UC Santa Barbara def. CSU Bakersfield 3-0 (Sep 26)

FinalSat, Sep 26, 2026ESPN+

0:3

UC Santa Barbara beat visiting CSU Bakersfield 3-0 (25-20, 25-23, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. UC Santa Barbara's Gabi Martinez led with 12 kills, and Cortni Youngblood added 9 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 26

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CSUBAK	20	23	20	0
UCSB	25	25	25	3

Win probability

UC Santa Barbara above 50 · CSU Bakersfield below

Biggest swing: 2.9% to UC Santa Barbara — set 2, CSUBAK 23-25 UCSB. Kill by Bella Mathis (set by Milan Rex). UCSB win probability 94% → 97%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSUBAK 16.5%83.5% UCSB

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0

2.5%

3-1

5.3%

3-2

8.6%

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0

35.3%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

17.1%

CSUBAK break %: 38.7% vs this opp
UCSB break %: 46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Bella MathisKill+2.9%
Kill by Bella Mathis (set by Milan Rex)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 23-25 UCSB · UCSB 94% → 97%
02
Suelen LimaKill+1.9%
Kill by Suelen Lima
Set 2 · CSUBAK 13-10 UCSB · CSUBAK 13% → 15%
03
Suelen LimaKill+1.8%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Ella Pallagi)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 14-10 UCSB · CSUBAK 15% → 16%
04
Ella PallagiBad set+1.8%
Bad set by Ella Pallagi
Set 2 · CSUBAK 14-14 UCSB · UCSB 88% → 90%
05
Anna BacchinKill+1.8%
Kill by Anna Bacchin (set by Luiza Da Cruz)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 23-24 UCSB · CSUBAK 4% → 6%
06
Sophia WendlickKill+1.8%
Kill by Sophia Wendlick (set by Bella Mathis)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 14-13 UCSB · UCSB 86% → 88%
07
Ella PallagiBad set+1.8%
Bad set by Ella Pallagi
Set 2 · CSUBAK 14-15 UCSB · UCSB 90% → 92%
08
Gabi MartinezKill+1.7%
Kill by Gabi Martinez (set by Anna Bacchin)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 19-22 UCSB · UCSB 94% → 96%

Box score

Official NCAA box

CSU Bakersfieldaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Suelen LimaOH	3	7	6	32	.031	0	0	1	1	1	2	1	8
14Defne YanikMB	3	6	1	12	.417	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
20Jordyn Waite-WardMB	3	2	5	12	-.250	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	2.5
1Luiza Da CruzS	3	2	1	5	.200	13	0	0	7	0	0	0	2
11Boden LiljedahlL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	1
9Nele BroszatMB	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	1
6Anna BacchinOH	3	7	2	22	.227	0	0	1	4	1	2	1	8
19Leylah DuranMB	3	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	4.5
5Analiese GaglianoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	2	2	17	0	0	0	2
10Ella PallagiS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
8Taly AcherboimL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Samantha CapinpinS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
18Reese JacksonMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	16	98	.122	24	3	11	39	3	10	5	63

UC Santa Barbarahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Gabi MartinezOH	3	12	6	31	.194	0	1	5	6	3	1	2	2	15
13Bella MathisMB	3	3	1	8	.250	3	2	2	0	0	1	2	2	7
1Auburn TomkinsonOPP	3	6	3	20	.150	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
55Emery TubbsMB	3	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	4
8Milan RexS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
10Kate MartinOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	0	0
33Emma McDermottOH	3	9	3	18	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
28Sophia WendlickOH	3	7	2	17	.294	0	0	1	4	0	1	2	2	9
11Ava ZamoraS	3	1	0	1	1.000	13	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	1
4Bianca NistorDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
9Cortni YoungbloodDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
14Danica RachOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	15	101	.248	36	3	15	41	3	3	12	9	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 CSUBAK · UCSB 8

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 CSUBAKUCSB 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKUCSB 8

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKUCSB 4

Bars above the line = UC Santa Barbara leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

CSU Bakersfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	27%3/11
2	58%7/12	44%7/16
3	30%6/20	42%5/12
4	86%6/7	40%4/10
5	67%6/9	0%0/6
6	50%6/12	40%4/10
All	55%40/73	35%23/65

UC Santa Barbara

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	36%4/11
2	53%8/15	33%4/12
3	58%7/12	67%14/21
4	75%6/8	50%6/12
5	86%6/7	0%0/6
6	50%6/12	45%5/11
All	65%42/65	45%33/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#	CSUBAK-UCSB	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CSUBAK	UCSB×4	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+1.0
2	0-2	UCSB	UCSB×4	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+1.3
3	0-3	UCSB	UCSB×4	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Bella Mathis, Gabi Martinez	+1.2
4	0-4	UCSB	UCSB×4	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Cortni Youngblood	+1.0
5	1-4	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Analiese Gagliano	+0.7
6	2-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.2
7	2-5	CSUBAK	UCSB	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+0.9
8	2-6	UCSB	UCSB	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+1.1
9	3-6	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+0.7
10	4-6	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Sophia Wendlick		+1.2
11	4-7	CSUBAK	UCSB	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.9
12	5-7	UCSB	CSUBAK	Blocked	Auburn Tomkinson	blk Nele Broszat, Suelen Lima	+0.9
13	6-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Analiese Gagliano	+1.5
14	6-8	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+1.1
15	7-8	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Ella Pallagi	+1.2
16	7-9	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ava Zamora	+1.2
17	8-9	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+1.2
18	8-10	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Emery Tubbs	set Ava Zamora	+1.2
19	9-10	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+1.3
20	9-11	CSUBAK	UCSB	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.3
21	9-12	UCSB	UCSB	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+1.5
22	10-12	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.1
23	10-13	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+1.1
24	11-13	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+1.1
25	11-14	CSUBAK	UCSB×4	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.2
26	11-15	UCSB	UCSB×4	Kill	Bella Mathis	set Milan Rex	+1.3
27	11-16	UCSB	UCSB×4	Ace	UC Santa Barbara	aced Boden Liljedahl	+1.0
28	11-17	UCSB	UCSB×4	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+0.7
29	12-17	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+0.4
30	12-18	CSUBAK	UCSB	Blocked	Leylah Duran	blk Sophia Wendlick, Emery Tubbs	+0.5
31	13-18	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Ella Pallagi	+0.3
32	13-19	CSUBAK	UCSB	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.5
33	14-19	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Analiese Gagliano	+0.3
34	15-19	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Gabi Martinez		+0.7
35	15-20	CSUBAK	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Ava Zamora	+0.7
36	15-21	UCSB	UCSB×3	Bad set	Luiza Da Cruz		+0.5
37	15-22	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Bianca Nistor	+0.3
38	16-22	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+0.1
39	16-23	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Bella Mathis	set Ava Zamora	+0.1
40	17-23	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	·
41	18-23	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Gabi Martinez	+0.1
42	18-24	CSUBAK	UCSB	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+0.2
43	19-24	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		·
44	20-24	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Ella Pallagi	+0.1
45	20-25	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.9
2	2-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Analiese Gagliano	+1.3
3	2-1	CSUBAK	UCSB	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.9
4	3-1	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.0
5	3-2	CSUBAK	UCSB×3	Kill	Bella Mathis	set Milan Rex	+0.9
6	3-3	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Bella Mathis	+1.2
7	3-4	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Bella Mathis	+1.1
8	4-4	UCSB	CSUBAK	Bad set	Auburn Tomkinson		+0.9
9	4-5	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+0.8
10	4-6	UCSB	UCSB	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Emery Tubbs, Emma McDermott	+1.1
11	5-6	UCSB	CSUBAK	Attack err	Emma McDermott		+0.8
12	5-7	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Ava Zamora		+0.8
13	6-7	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+0.8
14	7-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Gabi Martinez		+1.3
15	7-8	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ava Zamora	+0.9
16	8-8	UCSB	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.0
17	9-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Bella Mathis		+1.5
18	10-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Emma McDermott		+1.7
19	10-9	CSUBAK	UCSB	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.1
20	11-9	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+1.3
21	11-10	CSUBAK	UCSB	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+1.1
22	12-10	UCSB	CSUBAK×3	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+1.4
23	13-10	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima		+1.9
24	14-10	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Ella Pallagi	+1.8
25	14-11	CSUBAK	UCSB×8	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.1
26	14-12	UCSB	UCSB×8	Bad set	Ella Pallagi		+1.7
27	14-13	UCSB	UCSB×8	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Bella Mathis	+1.8
28	14-14	UCSB	UCSB×8	Bad set	Ella Pallagi		+1.8
29	14-15	UCSB	UCSB×8	Bad set	Ella Pallagi		+1.8
30	14-16	UCSB	UCSB×8	Blocked	Suelen Lima	blk Emery Tubbs, Sophia Wendlick	+1.6
31	14-17	UCSB	UCSB×8	Ace	UC Santa Barbara	aced Suelen Lima	+1.3
32	14-18	UCSB	UCSB×8	Blocked	Suelen Lima	blk Auburn Tomkinson, Emery Tubbs	+1.0
33	15-18	UCSB	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.6
34	16-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Gabi Martinez		+1.2
35	17-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Gabi Martinez	blk Anna Bacchin, Nele Broszat	+1.7
36	17-19	CSUBAK	UCSB	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.4
37	18-19	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.3
38	18-20	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ava Zamora	+1.5
39	19-20	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+1.4
40	19-21	CSUBAK	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Cortni Youngblood	+1.6
41	19-22	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Anna Bacchin	+1.7
42	19-23	UCSB	UCSB×3	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+1.0
43	20-23	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
44	21-23	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Gabi Martinez		+1.0
45	21-24	CSUBAK	UCSB	Blocked	Defne Yanik	blk Bella Mathis	+1.3
46	22-24	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.5
47	23-24	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.8
48	23-25	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Bella Mathis	set Milan Rex	+2.9
Set 3
1	0-1	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Auburn Tomkinson	set Milan Rex	+0.4
2	1-1	UCSB	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
3	2-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Luiza Da Cruz	set Milan Rex	+0.6
4	3-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Auburn Tomkinson	blk Leylah Duran, Suelen Lima	+0.7
5	3-2	CSUBAK	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+0.5
6	3-3	UCSB	UCSB×3	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Sophia Wendlick	+0.6
7	3-4	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Milan Rex	+0.6
8	4-4	UCSB	CSUBAK	Bad set	Milan Rex		+0.5
9	5-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Auburn Tomkinson		+0.7
10	5-5	CSUBAK	UCSB	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.5
11	5-6	UCSB	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Milan Rex	+0.6
12	6-6	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Luiza Da Cruz		+0.5
13	6-7	CSUBAK	UCSB	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.5
14	7-7	UCSB	CSUBAK	Attack err	Sophia Wendlick		+0.5
15	7-8	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ava Zamora	+0.5
16	8-8	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+0.5
17	8-9	CSUBAK	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Jordyn Waite-Ward	+0.5
18	8-10	UCSB	UCSB×3	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Ava Zamora	+0.6
19	8-11	UCSB	UCSB×3	Attack err	Defne Yanik		+0.5
20	9-11	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
21	9-12	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ava Zamora	+0.4
22	10-12	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
23	10-13	CSUBAK	UCSB×3	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.4
24	10-14	UCSB	UCSB×3	Ace	UC Santa Barbara	aced Anna Bacchin	+0.5
25	10-15	UCSB	UCSB×3	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+0.4
26	11-15	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+0.2
27	11-16	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Milan Rex	+0.3
28	11-17	UCSB	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick		+0.3
29	12-17	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+0.1
30	13-17	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Gabi Martinez	+0.3
31	13-18	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Sophia Wendlick	set Auburn Tomkinson	+0.3
32	14-18	UCSB	CSUBAK	Serve err	UC Santa Barbara		+0.2
33	14-19	CSUBAK	UCSB×4	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ava Zamora	+0.3
34	14-20	UCSB	UCSB×4	Kill	Emma McDermott	set Ava Zamora	+0.2
35	14-21	UCSB	UCSB×4	Blocked	Luiza Da Cruz	blk Gabi Martinez	+0.1
36	14-22	UCSB	UCSB×4	Kill	Emery Tubbs	set Ava Zamora	·
37	15-22	UCSB	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	·
38	16-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Emma McDermott	blk Defne Yanik, Anna Bacchin	·
39	17-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.1
40	17-23	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Ava Zamora	+0.1
41	18-23	UCSB	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	·
42	18-24	CSUBAK	UCSB	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Gabi Martinez, Bella Mathis	+0.1
43	19-24	UCSB	CSUBAK	Blocked	Gabi Martinez	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Defne Yanik	·
44	20-24	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Gabi Martinez	+0.1
45	20-25	CSUBAK	UCSB	Kill	Gabi Martinez	set Milan Rex	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

UC Santa Barbara def. CSU Bakersfield 3–0