Utah Valley def. Cal State Fullerton 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 17)

FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Utah Valley 77.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Utah Valley beat visiting Cal St. Fullerton 3-0 (25-16, 25-22, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Miley Thunstrom led Utah Valley with 13 kills; Cal St. Fullerton's Sofia Shine had a match-high 15.

Data through Nov 3, 9:55 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CSFULL	16	22	20	0
UT VAL	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Utah Valley put up 12 blocks and shut down Cal St. Fullerton.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.6 points, and Cal St. Fullerton's high was 23% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Utah Valley 77% before first serve.

Cal St. FullertonUtah Valley

Break %+14.4 pts
35.650.0
On serve: 37/74 against 21/59 (Cal St. Fullerton sideout 50.0%).
Hitting+.213
.037.250
45 kills, 20 errors vs 29 kills, 25 errors.

Utah Valley above 50Cal St. Fullerton belowMax swing 2.6%

Cal St. FullertonUtah Valley

Aces: Cal St. Fullerton 3·Utah Valley 4
Serve err: Cal St. Fullerton 1·Utah Valley 6
Blocks: Cal St. Fullerton 8·Utah Valley 121 BS · 14 BA vs 2 BS · 20 BA
Digs: Cal St. Fullerton 29·Utah Valley 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Utah Valley above 50 · Cal St. Fullerton below

Biggest swing: 2.6% to Utah Valley — set 2, CSFULL 21-23 UT VAL. Kill by Miley Thunstrom (set by Evalyn Medaris). UT VAL win probability 90% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSFULL 19.4%80.6% UT VAL

Cal St. Fullerton wins

3-0

3.1%

3-1

6.4%

3-2

9.9%

Utah Valley wins

3-0

32.1%

3-1

30.4%

3-2

18.1%

CSFULL break %: 39.6% vs this opp
UT VAL break %: 46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Miley ThunstromKill+2.6%
Kill by Miley Thunstrom (set by Evalyn Medaris)
Set 2 · CSFULL 21-23 UT VAL · UT VAL 90% → 92%
02
Miley ThunstromAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Miley Thunstrom
Set 2 · CSFULL 20-21 UT VAL · CSFULL 8% → 11%
03
Olivia GloecknerKill+2.4%
Kill by Olivia Gloeckner (set by Evalyn Medaris)
Set 2 · CSFULL 21-24 UT VAL · UT VAL 92% → 95%
04
Alyvia WatkinsKill+2.4%
Kill by Alyvia Watkins (set by Evalyn Medaris)
Set 2 · CSFULL 20-22 UT VAL · UT VAL 89% → 92%
05
Sofia ShineKill+2.1%
Kill by Sofia Shine (set by Mia Feldhaus)
Set 1 · CSFULL 7-7 UT VAL · CSFULL 21% → 23%
06
Alyvia WatkinsAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Alyvia Watkins
Set 1 · CSFULL 10-11 UT VAL · CSFULL 19% → 21%
07
Parys TaylorKill+2.0%
Kill by Parys Taylor (set by Sibley Oster)
Set 2 · CSFULL 16-17 UT VAL · CSFULL 9% → 11%
08
Sofia ShineKill+2.0%
Kill by Sofia Shine (set by Sibley Oster)
Set 1 · CSFULL 5-5 UT VAL · CSFULL 21% → 23%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Cal St. Fullertonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Sofia ShineOH	3	15	8	45	.156	0	1	0	3	0	0	2	1	17
9Hannah HassMB	3	2	2	11	.000	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
8Kaia HerwegL/DS	3	3	4	15	-.067	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
18Zariah CrosbyMB	3	0	3	10	-.300	1	0	0	1	0	1	4	3	3
5Bella RislingOH	2	2	5	10	-.300	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
12Italia BernalS	2	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
2Parys TaylorOH	3	7	3	12	.333	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	8
6Sibley OsterS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	1
7Jaiden MojicaS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
11Mia FeldhausL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	14	1	0	0	0	0
4Neeva GaineOH	1	0	0	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		29	25	109	.037	28	3	1	29	4	1	14	8	58

Utah Valleyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Miley ThunstromOH	3	13	5	26	.308	1	2	0	14	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
18Brielle RueckertMB	3	11	1	15	.667	1	0	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
2Alyvia WatkinsMB	3	5	5	13	.000	0	0	0	1	0	2	7	5.5	10.5
17Olivia GloecknerOH	3	8	2	19	.316	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
5Chloe HansenOH	3	6	5	19	.053	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6
11Evalyn MedarisS	3	2	1	7	.143	36	0	1	13	0	0	6	3	5
8Lani ToutaiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	11	1	0	0	0	1
12Kenna McClureL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
6Brooke StaufferS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		45	20	100	.250	43	4	6	44	3	2	20	12	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 CSFULL · UT VAL 4

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 CSFULLUT VAL 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 CSFULLUT VAL 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 CSFULLUT VAL 3

Bars above the line = Utah Valley leads, below = Cal St. Fullerton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cal St. Fullerton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	54%7/13
2	64%7/11	13%1/8
3	40%6/15	13%1/8
4	67%6/9	45%5/11
5	50%6/12	50%6/12
6	50%5/10	14%1/7
All	50%37/74	36%21/59

Utah Valley

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	57%8/14
2	88%7/8	42%5/12
3	58%7/12	56%9/16
4	55%6/11	40%4/10
5	67%6/9	50%6/12
6	56%5/9	50%5/10
All	64%38/59	50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#	CSFULL-UT VAL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Lani Toutai	+1.8
2	1-1	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Italia Bernal	+1.4
3	1-2	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.4
4	2-2	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+1.4
5	2-3	CSFULL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.4
6	2-4	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Kaia Herweg		+1.7
7	2-5	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Ace	Miley Thunstrom	aced Kaia Herweg	+1.6
8	3-5	UT VAL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Sibley Oster	+1.2
9	4-5	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster	+1.8
10	5-5	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster	+2.0
11	5-6	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.5
12	5-7	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Alyvia Watkins	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.9
13	6-7	UT VAL	CSFULL	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom		+1.4
14	7-7	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Mia Feldhaus	+2.1
15	7-8	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Chloe Hansen	set Lani Toutai	+1.6
16	7-9	UT VAL	UT VAL	Blocked	Sofia Shine	blk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins	+2.0
17	8-9	UT VAL	CSFULL	Serve err	Utah Valley		+1.5
18	8-10	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Chloe Hansen	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.5
19	8-11	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Bella Risling		+1.8
20	9-11	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	+1.3
21	10-11	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Alyvia Watkins		+2.1
22	10-12	CSFULL	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Bella Risling		+1.7
23	10-13	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Blocked	Bella Risling	blk Miley Thunstrom, Brielle Rueckert	+2.0
24	10-14	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.6
25	11-14	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Italia Bernal	+1.1
26	11-15	CSFULL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.2
27	11-16	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.3
28	11-17	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.9
29	12-17	UT VAL	CSFULL	Blocked	Olivia Gloeckner	blk Zariah Crosby, Kaia Herweg	+0.5
30	12-18	CSFULL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.7
31	12-19	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Zariah Crosby		+0.6
32	12-20	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Kaia Herweg		+0.3
33	13-20	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Sibley Oster	+0.1
34	13-21	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.2
35	14-21	UT VAL	CSFULL	Serve err	Utah Valley		+0.1
36	15-21	CSFULL	CSFULL	Blocked	Chloe Hansen	blk Sibley Oster, Hannah Hass	+0.2
37	15-22	CSFULL	UT VAL	Blocked	Sofia Shine	blk Alyvia Watkins, Olivia Gloeckner	+0.3
38	16-22	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Sibley Oster	+0.1
39	16-23	CSFULL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Chloe Hansen	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.2
40	16-24	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Blocked	Sofia Shine	blk Alyvia Watkins	+0.1
41	16-25	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Bella Risling		·
Set 2
1	1-0	CSFULL	CSFULL	Blocked	Alyvia Watkins	blk Sofia Shine, Hannah Hass	+1.5
2	1-1	CSFULL	UT VAL×4	Blocked	Sofia Shine	blk Alyvia Watkins, Evalyn Medaris	+1.1
3	1-2	UT VAL	UT VAL×4	Attack err	Sofia Shine		+1.4
4	1-3	UT VAL	UT VAL×4	Ace	Lani Toutai		+1.3
5	1-4	UT VAL	UT VAL×4	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.2
6	2-4	UT VAL	CSFULL	Attack err	Chloe Hansen		+0.9
7	2-5	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.9
8	2-6	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Hannah Hass		+1.1
9	3-6	UT VAL	CSFULL	Attack err	Olivia Gloeckner		+0.8
10	4-6	CSFULL	CSFULL	Ace	Sofia Shine		+1.2
11	4-7	CSFULL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.0
12	4-8	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Blocked	Kaia Herweg	blk Olivia Gloeckner, Brielle Rueckert	+1.1
13	4-9	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Brielle Rueckert		+0.9
14	5-9	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Italia Bernal	+0.6
15	6-9	CSFULL	CSFULL	Ace	Hannah Hass	aced Chloe Hansen	+1.0
16	6-10	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Chloe Hansen	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.9
17	6-11	UT VAL	UT VAL	Blocked	Kaia Herweg	blk Alyvia Watkins, Olivia Gloeckner	+1.0
18	7-11	UT VAL	CSFULL	Blocked	Chloe Hansen	blk Zariah Crosby, Neeva Gaine	+0.6
19	8-11	CSFULL	CSFULL	Blocked	Chloe Hansen	blk Zariah Crosby, Sibley Oster	+1.1
20	8-12	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.9
21	9-12	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Mia Feldhaus	+0.8
22	9-13	CSFULL	UT VAL	Serve err	Parys Taylor		+0.9
23	10-13	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster	+0.8
24	10-14	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.9
25	11-14	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster	+0.8
26	12-14	CSFULL	CSFULL	Blocked	Brielle Rueckert	blk Sofia Shine, Hannah Hass	+1.4
27	12-15	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.2
28	13-15	UT VAL	CSFULL	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom		+1.1
29	13-16	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.3
30	14-16	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Mia Feldhaus	+1.2
31	14-17	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.3
32	15-17	UT VAL	CSFULL	Attack err	Alyvia Watkins		+1.2
33	16-17	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Sibley Oster	+2.0
34	16-18	CSFULL	UT VAL	Attack err	Parys Taylor		+1.7
35	16-19	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Chloe Hansen	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.9
36	17-19	UT VAL	CSFULL	Serve err	Utah Valley		+1.2
37	17-20	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Lani Toutai	+1.5
38	17-21	UT VAL	UT VAL	Blocked	Sofia Shine	blk Alyvia Watkins, Evalyn Medaris	+1.5
39	18-21	UT VAL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster	+0.7
40	19-21	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom		+1.6
41	20-21	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom		+2.5
42	20-22	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Alyvia Watkins	set Evalyn Medaris	+2.4
43	21-22	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Mia Feldhaus	+2.0
44	21-23	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+2.6
45	21-24	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Evalyn Medaris	+2.4
46	22-24	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	+0.7
47	22-25	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.6
Set 3
1	0-1	UT VAL	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert		+0.7
2	1-1	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster	+0.6
3	1-2	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.5
4	2-2	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster	+0.6
5	2-3	CSFULL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.6
6	2-4	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Brielle Rueckert	+0.7
7	2-5	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Hannah Hass		+0.6
8	3-5	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster	+0.5
9	4-5	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Miley Thunstrom		+0.7
10	4-6	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Brielle Rueckert	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.5
11	4-7	UT VAL	UT VAL	Ace	Brooke Stauffer	aced Mia Feldhaus	+0.7
12	5-7	UT VAL	CSFULL	Serve err	Utah Valley		+0.5
13	5-8	CSFULL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Alyvia Watkins	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.5
14	5-9	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Attack err	Bella Risling		+0.6
15	5-10	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Blocked	Zariah Crosby	blk Alyvia Watkins	+0.5
16	6-10	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Sibley Oster	+0.3
17	7-10	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.5
18	7-11	CSFULL	UT VAL	Attack err	Parys Taylor		+0.5
19	7-12	UT VAL	UT VAL	Blocked	Zariah Crosby	blk Alyvia Watkins, Evalyn Medaris	+0.5
20	8-12	UT VAL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Kenna McClure		+0.3
21	9-12	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Blocked	Alyvia Watkins	blk Zariah Crosby	+0.6
22	10-12	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster	+0.7
23	10-13	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Lani Toutai	+0.6
24	10-14	UT VAL	UT VAL	Attack err	Sofia Shine		+0.7
25	11-14	UT VAL	CSFULL	Serve err	Utah Valley		+0.4
26	11-15	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.5
27	12-15	UT VAL	CSFULL	Serve err	Utah Valley		+0.4
28	12-16	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Olivia Gloeckner	set Lani Toutai	+0.5
29	12-17	UT VAL	UT VAL	Ace	Miley Thunstrom		+0.5
30	13-17	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster	+0.3
31	14-17	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Evalyn Medaris		+0.6
32	14-18	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.5
33	15-18	UT VAL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Sibley Oster	+0.4
34	16-18	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Alyvia Watkins		+0.8
35	17-18	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Zariah Crosby	+1.1
36	17-19	CSFULL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Evalyn Medaris	set Miley Thunstrom	+0.9
37	17-20	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Alyvia Watkins	set Evalyn Medaris	+1.0
38	17-21	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Blocked	Parys Taylor	blk Alyvia Watkins, Evalyn Medaris	+0.8
39	18-21	UT VAL	CSFULL	Blocked	Chloe Hansen	blk Bella Risling, Zariah Crosby	+0.4
40	18-22	CSFULL	UT VAL	Kill	Alyvia Watkins	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.6
41	19-22	UT VAL	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Mia Feldhaus	+0.3
42	20-22	CSFULL	CSFULL	Ace	Parys Taylor	aced Lani Toutai	+0.8
43	20-23	CSFULL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Miley Thunstrom	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.9
44	20-24	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Kill	Chloe Hansen	set Evalyn Medaris	+0.6
45	20-25	UT VAL	UT VAL×3	Blocked	Sofia Shine	blk Evalyn Medaris, Brielle Rueckert	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Cal St. Fullerton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Utah Valley def. Cal St. Fullerton 3–0

Utah Valley put up 12 blocks and shut down Cal St. Fullerton.