Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayPAC-12

1:3

HomeBIG-WEST

UC Santa Barbara def. Utah St. 3–1

(25-17, 25-19, 16-25, 25-15)

Set	1*	2*	3*	4	Sets
UT ST	17	19	25	15	1
UCSB	25	25	16	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UCSB above 50 · UT ST below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Utah St. — set 4, UT ST 9-8 UCSB. Sophia Wendlick stuffed by Sophie Scott & Sami Blackett. UCSB win probability 87% → 84%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UT ST 23.3%76.7% UCSB

Utah St. wins

3-0

4.0%

3-1

7.9%

3-2

11.4%

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0

28.5%

3-1

29.2%

3-2

19.0%

UT ST break %: 38.3% vs this opp
UCSB break %: 43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sophia WendlickAttack error+3.1%
Sophia Wendlick stuffed by Sophie Scott & Sami Blackett
Set 4 · UT ST 9-8 UCSB · UT ST 13% → 16%
02
Emma McDermottKill+2.9%
Kill by Emma McDermott (set by Ayva Ostovar)
Set 4 · UT ST 9-10 UCSB · UCSB 86% → 89%
03
Emma McDermottKill+2.7%
Kill by Emma McDermott (set by Ayva Ostovar)
Set 4 · UT ST 9-11 UCSB · UCSB 89% → 91%
04
Emma McDermottAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Emma McDermott
Set 1 · UT ST 12-12 UCSB · UT ST 21% → 24%
05
Silina DamuniKill+2.5%
Kill by Silina Damuni (set by Gabi Martinez)
Set 4 · UT ST 5-5 UCSB · UT ST 10% → 13%
06
Sophie ScottKill+2.5%
Kill by Sophie Scott (set by Silina Damuni)
Set 1 · UT ST 12-14 UCSB · UCSB 78% → 81%
07
Ava NapierskiKill+2.4%
Kill by Ava Napierski (set by Silina Damuni)
Set 4 · UT ST 3-3 UCSB · UT ST 10% → 13%
08
Sami BlackettAttack error+2.4%
Sami Blackett stuffed by Emma McDermott & Emery Tubbs
Set 4 · UT ST 9-12 UCSB · UCSB 91% → 94%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Utah St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Sami BlackettOH	4	10	8	39	.051	1	2	1	7	0	0	4	2	14
3Ava NapierskiMB	4	7	1	11	.545	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
6Ava NakaiOH	4	5	3	26	.077	1	1	3	7	0	0	2	1	7
42Sophie ScottMB	4	2	2	11	.000	0	2	5	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
5Silina DamuniS	4	2	0	4	.500	26	0	0	11	0	1	0	1	3
9Olivia RuyOH	2	3	4	16	-.063	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3
15Sadie WarrenL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	2	2	3	2	0	0	0	2
1Lily LaFleschL/DS	4	0	1	3	-.333	3	1	0	14	0	0	0	0	1
16Addy CookOH	2	7	3	16	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
17Lauren BodilyOH	1	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
26Ava GibbsL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Olivia TukuafuS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	24	131	.099	34	8	11	46	2	1	12	7	76

UC Santa Barbarahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
28Sophia WendlickOH	4	17	5	30	.400	1	1	2	5	0	0	1	0.5	18.5
18Gabi MartinezOH	4	12	4	26	.308	1	0	4	8	4	1	0	1	13
33Emma McDermottOH	4	10	3	31	.226	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	12
13Bella MathisMB	4	4	1	6	.500	1	1	2	3	0	0	4	2	7
55Emery TubbsMB	4	1	1	7	.000	0	0	1	3	0	1	5	3.5	4.5
19Ayva OstovarS	4	0	0	1	.000	19	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
1Auburn TomkinsonOPP	4	10	4	26	.231	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	12
8Milan RexS	4	0	0	2	.000	22	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
9Cortni YoungbloodDS	4	0	0	1	.000	6	0	0	19	4	0	0	0	0
4Bianca NistorDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Danica RachOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
10Kate MartinOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		54	18	130	.277	51	2	11	57	8	2	18	11	91

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 UT ST · UCSB 7

Set 1*

17-25

Longest run 4 UT STUCSB 4

Set 2*

19-25

Longest run 3 UT STUCSB 7

Set 3*

25-16

Longest run 6 UT STUCSB 2

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 2 UT STUCSB 6

Bars above the line = UC Santa Barbara leads, below = Utah St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Utah St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	25%2/8	33%1/3
2	100%2/2	0%0/2
3	67%2/3	33%1/3
4	50%2/4	33%1/3
5	50%2/4	0%0/2
6	33%1/3	33%1/3
All	46%11/24	25%4/16

UC Santa Barbara

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%2/3	67%2/3
2	100%2/2	75%6/8
3	67%2/3	0%0/2
4	67%2/3	33%1/3
5	100%2/2	50%2/4
6	67%2/3	50%2/4
All	75%12/16	54%13/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

167 rallies

Rally log

#	UT ST-UCSB	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Silina Damuni	+1.5
2	1-1	UT ST	UCSB×4	Attack err	Olivia Ruy	blk Emery Tubbs, Emma McDermott	+1.4
3	1-2	UCSB	UCSB×4	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ayva Ostovar	+1.9
4	1-3	UCSB	UCSB×4	Attack err	Olivia Ruy		+1.8
5	1-4	UCSB	UCSB×4	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Ayva Ostovar	+1.6
6	2-4	UCSB	UT ST	Serve err	UCSB server		+1.1
7	3-4	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Sophia Wendlick		+1.8
8	3-5	UT ST	UCSB	Serve err	UT ST server		+1.3
9	3-6	UCSB	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Ayva Ostovar	+1.7
10	4-6	UCSB	UT ST	Serve err	UCSB server		+1.1
11	4-7	UT ST	UCSB	Attack err	Lauren Bodily	blk Sophia Wendlick, Bella Mathis	+1.2
12	5-7	UCSB	UT ST	Attack err	Auburn Tomkinson	set Olivia Tukuafu	+1.2
13	5-8	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Milan Rex	+1.2
14	5-9	UCSB	UCSB	Ace	UCSB server	aced Sadie Warren	+1.5
15	6-9	UCSB	UT ST	Serve err	UCSB server		+1.0
16	7-9	UT ST	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Lily LaFlesch	+1.7
17	7-10	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+1.3
18	8-10	UCSB	UT ST	Serve err	UCSB server		+1.2
19	8-11	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+1.3
20	8-12	UCSB	UCSB	Attack err	Sami Blackett		+1.6
21	9-12	UCSB	UT ST×4	Attack err	Emery Tubbs	set Ayva Ostovar	+1.0
22	10-12	UT ST	UT ST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.8
23	11-12	UT ST	UT ST×4	Attack err	Gabi Martinez		+2.2
24	12-12	UT ST	UT ST×4	Attack err	Emma McDermott		+2.6
25	12-13	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ayva Ostovar	+1.9
26	12-14	UCSB	UCSB	Kill	Sophie Scott	set Silina Damuni	+2.5
27	13-14	UCSB	UT ST	Serve err	UCSB server		+1.7
28	13-15	UT ST	UCSB	Serve err	UT ST server		+1.8
29	14-15	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Ava Napierski	set Silina Damuni	+1.8
30	14-16	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ayva Ostovar	+1.9
31	14-17	UCSB	UCSB	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson		+2.3
32	15-17	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Lauren Bodily	set Olivia Tukuafu	+1.4
33	15-18	UT ST	UCSB×4	Serve err	UT ST server		+1.7
34	15-19	UCSB	UCSB×4	Attack err	Lauren Bodily		+1.8
35	15-20	UCSB	UCSB×4	Attack err	Sami Blackett		+1.2
36	15-21	UCSB	UCSB×4	Kill	Gabi Martinez		+0.7
37	16-21	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Olivia Tukuafu	+0.3
38	16-22	UT ST	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+0.4
39	16-23	UCSB	UCSB×3	Attack err	Sami Blackett	blk Auburn Tomkinson, Emery Tubbs	+0.2
40	16-24	UCSB	UCSB×3	Ace	UCSB server	aced Sadie Warren	+0.1
41	17-24	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Sadie Warren	+0.0
42	17-25	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UT ST	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy		+1.6
2	1-1	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Sophia Wendlick	+1.1
3	2-1	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Sophie Scott	set Silina Damuni	+1.2
4	2-2	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ayva Ostovar	+1.1
5	2-3	UCSB	UCSB	Attack err	Sophie Scott		+1.5
6	3-3	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+1.1
7	4-3	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Bella Mathis	blk Ava Napierski, Sami Blackett	+1.7
8	4-4	UT ST	UCSB×7	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Ayva Ostovar	+1.1
9	4-5	UCSB	UCSB×7	Kill	Milan Rex		+1.6
10	4-6	UCSB	UCSB×7	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Cortni Youngblood	+1.5
11	4-7	UCSB	UCSB×7	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.3
12	4-8	UCSB	UCSB×7	Kill	Bella Mathis	set Milan Rex	+1.2
13	4-9	UCSB	UCSB×7	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Cortni Youngblood	+0.9
14	4-10	UCSB	UCSB×7	Attack err	Sami Blackett	blk Bella Mathis, Auburn Tomkinson	+0.7
15	5-10	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+0.4
16	5-11	UT ST	UCSB	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.5
17	5-12	UCSB	UCSB	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Cortni Youngblood	+0.5
18	6-12	UCSB	UT ST×3	Serve err	UCSB server		+0.3
19	7-12	UT ST	UT ST×3	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+0.6
20	8-12	UT ST	UT ST×3	Attack err	Gabi Martinez		+0.8
21	8-13	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+0.7
22	8-14	UCSB	UCSB	Attack err	Olivia Ruy		+0.7
23	9-14	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Olivia Ruy	set Silina Damuni	+0.4
24	9-15	UT ST	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+0.5
25	9-16	UCSB	UCSB×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
26	9-17	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Ayva Ostovar	+0.3
27	10-17	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Silina Damuni	+0.1
28	10-18	UT ST	UCSB	Attack err	Olivia Ruy	set Lily LaFlesch	+0.2
29	11-18	UCSB	UT ST×3	Kill	Sophie Scott	set Silina Damuni	+0.1
30	12-18	UT ST	UT ST×3	Attack err	Sophia Wendlick		+0.3
31	13-18	UT ST	UT ST×3	Ace	UT ST server	aced Cortni Youngblood	+0.4
32	13-19	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Ayva Ostovar	+0.4
33	14-19	UCSB	UT ST×3	Attack err	Sophia Wendlick	blk Ava Nakai, Sami Blackett	+0.3
34	15-19	UT ST	UT ST×3	Ace	UT ST server	aced Cortni Youngblood	+0.7
35	16-19	UT ST	UT ST×3	Attack err	Emma McDermott		+1.1
36	16-20	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Cortni Youngblood	+1.0
37	16-21	UCSB	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick		+0.9
38	17-21	UCSB	UT ST	Bad set	Gabi Martinez		+0.4
39	17-22	UT ST	UCSB	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.6
40	18-22	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Ava Nakai	+0.3
41	19-22	UT ST	UT ST	Ace	UT ST server	aced Cortni Youngblood	+0.8
42	19-23	UT ST	UCSB×3	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.9
43	19-24	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+0.6
44	19-25	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	UCSB	UCSB	Attack err	Sophie Scott		+0.7
2	0-2	UCSB	UCSB	Attack err	Sami Blackett		+0.7
3	1-2	UCSB	UT ST	Serve err	UCSB server		+0.5
4	1-3	UT ST	UCSB	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.5
5	2-3	UCSB	UT ST	Bad set	Cortni Youngblood		+0.5
6	3-3	UT ST	UT ST	Ace	UT ST server	aced Cortni Youngblood	+0.8
7	3-4	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ayva Ostovar	+0.6
8	4-4	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Ava Napierski	set Silina Damuni	+0.6
9	4-5	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Ayva Ostovar	+0.6
10	5-5	UCSB	UT ST	Serve err	UCSB server		+0.6
11	6-5	UT ST	UT ST	Ace	UT ST server	aced Gabi Martinez	+0.9
12	6-6	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Bella Mathis	set Milan Rex	+0.6
13	7-6	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Addy Cook	set Silina Damuni	+0.7
14	7-7	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+0.6
15	8-7	UCSB	UT ST×3	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+0.7
16	9-7	UT ST	UT ST×3	Ace	UT ST server	aced Gabi Martinez	+1.1
17	10-7	UT ST	UT ST×3	Attack err	Auburn Tomkinson	blk Sophie Scott, Sami Blackett	+1.1
18	10-8	UT ST	UCSB	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.7
19	11-8	UCSB	UT ST	Attack err	Emma McDermott	set Ayva Ostovar	+0.8
20	11-9	UT ST	UCSB	Serve err	UT ST server		+0.7
21	12-9	UCSB	UT ST	Serve err	UCSB server		+0.8
22	12-10	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ayva Ostovar	+0.7
23	13-10	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Silina Damuni	+0.8
24	14-10	UT ST	UT ST	Ace	UT ST server	aced Gabi Martinez	+1.1
25	14-11	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Ayva Ostovar	+0.6
26	15-11	UCSB	UT ST	Attack err	Auburn Tomkinson	blk Silina Damuni	+0.8
27	15-12	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick		+0.6
28	16-12	UCSB	UT ST×6	Bad set	Bella Mathis		+0.8
29	17-12	UT ST	UT ST×6	Kill	Addy Cook	set Silina Damuni	+1.0
30	18-12	UT ST	UT ST×6	Kill	Sadie Warren		+0.8
31	19-12	UT ST	UT ST×6	Attack err	Gabi Martinez		+0.5
32	20-12	UT ST	UT ST×6	Kill	Addy Cook	set Silina Damuni	+0.3
33	21-12	UT ST	UT ST×6	Kill	Addy Cook		+0.2
34	21-13	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+0.0
35	21-14	UCSB	UCSB	Attack err	Addy Cook		+0.1
36	22-14	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Addy Cook	set Silina Damuni	+0.1
37	22-15	UT ST	UCSB	Attack err	Ava Nakai	blk Gabi Martinez	+0.0
38	23-15	UCSB	UT ST	Attack err	Gabi Martinez	set Ayva Ostovar	+0.1
39	24-15	UT ST	UT ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
40	24-16	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Emery Tubbs	set Ayva Ostovar	+0.0
41	25-16	UCSB	UT ST	Attack err	Sophia Wendlick	blk Ava Napierski, Ava Nakai	+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	UT ST	UCSB	Bad set	Ava Nakai		+1.5
2	0-2	UCSB	UCSB	Attack err	Ava Nakai	blk Emma McDermott, Emery Tubbs	+2.1
3	1-2	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Silina Damuni		+1.5
4	1-3	UT ST	UCSB	Serve err	UT ST server		+1.5
5	2-3	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Ava Napierski	set Silina Damuni	+1.5
6	3-3	UT ST	UT ST	Kill	Ava Napierski	set Silina Damuni	+2.4
7	3-4	UT ST	UCSB	Serve err	UT ST server		+1.7
8	3-5	UCSB	UCSB	Attack err	Sami Blackett		+2.3
9	4-5	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Ava Napierski	set Silina Damuni	+1.6
10	5-5	UT ST	UT ST	Kill	Silina Damuni	set Gabi Martinez	+2.5
11	5-6	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Bella Mathis	set Milan Rex	+1.8
12	6-6	UCSB	UT ST	Serve err	UCSB server		+1.9
13	6-7	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+1.8
14	7-7	UCSB	UT ST	Serve err	UCSB server		+1.9
15	7-8	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+1.9
16	8-8	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+2.0
17	9-8	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Sophia Wendlick	blk Sophie Scott, Sami Blackett	+3.1
18	9-9	UT ST	UCSB×6	Bad set	Silina Damuni		+2.1
19	9-10	UCSB	UCSB×6	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ayva Ostovar	+2.9
20	9-11	UCSB	UCSB×6	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ayva Ostovar	+2.7
21	9-12	UCSB	UCSB×6	Attack err	Sami Blackett	blk Emma McDermott, Emery Tubbs	+2.4
22	9-13	UCSB	UCSB×6	Attack err	Ava Nakai		+2.0
23	9-14	UCSB	UCSB×6	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Emma McDermott	+1.5
24	10-14	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Ava Nakai	set Silina Damuni	+0.9
25	10-15	UT ST	UCSB	Attack err	Ava Napierski	blk Emery Tubbs	+1.1
26	11-15	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Silina Damuni	+0.9
27	11-16	UT ST	UCSB	Kill	Bella Mathis	set Ayva Ostovar	+1.1
28	12-16	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Sami Blackett	set Silina Damuni	+0.8
29	12-17	UT ST	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+1.1
30	12-18	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Milan Rex	+1.0
31	12-19	UCSB	UCSB×3	Attack err	Addy Cook	blk Bella Mathis, Auburn Tomkinson	+0.6
32	13-19	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Ava Napierski	set Silina Damuni	+0.3
33	13-20	UT ST	UCSB×3	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Milan Rex	+0.4
34	13-21	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+0.3
35	13-22	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Bella Mathis	+0.1
36	14-22	UCSB	UT ST	Kill	Emery Tubbs	set Milan Rex	+0.0
37	15-22	UT ST	UT ST	Attack err	Auburn Tomkinson	blk Addy Cook, Sophie Scott	+0.1
38	15-23	UT ST	UCSB×3	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+0.1
39	15-24	UCSB	UCSB×3	Attack err	Addy Cook	blk Emery Tubbs, Emma McDermott	+0.0
40	15-25	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Gabi Martinez	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Utah St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.