Utah Valley def. California Baptist 3–2
Utah Valley beat visiting California Baptist 3-2 (19-25, 22-25, 25-19, 25-16, 15-6) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Miley Thunstrom led Utah Valley with 17 kills; California Baptist's Nalanie Neal had a match-high 22.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CALBAP | 25 | 25 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 2 |
| UT VAL | 19 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 9.8% to Utah Valley — set 5, CALBAP 5-6 UT VAL. Audrey Heiring stuffed by Evalyn Medaris & Alyvia Watkins. UT VAL win probability 58% → 68%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
California Baptist wins
Utah Valley wins
- CALBAP break %
- 41.2% vs this opp
- UT VAL break %
- 46.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Evalyn Medaris&Alyvia WatkinsBlock+9.8%
Audrey Heiring stuffed by Evalyn Medaris & Alyvia Watkins
Set 5 · CALBAP 5-6 UT VAL · UT VAL 58% → 68%
- 02Maranda WoolfAttack error+9.2%
Attack error by Maranda Woolf
Set 5 · CALBAP 3-2 UT VAL · CALBAP 39% → 48%
- 03Alyvia WatkinsKill+9.1%
Kill by Alyvia Watkins (set by Devyn Masi)
Set 5 · CALBAP 5-7 UT VAL · UT VAL 68% → 77%
- 04Nalanie NealKill+7.9%
Kill by Nalanie Neal (set by Maria Contreras)
Set 5 · CALBAP 5-4 UT VAL · CALBAP 41% → 49%
- 05Chloe HansenKill+7.9%
Kill by Chloe Hansen (set by Evalyn Medaris)
Set 5 · CALBAP 5-8 UT VAL · UT VAL 77% → 85%
- 06Nalanie NealKill+7.6%
Kill by Nalanie Neal (set by Filippa Botcher)
Set 5 · CALBAP 4-3 UT VAL · CALBAP 41% → 49%
- 07Nalanie NealAttack error+7.5%
Attack error by Nalanie Neal
Set 5 · CALBAP 5-5 UT VAL · UT VAL 51% → 58%
- 08California BaptistService error+7.1%
California Baptist service error
Set 5 · CALBAP 4-4 UT VAL · UT VAL 51% → 59%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 22 | 13 | 50 | .180 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 24.5 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 34 | .265 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
| 5 | 6 | 5 | 28 | .036 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | |
| 5 | 5 | 1 | 7 | .571 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -.143 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -.429 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 38 | 144 | .111 | 52 | 4 | 10 | 47 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 91 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 17 | 4 | 41 | .317 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 23 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | .174 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 19 | .211 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | .143 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 8 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 17 | .294 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -.125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 50 | 25 | 136 | .184 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 18 | 106 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
California Baptist vs Utah Valley
Season series · Series tied 1-1
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026California Baptist at Utah Valley · Utah Valley won 3-2This match
- Fri, Oct 30, 2026Utah Valley at California Baptist · California Baptist won 3-2Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-19
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
19-25
Set 4
16-25
Set 5
6-15
Bars above the line = Utah Valley leads, below = California Baptist leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
California Baptist
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 82%9/11 | 53%8/15 |
| 2 | 60%9/15 | 36%5/14 |
| 3 | 80%8/10 | 33%4/12 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 30%3/10 |
| 5 | 32%7/22 | 56%9/16 |
| 6 | 38%5/13 | 13%1/8 |
| All | 56%45/81 | 40%30/75 |
Utah Valley
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%9/17 | 30%3/10 |
| 2 | 73%8/11 | 36%5/14 |
| 3 | 67%8/12 | 33%4/12 |
| 4 | 50%7/14 | 11%1/9 |
| 5 | 64%7/11 | 53%8/15 |
| 6 | 60%6/10 | 71%15/21 |
| All | 60%45/75 | 44%36/81 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
197 rallies
| # | CALBAP-UT VAL | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Kill | Alyvia Watkins | set Evalyn Medaris | +1.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UT VAL | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Jagoda Bialek | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +2.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Blocked | Miley Thunstrom | blk Eleftheria Baxa, Filippa Botcher | +2.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +1.6 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +1.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Blocked | Nalanie Neal | blk Evalyn Medaris, Olivia Gloeckner | +1.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Attack err | Maria Contreras | +2.1 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Serve err | Utah Valley | +1.8 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Blocked | Audrey Heiring | blk Brielle Rueckert, Olivia Gloeckner | +1.7 |
| 11 | 6-5 | UT VAL | CALBAP×4 | Serve err | Utah Valley | +1.8 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Attack err | Olivia Gloeckner | +2.5 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Maria Contreras | +2.5 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Blocked | Bree Carson | blk Daria Chekhovskikh, Maria Contreras | +2.5 |
| 15 | 9-6 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Olivia Gloeckner | set Evalyn Medaris | +1.6 |
| 16 | 10-6 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Serve err | Utah Valley | +2.0 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | CALBAP | UT VAL×3 | Kill | Bree Carson | set Evalyn Medaris | +1.7 |
| 18 | 10-8 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Blocked | Eleftheria Baxa | blk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins | +2.4 |
| 19 | 10-9 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Blocked | Eleftheria Baxa | blk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins | +2.5 |
| 20 | 11-9 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Serve err | Utah Valley | +2.2 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Alyvia Watkins | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.0 |
| 22 | 12-10 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +2.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Blocked | Filippa Botcher | blk Brielle Rueckert, Miley Thunstrom | +2.0 |
| 24 | 12-12 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Bad set | Avery Barber | +2.8 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +2.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Kill | Filippa Botcher | set Lani Toutai | +3.1 |
| 27 | 14-13 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.2 |
| 28 | 15-13 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Maria Contreras | +2.6 |
| 29 | 16-13 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Evalyn Medaris | +3.3 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Serve err | California Baptist | +2.1 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Maria Contreras | +2.7 |
| 32 | 17-15 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.1 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Blocked | Audrey Heiring | blk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins | +3.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Attack err | Bree Carson | +3.0 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Serve err | California Baptist | +2.6 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | UT VAL | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +3.2 |
| 37 | 20-17 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Blocked | Alyvia Watkins | blk Nalanie Neal | +3.9 |
| 38 | 21-17 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Blocked | Evalyn Medaris | blk Daria Chekhovskikh | +3.2 |
| 39 | 22-17 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Ace | California Baptist | aced Lani Toutai | +2.3 |
| 40 | 22-18 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Serve err | California Baptist | +0.9 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +1.6 |
| 42 | 23-19 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Lani Toutai | +0.6 |
| 43 | 24-19 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +1.3 |
| 44 | 25-19 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Kill | Maria Contreras | set Mia Rossman | +0.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +2.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | +2.1 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Blocked | Eleftheria Baxa | blk Miley Thunstrom, Brielle Rueckert | +2.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Daria Chekhovskikh | set Avery Barber | +2.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +2.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Maria Contreras | +3.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Olivia Gloeckner | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Filippa Botcher | set Maria Contreras | +2.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Bree Carson | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Blocked | Audrey Heiring | blk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins | +2.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | UT VAL | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Filippa Botcher | set Maria Contreras | +2.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Attack err | Bree Carson | +3.3 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Attack err | Miley Thunstrom | +3.5 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Attack err | Maria Contreras | +2.5 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +3.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Daria Chekhovskikh | set Maria Contreras | +2.7 |
| 18 | 9-9 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Evalyn Medaris | set Kenna McClure | +2.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | UT VAL | CALBAP×4 | Bad set | Evalyn Medaris | +2.8 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Attack err | Miley Thunstrom | +3.8 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Ace | California Baptist | aced Kenna McClure | +3.9 |
| 22 | 13-9 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Blocked | Brielle Rueckert | blk Daria Chekhovskikh, Eleftheria Baxa | +3.7 |
| 23 | 13-10 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Jagoda Bialek | +2.4 |
| 24 | 14-10 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +3.0 |
| 25 | 15-10 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Kill | Avery Barber | set Audrey Heiring | +3.4 |
| 26 | 15-11 | CALBAP | UT VAL×3 | Kill | Olivia Gloeckner | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.0 |
| 27 | 15-12 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Blocked | Eleftheria Baxa | blk Bree Carson, Brielle Rueckert | +3.1 |
| 28 | 15-13 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Ace | Utah Valley | +3.7 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +3.5 |
| 30 | 16-14 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Olivia Gloeckner | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.9 |
| 31 | 17-14 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Audrey Heiring | +3.6 |
| 32 | 18-14 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Ace | California Baptist | aced Bree Carson | +4.2 |
| 33 | 18-15 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Serve err | California Baptist | +2.4 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Kill | Alyvia Watkins | set Evalyn Medaris | +3.9 |
| 35 | 19-16 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Maria Contreras | +4.0 |
| 36 | 20-16 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Bree Carson | +4.4 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.3 |
| 38 | 20-18 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | +4.1 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Maria Contreras | +4.4 |
| 40 | 21-19 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Alyvia Watkins | set Evalyn Medaris | +3.1 |
| 41 | 22-19 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Avery Barber | +4.7 |
| 42 | 22-20 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Brielle Rueckert | set Evalyn Medaris | +3.0 |
| 43 | 23-20 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +4.9 |
| 44 | 23-21 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.8 |
| 45 | 24-21 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +5.1 |
| 46 | 24-22 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Serve err | California Baptist | +2.0 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Audrey Heiring | +4.9 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UT VAL | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +2.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Blocked | Miley Thunstrom | blk Daria Chekhovskikh, Eleftheria Baxa | +2.7 |
| 3 | 3-0 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Blocked | Maranda Woolf | blk Daria Chekhovskikh | +2.7 |
| 4 | 3-1 | CALBAP | UT VAL×3 | Kill | Olivia Gloeckner | set Evalyn Medaris | +1.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Blocked | Nalanie Neal | blk Maranda Woolf, Olivia Gloeckner | +2.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Ace | Utah Valley | aced Jagoda Bialek | +2.6 |
| 7 | 4-3 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Audrey Heiring | +2.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Olivia Gloeckner | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Kill | Chloe Hansen | set Olivia Gloeckner | +2.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +2.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Olivia Gloeckner | +2.9 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Olivia Gloeckner | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.1 |
| 13 | 7-6 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Attack err | Chloe Hansen | +2.3 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Blocked | Alyvia Watkins | blk Audrey Heiring | +3.1 |
| 15 | 8-7 | CALBAP | UT VAL×4 | Attack err | Maria Contreras | +2.2 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | UT VAL | UT VAL×4 | Ace | Utah Valley | +2.9 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | UT VAL | UT VAL×4 | Ace | Utah Valley | +2.9 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | UT VAL | UT VAL×4 | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.7 |
| 19 | 9-10 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Maria Contreras | +2.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | CALBAP | UT VAL×5 | Serve err | California Baptist | +2.1 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | UT VAL | UT VAL×5 | Blocked | Audrey Heiring | blk Maranda Woolf, Evalyn Medaris | +2.5 |
| 22 | 9-13 | UT VAL | UT VAL×5 | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.1 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | UT VAL | UT VAL×5 | Blocked | Maria Contreras | blk Miley Thunstrom | +1.7 |
| 24 | 9-15 | UT VAL | UT VAL×5 | Blocked | Daria Chekhovskikh | blk Maranda Woolf, Miley Thunstrom | +1.3 |
| 25 | 10-15 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Serve err | Utah Valley | +0.8 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +1.4 |
| 27 | 11-16 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +1.3 |
| 28 | 12-16 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Avery Barber | +1.1 |
| 29 | 12-17 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +1.3 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Kill | Chloe Hansen | set Miley Thunstrom | +1.2 |
| 31 | 13-18 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +0.7 |
| 32 | 13-19 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Chloe Hansen | set Evalyn Medaris | +0.9 |
| 33 | 14-19 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +0.6 |
| 34 | 14-20 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Chloe Hansen | set Evalyn Medaris | +0.9 |
| 35 | 14-21 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Kill | Alyvia Watkins | set Evalyn Medaris | +0.6 |
| 36 | 15-21 | UT VAL | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +0.2 |
| 37 | 16-21 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Blocked | Alyvia Watkins | blk Audrey Heiring | +0.6 |
| 38 | 17-21 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Blocked | Chloe Hansen | blk Maria Contreras, Filippa Botcher | +1.0 |
| 39 | 17-22 | CALBAP | UT VAL×3 | Kill | Chloe Hansen | set Lani Toutai | +1.2 |
| 40 | 17-23 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Ace | Utah Valley | aced Jagoda Bialek | +0.7 |
| 41 | 17-24 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +0.2 |
| 42 | 18-24 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Avery Barber | · |
| 43 | 19-24 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Alyvia Watkins | +0.1 | |
| 44 | 19-25 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +0.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Attack err | Daria Chekhovskikh | +2.7 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Kill | Evalyn Medaris | set Lani Toutai | +3.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Jagoda Bialek | +2.6 |
| 4 | 1-3 | CALBAP | UT VAL×5 | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.6 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | UT VAL | UT VAL×5 | Kill | Evalyn Medaris | set Chloe Hansen | +3.1 |
| 6 | 1-5 | UT VAL | UT VAL×5 | Kill | Maranda Woolf | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.8 |
| 7 | 1-6 | UT VAL | UT VAL×5 | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | +2.4 | |
| 8 | 1-7 | UT VAL | UT VAL×5 | Attack err | Daria Chekhovskikh | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | UT VAL | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Daria Chekhovskikh | +1.3 |
| 10 | 3-7 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Jana Cetkovic | +2.2 |
| 11 | 4-7 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Attack err | Maranda Woolf | +2.7 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.3 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Ace | Utah Valley | aced Emery DeJong | +2.5 |
| 14 | 5-9 | UT VAL | CALBAP×3 | Blocked | Olivia Gloeckner | blk Filippa Botcher, Nalanie Neal | +1.7 |
| 15 | 6-9 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Maria Contreras | +2.8 |
| 16 | 7-9 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Ace | California Baptist | +3.4 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | CALBAP | UT VAL×3 | Kill | Chloe Hansen | set Evalyn Medaris | +2.8 |
| 18 | 7-11 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Blocked | Nalanie Neal | blk Alyvia Watkins, Olivia Gloeckner | +3.2 |
| 19 | 7-12 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.6 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +1.7 |
| 21 | 8-13 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Serve err | California Baptist | +2.0 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Filippa Botcher | set Avery Barber | +1.7 |
| 23 | 9-14 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Serve err | California Baptist | +2.0 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Attack err | Alyvia Watkins | +1.7 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | CALBAP | UT VAL×3 | Blocked | Emery DeJong | blk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins | +2.0 |
| 26 | 10-16 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Attack err | Emery DeJong | +2.0 | |
| 27 | 10-17 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +1.4 |
| 28 | 11-17 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +0.7 |
| 29 | 11-18 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Blocked | Eleftheria Baxa | blk Miley Thunstrom, Maranda Woolf | +1.0 |
| 30 | 12-18 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +0.7 |
| 31 | 12-19 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Blocked | Nalanie Neal | blk Maranda Woolf, Olivia Gloeckner | +0.9 |
| 32 | 12-20 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +0.7 | |
| 33 | 13-20 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Serve err | Utah Valley | +0.3 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Maranda Woolf | set Evalyn Medaris | +0.4 |
| 35 | 13-22 | UT VAL | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.2 | |||
| 36 | 14-22 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +0.1 |
| 37 | 14-23 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Alyvia Watkins | set Evalyn Medaris | +0.1 |
| 38 | 15-23 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Filippa Botcher | set Avery Barber | · |
| 39 | 16-23 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Blocked | Chloe Hansen | blk Jana Cetkovic, Avery Barber | +0.1 |
| 40 | 16-24 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Chloe Hansen | set Lani Toutai | +0.1 |
| 41 | 16-25 | UT VAL | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +0.9 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | +6.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +6.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +6.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +6.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Maranda Woolf | +9.2 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | set Evalyn Medaris | +6.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Filippa Botcher | +7.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CALBAP | UT VAL | Serve err | California Baptist | +7.1 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Maria Contreras | +7.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CALBAP | UT VAL×8 | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +7.5 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | UT VAL | UT VAL×8 | Blocked | Audrey Heiring | blk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins | +9.8 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UT VAL | UT VAL×8 | Kill | Alyvia Watkins | set Devyn Masi | +9.1 |
| 13 | 5-8 | UT VAL | UT VAL×8 | Kill | Chloe Hansen | set Evalyn Medaris | +7.9 |
| 14 | 5-9 | UT VAL | UT VAL×8 | Attack err | Jana Cetkovic | +6.2 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | UT VAL | UT VAL×8 | Kill | Alyvia Watkins | set Evalyn Medaris | +4.3 |
| 16 | 5-11 | UT VAL | UT VAL×8 | Ace | Utah Valley | +2.6 | |
| 17 | 5-12 | UT VAL | UT VAL×8 | Attack err | Anaiya Campbell | +1.3 | |
| 18 | 6-12 | UT VAL | CALBAP | Serve err | Utah Valley | +0.4 | |
| 19 | 6-13 | CALBAP | UT VAL×3 | Serve err | California Baptist | +0.8 | |
| 20 | 6-14 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Kill | Evalyn Medaris | set Chloe Hansen | +0.3 |
| 21 | 6-15 | UT VAL | UT VAL×3 | Kill | Miley Thunstrom | · | |
Score shown after each rally, California Baptist first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).