia Thompson+2.1
3820-18DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Ava Liening, Charlotte Vinson+1.9
3921-18DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Ava Liening, Kamryn Hunt+1.4
4021-19DAYTONGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+0.7
4121-20GMUGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+1.7
4222-20GMUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.4
4322-21DAYTONGMU×3Serve errDayton+1.2
4422-22GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.9
4522-23GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Masonaced Ava Liening+4.0
4623-23GMUDAYTONAttack errGabriela Machin Borges+2.5
4723-24DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+3.5
4824-24GMUDAYTONServe errGeorge Mason+3.5
4925-24DAYTONDAYTONAttack errRylee Kinnell+4.4
5025-25DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+2.8
5125-26GMUGMUAttack errSidney Sprada+5.0
5226-26GMUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+3.5
5326-27DAYTONGMUServe errDayton+3.5
5427-27GMUDAYTONAttack errKiera Hamilton+3.5
5528-27DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+4.4
5628-28DAYTONGMUServe errDayton+2.8
5729-28GMUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.8
5830-28DAYTONDAYTONBlockedNia Thompsonblk Ava Liening, Rylee Sloss+3.6
Set 3
10-1DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.4
21-1GMUDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+0.3
31-2DAYTONGMUKillMia Hazelettset Ava Cheney+0.4
41-3GMUGMUAttack errKamryn Hunt+0.6
52-3GMUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.4
62-4DAYTONGMUKillRylee Kinnellset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+0.4
73-4GMUDAYTON×3Attack errRylee Kinnell+0.4
84-4DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errMia Hazelett+0.5
95-4DAYTONDAYTON×3AceRylee Slossaced Autumn Martinez-Robinson+0.5
105-5DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney+0.4
116-5GMUDAYTONServe errGeorge Mason+0.3
127-5DAYTONDAYTONAttack errKiera Hamilton+0.5
137-6DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Nia Thompson+0.3
148-6GMUDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.3
159-6DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.4
1610-6DAYTONDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borges+0.3
1710-7DAYTONGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+0.2
1811-7GMUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Kamryn Hunt+0.2
1912-7DAYTONDAYTONBlockedNia Thompsonblk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse+0.3
2012-8DAYTONGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+0.2
2113-8GMUDAYTON×3Serve errGeorge Mason+0.2
2214-8DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedNia Thompsonblk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse+0.2
2315-8DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Charlotte Vinson, Kamryn Hunt+0.1
2415-9DAYTONGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+0.1
2515-10GMUGMU×3Attack errCharlotte Vinson+0.1
2615-11GMUGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Ava Cheney+0.2
2716-11GMUDAYTON×3Serve errGeorge Mason+0.2
2817-11DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errMia Hazelett+0.2
2918-11DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errRylee Kinnell+0.1
3018-12DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney·
3118-13GMUGMUBlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Mia Hazelett+0.1
3219-13GMUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Lily Barry+0.1
3320-13DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.1
3420-14DAYTONGMUKillRylee Kinnellset Ava Cheney·
3520-15GMUGMUAttack errKamryn Hunt+0.1
3621-15GMUDAYTONServe errGeorge Mason+0.1
3722-15DAYTONDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Morgan Asleson+0.1
3822-16DAYTONGMUServe errDayton·
3922-17GMUGMUAttack errAva Liening+0.1
4023-17GMUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+0.1
4124-17DAYTONDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss·
4224-18DAYTONGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Ava Cheney·
4325-18GMUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss·

Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).