Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Utah Valley def. California Baptist 3–2

Utah Valley beat visiting California Baptist 3-2 (19-25, 22-25, 25-19, 25-16, 15-6) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Miley Thunstrom led Utah Valley with 17 kills; California Baptist's Nalanie Neal had a match-high 22.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set12345Sets
CALBAP2525191662
UT VAL19222525153

Win probability

Utah Valley above 50 · California Baptist below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+9.8% UT VALrally 197 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.8% to Utah Valley — set 5, CALBAP 5-6 UT VAL. Audrey Heiring stuffed by Evalyn Medaris & Alyvia Watkins. UT VAL win probability 58% → 68%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CALBAP 25.9%74.1% UT VAL

California Baptist wins

3-0
4.6%
3-1
8.9%
3-2
12.3%

Utah Valley wins

3-0
26.3%
3-1
28.4%
3-2
19.4%
CALBAP break %
41.2% vs this opp
UT VAL break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Audrey Heiring stuffed by Evalyn Medaris & Alyvia Watkins

    Set 5 · CALBAP 5-6 UT VAL · UT VAL 58% → 68%

  2. 02
    Maranda WoolfAttack error+9.2%

    Attack error by Maranda Woolf

    Set 5 · CALBAP 3-2 UT VAL · CALBAP 39% → 48%

  3. 03

    Kill by Alyvia Watkins (set by Devyn Masi)

    Set 5 · CALBAP 5-7 UT VAL · UT VAL 68% → 77%

  4. 04
    Nalanie NealKill+7.9%

    Kill by Nalanie Neal (set by Maria Contreras)

    Set 5 · CALBAP 5-4 UT VAL · CALBAP 41% → 49%

  5. 05
    Chloe HansenKill+7.9%

    Kill by Chloe Hansen (set by Evalyn Medaris)

    Set 5 · CALBAP 5-8 UT VAL · UT VAL 77% → 85%

  6. 06
    Nalanie NealKill+7.6%

    Kill by Nalanie Neal (set by Filippa Botcher)

    Set 5 · CALBAP 4-3 UT VAL · CALBAP 41% → 49%

  7. 07
    Nalanie NealAttack error+7.5%

    Attack error by Nalanie Neal

    Set 5 · CALBAP 5-5 UT VAL · UT VAL 51% → 58%

  8. 08
    California BaptistService error+7.1%

    California Baptist service error

    Set 5 · CALBAP 4-4 UT VAL · UT VAL 51% → 59%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5221350.18001440111.524.5
517834.26500000031.518.5
56528.0364215020210
5517.57100000031.56.5
5237-.14310010233.55.5
5103.333310280010.51.5
5147-.4291200000212
5000–111800001
5000–001500000
4000–2011520000
2014-.25010000010.50.5
1012-.500000000000
1022-1.000000110000
Team totals5438144.111524104775141291
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517441.3171328014323
59523.17400000073.512.5
57319.21120030052.59.5
54214.1433600300848
5000–112210001
2116.000001000423
5000–4011010000
38317.2942304000011
3238-.12500010052.54.5
2248-.25000011010.52.5
2000–001100000
Team totals5025136.184467733413418106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

California Baptist vs Utah Valley

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CALBAP · UT VAL 8

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 CALBAPUT VAL 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 CALBAPUT VAL 3

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 CALBAPUT VAL 5

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 3 CALBAPUT VAL 5

Set 5

6-15

Longest run 2 CALBAPUT VAL 8

Bars above the line = Utah Valley leads, below = California Baptist leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

California Baptist

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
53%8/15
2
60%9/15
36%5/14
3
80%8/10
33%4/12
4
70%7/10
30%3/10
5
32%7/22
56%9/16
6
38%5/13
13%1/8
All
56%45/81
40%30/75

Utah Valley

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
30%3/10
2
73%8/11
36%5/14
3
67%8/12
33%4/12
4
50%7/14
11%1/9
5
64%7/11
53%8/15
6
60%6/10
71%15/21
All
60%45/75
44%36/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

197 rallies

#CALBAP-UT VALSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UT VALUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+1.9
21-1UT VALCALBAP×3KillNalanie Nealset Jagoda Bialek+1.5
32-1CALBAPCALBAP×3KillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.1
43-1CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedMiley Thunstromblk Eleftheria Baxa, Filippa Botcher+2.2
53-2CALBAPUT VALAttack errNalanie Neal+1.6
64-2UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+1.8
74-3CALBAPUT VALBlockedNalanie Nealblk Evalyn Medaris, Olivia Gloeckner+1.6
84-4UT VALUT VALAttack errMaria Contreras+2.1
95-4UT VALCALBAPServe errUtah Valley+1.8
105-5CALBAPUT VALBlockedAudrey Heiringblk Brielle Rueckert, Olivia Gloeckner+1.7
116-5UT VALCALBAP×4Serve errUtah Valley+1.8
127-5CALBAPCALBAP×4Attack errOlivia Gloeckner+2.5
138-5CALBAPCALBAP×4KillNalanie Nealset Maria Contreras+2.5
149-5CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedBree Carsonblk Daria Chekhovskikh, Maria Contreras+2.5
159-6CALBAPUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+1.6
1610-6UT VALCALBAPServe errUtah Valley+2.0
1710-7CALBAPUT VAL×3KillBree Carsonset Evalyn Medaris+1.7
1810-8UT VALUT VAL×3BlockedEleftheria Baxablk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins+2.4
1910-9UT VALUT VAL×3BlockedEleftheria Baxablk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins+2.5
2011-9UT VALCALBAPServe errUtah Valley+2.2
2111-10CALBAPUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+2.0
2212-10UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.3
2312-11CALBAPUT VALBlockedFilippa Botcherblk Brielle Rueckert, Miley Thunstrom+2.0
2412-12UT VALUT VALBad setAvery Barber+2.8
2513-12UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.3
2614-12CALBAPCALBAPKillFilippa Botcherset Lani Toutai+3.1
2714-13CALBAPUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+2.2
2815-13UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Maria Contreras+2.6
2916-13CALBAPCALBAPAttack errEvalyn Medaris+3.3
3016-14CALBAPUT VALServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.1
3117-14UT VALCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Maria Contreras+2.7
3217-15CALBAPUT VALAttack errNalanie Neal+2.1
3317-16UT VALUT VALBlockedAudrey Heiringblk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins+3.2
3418-16UT VALCALBAPAttack errBree Carson+3.0
3518-17CALBAPUT VALServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.6
3619-17UT VALCALBAP×4KillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+3.2
3720-17CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedAlyvia Watkinsblk Nalanie Neal+3.9
3821-17CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedEvalyn Medarisblk Daria Chekhovskikh+3.2
3922-17CALBAPCALBAP×4AceCalifornia Baptistaced Lani Toutai+2.3
4022-18CALBAPUT VALServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.9
4123-18UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+1.6
4223-19CALBAPUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Lani Toutai+0.6
4324-19UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+1.3
4425-19CALBAPCALBAPKillMaria Contrerasset Mia Rossman+0.4
Set 2
11-0CALBAPCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.8
21-1CALBAPUT VALAttack errEleftheria Baxa+2.1
31-2UT VALUT VALBlockedEleftheria Baxablk Miley Thunstrom, Brielle Rueckert+2.6
42-2UT VALCALBAPKillDaria Chekhovskikhset Avery Barber+2.1
52-3CALBAPUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+2.1
63-3UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+2.2
74-3CALBAPCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Maria Contreras+3.0
84-4CALBAPUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+2.2
95-4UT VALCALBAPKillFilippa Botcherset Maria Contreras+2.4
105-5CALBAPUT VALKillBree Carsonset Evalyn Medaris+2.3
115-6UT VALUT VALBlockedAudrey Heiringblk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins+2.9
126-6UT VALCALBAP×3KillFilippa Botcherset Maria Contreras+2.4
137-6CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errBree Carson+3.3
148-6CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errMiley Thunstrom+3.5
158-7CALBAPUT VALAttack errMaria Contreras+2.5
168-8UT VALUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+3.3
179-8UT VALCALBAPKillDaria Chekhovskikhset Maria Contreras+2.7
189-9CALBAPUT VALKillEvalyn Medarisset Kenna McClure+2.6
1910-9UT VALCALBAP×4Bad setEvalyn Medaris+2.8
2011-9CALBAPCALBAP×4Attack errMiley Thunstrom+3.8
2112-9CALBAPCALBAP×4AceCalifornia Baptistaced Kenna McClure+3.9
2213-9CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedBrielle Rueckertblk Daria Chekhovskikh, Eleftheria Baxa+3.7
2313-10CALBAPUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Jagoda Bialek+2.4
2414-10UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+3.0
2515-10CALBAPCALBAPKillAvery Barberset Audrey Heiring+3.4
2615-11CALBAPUT VAL×3KillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+2.0
2715-12UT VALUT VAL×3BlockedEleftheria Baxablk Bree Carson, Brielle Rueckert+3.1
2815-13UT VALUT VAL×3AceUtah Valley+3.7
2916-13UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+3.5
3016-14CALBAPUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+2.9
3117-14UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Audrey Heiring+3.6
3218-14CALBAPCALBAPAceCalifornia Baptistaced Bree Carson+4.2
3318-15CALBAPUT VALServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.4
3418-16UT VALUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+3.9
3519-16UT VALCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Maria Contreras+4.0
3620-16CALBAPCALBAPAttack errBree Carson+4.4
3720-17CALBAPUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+2.3
3820-18UT VALUT VALKillMiley Thunstrom+4.1
3921-18UT VALCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Maria Contreras+4.4
4021-19CALBAPUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+3.1
4122-19UT VALCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+4.7
4222-20CALBAPUT VALKillBrielle Rueckertset Evalyn Medaris+3.0
4323-20UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+4.9
4423-21CALBAPUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+2.8
4524-21UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+5.1
4624-22CALBAPUT VALServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.0
4725-22UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Audrey Heiring+4.9
Set 3
11-0UT VALCALBAP×3KillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.0
22-0CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedMiley Thunstromblk Daria Chekhovskikh, Eleftheria Baxa+2.7
33-0CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedMaranda Woolfblk Daria Chekhovskikh+2.7
43-1CALBAPUT VAL×3KillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+1.9
53-2UT VALUT VAL×3BlockedNalanie Nealblk Maranda Woolf, Olivia Gloeckner+2.6
63-3UT VALUT VAL×3AceUtah Valleyaced Jagoda Bialek+2.6
74-3UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Audrey Heiring+2.1
84-4CALBAPUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+2.0
94-5UT VALUT VALKillChloe Hansenset Olivia Gloeckner+2.6
105-5UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+2.1
116-5CALBAPCALBAPAttack errOlivia Gloeckner+2.9
126-6CALBAPUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+2.1
137-6UT VALCALBAPAttack errChloe Hansen+2.3
148-6CALBAPCALBAPBlockedAlyvia Watkinsblk Audrey Heiring+3.1
158-7CALBAPUT VAL×4Attack errMaria Contreras+2.2
168-8UT VALUT VAL×4AceUtah Valley+2.9
178-9UT VALUT VAL×4AceUtah Valley+2.9
188-10UT VALUT VAL×4KillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+2.7
199-10UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Maria Contreras+2.1
209-11CALBAPUT VAL×5Serve errCalifornia Baptist+2.1
219-12UT VALUT VAL×5BlockedAudrey Heiringblk Maranda Woolf, Evalyn Medaris+2.5
229-13UT VALUT VAL×5Attack errNalanie Neal+2.1
239-14UT VALUT VAL×5BlockedMaria Contrerasblk Miley Thunstrom+1.7
249-15UT VALUT VAL×5BlockedDaria Chekhovskikhblk Maranda Woolf, Miley Thunstrom+1.3
2510-15UT VALCALBAPServe errUtah Valley+0.8
2611-15CALBAPCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+1.4
2711-16CALBAPUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+1.3
2812-16UT VALCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+1.1
2912-17CALBAPUT VALAttack errNalanie Neal+1.3
3012-18UT VALUT VALKillChloe Hansenset Miley Thunstrom+1.2
3113-18UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+0.7
3213-19CALBAPUT VALKillChloe Hansenset Evalyn Medaris+0.9
3314-19UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+0.6
3414-20CALBAPUT VALKillChloe Hansenset Evalyn Medaris+0.9
3514-21UT VALUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+0.6
3615-21UT VALCALBAP×3KillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+0.2
3716-21CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedAlyvia Watkinsblk Audrey Heiring+0.6
3817-21CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedChloe Hansenblk Maria Contreras, Filippa Botcher+1.0
3917-22CALBAPUT VAL×3KillChloe Hansenset Lani Toutai+1.2
4017-23UT VALUT VAL×3AceUtah Valleyaced Jagoda Bialek+0.7
4117-24UT VALUT VAL×3KillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+0.2
4218-24UT VALCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber·
4319-24CALBAPCALBAPAttack errAlyvia Watkins+0.1
4419-25CALBAPUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+0.2
Set 4
10-1CALBAPUT VALAttack errDaria Chekhovskikh+2.7
20-2UT VALUT VALKillEvalyn Medarisset Lani Toutai+3.4
31-2UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Jagoda Bialek+2.6
41-3CALBAPUT VAL×5Attack errNalanie Neal+2.6
51-4UT VALUT VAL×5KillEvalyn Medarisset Chloe Hansen+3.1
61-5UT VALUT VAL×5KillMaranda Woolfset Evalyn Medaris+2.8
71-6UT VALUT VAL×5Attack errEleftheria Baxa+2.4
81-7UT VALUT VAL×5Attack errDaria Chekhovskikh+2.0
92-7UT VALCALBAP×3KillNalanie Nealset Daria Chekhovskikh+1.3
103-7CALBAPCALBAP×3KillEleftheria Baxaset Jana Cetkovic+2.2
114-7CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errMaranda Woolf+2.7
124-8CALBAPUT VALAttack errNalanie Neal+2.3
134-9UT VALUT VALAceUtah Valleyaced Emery DeJong+2.5
145-9UT VALCALBAP×3BlockedOlivia Gloecknerblk Filippa Botcher, Nalanie Neal+1.7
156-9CALBAPCALBAP×3KillNalanie Nealset Maria Contreras+2.8
167-9CALBAPCALBAP×3AceCalifornia Baptist+3.4
177-10CALBAPUT VAL×3KillChloe Hansenset Evalyn Medaris+2.8
187-11UT VALUT VAL×3BlockedNalanie Nealblk Alyvia Watkins, Olivia Gloeckner+3.2
197-12UT VALUT VAL×3Attack errNalanie Neal+2.6
208-12UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+1.7
218-13CALBAPUT VALServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.0
229-13UT VALCALBAPKillFilippa Botcherset Avery Barber+1.7
239-14CALBAPUT VALServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.0
2410-14UT VALCALBAPAttack errAlyvia Watkins+1.7
2510-15CALBAPUT VAL×3BlockedEmery DeJongblk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins+2.0
2610-16UT VALUT VAL×3Attack errEmery DeJong+2.0
2710-17UT VALUT VAL×3KillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+1.4
2811-17UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+0.7
2911-18CALBAPUT VALBlockedEleftheria Baxablk Miley Thunstrom, Maranda Woolf+1.0
3012-18UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+0.7
3112-19CALBAPUT VALBlockedNalanie Nealblk Maranda Woolf, Olivia Gloeckner+0.9
3212-20UT VALUT VALAttack errNalanie Neal+0.7
3313-20UT VALCALBAPServe errUtah Valley+0.3
3413-21CALBAPUT VALKillMaranda Woolfset Evalyn Medaris+0.4
3513-22UT VAL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
3614-22UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+0.1
3714-23CALBAPUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+0.1
3815-23UT VALCALBAPKillFilippa Botcherset Avery Barber·
3916-23CALBAPCALBAPBlockedChloe Hansenblk Jana Cetkovic, Avery Barber+0.1
4016-24CALBAPUT VALKillChloe Hansenset Lani Toutai+0.1
4116-25UT VALUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+0.9
Set 5
10-1CALBAPUT VALAttack errEleftheria Baxa+6.0
21-1UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+6.3
31-2CALBAPUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+6.2
42-2UT VALCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+6.5
53-2CALBAPCALBAPAttack errMaranda Woolf+9.2
63-3CALBAPUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+6.8
74-3UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Filippa Botcher+7.6
84-4CALBAPUT VALServe errCalifornia Baptist+7.1
95-4UT VALCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Maria Contreras+7.9
105-5CALBAPUT VAL×8Attack errNalanie Neal+7.5
115-6UT VALUT VAL×8BlockedAudrey Heiringblk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins+9.8
125-7UT VALUT VAL×8KillAlyvia Watkinsset Devyn Masi+9.1
135-8UT VALUT VAL×8KillChloe Hansenset Evalyn Medaris+7.9
145-9UT VALUT VAL×8Attack errJana Cetkovic+6.2
155-10UT VALUT VAL×8KillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+4.3
165-11UT VALUT VAL×8AceUtah Valley+2.6
175-12UT VALUT VAL×8Attack errAnaiya Campbell+1.3
186-12UT VALCALBAPServe errUtah Valley+0.4
196-13CALBAPUT VAL×3Serve errCalifornia Baptist+0.8
206-14UT VALUT VAL×3KillEvalyn Medarisset Chloe Hansen+0.3
216-15UT VALUT VAL×3KillMiley Thunstrom·

Score shown after each rally, California Baptist first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).