Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UC Santa Barbara def. UC San Diego 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UC San Diego 60.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UC Santa Barbara won at UC San Diego 3-1 (21-25, 25-21, 25-16, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. UC Santa Barbara's Gabi Martinez led with 19 kills, and Cortni Youngblood added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
UCSB212525253
UCSD252116181

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UC Santa Barbara came back from a 12% low point.

The match turned once; each line shows UC Santa Barbara's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. UC San Diego went in at 61% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · UC Santa Barbara 5–11 UC San Diego

    The bottom for UC Santa Barbara, then 20 of the next 30 rallies and the set, 25–21.

    UC Santa Barbara 12% → 42%

UC San Diego above 50UC Santa Barbara belowMax swing 4.3%

UC Santa BarbaraUC San Diego

Sideout %
UC Santa Barbara 63.0·UC San Diego 52.6
Break %
UC Santa Barbara 47.4·UC San Diego 37.0
Hitting
UC Santa Barbara .296·UC San Diego .204
Longest run
UC Santa Barbara 5·UC San Diego 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UC San Diego above 50 · UC Santa Barbara below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.3% UCSBrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.3% to UC Santa Barbara — set 3, UCSB 13-10 UCSD. Kill by Bella Mathis. UCSD win probability 49% → 45%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCSB 46.7%53.3% UCSD

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0
11.2%
3-1
17.4%
3-2
18.2%

UC San Diego wins

3-0
13.9%
3-1
20.1%
3-2
19.2%
UCSB break %
41.7% vs this opp
UCSD break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bella MathisKill+4.3%

    Kill by Bella Mathis

    Set 3 · UCSB 13-10 UCSD · UCSB 51% → 55%

  2. 02
    UC Santa BarbaraAce+4.2%

    UC Santa Barbara ace on Paulina Baillie

    Set 3 · UCSB 17-13 UCSD · UCSB 57% → 61%

  3. 03

    Kill by Emma McDermott

    Set 3 · UCSB 10-8 UCSD · UCSB 46% → 50%

  4. 04
    Lucia BarrosoAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Lucia Barroso

    Set 2 · UCSB 22-19 UCSD · UCSB 33% → 37%

  5. 05
    UC Santa BarbaraAce+4.1%

    UC Santa Barbara ace on Gia Rivera

    Set 4 · UCSB 11-7 UCSD · UCSB 82% → 87%

  6. 06

    Gia Rivera stuffed by Avery Gibbs & Emery Tubbs

    Set 3 · UCSB 11-8 UCSD · UCSB 50% → 54%

  7. 07

    Emma McDermott stuffed by Lucia Barroso & Molly McCluskey

    Set 3 · UCSB 11-10 UCSD · UCSD 48% → 52%

  8. 08
    UC Santa BarbaraAce+4.0%

    UC Santa Barbara ace on Molly McCluskey

    Set 3 · UCSB 8-7 UCSD · UCSB 42% → 46%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419741.29301452111.521.5
415233.394310111031.517.5
412321.4290001002113
43110.200012201859
4219.111100000213
4000–2022800002
49426.1920002004211
4001.0002220700002
4000–100600000
4000–8001720000
1001.000000000000
Team totals6018142.29655785952201296
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415842.1672016104217
49223.3040119002111
45017.294100101649
44216.12511310031.56.5
4000–212610001
4000–12101100001
412537.1890001100012
4215.2002210600003
4000–302910000
3000–001200000
1000–00000010.50.5
1002.000000000000
1000–000020000
Team totals4718142.20443510527116980

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UCSB · UCSD 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 UCSBUCSD 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 UCSBUCSD 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 3 UCSBUCSD 4

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 4 UCSBUCSD 3

Bars above the line = UC San Diego leads, below = UC Santa Barbara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Santa Barbara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
58%11/19
2
75%9/12
47%9/19
3
82%9/11
40%6/15
4
57%8/14
53%9/17
5
53%8/15
43%6/14
6
58%7/12
36%4/11
All
63%51/81
47%45/95

UC San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
27%3/11
2
59%10/17
44%8/18
3
62%8/13
10%1/10
4
53%8/15
33%4/12
5
57%8/14
56%10/18
6
35%6/17
33%4/12
All
53%50/95
37%30/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#UCSB-UCSDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UCSBUCSBBlockedKylie Parkerblk Bella Mathis, Auburn Tomkinson+2.5
21-1UCSBUCSDBlockedGabi Martinezblk Lucia Barroso, Molly McCluskey+1.8
32-1UCSDUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Cortni Youngblood+1.8
42-2UCSBUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+1.8
52-3UCSDUCSDAttack errGabi Martinez+2.5
63-3UCSDUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+1.8
73-4UCSBUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Brynne McGhie+1.8
83-5UCSDUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+2.5
94-5UCSDUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Cortni Youngblood+1.8
105-5UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+2.6
115-6UCSBUCSD×4KillMadison Johnsonset Brynne McGhie+1.9
125-7UCSDUCSD×4KillMolly McCluskeyset Paulina Baillie+2.6
135-8UCSDUCSD×4Attack errGabi Martinez+2.4
145-9UCSDUCSD×4Attack errAvery Gibbs+2.2
156-9UCSDUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+1.4
167-9UCSBUCSBKillEmery Tubbsset Ayva Ostovar+2.3
177-10UCSBUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+1.8
188-10UCSDUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ayva Ostovar+1.7
198-11UCSBUCSDKillLucia Barrososet Paulina Baillie+1.9
209-11UCSDUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Ayva Ostovar+1.7
2110-11UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+2.8
2210-12UCSBUCSD×3KillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+2.2
2310-13UCSDUCSD×3KillKylie Parkerset Molly McCluskey+2.8
2410-14UCSDUCSD×3BlockedAuburn Tomkinsonblk Kylie Parker, Madison Johnson+2.4
2511-14UCSDUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Cortni Youngblood+1.5
2611-15UCSBUCSDAttack errBella Mathis+1.8
2712-15UCSDUCSBServe errUC San Diego+1.5
2812-16UCSBUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Brynne McGhie+1.8
2913-16UCSDUCSB×4KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+1.5
3014-16UCSBUCSB×4AceUC Santa Barbara+2.6
3115-16UCSBUCSB×4KillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+3.3
3216-16UCSBUCSB×4BlockedBrynne McGhieblk Gabi Martinez+3.9
3316-17UCSBUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+3.0
3416-18UCSDUCSDAttack errAvery Gibbs+4.0
3517-18UCSDUCSBServe errUC San Diego+2.6
3617-19UCSBUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+3.0
3718-19UCSDUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Cortni Youngblood+2.7
3818-20UCSBUCSD×3KillLucia Barrososet Emma McDermott+3.2
3918-21UCSDUCSD×3KillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+3.8
4018-22UCSDUCSD×3KillMolly McCluskeyset Dillyn Griffin+2.6
4119-22UCSDUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Ayva Ostovar+1.1
4219-23UCSBUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+1.8
4319-24UCSDUCSDAttack errAuburn Tomkinson+1.1
4420-24UCSDUCSBAttack errMolly McCluskey+0.2
4521-24UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+0.7
4621-25UCSBUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+1.1
Set 2
10-1UCSDUCSDAceUC San Diegoaced Emma McDermott+2.1
21-1UCSDUCSBBlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Emma McDermott, Bella Mathis+1.6
31-2UCSBUCSD×3KillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+1.6
41-3UCSDUCSD×3BlockedEmma McDermottblk Madison Johnson, Molly McCluskey+2.1
51-4UCSDUCSD×3Attack errBella Mathis+2.0
62-4UCSDUCSBServe errUC San Diego+1.4
72-5UCSBUCSDBlockedGabi Martinezblk Molly McCluskey, Madison Johnson+1.5
83-5UCSDUCSBAttack errMolly McCluskey+1.4
93-6UCSBUCSDKillKylie Parkerset Brynne McGhie+1.5
104-6UCSDUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+1.4
114-7UCSBUCSD×3KillMadison Johnsonset Brynne McGhie+1.5
124-8UCSDUCSD×3KillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+1.9
134-9UCSDUCSD×3KillBrynne McGhieset Brynne McGhie+1.7
145-9UCSDUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Cortni Youngblood+1.0
155-10UCSBUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+1.2
165-11UCSDUCSDAceUC San Diegoaced Cortni Youngblood+1.4
176-11UCSDUCSB×5KillEmma McDermottset Ayva Ostovar+0.8
187-11UCSBUCSB×5BlockedGia Riverablk Avery Gibbs, Bella Mathis+1.4
198-11UCSBUCSB×5Attack errLucia Barroso+1.8
209-11UCSBUCSB×5KillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+2.2
2110-11UCSBUCSB×5BlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Avery Gibbs, Bella Mathis+2.5
2210-12UCSBUCSDKillLucia Barrososet Marleena Catalan+2.0
2311-12UCSDUCSB×4KillAvery Gibbsset Ayva Ostovar+1.9
2412-12UCSBUCSB×4KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+2.9
2513-12UCSBUCSB×4KillBella Mathisset Milan Rex+3.1
2614-12UCSBUCSB×4Attack errLucia Barroso+3.2
2714-13UCSBUCSDServe errMilan Rex+2.1
2815-13UCSDUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Cortni Youngblood+2.4
2916-13UCSBUCSBAceUC Santa Barbaraaced Dillyn Griffin+3.2
3016-14UCSBUCSDAttack errGabi Martinez+1.9
3117-14UCSDUCSBBlockedKylie Parkerblk Bella Mathis, Auburn Tomkinson+2.4
3217-15UCSBUCSDBlockedAuburn Tomkinsonblk Madison Johnson, Kylie Parker+2.0
3318-15UCSDUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+2.5
3418-16UCSBUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+2.0
3519-16UCSDUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+2.6
3619-17UCSBUCSDServe errGabi Martinez+2.0
3719-18UCSDUCSDKillLucia Barrososet Brynne McGhie+3.6
3820-18UCSDUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ayva Ostovar+3.2
3920-19UCSBUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Brynne McGhie+2.7
4021-19UCSDUCSBServe errUC San Diego+3.5
4122-19UCSBUCSBAttack errLucia Barroso+4.1
4222-20UCSBUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Brynne McGhie+1.9
4323-20UCSDUCSBServe errUC San Diego+3.1
4423-21UCSBUCSDKillKylie Parkerset Brynne McGhie+1.7
4524-21UCSDUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Emma McDermott+3.2
4625-21UCSBUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Emery Tubbs+1.7
Set 3
11-0UCSBUCSBBlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Emma McDermott, Bella Mathis+3.3
21-1UCSBUCSD×4KillKylie Parkerset Marleena Catalan+2.4
31-2UCSDUCSD×4KillKylie Parkerset Molly McCluskey+3.3
41-3UCSDUCSD×4KillMadison Johnson+3.2
51-4UCSDUCSD×4KillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+3.0
62-4UCSDUCSB×3KillBella Mathisset Milan Rex+2.1
73-4UCSBUCSB×3BlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Bella Mathis, Gabi Martinez+3.2
84-4UCSBUCSB×3KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+3.5
94-5UCSBUCSDKillKylie Parkerset Marleena Catalan+2.5
105-5UCSDUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Emma McDermott+2.6
116-5UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+3.8
126-6UCSBUCSDKillKylie Parkerset Dillyn Griffin+2.7
136-7UCSDUCSDBlockedEmery Tubbsblk Madison Johnson+3.7
147-7UCSDUCSBServe errUC San Diego+2.7
158-7UCSBUCSBAceUC Santa Barbaraaced Molly McCluskey+4.0
168-8UCSBUCSDKillBrynne McGhieset Paulina Baillie+2.8
179-8UCSDUCSB×3Serve errUC San Diego+3.0
1810-8UCSBUCSB×3KillEmma McDermott+4.2
1911-8UCSBUCSB×3BlockedGia Riverablk Avery Gibbs, Emery Tubbs+4.1
2011-9UCSBUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+2.6
2111-10UCSDUCSDBlockedEmma McDermottblk Lucia Barroso, Molly McCluskey+4.0
2212-10UCSDUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Ayva Ostovar+3.3
2313-10UCSBUCSBKillBella Mathis+4.3
2413-11UCSBUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+2.7
2514-11UCSDUCSBBlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Emma McDermott, Bella Mathis+3.2
2614-12UCSBUCSDServe errMilan Rex+2.8
2715-12UCSDUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Milan Rex+3.4
2815-13UCSBUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Marleena Catalan+2.8
2916-13UCSDUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+3.5
3017-13UCSBUCSBAceUC Santa Barbaraaced Paulina Baillie+4.2
3117-14UCSBUCSDServe errBella Mathis+2.3
3218-14UCSDUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+3.1
3319-14UCSBUCSBAttack errGia Rivera+3.3
3419-15UCSBUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+1.6
3520-15UCSDUCSB×3KillAvery Gibbsset Cortni Youngblood+2.4
3621-15UCSBUCSB×3Attack errGia Rivera+2.1
3722-15UCSBUCSB×3BlockedGia Riverablk Emery Tubbs, Avery Gibbs+1.1
3822-16UCSBUCSDServe errGabi Martinez+0.3
3923-16UCSDUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+0.6
4024-16UCSBUCSB×3KillEmma McDermottset Ayva Ostovar+0.2
4125-16UCSBUCSB×3KillAvery Gibbsset Ayva Ostovar·
Set 4
11-0UCSDUCSBServe errUC San Diego+2.7
21-1UCSBUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Brynne McGhie+2.6
32-1UCSDUCSB×4KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+2.8
43-1UCSBUCSB×4KillAuburn Tomkinson+3.9
54-1UCSBUCSB×4KillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+3.8
65-1UCSBUCSB×4KillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+3.7
75-2UCSBUCSDAttack errGabi Martinez+2.3
86-2UCSDUCSB×3KillEmma McDermottset Milan Rex+2.7
97-2UCSBUCSB×3KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+3.4
108-2UCSBUCSB×3KillEmery Tubbs+3.0
118-3UCSBUCSDServe errBella Mathis+1.8
128-4UCSDUCSDAceUC San Diegoaced Cortni Youngblood+2.9
139-4UCSDUCSBServe errUC San Diego+2.6
149-5UCSBUCSD×3KillGia Riveraset Madison Johnson+2.1
159-6UCSDUCSD×3Attack errAvery Gibbs+3.4
169-7UCSDUCSD×3BlockedAvery Gibbsblk Kaliya Ndiaye, Madison Johnson+3.9
1710-7UCSDUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+3.2
1811-7UCSBUCSBAceUC Santa Barbaraaced Gia Rivera+4.1
1911-8UCSBUCSDServe errGabi Martinez+2.5
2012-8UCSDUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ayva Ostovar+3.0
2113-8UCSBUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Bianca Nistor+3.7
2213-9UCSBUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Brynne McGhie+2.1
2314-9UCSDUCSB×3KillEmma McDermottset Ayva Ostovar+2.7
2415-9UCSBUCSB×3AceUC Santa Barbaraaced Jaedyn Houston+3.0
2516-9UCSBUCSB×3AceUC Santa Barbaraaced Jaedyn Houston+2.2
2616-10UCSBUCSDKillKylie Parkerset Brynne McGhie+1.1
2717-10UCSDUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Emma McDermott+1.6
2817-11UCSBUCSDKillKylie Parkerset Brynne McGhie+1.0
2918-11UCSDUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+1.5
3018-12UCSBUCSDBad setMilan Rex+0.9
3118-13UCSDUCSDKillGia Rivera+1.8
3219-13UCSDUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Cortni Youngblood+1.9
3320-13UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+1.7
3420-14UCSBUCSD×3BlockedGabi Martinezblk Lucia Barroso, Madison Johnson+0.6
3520-15UCSDUCSD×3KillGia Rivera+1.4
3620-16UCSDUCSD×3AceUC San Diegoaced Gabi Martinez+2.2
3721-16UCSDUCSBServe errUC San Diego+2.5
3821-17UCSBUCSDServe errGabi Martinez+1.4
3921-18UCSDUCSDAceUC San Diegoaced Gabi Martinez+3.1
4022-18UCSDUCSB×4KillAvery Gibbsset Ayva Ostovar+3.5
4123-18UCSBUCSB×4BlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Bella Mathis+2.8
4224-18UCSBUCSB×4KillAvery Gibbsset Ayva Ostovar+1.1
4325-18UCSBUCSB×4KillEmma McDermottset Ayva Ostovar+0.2

Score shown after each rally, UC Santa Barbara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).